DAX H4 | Heading into a swing-high resistanceThe DAX (GER30) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 24,643.74 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 24,867.52 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 24,308.60 which is a pullbacl support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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DAX Index
DAX: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 24,219.59 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 24,099.27.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
2025-07-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears had two legs down and the reversal from 24000 was strong enough to doubt this can go below 24000. I do expect some form of re-test of 24000 but the buying since then was insane again. Not a single 1h bar dropped below the prior one.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 24000 - 24600
bull case: Bulls next target is the breakout re-test of 24271 and if they can break above, the next target is today’s high at 24364. Above is likely no more resistance until 24450 or 24500. A print above 24271 would confirm the trading range and conclude the selling for now. This looks more like a two-legged move in a bigger trading range than stronger selling.
Invalidation is below 24350.
bear case: Bears need to keep it below the breakout price and re-test 24000. If they can leave an open gap, that would be great. Best would be to go sideways and stay below 24100 then but for now I have no trust in the bears.
Invalidation is above 24271.
short term: Neutral. No trust in bears but it would be great if we would stay below 23271 and test 24000 again. Daily close below 24000 would be a dream for bears. Above 24271 I would probably look for longs and higher prices again.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
trade of the day: Selling EU open, no bigger resistance and only red bars on the 1h chart.
Before GER40 Roars, It WhispersHey guys👋
Here’s the latest GER40 analysis I’ve prepared for you:
🔻 If the **24,179** support level breaks, the next target is **23,972**.
🔺 If the **24,373** resistance level breaks, the next target is **24,511**.
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DAX H4 | Multi-swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe DAX (GER30) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 23,998.51 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 23,715.45 which is a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 24,467.38 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#202529 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Prior weeks close was 24332 and this was it was 24386. Bulls need to continue with higher lows and bears need to break below 24000 for lower prices. Not more magic to.
current market cycle: bull wedge
key levels for next week: 24000 - 25000
bull case: Bulls are still in control until we print lower lows again. We have 2 potential bull trend lines close to the daily ema and that’s around 24200 and will be my line in the sand for bulls next week. Below, chances of 24000 go up big time. If we stay above 24300, there is no reason we can not test back up to 24500 and above that we will likely try 24700+ again.
Invalidation is below 24000
bear case: Bears need a lower low below 24000. That’s really all there is to it. As of now the selling on Friday was decent but it’s not enough to expect follow-through selling. Below 24000 I think we can test the 50% retracement at 23900 but I’d be surprised if we go lower. Only an event could trigger that. Lower targets would be as marked on the chart.
Invalidation is above 24749
short term: Neutral. I want follow-through selling but will likely won’t get it. It’s still a bull wedge until we have a daily close below 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000.
Dax Breaks Higher to keep the bullish toneDax has moved back above the 24245-24295 zone impulsively and we retain the overall bullish tone
Retests of this area can provide an opportunity to get long
Stops need to be below 24170
Targets can be back towards 24400 and even hold a runner back to the All time highs
2025-07-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Selling down from 24400 to 24300 on high volume and the bears just gave up and market showed where it really wants to go. Almost without resistance we just grinded higher for 24500. No more obvious resistance until ath.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 24000 - 25000
bull case: Bulls want to leave the big gap open down to 24350 and go higher from here. 24750 is the obvious target but if bulls want it, there is no reason we can not print 25000. Any pullback should stay above 24350 or this rally is over again. Will be looking for longs against 1h 20ema tomorrow, unless bears clearly took over.
Invalidation is below 24350.
bear case: Bears tried down to 24275 but failed at the 1h 20ema and I doubt many will try to keep this a lower high below 24750. Bears have absolutely nothing once again. Nothing bearish about this on any time frame.
Invalidation is above 25100.
short term: Bullish. What could stop this? Only If they fire Jpow tomorrow but I doubt they will do it before markets close. Can only expect higher prices but I would not hold anything over the weekend. Make no mistake, if orange face fires Jpow, bonds will go apefeces and stonkz as well.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
trade of the day: Long 24300 because Globex low was 24242 and market clearly found no acceptance below the 1h 20ema.
DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,193.45 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,258.97 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
2025-07-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Very important day tomorrow. If we trade below 24000, this means we saw leg 1 from 24749 down to 24100 and leg 2 could lead us to 23500 or lower. Until we have clearly broken below 24000, I remain neutral but hopeful we can finally go lower again.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 23000 - 24750
bull case: Bulls need to stay above 24000 or risk a sell-off down to 23700ish. No matter how you try to draw the bull trend lines, they are all broken now but bears need lower lows below 23690 to confirm it. Daily ema is around 24100 and it has been support for 3 weeks and that is the reason I remain neutral for now.
Invalidation is below 24270.
bear case: Bears need to break below the daily ema and close below. Only then can we go lower. It’s good for the bears that they printed a lower high below 24400 but we are still too high for bulls to give up on BTFD.
Invalidation is above 24400.
short term: Neutral. If we stay below 24400, we have a shot at breaking down but 24000ish is support until proven otherwise. The selling today was not strong and the chart is rather neutral. Bears have only set up a potential structure which could break down but you have to wait for confirmation before betting on it.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
trade of the day: Scalping between 24250 - 24300 which was clear support & resistance for 4h after EU open. The bear breakdown was a surprise and not obvious to trade.
#202528 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Third leg up is done and now it’s all about how long do we need for a lower low below 23680 again. For now I don’t know since we have another risk-off news but of them were bought the past 3 months, so I remain skeptical. Too early for shorts but I think longs near 24000 are likely good for a bounce to either retest 24749 or print a lower high.
current market cycle: bull wedge
key levels for next week: 23000 - 24800
bull case: Bulls want to continue sideways to up and trap all eager bears again who think that 30% tariffs between the US-EU are bad. Those poor souls. Markets can only go up.
Invalidation is below 23680
bear case: Bears need a lower low below 23680. That’s all there is to it. No idea how fast and if we get there but shorts before are most likely a gamble, since literally every dip since April has been bought and especially every Sunday Globex gap down became a giant trap. I do think 24749 is a perfect double top with the prior ath from June and we can go down from here but until we have a daily close below 23680, I am not eager to run into another bear trap.
Invalidation is above 24749
short term: Neutral. Tariff news are bad but they are not in-effect, so could be that we see another bear trap. I don’t know and I won’t pretend otherwise. Sitting on hands.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000.
2025-07-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: 50% retracement of the last bull leg is pretty much exactly 24530 and low of the day was 24531. Could always be a coincidence eh. Bull gap still open to 24383, so do not look for shorts. I doubt we will go red into the weekend unless we get bad news. Technically we could pull back to the bull trend line 24200ish but I can not, for the life of me, see that happening tomorrow.
current market cycle: trading range - bull trend on the 1h tf
key levels: 24300 - 25000
bull case: Bulls want 25000 now. They are correcting sideways, which is as bullish as it gets. Even if bears close the gap to 24383, I would still expect another push for 24700+ with at least a lower high. Bulls remain in full control.
Invalidation is below 24270.
bear case: Bears likely not doing much but rather bulls taking profits. It was a slow grind lower on low volume. I would not expect follow-through selling tomorrow. Bears still have nothing until we see lower lows again.
Invalidation is above 25100.
short term: Neutral. Bulls remain in control but the spike phase is over and we are trading below the 1h ema, which means the trend is getting weaker. We could pull back further or stop at the 50% retracement and leave the gap open. No bigger interest in guessing what it’s gonna be, so I sit on hands.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
trade of the day: Tough to short this and hold tbh. Not really obvious today, so no trade of the day from me.
DAX (Ger40): Defying Global TensionsDespite all this tariff drama, the DAX hit another record high. What gives? Markets seem to be betting that Trump enjoys the threat of tariffs more than the implementation. Some traders are pricing in yet another extension beyond the August 1 deadline.
The DAX is riding momentum from both global AI enthusiasm, thanks to Nvidia’s $4 trillion market cap milestone, and the assumption that European exporters might dodge the worst of Trump’s trade penalties, at least for now. However, this rally is precarious. If a tariff letter hits Brussels, or copper tariffs ripple into industrial demand expectations, we could see a swift correction.
Technically, near term resistance is sitting around. 24,700. However as stated, should sentiment change. A correction back down, to the support level at 24,200, which also aligns with the 50 Fibonacci retracement level, could be on the cards. Or even all the way down to 23,800, aligning with the 88% Fibonacci level.
DAX flirts with ATHs againAfter breaking out of the triangle formation a couple of days ago, the DAX is now flirting with the previous record hit in early June at 24490. With Trump's tariffs uncertainty at the forefront again, there is a possibility we could potentially see a double top or a false break reversal formation here, so do watch out for that. However, we will continue to focus on the long side until we see an actual, confirmed, reversal. With that in mind, dip-buying remains the preferred trading strategy.
Key support levels to watch:
24,278, marking yesterday's high
24,176, broken resistance from last week
23,927, the base of this week's breakout
The technical picture would turn bearish in the event we go back below the support trend of the triangle pattern.
In terms of upside targets,
24,750, marking the 127.2% Fib extension of the big drop from March
24,890, marking the 127.2% Fib extension of the most recent drop from June high
25,000, the next big psychological level
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
2025-07-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Not many times a month where the chart is as clear as this one. Every pattern can fail but you have to take these setups because they work more than they fail. Market is clearly refusing to go down, so don’t try to short it yet.
current market cycle: trading range - bull trend on the 1h tf
key levels: 23600 - 24700
bull case: Bulls want a retest of 24500+ and today they got a clear breakout above the prior high and stayed there. They have all the arguments on their side to test the ath. Only thing they could stop this is a news event.
Invalidation is below 23860.
bear case: Bears kinda gave up. Channel is tight and looking for shorts in these channels is not a good strategy. Above 24400 bears have to cover again since the obvious target is 24500+. Bears basically have nothing here. No matter what you think of we where should trade.
Invalidation is above 24400.
short term: Can only be bullish. Any long has stop 24170
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
trade of the day: Buying any pullback was good. Most obvious one was the double bottom on EU open, right at the 1h 20ema.
DAX: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 24,193.11 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Make German Index Great Again? DAX Moves in Silence While the World Screams 📊⚡
It’s loud out there — tariffs flying, currencies shifting, old alliances shaking.
We’ve got Trump hinting at tariffs against U.S. allies and China, the Euro flexing, the dollar facing devaluation talk, and a tangled mess of energy politics with Russia and Germany in the middle. All of this creates layers of macro uncertainty…
But in the middle of all that chaos?
📈 The chart speaks. And it’s speaking clearly.
🎯 What We’re Watching
On the 8H and 30M chart, DAX has printed a beautiful technical structure. And regardless of how things unfold on the political stage, the price action is offering us a clean framework.
🔹 Key S/R at 20,552
We are hovering around this pivotal level. Above it? Bulls regain control. Below it? Things get choppy, fast.
🔹 Main Support: 18,896
This is the level to hold. It’s structurally valid and tested. A break below here triggers the deeper scenario.
🔹 Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (60%) — If 20,552 holds, DAX can re-ignite a rally toward:
22,248: interim resistance
23,870: all-time high zone
28,035: macro extension target
Bearish Case (40%) — If the key level is lost and we fall through 18,896, look out below:
16,978 minor support
14,408 becomes the "bad scenario" support
🔄 So… What Now?
We're not fortune tellers, and this isn't about guessing what the next political headline will be. We don’t need to understand the full implications of the euro/dollar dynamic or predict whether Germany will pivot on energy policy.
This is about the chart. Period.
📌 Above 20,552? I’m long toward 22K+
📌 Below it? I prepare for the slide
⚠️ Key decision zone right now. Market structure is everything.
Don’t get caught up in macro debates. The world may be unstable — but price action remains our anchor.
Trade the level, not the noise.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Quick take on DAXTariffs, no tariffs, tariffs, no tariffs... Let's look at the technical picture...
XETR:DAX
MARKETSCOM:GERMANY40
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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#202527 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral. Clear triangle on the daily chart and mid point is 23850. Week closed at 23900. Market is in balance and I think it’s completely 50/50 for both sides where the breakout will happen. Given the tariff shit show, I would wait for it to happen and be flat until then. If they apply 10%+ tariffs on EU imports, we go down, if they postpone, we rally further. I trade only technicals but this is one of the few moments per year where news will completely determine where the markets will breakout out next.
Big if. If orange face does another TACO move, momentum is strong enough for markets to keep going and squeeze further. We need a very strong daily bear bar to kill it.
current market cycle: trading range - triangle
key levels for next week: 23500 - 24300 (above 24300, 500 comes into play and also likely 600+)
bull case: Bulls made a higher low but barely. This is a bad looking bull trend from the 23061 low and market is currently in breakout mode to decide where we go next. The 24283 high is a reasonable high to turn lower but as longs as bulls stay above 23600, there is a chance of this doing another try at 23300 and above the ugly bull channel is confirmed and higher prices are likely.
Invalidation is below 23500
bear case: Bears keeping it below 24000 is good but they are not doing enough or we would have made lower lows below 23600. Everything depends on the US-EU tariffs over the next days. Technically all bullish targets are met and the 24283 was high enough to qualify as a re-test. Market is free to go down again, it just needs a catalyst.
Invalidation is above 24300
short term: Neutral. I won’t gamble on the trade talk outcome but I am much more eager to sell this on bad news than to buy it on not-too-bad news.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000.
2025-07-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: On my weekly chart I think this W4 was too deep to be part of a strong bull trend. 24000 is a decent spot to go sideways rather than up but above 24100 means I’m likely wrong and bears could give up for 24500+. I would not look for shorts until we see better selling pressure again. The Globex spike from 23681 to 23963 was beyond weird. It’s a bull wedge but will likely break out sideways in Globex session. 50/50 for both sides I think.
current market cycle: unclear. bull trend could continue but trading range is most likely
key levels: 23600 - 24500
bull case: Bulls want a retest of 24500+ but they find no buyers around 24000. They tried so many times to print 24000 and today they finally did it again but they would need to stay above 23900 and go sideways until bears give up. Markets can poke at a price long enough until one sides gives up.
Invalidation is below 23860.
bear case: Bears need lower lows again and if they can get below 23860, many bulls could cover in fear of a bigger pullback down to 23700. As of now bears have zero arguments since we only made higher lows since Globex low but we are also barely making higher highs and if we do, they have tails above.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Completely neutral. Can go both way. US markets are overbought and once the profit taking starts, Dax won’t hold up either. Not much interest in guessing which way we go from 24000. Best to sit on hands and wait for a clear and strong signal.
medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000
trade of the day: Longs since the giant Globex bull spike but had to have wide stops and scale in. Not an easy day.
DAX H4 | Heading into a swing-high resistanceThe DAX (GER30) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 24,104.89 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 24,380.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 23,714.12 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 23,758.99 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 23,821.90.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️