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#202521 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: tl;dr covered it. I would be really surprised if we see 24000 again over the next days, if not months. If there is no 180° reversal from orange face next week, this is a de-facto embargo and we will see new lows over the summer. current market cycle: trading range and very broad bull channel on the weekly time frame key levels for next week: 22000 - 24000 bull case: My base assumption is that we have started a new bear trend on Friday and any pullback will be a lower high. The higher bulls can get it, the better and weaker the trend will be. On Friday they could not hit the 50% retracement and if bears are strong, market will not trade above 23750 for the next weeks/months. If bulls can get above it, their next target would be the breakout retest 23900. Above 24000 means I am wrong about my thesis and market is doing something else, which will likely be a trading range 23000 - 243000. Invalidation is below 22900. bear case: Last Sunday I only wanted to short this but bears did not do enough until then. Friday changed it and I am in full bear mode if Monday goes well for the bears. Clear invalidation above 24000 and if bulls do not get it, shorts with stop new ath are reasonable. Donald gave the gift to bears, now I want to see some carnage. Market held above the daily 20ema but likely only due to the climactic selling, bears happy for any profit for such a long time and algos buying the first touch of the ema. Next targets for bears are the obvious round number 23000 and then closing the big gap down to 22600 and yes, I absolutely think we can get there next week. Invalidation is above 24000. short term: Neutral until bears show me some follow-through and not letting the bulls out with anything above 23800/23900. We need a big open bear gap and then we can see some bull slaughter. medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
EUREX:FDXS1!Short
by priceactiontds
DAX GE40 on the Move! Bullish Trend Breakdown + Trade PlanI'm currently watching the GER40 / DAX 🇩🇪📈 and can see it’s been in a strong bullish trend on the weekly timeframe 🕒🔥. Price is pushing into new highs 🚀, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity based on this bullish momentum 💪. However, since we don’t have previous structure levels to work from 📉⛔, we're using the Fibonacci extension tool 🔢📐 — focusing on two key levels for potential take profit targets 🎯💰. In the video, we break all of this down — including the trend, price action, market structure, and the full trade idea 🧠📊: entry 🎯, stop loss 🛑, and targets 🎯✅. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by fxtraderanthony
DAX: 1H MA200 supporting the Channel Up. Target 24,400.DAX is on strong bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.780, MACD = 423.600, ADX = 73.133) maintaining a short term Channel Up. The last HL bottom was priced on the 1H MA200 on an oversold 1H RSI. Buy and target the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 24,400). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
2025-05-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Quick stuff. Daily new ath means bulls are doing more than bears so don’t look for shorts. Today’s selling was a start but we need a clean lower high before one can look for decent short setups. I think anything above 24300 would make me physically sick. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 - 24300 bull case: Sideways above 24000 is peak bullishness and as long as we stay above 23750, bulls are fine. Below we test down to the bull trend line which is not far below that and only below 23400 things are getting more spicy for bulls. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: I will spend more time in this section once we have a daily close below 23400. Before that, it’s most likely a pullback that bulls will buy. Odds are heavily against bears so don’t make your life tough. Long term shorts if you can hold through 24500 or higher are fine. Next 10-20% will be made to the downside, zero doubt about it. Only matter is timing. Invalidation is above 24300. short term: Neutral. Pullbacks will likely be good long opportunities until we see bigger selling pressure. Bulls in full control but I will not buy the highs. Nothing changed. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp. trade of the day: Buying the bear trap below yesterday’s low was amazing and so was short 24200. Both buying and selling pressure were so great that market did not run stops above or below the extremes.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
DAX H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe DAX (GER30) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 23,447.57 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 22,700.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 24,732.86 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:GER30Long
by Tradu
2025-05-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls finally got their retest and a higher high. Now is decision time. Can we do another leg up or is this a bull trap and we finally reverse for a deeper pullback over the next days? I heavily favor the latter but for now bears are nowhere to be seen and until then, looking for shorts is suicide. 24300 could be the potential next target if we continue in the bull channel on the 1h chart. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 - 24300 bull case: Bulls got 24000 and we are in a perfect channel upwards. Trade it until broken. I will only scalp this and if we break above this channel or go beyond 24300, it will be without me. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: I see the odds of this becoming a late bull trap greater than another leg up but so far, bears are doing nothing, so do not look for shorts. Only below 23700 is the current channel broken and we test 23600 next. Below that, 23400 would be next but we closed at the highs and thinking about anything below 23700 is senseless for now. Invalidation is above 24130. short term: Neutral. Pullbacks will likely be good long opportunities until we see bigger selling pressure. Bulls in full control but I will not buy the highs. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp. trade of the day: Buying Friday’s low at 23788 and hold at least for gap close. The move up was strong enough to continue to hold and market has printed 6 consecutive 1h bull bars.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge!🔥 Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge! 🔥 Europe’s elections just dropped a BOMB! 💣 Poland (May 18), Portugal (May 18), and Romania (May 4 & 18) rejected far-right surges, but the center’s crumbling. 🇪🇺 Poland’s pro-EU Trzaskowski barely leads—June 1 runoff could flip it! Portugal’s Chega is shaking the old guard, and Romania’s Nicușor Dan rides an anti-corruption wave. Why care? Political chaos = market volatility. 📉 EUR/USD is wobbling, DAX could tank, and defense stocks (🇺🇦 ties) are in play. 💡 Trade Idea: Overlay EUR/USD with election dates (May 4, May 18, June 1) to catch volatility spikes. ❓ What’s your move? Will Europe’s turmoil crash markets or spark a rally? Drop your take below! 👇
by DCAChampion
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: We are only about 300 points higher than the previous week but market printed the obvious big round number and Friday we had the retest, which did not quite get there but close is always close enough. We are seeing somewhat of an increase in selling pressure but it’s not enough. current market cycle: trading range and very broad bull channel on the weekly time frame key levels for next week: 23000 - 24000 bull case: Best for bulls would be to go sideways and not let market fall below 23400. That’s pretty much all I can come up with for the bulls. Can we go much above 24000? We can but I can not see it happening. If we go higher, it will be without me. I am only interested in seeing an increase in selling pressure and looking for a good short entry. I give bulls 2-3 more days in trying to print 24000 again and if they fail 1-2 more times, they will give up and we can test back down to 23000. It would still be the most bullish outcome if we continue to range between 23000 and 24000. Invalidation is below 22900. bear case: I only want to short this but bears are not doing enough for me to consider it. I hate being early because it correlates big time with being wrong. My line in the sand would be a daily close below 23000 and the daily 20ema. Until bears get that, odds heavily favor the bulls to buy any pullback. So for now, not much to do as a bear. For this year I still expect at least 20000 to get hit again. So if you would force me to give an answer, I would short this with a stop 24600 and wait until we hit 20000 again. If we go into a recession, I would likely hold for lower. Invalidation is above 24100. short term: Neutral. I wait for clear topping signals and more selling pressure. Long scalps against support if bulls want 24000. Same as last week. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks/months and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000. We most likely have not seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?” 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
Is DAX ready for a slight correction lower?We are watching the German XETR:DAX as it is currently struggling to go for a new all-time high. Can this be the moment for a deeper correction lower? Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:GERMANY40 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
XETR:DAX
by Marketscom
2025-05-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Higher highs and higher lows compared to Tuesday. We are in a triangle and market is refusing to print below 23500. I do think we will see a big move tomorrow. What I don’t think is that we will close Friday at an extreme. If we get to 24000 again, I am very inclined to look to fade it again. Can we close this week below 23000? I gighly doubt that as well. current market cycle: broad bull channel or trading range - doesn’t matter since you trade them the same key levels: 23000 - 24100 bull case: Bulls want 24000 again and I think 23500 is the place where they are happy to scale in. Bears will likely give up tomorrow, if we move above 23650 since they tried 3 times since Monday and market is refusing to go lower. I still think bulls will likely not get much more than 24000. Every time we are in a form of a triangle, I will not write much since market is in balance around it’s midpoint and you should not interpret more into it than it is. We are in a clear bull trend and this sideways correction is better for bulls than bears, since sideways is acceptance and it means bears are not making much money. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: Bears can not expect 23500 to break all of a sudden tomorrow. If anything, most have to cover if we go above 23650 because we could do 23750 or higher. I don’t have much for the bears. If they somehow break below 23440, it would open up the possibility of 23000 but for now it’s very unlikely. Invalidation is above 24100. short term: Neutral but rather looking for longs than shorts. Clear support 23500 and everyone expects at least a double top or more. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp. trade of the day: Shorting above 23700 has been profitable all week but I expect it to fail either tomorrow or Friday. Market poked enough at it, that the chance of a breakout above is too big for me to continue to fade against that price.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
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NASDAQ:CELSLong
by CassianDrake
2
DAX H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The DAX (GER30) is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 23,447.57 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 22,700.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 24,732.86 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:GER30Long
by Tradu
1
2025-05-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: If you are a bull and longed anything last week and market hit your 24000 target today, you either took profits at the top and were happy about it or you watched them burn. Now what should we expect when the market hits 24000 the next time? Will bulls willingly hold through another pullback, knowing that it could be 500+ points deep again? I highly doubt that. Usually markets reach their targets and spend more time there or overshoot some to run more stops. Today we did not see any of that, which makes me think this could very well be the exhaustive end of the move → exhaustion gap. current market cycle: broad bull channel or trading range - doesn’t matter since you trade them the same key levels: 22000 - 24100 bull case: Bulls need to find acceptance above 23700 and go sideways here. Another strong move below 23500 would mean the bull trend line is broken for good and market could test lower in search of bigger support. I don’t have any targets above 24000 for the bulls and since the pullback was that deep, I am having a hard time believing we could do anything much higher than 24100. With today’s price action, I expect bulls to retest 24000 and maybe some, just to run stops but I do think most bulls will take profits there and bears will short it aggressively again, since it was so profitable today. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: Bears did good in closing the gap down to 23588, making this an exhaustion gap. They will likely short again above 23800 since it has been profitable all day. Only a very strong move above 24100+ would force more bears to cover and we could accelerate up. Therefor sideways 23000 - 24000 is my expect price action for this week. Could bears push it down further because we have Opex? No idea and you should never try to ask why markets are doing something because you will never know the answer. Below 23400 I expect 23000 to come fast. Invalidation is above 24100. short term: Neutral. 23000 - 24000 is the range I see for the next days or even weeks, until we get better selling pressure. Trade the bull channel until it’s clearly broken. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp. trade of the day: Long Globex open was the obvious trade but shorting 24000 was the even better one. I did not think the short was obvious and I took too long to realize it’s strength and then my risk was bigger than I was comfortable with, so I let it go down without me. I caught another long afterwards for 120+ points.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: Bull targets are met and we have 4 legs up. 5 even if you count the spikes at the lows. We can do higher but what are the odds? Market is overdue for correction again and given that we easily could do -20% from here, it will be a tough summer. Technically it’s still just bullish but I would not buy up here. Macro-schmackro-wise it’s reasonable to assume that most companies with any US/CN business are worse off than they were before “liberation day”. So my take on this is still a house of cards ready to be blown away by the next small breeze. current market cycle: trading range key levels for next week: 22600 - 24000 bull case: 5 Consecutive bull weeks now. If you buy into this at the high, only God may help you. 24000 is the obvious target and it’s a coin flip if bulls can get it. What would make me turn bull? Nothing. Even if bulls print 24400, I would expect it to crash down in less than 2 weeks. Invalidation is below 22900. bear case: Two very small pullbacks last week and bulls bought it. Market is refusing to go down and we are still making higher highs. Nothing for the bears here until bulls are clearly exhausted and want out. Market turns more neutral with a daily close below 23000 and I think bearish only below 22600. Invalidation is above 24100. short term: Neutral. I wait for clear topping signals and more selling pressure. Long scalps against support if bulls want 24000. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
2025-05-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Triangle as in other markets, will likely do a strong move tomorrow or Friday. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 24000 bull case: Bulls see this as a shallow/sideways pullback at the highs and want continuation for a new ath. They are trading far above the daily 20ema and the volume is picking up again. Yesterday bulls bought a big pullback but failed to make higher highs today, so they are likely disappointed. I don’t think many bulls want to stay long when we fail to make higher highs but rather wait for another pullback. So either they get the new ath tomorrow, or risk of running stops below 22979 increases. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: Bears tried two times now to push the market lower and failed. If we make higher highs again, they will most likely give up and wait to see how high this can go before they short again. Only below 22979 will bears do some damage to the bull case and we could maybe see an acceleration down. For now bears are to weak to print lower lows but bulls are also weak, which is the reason why we printed a triangle. Probably best to do nothing and wait for the strong next move. Invalidation is above 23550. short term: Neutral. Below 23000 I favor the bears and above 23400 we are likly going for 23550 and if that won’t hold, we could do 24000. Markets keep ignoring bad news, so the path of least resistance is likely still up but it’s a guess and nothing you should trade on. Trade whats in front of you and not what you think the market should do. Right now it’s in a tight range waiting for the next impulse. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is over. My rough guess for now is that we will stay inside this trading range 19000 - 24000 for much longer or until economic data becomes the excrementshow I expect it to become over the next months. trade of the day: Shorting EU open and holding for 23200, which was around prior support.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
DAX at a Crossroads: Will Resistance Trigger a Pullback?The German 40 (DAX) has been on a strong bullish run, now trading into a key resistance zone near previous range highs. This area is likely packed with liquidity (buy stops), making it a potential turning point. Given the overextended price action and current fundamentals, a retracement is likely as profit-taking and stop orders trigger. While sentiment has been bullish, caution is warranted at these levels. I am expecting a pullback before any further upside. Not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:GER40
by fxtraderanthony