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Darkpools

Dark Pool Buy Zones for Trading Momentum or VelocityDark Pool buy zones, identified with Relational Technical Analysis of the candlestick patterns and where they form in the long-term trend, along with indicators that reveal large-lot activity, are the key to preparing early for momentum to velocity runs for swing trading, position trading and even for planning long-term investments. NYSE:CHWY is working on a bottom, finally basing and now starting to test the bottom completion level. This can be a strong resistance level where Pro Traders who started a swing trade from the lows are likely to take profits. Often we see a sideways action develop at this level, the lows of which are usually confined by the support level built on the way up. This would be the level to watch for the next buy entry signal. If it consolidates narrowly or briefly, then there is potential for a momentum swing trade. If it platforms a little wider but within the last support level, then a position trade entry can develop.
NYSE:CHWYLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Looking Ahead to the 4th Quarter for $DISNYSE:DIS has been working on a bottom for a long time. The stock has moved up recently due to heavy buying of Dow components for the DIA and other ETFs which require Dow components. Many Families are making Disney Resorts a holiday location this year. The stock now faces stronger bottom completion resistance from the 2nd quarterly report, which sent the stock moving down further until this October. The volume is very low recently, which is partly due to the holiday but also warns of weakening buyer activity at this price level. However, there was Dark Pool accumulation in the base of the bottom, along with some Pro Trader activity evident in the candlestick and technical indicator patterns. This range now provides moderate to strong support.
NYSE:DIS
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Understanding the Role of HFTs and Dark Pools for Day TradingNASDAQ:TSLA reports on Wednesday of this week, October 18th. Last quarter, it had a gap down on its earnings news based on Year over Year comparisons which triggered High Frequency Trading (HFTs) to gap the stock down. Quarter over Quarter, however, NASDAQ:TSLA has shown consistent growth this year. The problem with determining if the HFT gaps are likely to gap down or up on the next earnings report is the very low Percentage of Shares Held by Giant Buy-Side Institutions (PSHI). TSLA’s CEO has lost the necessary confidence of the largest Buy-Side Institutions in the world. So it's institutional interest is extremely low for such an important US company. The Buy-Side Institutions want the Board of Directors to replace Musk with someone who is more focused on TSLA to help it grow. The PSHI is likely to remain low until a new CEO is chosen. The highest the PSHI has ever been was in July 2020 when it reached a high of 71%. It dropped to a low of 43% in November of 2021 and the stock has been sideways with very low PSHI ever since. It is very rare to see such low PSHI in a young new technology company with such high growth potential. With less support from largest most influential institutions, the HFTs, which use retail news as one of their 6 primary algorithm triggers for automated orders as Maker/Takers, often gap a stock down on earnings news that was actually not negative. Smaller Fund Managers, who have a special SEC classification with lower reporting requirements, often have VWAP automated orders trigger on high volume surges. This is often mistaken by smaller funds and retail investors or traders as “Dark Pool high volume activity,” when it is not. High PSHI creates a natural liquidity draw and thus more momentum and speculative price action. This is missing much of the time for NASDAQ:TSLA stock price movement. The current sideways trend has existed since 2021, best seen on a Weekly Chart. The dimensions of the sideways trend and the irregularity of the price range determines whether the sideways trend is a Long Term Wide Trading Range, a Short Term Trading Range, a Wide Sideways Trend, or a Platform-Building Sideways Trend. This is a Long Term Trading Range due to the inconsistent highs and lows. This is common in a stock that has PSHI below 60%. On a Daily Chart, the fundamentals currently are within the rectangular shape outlined below. This area of price can be problematic for retail day traders as there are always portfolio adjustments going on by the Buy-Side Institutions who have ETFs and Index funds with TSLA as a component. When the stock drops below that Buy Zone range, it quickly reverses and runs up into the lows of that fundamental range. This becomes a price range where there is conflict between retail day traders trying to trade on news and the Buy-Side Institutions accumulating inventory shares of TSLA for the Indexes or ETF Trust accounts that must maintain a value close to the ETF or index value upon which that ETF is based. What happens intraday is a very choppy and indecisive price action up and down that causes whipsaw losses for day trading. In order to successfully day-trade TSLA, these factors must be understood to use to one's advantage. This requires an understanding of how to identify a Dark Pool Sell Zone or a Dark Pool Buy Zone within the daily charts. It also requires an understanding of how HFTs trigger and how VWAP orders often cause whipsaw action as well. Remember that Dark Pool data is not available during the trading day. That data is on Over-the-Counter Alternative Transaction Systems. Those orders are filled off the exchanges and are not transmitted to the National Clearing Houses until after the market closes. Hence, ALL retail day traders are trading against an invisible entity whose orders they can’t see even on Level 2 screens. The art of day trading in harmony with Dark Pool activity requires what I call "Relational Technical Analysis."
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
10
Dark Pool Buy Zone Signals: AEISNASDAQ:AEIS was one of the darlings of the '90s. So much fun to swing trade this stock. It is now moving up to test the all-time highs of 2021. Electronic Components are cyclical stocks typically with huge revenues ahead of holidays, school openings and summertime. The cycle is starting again. Notice that Volume Oscillators and Money Flow indicators are rising from the bottom of the chart. This pattern has been very reliable in determining the end of the run down this year. Many stocks have this pattern at the moment. This signals the Buy Zone.
NASDAQ:AEISLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Semiconductors in Focus: Top or Not?NASDAQ:NVDA has shifted sideways since the huge earnings breakaway gap, a pattern that tends to provide strong support for profit-taking. Unlike NASDAQ:AMD , the trend doesn't appear to be at risk of shifting into a downtrend at this time. While there has been some negative news pertaining to China for NVidia, the chart patterns don't indicate any concern from the largest Buy Side Institutions yet. NVDA reports again near the end of August. By the end of this month, the big Buy Sides will have made adjustments to their holdings depending on their expectations for earnings, a time to watch for any shift in the technical patterns. AMD reports early August. This short-term M top is at risk of testing support level highs below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Battle of the New EV NASDAQ ComponentsLucid and Rivian, both new components of the NASDAQ:NDX , have been showing up on the High-Volume Institutional Activity recently. NASDAQ:LCID has the beginnings of a bottom attempt developing with a Dark Pool buy zone emerging, but it's been slow-going for this EV company. Professional short-term trading is evident in the current run up, as it is in other EV companies this week, spurred by the bankruptcy of Lordstown Motors, many would say. NASDAQ:RIVN has a clearer Dark Pool buy zone developing at this bottoming level with the same Pro Trader footprint in the current run up. This type of bottom formation provides a sturdier support level--evidence of more conviction from the institutions? Both stocks have a lot of work to do to complete their bottoms for more than short-term trading at this time. Resistance AND competition are heavy ahead, as it's still early days in the race to dominance in EV Auto Manufacturing.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:LCID
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
12
BKNG: Hidden Accumulation CuesThe big season for vacations starts this week as schools close, graduations begin, weddings increase, and families plan big vacations this year. BKNG has had HFTs attempting to sell it down several times but it holds within a sideways trend still. This implies hidden accumulation. If it breaks to the upside, then this sideways trend becomes support. BKNG must do as all other high-priced stocks have done: do a big split to lower the share price to $100 - 300. When the Board does so, the stock has more potential for runs up rather than down.
NASDAQ:BKNG
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Did you miss NVDA's move? What now?NVDA's gap up on a stellar earnings report should NOT have been a surprise, as the chart has been showing strength since January when I mentioned it in my Morning Reports. It was completing the bottom at that time. The trend upward was showing pro traders in control of price after Dark Pool quiet accumulation. It has 64% of the shares held by institutions, which is normal for a giant-cap stock. It should actually be a Dow 30 component rather than INTC but, alas, that won't happen for a while. NVDA stair-stepped upward. This is probably one of the hardest trendline patterns to see without rectangles drawn around the step, but one of the most important to recognize professional buyer dominance. What now? The gains are now extreme. And the pros are taking profits. That means there is very high risk for buying at this moment. CAN it move higher? Of course! Euphoric retail buying can easily drive prices upward further for a short period of time. Just remember that without institutional buying at this level, any upside from here may be short-lived.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
$SPYCore PCE which is the Fed's favored methods in evaluating inflation just hit the wires and came in softer than expected, but still above the Fed's ideal. T&S is reflecting that pre-market traders are enjoying the news, albeit on low volume. It is the end of the quarter heading into the weekend so todays price action will be important, lets take a look at some levels The majority of yesterdays darkpool action occurred below the bid, the areas with the most significant orders occurred at 401.27 & 403.64, we will look at these as local supports. bulls need a break above 409, bears need a break below 400. these are the potential scenarios I will look for today : long: - break above PM high, retest & hold - dip to yday's darkpool prints & hold short: - pop to PM high & fail - break below yday darkpool prints, retest & fail resistances: 405.22, 407.20, 409 supports: 403.64, 401.27, 400, 398, 396.62,393.69
AMEX:SPY
by runNgun
ROKU Earnings: Not Bad But Not GreatROKU has an incomplete bottom ahead of its earnings report later this week. The technical patterns don't indicate a bad report, just not a great one. There is some accumulation and a shift of sentiment around the lows of the bottom formation, which are likely to provide support. It is unlikely that this stock would drop further than the Dark Pool Buy Zone unless it has a bad report. The company has struggled with Market Saturation for a while. Some strategic partnerships recently and in the future may be what the stock needs to stabilize here to eventually begin the next uptrend. Weekly chart showing strong long-term support for the current bottom formation:
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:ROKU
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
5
JPM Earnings Reversal PatternJPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported earnings today for the 4th quarter. There was no surprise for the professionals and for the Dark Pool Buy Side Institutions. They already knew what the numbers would be. Today's candle was not just a bullish engulfing candle. It is what we, at TechniTrader, call a major fundamental REVERSAL candlestick pattern. This is a huge one-day reversal that started out as a High Frequency Trader (HFT) gap down on negative expectations from the retail side and social media telling traders to sell short JPM. Those retail day traders who tried to sell short JPM got whacked big-time. Margin calls are likely, as the sell short losses on this large of a reversal candle are huge. Why did the stock price reverse so quickly? The outlined area of the sideways consolidation pattern reveals Professional Traders’ setups ahead of the earnings report. The stock dipped into this price level, and then buying commenced that is well above average for JPM stock.
NYSE:JPM
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
ES1! RALLIES & FALLS (UPDATE)DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided an updated version of my previous chart for ES1! . POINTS: 1. Price Action has broken previous pennant and fallen into a consolidation phase. 2. Breaking through this consolidation phase would either require breaking 3900 to the upside or 3800 to the downside. Current Fall Percentage = -9.47% Current Fall in Points = -1585 Average Fall Percentage = -14.63% NOTE: *Highlighted Channel 3800 - 3900 is current price action range where DIX HAS SHOWN TO SPIKE THE MOST. CME_MINI:ES1!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DGSTBROKERACC
AMZN: Moving into A Buy Zone?The Weekly Chart of AMZN shows that the stock has dropped into a strong support price level with a risk that there could be a Dark Pool Buy Zone here. The share price is now below fundamental values. With a month before AMZN reports earnings, it will be interesting to see how the stock behaves; it will reveal how well AMZN is recovering from the hyper revenues created by the stay-at-home orders and stimulus checks of the pandemic. This is the last quarterly report that will be skewed with the revenues and earnings from the pandemic anomaly. This company MUST provide a dividend soon.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Dark Pool & Block Prints as Support and ResistanceAs of December 9, here are the main support and resistance levels as informed by smart money order flow (darkpool and block prints over $1 million). The white trendline is the one that has connected all the major peaks in 2022. The yellow trendline has acted as support from the October low, until it was broken on 12/6. A few things to keep in mind: $5.9B of prints following Powell's speech on 11/30 and the following day, at around SPY $407. This has been the intermediate peak so far over the last few months. We can likely conclude that this is smart money selling, and will probably be a significant point of resistance. At the end of the day today we got $1.7B of prints at SPY 393, the low of the day. There's also a lot of technical support in this area. Price has bounced off this level numerous times. Therefore, in my opinion, these prints are likely smart money buying for a push higher during what is statistically one of the strongest times of the year. The point of control (price at which trading volume is highest) is around SPY 395. That's the POC for the last two weeks, as well as the POC for the entirety of 2022. It's also roughly halfway between the white trendline and the November CPI gap. Overall, this is a pretty neutral spot going into next week's CPI release and FOMC meeting.
AMEX:SPY
by worldjetty
2
Dark Pool Buy Zone Patterns: BA ExampleA corporate aggressive stance to accelerate Boeing's recovery from the pandemic created buying activity during the index sell down over the past few days. BA is one of the few companies on the Dow moving up while the majority of components were being sold down. This is an example of how quickly a stock can reverse from selling down to resumption of its trading range or bottoming action. This is a range-bound run up. The technical pattern has some pro traders in the mix. The run is above the accumulation level for Dark Pools.
NYSE:BA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Dark Pool Buy Zones and Sell Short Risk: LCIDDark Pool buy zones tend to provide strong support for stocks running down. If a stock violates the lows of such support, the rebound tends to come quickly, erasing any sell short profits. This young EV auto manufacturing company is near its IPO price range, which is strong support. The retest of the lows of this bottoming action doesn't show much downside potential for a strong sell short. There is risk that LCID may gap or run down but then reverse quickly and move back up. Whipsaw reversal candles near Dark Pool buy zones can cause big losses for short sellers at this level.
NASDAQ:LCID
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Dark Pool Buy Zones in Bottom FormationsIt may be difficult to be optimistic about the future at this time, but it's the BEST time to be on the lookout for Dark Pool Buy Zones in bottom formations. When it's all doom and gloom is when the largest buy-side institutions are accumulating bargain-priced stocks, acquiring their huge lots of shares as the last of the small-lot sellers capitulate. Therefore, divergences are important to think about for identifying where the Dark Pools are accumulating. For example, FIZZ was still moving down when the Accumulation/Distribution indicator started rising. This is a very likely Dark Pool buy zone. Entry requires confirmation that the bottom is likely to complete soon, but this early divergence pattern gives both traders and investors lead time on a good entry at some point down the road. I'm teaching more about how to identify Dark Pool Buy Zones TODAY at the MetaStock Traders Conference. It's a FREE event with many other trainers. I'll be on at 3 pm ET. Hope to see you there!
NASDAQ:FIZZEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Technical Analysis for Risk AnalysisTechnical Analysis should be used for Risk Analysis, not just for deciding if and when to buy whatever it is you want to trade, whether it's stocks, crypto, forex, indexes, ETFs, REITs, mutual funds, etc. When you know the technical patterns that point to higher risk, aka sellers gaining traction, you can get out of long positions before the retail crowd and its small fund managers react late to earnings reports. It is NEVER the largest institutions, who we call the Dark Pools, who are selling on earnings announcements. It is ALWAYS the less informed who buy or sell on big news days. This is what we at TechniTrader call "Relational Technical Analysis"--the application of what we know about the market participant groups to discern who is doing what in the technical patterns of a chart. For example: UPST was a struggling IPO anyway. The typical IPO top and drop occurred in October-November. 99% of new IPOs do this. Learn to sell at the peak of a speculative new IPO. That means you must learn what speculation looks like in the charts and how to recognize the top developing so you can get out before the drop. But today's lesson is about the specific set of negative technical patterns developing ahead of Upstart's earnings report yesterday after the market close: 1. A trading range was developing lower highs and lower lows. 2. Compression of price at the low end of the range. 3. Declining Accumulation/Distribution over the sideways action of the trading range. These are what we at TechniTrader call the "footprints" of controlled rotation out of the stock ahead of the earnings press release date. Please like and follow if you learned something new. Learn more at my website.
NASDAQ:UPSTEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
RDBX: HFT action out of Dark Pool buy zoneRDBX had HFT action out of the bottom where there was a clear Dark Pool buy zone. It's moving into resistance from the low of the topping formation around 10 where short-term Pro Traders have begun taking profits. Retail traders need to learn to take the cue of the professional side using what TechniTrader calls "Relational Technical Analysis." When you learn where and how the Dark Pools accumulate, you can buy BEFORE the HFTs push price too far up to sustain.
R
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
2
Dark Pool Buy Zones™Some traders try to watch Level 2 data to discern when the large-lot orders come through to get an idea of when the big institutions are accumulating in the Dark Pools, but you really don’t need that. Plus, whether that’s accurate is questionable since Dark Pool transactions are reported way after they were transacted. “Dark Pool buy zones” is a term I coined because Dark Pools use precise controlled orders that trigger automatically over extended periods of time. Since the Buy Side Institutions using the Dark Pools are primarily buying for the long term, price can sometimes drop down before moving up, creating a range in the price action, what I call “the buy zone.” When you learn to recognize the Dark Pool Candlestick and Indicator Patterns, you can be ready for the bottom to develop and look for Dark Pool accumulation patterns to plan your trading. Below is an example. Ford is still falling, but the Dark Pool buy zone support is close. I’ll be waiting to see how the bottom develops around that level before making my decision to trade. Happy TechniTrading! Please like and follow if you found this interesting.
NYSE:FEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Oil shift to downtrend? Options and AI whispersWe can observe at the beginning of this week major shift in sentiment of the traders with Oil in their portfolio. As previous week still we saw money put on 130$, this week the last major level as Call Wall is at 100$. I would even include scenario that around that level we can go slightly higher due to Virgin VPOCs at 102 and 104.5 - still though it should be short-term run and only possible if wet closer to 100$ first. So far we can observe downtrend on Oil. If 92.2$ will be broken, downtrend can continue. The next major Options and Darkpool markets Support lays at 80$. Before that there is no other level (so far) that can stop this move.
NYMEX:CL1!
by skyline-trader