Darkpool
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AAPL: Sell Short Support levels for Bounces and ReboundsThis AAPL weekly chart shows all the support levels back down to where 2019 projected revenues will be in line with the previous Dark Pool Buy Zones of 2016. The 2016 support price range is strong, fundamental support for the stock.
As you can see, AAPL doesn’t have precise technical support levels. Even on the weekly chart, the stock price does not stop falling cleanly at the highs or lows of each support range. This is because this stock is a favorite of RETAIL trading systems, Retail Gurus, Retail recommended stocks, etc.
The inconsistent price action suggests that retail investors and traders are mostly day trading AAPL. If the large-lot professionals dominated the trading activity, each support level would cause a consolidation, bounce or rebound and there would not be so many wicks and tails in the candlestick patterns. AAPL's technical patterns convey that swing-style selling short the stock is likely to be rather difficult.
AMD Stock: Inverted V Top at Strong SupportAdvanced Micro Devices has a huge V Top formation that is now hovering above the support level of the sideways range from 2017. The Top is a Severe Inverted V Top created by irrational exuberance from a speculative buying frenzy that was not supported by the company’s fundamentals.
AMD stock has peeled off about 50% of its value, which is the typical level at which technical patterns and fundamental values for 2019 coalesce. There may be another sell short run, but this stock now has higher risk for selling short against the potential net run down gains possible. The support from 2017 is strong support. However, many stocks will dig deep into this level of support before any Dark Pool automated orders begin triggering to create bottoms.
MCHP: Semiconductor Stock Topped, Now Look for Strong SupportMicrochip Technologies stock, in the Semiconductor Industry, has a top that completed in early September, seen best on the weekly chart. This is a common top right now. I see it in many topping stocks. The trading range breaks to the downside, usually on company news. The question now is WHERE will it find sufficient support to commence a bottom? The answer lies within the technical and fundamental support levels. The stock is in a bounce to rebound price action over the past couple of weeks. This is not at a strong support level. The support for MCHP stock for a final low is the highs of 2016. This also coincides nicely with the typical bottoming location based on the percentage of loss from the all-time high. About a 50% loss is where many stocks are currently finding support and where some Dark Pool Buy Zones are beginning. These Buy Zones are at the earliest of stages and are not fully developed yet. This provides 2 important analyses for trading decisions:
1. Where you need to cease selling short entirely.
2. Where you need to start watching for a bottoming Dark Pool Buy Zone formation.
When you learn to do this type of analysis during a bear market, particularly a trading range bear, then you will be far ahead of the crowd.
Keep in mind that many stocks WILL dig deeply into the highs of the 2016 support levels. The highs are just where you need to stop selling short. It is not necessarily the final, final destination of the stock price before a bottom commences.
Earnings Stock of the Day: VERIVERI is reporting earnings today and was chosen to remind traders that IPOs are not usually profitable. It is very rare to have a company that IPOs with high profits and revenue. Therefore, IPOs are generally speculative as this stock was. It IPO’d around the summer of 2017 and ran up for a month to a new all-time high. Retail investors and smaller funds drove price upward due to HFT activity and the encouragement of financial advisors. AccumDist shows smaller funds buying speculatively, creating the momentum run of August into September. HFTs created the huge black engulfing candle at the peak. Smaller funds and the retail crowd “bought on the dip” and have lost a lot of money since then. Preferred Clients sold into the speculative gains.
It is now near the low that should provide stability to the downtrend and eventually commence the bottom formation. There is no bottom yet as there is no Dark Pool Buy Zone™ yet.
There are no major companies reporting today. It is all small to mid-cap companies. Earnings Season is in the final days of reporting.