SBUX: Shift of Sentiment Pattern Leads Gap Up to PlatformSBUX has now confirmed the gap gains by holding well above the trading range highs. This provides very strong support for the stock to continue moving upward. This daily chart of the stock shows a Shift of Sentiment™ Pattern with the Accumulation/Distribution indicator. The shifting pattern begins with the common gap down by HFTs in June and then the VWAP automated selling by the smaller funds to the final low. Then, the stock moves in a typical Dark Pool Pattern out of the low. Pro traders and HFTs gap the stock up in November on earnings news. Another platform is developing now above that gap which establishes more support at this level.
Darkpools
AMZN: Topping Formation Incomplete with VolatilityAMZN has a topping formation which is incomplete at this time. Incomplete means that the stock has not broken through the strong nearby, short term technical support level YET. It may or may not. The stock can always shift sideways as BA did, as an example, to pattern out the excessive stock price uptrend created by speculation. Trading range corrections, as opposed to down-trending corrections, take much longer because the stock price remains well above the company’s fundamental value. The financials have to catch up to the price per share. For AMZN, there is also rotation, aka lowering of stock shares held by the Giant Dark Pools, evident in studying the price trend against the Accumulation/Distribution indicator. This increases the risk of sudden downside action. For now, buybacks and smaller funds buying on a dip are holding the stock up. Watch for increased volatility as a precursor to more downside action.
CRM: Risk for Topping Due to RotationSalesforce.com has had a great run up from the 2015-2016 correction. CRM stock is now showing an extreme Angle of Ascent on the weekly chart and has risk of a potential topping action. Support is weak at the bounce area at this time. The stock shows steady rotation patterns as the final peak high developed. Rotation is the lowering of inventories of a stock by Dark Pools.
NVDA: Earnings Stock of the DayThis big technology stock reports its earnings today AFTER the market closes. Sometimes the after-market reports are not great reports. On the weekly chart, NVDA shows one of the new tops taught in TechniTrader’s Definitive Guide to Market Corrections course. This is a Sheer Cliff top which is a sudden collapse of price after a trading-range sideways pattern of several months. The decline has been very steep and fast. It is resting at weak support. You can see from Accum/Dist that this stock has been in heavy rotation mode by the Dark Pools since 2017. The stock moved up on buybacks and speculation by smaller lots against the heavy rotation by the Dark Pools.
HD: Earnings Stock of the DayAlways a late reporting company, HD reported today before the market opened. HFTs were ready to gap the stock in the direction the algos perceived earnings. The chart patterns were setting up for a negative reaction. The stock is in the lower area of its trading range that has similarities to the S&P500 index chart's trading range pattern. Flow of Funds indicators show heavier than normal outflow of money from this stock. That means selling is rotation or distribution by Dark Pools.
Earnings Stock of the Day: ROKUI started monitoring this stock shortly after it IPO’d as it appeared frequently on the large lot pre market activity list as Dark Pools accumulated this IPO early on. Roku Inc. is in the Communications Services Sector under the Pay TV Industry. It is a new young public company challenging companies like NFLX with a new form of streaming video content for consumers. ROKU reports its earnings today after the market closes. It's stock chart shows it is now in the typical and expected IPO correction pattern. ROKU weekly chart shows it is finding support from the IPO correction that started late December of 2017.
PFG: Dark Pool Footprints Show Accumulation in a BottomAs a new generation starts families and buys homes, the growth in Life Insurance also booms. There are several life insurance companies forming bottoms right now and many are nearing completion for future position trading, intermediate term holds or even long term holds.
This chart has a specific footprint in the chart patterns that confirms the bottom has begun with accumulation from the Dark Pools. The bottom completion should be confirmed before entry for position-style to longer-term as it could easily retest its lows several more times while you are holding in the red waiting for the move up. Always, buy into strength.
The Gottcha ADBE TrendThe ADBE Trend is one that is often a “gottcha” for new swing traders. The problem is trading leadership. The runs are not initiated by Dark Pools or Pro Traders. The runs are initiated by smaller funds using VWAP or, worse, the retail crowd. The retail crowd is more emotional, has less experience and minimal training. Therefore, the runs they create are harder to trade. Try to avoid trading stocks that lack strong runs. Strive to trade with the Pro Traders, as the follow-through of the run is more reliable and the profits are usually much higher. This is not the ideal stock for swing trading at this time.
Martha Stokes, CMT