TELL ME WHAT YOU SEE IN GBP/USDPlease if you found this helpful drop a like and follow, let us discuss it in the comment section.
To me, this trend looks like expanding and also counting the ELLIOT wave inside the trend. We should be looking for a buying opportunity if the price continues holding the particular zone
Dailyfx
XAUUSD still on LONG POSSITIONXAUUSD, before I will enter the market gold, the market price needs to still go down to 618 Fibonacci retracements for more long entry confirmation. Please use this analysis as a guide before taking any decision in the market. If you found this analysis useful please give us a like and comment below on what exact topic you want us to cover
BTC SHOWING SOME BULL RETRACEMENT BTC is holding the price at the major support not closing below the major monthly support, he tested it and moved below and returned back to the support price which shown that BTC may actually be trying some retracement of some bullish if the bearish impulse fails in the next coming days. My advise for those that are willing to invest on BTC should start investing some spare i mean small of their capital, and if it drop they should also invest more before the next bull move is goint to start
AUD/USD 1W analysis 13/07/21Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
The AUD/USD market showing a lot of bearish signs after failing to hold 0.75 today and it looks like the market might be dropping down in the next week or two .
a possible reversal might happen but we need to wait for the conformation on the Market price testing the support line at 0.7401 .
on jun 21 i showed the 1D movement of the AUD/USD and explained how the market price is moving in a bearish way and used The Elliot wave theory to try to understand the market movement and we see that did happen in the past weeks where the price dropped from 0.77 down to the 0.74 zone
looking at indicators now we see that :
1_The market price trending below both the 10MA and the 20MA (bearish sign)
2_RSI showing at lot of weakness sitting around the 41.13 (at the time this was published) with no divergences between the indicator and the market price.
3_MACD in under a negative crossover , Market price is moving above the MACD (bearish sign )
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1_0.745 1_0.7498
2_0.7424 2_0.7521
3_0.7401 3_0.7547
Fundamental point of view :
According to DailyFX
The AUD/USD has been under pressure of late following renewed virus fears in Australia, along with Federal Reserve hawkishness. The Australian Dollar may potentially have bottomed following a test of September 2020’s swing high at 0.7413. Currently AUD/USD remains below the key 0.5% Fibonacci level at 0.7499, having failed to materially break above during the last few sessions. With virus fears in Australia growing, the Australian Dollar may continue to consolidate near its 2021 lows until the fundamental outlook in Australia improves.
The data from Australia showed that the National Australia Bank's Business Confidence Index dropped to 11 in June from 20 in May, compared to the market expectation of 23. Additionally, the Business Conditions Index fell to 24 from 36 and missed analysts' estimate of 33. On a positive note, HIA New Hom Sales increased by 14.8% on a monthly basis in June but this print failed to help the AUD gather strength.
Make sure to Follow and Like for more content
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view , not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask
Thank you for reading.
USD/JPY 1D analysis 01/07/21Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :) notice from all the data and the indicators that we saw on the chart the USD/JPY seems to be moving up with no signs of a reversal yet . we could be seeing the price reaching the are 112.30 in the next few days .
Fundamental analysis :
The Japanese yen turned out to be the worst-performing currency on Wednesday, allowing the USD/JPY pair to snap four consecutive days of the losing streak and climb back above the 111.00 mark. The underlying bullish sentiment in the financial markets – despite worries about the spread of the highly infectious Delta variant of the coronavirus – continued undermining the safe-haven JPY. This, along with a strong pickup in the US dollar demand further contributed to the pair's intraday rally of over 70 pips from levels just below mid-110.00s.
In fact, the key USD index posted its biggest monthly rise since November 2016 and remained well supported by the Fed's surprise hawkish shift. It is worth recalling that policymakers brought forward the timetable for the first post-pandemic interest rate hikes and signalled two rate hikes by the end of 2023 at the end of June policy meeting. The already stronger greenback got an additional boost following the release of a stronger ADP report, which, to a larger extent, helped offset a sharp decline in the US Treasury bond yields.
The monthly data published by the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute on Wednesday revealed that the US private-sector employers added 692K jobs in June. This marked a notable deceleration from May's downwardly revised reading of 886K (978K reported previously) but was better than the market expectations for 600K. This, along with hawkish comments by Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, cemented market expectations over the potential for an early move by the US central bank to rein in its highly accommodative monetary policy.
In an interview with Bloomberg TV on Wednesday, Kaplan noted that they are seeing a broadening of price pressures and would prefer to taper sooner than the end of the year because of questions about efficacy, side effects. Apart from this, end-of-month/quarter flows acted as a tailwind for the USD and pushed the USD/JPY pair to 15-month tops. That said, upbeat Japanese manufacturing data kept a lid on any further gains for the major and led to consolidative price action, above the 111.00 mark, through the Asian session on Thursday.
Japan Tankan Manufacturing Index rose to 14 in Q2, marking the best level since 2018 and the fourth straight quarter of improvement. Adding to this, the Markit Japan PMI Manufacturing was revised higher to 52.4 in June from 51.5 flash reading. Moreover, confidence about the outlook reached the highest level since the series began in July 2012 amid hopes of an end to the pandemic. This, in turn, extended some support to the JPY and capped gains for the major.
Make sure to Follow and Like for more content
If you have any questions please ask
Thank you for reading.
EURUSD 07:03:21EURUSD had a bullish drive up to an all time year high in January{1.23493}. A background USD strength had brought about a bearish EURUSD trend. The (1) impulse wave had been completed, followed by the (2) wave retracement, confirming an Elliot wave pattern. Although the (3) impulse wave is still yet to be completed, a bearish reversal pattern around previous resistance zone (purple) should be looked out for. A long direction could be safely entered in a 4H time frame with a SL of 30 pips from entry point and the trade trailed up to 76.4% fibonnaci retracement of wave (3).
USDCHF 30'' 20''USDCHF Pair still has a huge tendency of continuing in a bearish trend. The price crossover below the 100SMA also gives room for a retest. The Intraday time frame(H4, H1) shows an oversold zone in the RSI. I would most likely bet on a profit target of 40 pips away from 0.88253 and a 30 pips stop loss in the buy direction.
GBPJPY 29'' 12'' 20GBPJPY has been range bound between the levels 139.950 and 137.310. A recent breakout though short lived, but a retest at 139.388 shows the bulls were more likely to push pass and sustain the bullish trend. A naked analysis would favour a long entry with a profit target of 100 pips and stop loss of 30pips from 139.735.
S&P500 Rally Reached 200 EMA. Fundamentals remain bearish.SPY ETF (S&P500) has reached its 200 EMA at $294 (purple line). This is a significant level, as it may serve as resistance. If we break through $300, then the market may continue going up to $340. 50 day EMA (red) is close to crossing 100 day EMA (green) from below, pointing toward higher prices. MACD chart is near the top, but is still pointing upward. Based on technicals, the rally may continue. Caution may be a good approach to taking long exposure, as traders are selling into these rallies. The fundamentals remain bearish.
Microsoft will be reporting Q3 2020 Earnings on April 29Analysts are expecting close to $36.9 bn in revenues for Q3 2020. This represents a revenue growth estimate of around 20% YOY. Microsoft is in strong position to continue its business uninterrupted even during COVID-19 outbreak. However, 20% growth rate was baked into valuations at the end of January, before economic disruptions took place. Microsoft’s own guidance for Q3 2020 is - estimated revenue of $34.1 to $34.9 billion, which is lower than analysts’ estimates of $36.9 billion. Given a backdrop of economic slowdown, it will be hard for the company to exceed, and possibly even meet these expectations. The price action on the chart shows a lower top at $180 per share vs. $187 in March and RSI crossed pointing downward. In conclusion, Microsoft will remain one of the strongest drivers on the market. However, all the expectations may have been already priced in.
EURUSD- Bearish EURUSD REMAINS WEAK WITH FURTHER LOSSES LIKELY
The single-currency looks set to weaken further in the weeks ahead after the formation of a ‘death-cross’ at the end of last week, a negative technical indicator. The chart signal occurs when the 50-day moving average moves below the 200-day moving average, highlighting slowing momentum. The cross also occurred on high turnover, another negative sign. This ‘cross’ shows short-term momentum in an asset class is falling and normally signals lower prices ahead. On the downside, EURUSD initial support is found at 1.15539 ahead of 1.14872.
XauUsd September OutlookWe are expecting the yellow metal to continue its uptrend till the last week of September, that's when we can see some sort of sell off coming in.And that would make it a short term top for Gold.Gauging from the speed of up-move the prices could go to the levels between $1360-1380, that's 2-3% rise from current levels.
The severity of selling would have to be seen to anticipate, how long will the downtrend continue and whether it will be a pull-back or change in trend.
We will update when changing dynamics necessitates so.
Crude Oil Looking to short Oil in around 43.38
Reasons :
double swing move from the recent lowest low ( 66.66%)
Strong Monthly Gann Angle around this area ( Please consider price time movement till it reach this area)
Former resistance area
March 2015 low ( 42.02) is a good area to watch price action
Short GBPJPY Daily OutlookShort Entry @ 191.640
StopLoss @ 192.220
Take Profit @ 189.770
Broken Daily support over bought have had a double top in the past couple days which ran right back into the support turned resistance marked by the pink line.
Fundamentally the Yen has gained some strength and it is being shown a little bit across the board.
Technically we can see a lot of structure in play and see a quick fast nice and easy opportunity with a Risk:Reward coming in at 1:3.22 Looking at the structure of this trade we can see a support coming in from a previous high for a take profit at the level of 198.770 just incase it does ascend once it reaches that level.
For a stop 192.220 seems like a fairly decent area without being too close to current Price Action.
Please feel free to give some feedback and share your thoughts Thanks :)
- Rennie