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Dasboot

BTC shows signs of Downward trend with truncated wave5Bitcoins price uptrend from its recent lows appears to be out of gas. This can be shown using the elliot wave theory on the recent impulse wave where BTC price has produced a truncated wave 5 A truncated fifth wave signals exhaustion in the prevailing trend and warns of an imminent reversal. This pattern demonstrates that buyers (in an uptrend) or sellers (in a downtrend) lack conviction to push prices to new extremes. Truncations precede significant corrections or reversals. The strength of Wave B (reaching higher than the truncated Wave 5) suggests significant countertrend momentum. This often occurs in flat corrections. Typically, C waves extend to specific Fibonacci levels: 100% of A wave - This would target approximately $78,500 1.618 of A wave - (common C wave extension) - This would target around $76,000-$77,000 2.618 × A wave - (extended C wave) - This could reach as low as $73,000-$74,000 This seems to coincide with what I've been saying these past 3 months that the 74k level needs to be reached and the liquidity that price wants to take advantage of will need to be confronted before BTC will be able to reach this market cycles ATH.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by dasBoot
Bottom Still Not in, Drop could hit low 70kBTC is falling due to markets and investor fear. The Bottom still hasn't travelled the length of the the FVG on the Weekly Chart that will be attractive to smart money and institutional investors When looking at the Historical Data it shows that the price had a pullback and found resistance at the Weekly 21 day RMA . Currently that looks like a point where Resistance once again will be established when combined with the FVG on the Weekly, Price will likely fall below and recover to hold the 21d RMA
INDEX:BTCUSD
by dasBoot
btc finds 200 ema support, whats next?As I have been posting in these "Ideas" for the past few weeks about market direction and where the price for BTC will go. It now has come to pass where the 200 EMA has been tested and support has been found, It however has not generated any relief among buyer sentiment unable to push price above the previous days close leaving the digital asset to continue to bleed out and cause positions from all the 93k Bulls to liquidate. Its a shame people cannot make the connection that the only way price can go higher is to go lower in a market. That Is why I am going to warn people about where we may go , I believe the 200 EMA will be tested again and if support is broken it will send is into the low 70k area where there are open orders and It is possible this may happen. The Bull market support band is the 200EMA however there may be institutional money that may drive us down to cause massive liquidations and fear and panic among those holding bags while greed causes big players to push more into the fringe of where we can maintain a recovery. Watch for a retest of the 200EMA . which is a bit of a fuzzy zone , use the high and low to denote the area for support as well as keep an eye on the RSI and CCI , we are also watching on balance volume drop off which is not a great sign that there is market confidence however this will play out over the weekly and the weekly candle will start to materialize in the next few days.
by dasBoot
1
$INDEX:BTCUSD Death Cross Potential - 200 EMA test imminent INDEX:BTCUSD BTC has been stagnant since the initial excitement over the political landscape got brought back to earth through the talk of steep tariffs by the US on imports from its main suppliers and trading partners. The DEEPSEEK bomb went off around the same time sending the big buyers to put a pause on accumulating crypto and we have seen the this translate into a very weary market. And Now because of investor insecurity smart money is waiting for the price to fall to take advantage of the fear that we are witnessing the end of the cycle and 20k btc is around the corner. No Such luck, however we do get a nice DEATH CROSS on the daily looking like weekend price movement is bound to see selling pressure that will drive the 20 EMA below the 50 EMA which will see bearish results in price and pressure to trend downwards Anyone reading my Posts knows that I've been eyeing the 200 EMA on the daily as a zone that we are bound to visit before the market can continue to increase and set higher highs. I've previously given my reasons why in previous posts ie. convergence, fvg, support. I believe this could be the pressure that will drive is into those mid to low 80k areas that seemed so far away a few weeks ago, low 70's are also in play if we can't hold the 200 EMA or the psychological 80k support . I believe that enough buyers are waiting down there for those fire sale prices that once we do hit the 200 EMA it will be paramount to assess market conditions before going full in on the bounce likely to take place around 84,500k the 200 EMA's relative area that ties into the liquidity in the FVG.
by dasBoot