Dailyforecast
MTF killer zoneThis MTF Killer Zone, its drawn when yesterday or the last period closes, it so powerful .
The way I use it is buying and selling as a support and resistance zone (but its not support and resistance analysis) or at a retest when it break, and if its not touched by the price today or in the current period ... than the zone will be still valid for any time in the near future (3 to 4 days or periods in this example).
You can use it as a target if you already have an open position in the market, or using a time frame for entry and another for target.
I can send for you on request different time frame the MTFkillerzone, such as weekly and monthly also good for yearly.
I recommend to use it only major pairs, also any other financial instrument ( Commodities , indices, bonds, and equities) .
Enjoy the setup please! :)
GBP/USD Short trade based off patterns from price actionPotentially a large swing trade setup coming next week.
Daily Chart -
Price has been in this ascending channel since march of this year and after the second touch of the pattern, we have the double top with another ascending channel leading up to the double top area.
4HR Chart -
Here is the price pattern in more detail. The first profit target is the start of the ascending pattern.
1HR Chart -
Im looking for simple flag continuation in order for an entry but enter the trade according to your plan.
GBPUSD Done with PullbackDue to the uncertainty over the U.S election, demand for dollar continued to rise against its major peers.
While the brexit talk was delayed further, uncertainty is almost certain to build up again and thus pound will suffer.
The major bullish structure which was supported by a 7-month rising trendline was broken last month, pointing to an end of a bullish trend.
The market has pulled back from September's loss throughout October which formed a rising channel was seen broken below today.
As a result, GBPUSD is very likely to keep falling for the rest of the week and right now is a good price to sell as it has pulled back to 618 fibo level in the H1 timeframe.
If the price continues to pull back, we can still sell again around 1.3030.
USDJPY reversed at HnS necklineUSDJPY has pulled back from an HnS and found resistance at the neckline.
It has completed at least 2 bullish waves which have also taken 3 trading days and thus USDJPY may resume falling soon.
Traders may consider selling at the current price but keep in mind that the market may pull back a little further, at the most at 105.20.
AUDJPY to Resume DownsideAUDJPY was held above 75 since the end of September but finally submerged below last week.
The market has pulled back to 75 and it faced rejection early in the Asia market together with an inside bar reversal pattern and a falling trendline.
Look to sell AUDJPY now with SL just above 75 or 75.3 for conservative traders. The primary target will be 72.90.
*AUD was the weakest and JPY was the strongest among other major peers last week.
EURGBP OutlookPotential for a long position on EURGBP over the next coming days
Schiff fork touches the edge of the channel, which is the same area where we have had prior bullish signals this year (see candles highlighted) thereby making this a likely area of reversal from the current downtrend that began around this time last month
If the price holds in this outlined area of 0.896 - 0.893 then we will have confirmation of an uptrend from the March/April lows when the 50D SMA crossed above the 200DSMA, and continuation of the ascending channel
Failing this, we will look to the 200D SMA for support, the same area where the pair has found prior support and generated bullish candlestick patterns
Strong resistance found at the 0.917 area
GBPUSD Continued to form Lower Highs and LowsSince GBPUSD broke below a 6-month rising trendline, the price fell into a range.
However, the range was somewhat a falling channel where the market just kept trading lower with lower highs and lows.
As the presidential election began, and especially right after the first presidential debate between Trump and Biden, the market is feeling more uncertain of the outcome and thus risk sentiment picks up.
With risk sentiment climbing, the dollar started to regain strength and that essentially means that risk-on currency such as the pound will depreciate further.
And not forgetting that the UK is still facing a lot of uncertainty with its Brexit deal.
There's simply too little reason for pound to stay strong.
Pound's at riskThe GBPUSD faced strong resistance when it approached a major supply zone around the 1.34 region.
Its rally against the dollar was confirmed to have ended when smashed downwards shortly into the September period.
Breakthroughs of important rising trendlines followed through as risk sentiment continued to build up which has led to a further rally for the dollar.
GBPUSD now faces a last line of defense at a 4-month rising trendline with no obvious buyers at the moment.
Putting dollar's rally aside, the pound is constantly facing pressure due to its brexit deal which seems very gloomy.
What we can see right now is that GBPUSD is most likely to revisit its brexit low at 1.20 in time to come.
How to Catch the Bears for EURUSD?If you hadn't realized, EURUSD has marked the end of its final bullish run last week.
The market now trades within a range and is currently pulling back from a bearish trend since yesterday.
While we can't be certain that EURUSD will eventually dip further, it's a safe and reasonable bet to sell again as it approaches the top of the current range.
If we were to commit to selling and should the market does continue to take a bearish stance, the bears should appear before the price climbs beyond 1.1950.
By counting the number of waves of the current rebound from 1.1755, the price has the potential to develop another bullish wave and reach somewhere between 1.1860 and 1.1950.
The ECB press conference is just ahead and that will provide more clues as to how bearish the euro will get this week all the way till next week's FOMC.
This plan should work as long as the ECB does not turn hawkish all of a sudden, which is very unlikely given the current economic condition in the eurozone.
One More Dive for GoldAs the gold failed to extend gain this week, the reversal has taken place.
2 waves of bearish movement have been completed, leaving one last wave to go.
Why one last wave, or at least one more wave? It is because every trend within the current range took at least 3 waves before a reversal.
Will Dow Jones Extend Fall?The recent fall from early last week, specifically last Thursday after FOMC, has some similarities with the crazy selloff in late February.
One glance at the daily chart should be enough to explain the resemblance.
Now that the price has retraced significantly and undergone a period of resistance, it's about time the price will continue to fall or otherwise.
One thing to take note is that the COVID cases in the US has started to rise again and yesterday's figure just broke 13th June high.
This could potentially increase market fear and cause another wave of a selloff in the stock market.
So, everything seems to lineup pretty well, most importantly the risk-reward ratio is pretty good too.
NZDUSD Major ReversalNZDUSD topped at 0.6580 after resisted by a major falling trendline in the weekly chart.
The price fell after tested the resistance twice, forming a double top, and broke both a rising trendline and the neckline of the double top.
As the dollar started to rebound amid increasing risk sentiment, NZDUSD is most likely to sustain a falling trend as commodity-currency may also take a toll.
Simply wait for the pullback to the supply zone as shown to sell.
Gold Rising with MAsJust a couple of weeks before, the gold reached a new high at 1765 and started pulling back, forming a counter-trend falling channel.
Last week, the price successfully broke above the top of the channel, signalling that price may continue to rise.
The MAs have also started to bend upwards and market has been trending upwards smoothly.
A small pullback into the support zone between 20 and 55 MAs should be sufficient for a rebound.
EUR/USDEUR/USD
EUR/USD Is on a structure level on a daily time frame (resistance)
While forming a falling wedge patter on 4hr time frame with a bearish :bear: divergence all which is indicating that the price might fall soon
:warning:DISCLAIMER :warning:
If you place a trade based on this analysis you are at your own risk
Low Risk High Return at EURUSDHow can you risk small but gain high returns?
The answer is to enter a trade that allows you to set a tight stop loss without compromising the trade setup and has the potential you make at least 3 times more than the risk.
Here's a good example.
EURUSD has completed a Bearish Bat while showing signs of sellers already.
If you sell now, you just have to set your stop loss above point X of the bearish bat and your risk will be about 40 pips
On the other hand, your potential profits are 70, 100 and 160 pips based on the important support levels.
The first target will give you 1.75X return and the last one will give you 4X return.
So as you can see, this is very logical and reasonable.
We can't control how the market move but we choose what kind of trades to make.
Bearish Bat in EURUSDJust awhile ago, EURUSD was testing the top of a symmetrical triangle.
There was resistance but not enough sellers to pick up the momentum.
Since it continues to climb and break higher, we look to the next probable pattern for a turning point.
Here we have a clear bearish bat which technically should cause the market to reverse from 1.0990 onwards.
We can now look to the US session and watch for price action as the price reaches the supply zone.