2025-02-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Gap is still open but bulls making higher lows. Can go both ways tomorrow and it will probably be another news-driven impulse. 50% retracement is 21560 on my chart and we are close to it, so don’t try to be clever and think you know which way the breakout will happen. Odds are even. Wait for it an hop along.
current market cycle: bull trend until we get a daily close below 21600.
key levels: 21000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls making higher lows but failed to close the gap. I don’t think we have seen strong selling at 21600 but since we have not moved down either, bulls chances of a breakout are as good as those for the bears. Bull targets are 21650, then 21755 and finally 22000.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: I won’t make stuff up here. below 21550 bears are favored again but for now they are obviously not doing enough. First target is 21500 and then 21400. If 400 won’t hold, we quickly move down to 21200 again.
Invalidation is above 21600.
short term: Bullish above 21600 for 700/800. If we break below 21450, we will likely test 400 and then if bears are strong, below 21370 we go for 21200 again. Most likely is a continuation sideways between 21370 - 21550.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom 21400. Big bars with huge tails below at a big round number. Just buy it.
DAX Index
German DAX Holding Strong Above SupportChart Analysis:
The DAX Index continues its bullish trajectory, maintaining a steady uptrend with prices hovering near recent highs. Despite a minor pullback, the overall trend remains intact, supported by key technical levels.
1️⃣ Uptrend Intact with Rising Support:
The trendline (blue) continues to provide dynamic support.
A shallow retracement suggests buyers remain in control.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Support:
50-day SMA (blue): 20,368.88, providing a reliable support zone.
200-day SMA (red): 19,066.15, reinforcing the long-term bullish bias.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Reflect Strength:
RSI: At 67.70, showing strong momentum but approaching overbought levels.
MACD: Trending higher, confirming continued upside momentum.
What to Watch:
A sustained move above 21,500 could trigger further upside toward 22,000+.
A break below the trendline or the 50-day SMA could signal deeper consolidation before another leg higher.
RSI nearing overbought conditions suggests traders should watch for potential short-term pullbacks.
The DAX Index remains bullish, with rising moving averages and trendline support reinforcing the momentum. Traders should monitor price action near key support levels for potential buying opportunities.
-MW
Decoding German DAX: Crucial Levels and Emerging PatternsFX:GER30
Current Market Overview
Explore the latest insights into the German DAX index with a focus on pivotal support, resistance levels, and potential trading patterns.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support at €21,105: This level acts as a critical neckline for a potential Head and Shoulders pattern formation. We should watch closely for any breaks below this level, as it could signal further downside movement.
Resistance at €21,557: A new resistance level has formed close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This resistance may contribute to forming the right shoulder of a reversal pattern.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a key technical formation to watch for:
Formation Details: If the DAX breaks below the neckline/support at €21,105, it could confirm the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern.
Target Projection: A break below the neckline suggests a potential downside target around €20,452. This level aligns with the weekly fractal resistance previously breached at €20,529, which could act as support.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
2025-02-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Huge gap down and bulls tried their best in making this an endless pull-back. Bears defended the gap to 21800 and even the Globex gap to 21700. As long as that stays open, bears can dream of a second leg down or at least retesting the lows.
current market cycle: bull trend until we get a daily close below 21600.
key levels: 21000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls bought the lows and closed the day 200 points higher. We have a clear bull wedge/channel up and as long as we don’t break below support, bulls can have an endless pull-back and move higher. Problem for them is that they were to weak to close the gap to 21700/800. Bulls now need to stay above 21450 and continue higher. If they poke couple more times at 21550, it will likely break and we move quickly higher. Bulls are not favored though.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears kept the gap open, Hooray. They need to break below 21450 and the bull wedge. Targets below are today’s open price 21398 and then 21200. My daily chart has a third bear target at 21080 and xetra closed 21428. The daily 20ema is there and a big open bull gap. Futures came very close to it, so it’s possible that this was all the bears get for now.
Invalidation is above 21600.
short term: Bullish above 21600 for 700/800. If we break below 21450, we will likely test 400 and then if bears are strong, below 21370 we go for 21200 again. Most likely is a continuation sideways between 21370 - 21550.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying 21400 was decent for many scalps.
DAX H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementDAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,514.06 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 21,855.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the al-time high.
Take profit is at 20,950.00 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#202505 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bear mode was good last Monday but that was about it for the bears. Every day market left behind a bullish gap, mostly without closing it. This is overdone, overbought, climactic and a parabolic rally which is always unsustainable. Still those facts do not help anyone shorting this. I am continuing with my plan to scale shorts with stop 22300.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last week, market needs to take a breather or will outright crumble again)
key levels: 20500 - 21800
bull case: Bulls are still in full control. The bull channel continues until clearly broken. Bulls now only have the most obvious target left with 22000. There is no reason for bulls to not expect this to go to at least 22000 now. Bears are absolutely doing nothing and we have only 1 bar going the low of the previous day. This is as climactic as it gets but it can go further.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears got a big gap down on Monday and bulls just bought it relentlessly again. Tough times to be a bear. New US - EU tariffs are around the corner and this could be the trigger to finally see some bigger profit taking and the bear awakening. Technically as long as the bull channel holds, bears got nothing. First target next week is closing gaps below. It would be amazing if bear get down to 21400 fast, then 21000 is possible next week.
Invalidation is above 22300.
short term: Neutral until we break below 21400.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full fucking bear mode.
current swing trade: Scaling in and out of shorts with stop 22300.
chart update: Adjusted medium term bear leg down to 20800/21000.
DAX H4 | Pullback support at 38.2% Fib retracementDAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,514.06 which is a pullback support that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,080.00 which is a level that sits under swing-low support.
Take profit is at 22,033.93 which is a level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
2025-01-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Not much news. Trade the bull channel until broken. I won’t try to pick the top again.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 21400 - 22000
bull case: Bulls next targets are 21800, 900 and the next big number 22000. We are in a clear bull channel and bulls are in full control. Longs closer to the 1h 20ema are printing, so trade them until they stop working.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears doing absolutely nothing right now. Below 20400 we would have clearly broken out of the channel and best bears could hope for then is sideways to down movement to 21200. For now I don’t think you should even thinking about shorting any of this.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Bullish on pull-backs and target 21800 and then 22000. Still only scalps though.
medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buy anywhere.
2025-01-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears fumbled again, who could have known. Can’t hold the full bear mode when seeing this price action. Weak wedge rally up to ath now with decent sell spikes in between. Don’t try to pick the top. Let the market show you clearly it wants to go down again, like it did on Friday. Until then, long pull-backs because market is just going up.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 21300 - 22000
bull case: Bulls want a new ath and print 21700. If bears step aside enough, we could actually get to 22000. The bull wedge is the pattern to trade until clearly broken. I doubt bulls will let this drop below 21500 before we see 21700. My second target is 21800 and last one is the obvious 22000. No idea where this might turn again but for now you should not think about bigger shorts.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears sold new highs but that’s about it. The bull wedge is broad enough for both sides to make money. Will we see bigger selling above 21600 tomorrow? I doubt it. Bears can only really think about bigger shorts if we break below 21500. If you have too many bearish thoughts, just look for more time at the daily dax xetra chart. Should go away then.
Invalidation is above 21700.
short term: Bullish on pull-backs and target 21700 or higher. Only scalps though. I still think this will crash at least 20% over the next months but for now I am not willing to risk being wrong about the top and having to scale in 500-1000 points higher.
medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying any dip or selling any new high. Sounds way easier than done but that’s what happened today. Market respect the trend lines perfectly. Show those charts to people who say technical analysis is whatever.
2025-01-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Perfect selling down to 21200 but the pull-back is tough for bears. Futures would need to immediately sell-off from 21500 to keep the bear case alive but above 21520 we print a new ath and maybe some more. Only below 21400 one can be bearish again.
current market cycle: bull trend but could have ended today. market needs to print a lower high around 21500 and sell-off hard again.
key levels: 21000 - 21700
bull case: Bulls prevented a really bad day and closed the gap at least in the US session. Very important day tomorrow. Ff they can keep it above 21400, we could see more upside but I doubt it will get much beyond 21644 if we get there at all. On the daily tf it looks like a perfect retest of the bull trend line we broke above last Wednesday.
Invalidation is below 21000.
bear case: Bears have to keep this below 21500 or we see more upside. RTH close was 21392 and futures open has to be bearish af to keep the bear case alive. Got nothing more for the bears here. Either continue to the downside now or we will stay at the highs for longer and likely make new ones.
Invalidation is above 21500.
short term: Neutral. Need to see futures open and if bears can keep it below 21500. Bullish above and bearish only below 21400.
medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Selling before EU open or buying EU open. The open was neutral enough to not short the hole and longs were fine once we strongly broke above 21300.
DAX to turnaround?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Short term momentum is bearish.
Short term oscillators have turned negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
A break of the recent low at 21166 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We look to Sell at 21249 (stop at 21351)
Our profit targets will be 20961 and 20881
Resistance: 21250 / 21370 / 21531
Support: 21166 / 21100 / 20950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX - Bullseye! Next Act: The Decline?Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself…
The German Dax has reached it's Centerline.
It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it.
Whenever this happens, we the Market
a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this case the Lower-Medianline-Parallel.
or
b) trades through it, most of the time comes back to it, and continues in the origianl direction, which in this case would be up.
To me, this is the time to watch the DAX more closely. If you are a follower, you now that I have a Bias - which is not always helpful in my trading.
But yes, I tend to lean to the short side. Specially in these over hyped, over invested times.
So I stalk a short, but in the same time be open for a long after a confirmation on the daily time-frame.
Let's see, let's be patient and don't listen to your gardener... 🌱👨🌾 🌿👩🌾
DAX Short 4HGood morning, TradingView friends!
I’m excited to share my latest market forecast with you. This setup uses Fibonacci and psychological levels as our key indicators.
First up, we’re looking at the 21,405 level. It's an important Fibonacci point, and I believe the price will bounce back here, heading towards the trend line. Next, I expect the ascending trend line to hold strong, guiding the price to a crucial psychological and Fibonacci level at 21,500. From there, we might see a 4-hour and daily correction.
For confirming these moves, keep an eye on the lower time frames. A good sign to watch for is an M-pattern with a Lower High on the second leg.
Can't wait to hear your thoughts and keep the conversation going!
#202504 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: By full bear mode I don’t mean you just short 21394 and hope for the best. You wait for selling pressure first. Friday we got some decent selling pressure to the 1h 20ema which held since Tuesday. I expect another leg up first before we break below 21300. We have left behind 4 consecutive bull gaps and on Friday we saw the first one close immediately. This buying was as climactic and unsustainable as it get’s and having those this late in a trend is more often the end than the beginning of a new leg up. Can this go to 22000 before it goes to 20000 again? 10% if you ask me but that’s just a guess and as good as anyone’s.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last week, market needs to take a breather or will outright crumble again)
key levels: 20500 - 21800
bull case: Bulls are in full control. This has not changed since the big breakout on Wednesday. They are still trading above the 1h and higher tf 20ema and until we break below, they remain in full control. Problem for the bulls is the climactic unsustainable nature of the move, very late in a trend. Everyone know’s it’s a suckers rally/short squeeze but that does never matter and they can just continue higher. We could easily test down to 20500 with a quick 1-3 day move, so bulls need to think about taking profits. Many will exit when market begins to stall because the up move was basically down above the 1h 20ema and once we break below, that premise is gone and I doubt many want to risk 500 points in hope to print 22000.
Invalidation is below 20500.
bear case: Bears know that the dax has not been this expensive for 25 years and want blood. The odds are decent that we go down at least 2000 points over the next weeks and bigger bears begin to scale into shorts at this high because the market broke above 2 bullish patterns and the odds of that happening this late in a trend are low. Bears finally closed a gap and now they need follow-through below the 1h 20ema. First target is to retest the high of the previous gap 21162 and see if bulls want to defend it. There is also the 4h 20ema around that price and those will be 2 big magnets early next week. My preferred path forward would be a very quick move down to 20500 to retest the breakout price and the bull trend line. There I expect buyers to come around big time.
Invalidation is above 22200.
short term: Neutral if we stay above the 1h ema. Once below, I want to see 21162 and then 21000. If we stay above, I will long scalp for 21500 and maybe 21600 and will look for shorts there.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode.
current swing trade: Soon.
chart update: Marked new targets for both sides.
EUR/GBP: PAT + VPA 11/2/2024Good morning,
I will be closely observing the EUR/GBP currency pair on a daily basis, as I expect a bullish pullback or reversal to materialize in the forthcoming weeks.
- 1W / Weekly Analysis: The market has recently dipped to a low of 0.839, with current support established at 0.832. The price has tested the 0.832 level multiple times without breaching it, suggesting a diminished appetite for selling at this juncture. Additionally, the presence of significant wicks accompanied by relatively smaller bodies may indicate a potential selling climax.
- 1D / Daily Analysis: The daily time frame reveals the formation of a double bottom pattern at the weekly support level of 0.0832. Presently, the price is retesting the recent swing high of 0.84, which represents the latest peak. The price has demonstrated its capacity to remain above the 0.84 threshold, and I anticipate a continued upward movement towards 0.846 in the upcoming weeks.
OANDA:EURGBP
XETR:DAX
TVC:BXY
ThePipAssassin
2025-01-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bull channel continues and we are at the top again. At this point it’s possible this spikes above the channel to print 22k. Wild to live through this tbh. 21700 likely next, bears need something below 21500 and then 21380. It’s beyond climactic and overbought.
current market cycle: bull trend - blow-off top
key levels: 21200 - 21700
bull case: Bulls are in full control. No one know’s where it stops. Look for longs. Nothing new to report. Channel is holding and we are just moving higher without much resistance. Nothing changed. Again.
Invalidation is below 21300.
bear case: Bears need to start closing the gaps. This also has not changed. The bullish channel lives and until we break out of it, there isn’t much to analyse. All of my bullish targets are met and this looks just like the climactic end but who know’s where it will stop… Bears have nothing to think about here. Way too early for any short.
Invalidation is above 21700.
short term: Bullish until bears do more. Trade the channel.
medium-long term from 2024-01-23: Market hit 21600 and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again. I won’t be picking tops again. I just wait now.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying near the 1h 20ema as mentioned the last couple of days.
DAX 40 Remains in Strong Overbought ZoneThe German index has recorded eight consecutive sessions of gains, appreciating more than 5% in the short term. The price level of 21,400 points now stands as the all-time high barrier for the current long-term bullish trend.
Strong Trend:
The bullish momentum that emerged after the significant drop in August 2024 has been key to the continuation of the long-term uptrend. However, the accelerated pace of buying in the short term could lead to bearish corrections in the coming sessions.
RSI:
The RSI indicator shows an impressively bullish slope, currently displaying readings of 83 —well above the overbought level of 70. The current event in the DAX price indicates that recent movements have created an imbalance in bullish and bearish forces, which could trigger early bearish corrections as the price continues to advance.
Key Levels:
21,400 points: Positioned as the new resistance zone at the latest all-time high. Consistent buying pressure is necessary to maintain the bullish bias currently observed in the index.
20,300 points: The nearest support level on the chart and a potential area for bearish corrections in the short term. If the price drops below this level, sustained bearish pressure on the DAX could return.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
DAX Trade Recap!Sniped a perfect entry using the WiseOwl Indicator and caught the bullish momentum at just the right time. 🔥
Current Status: Floating at +9RR 🚀
Took 50% partials and holding the rest for much higher targets.
The structure was clear and bullish, making this setup a no-brainer.
Momentum is still strong—let’s see how far this one can run!
How did your week of trading go? Let me know in the comments! 💬
2025-01-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bull channel/expanding triangle, doesn’t matter. Trade it until clearly broken. No one knows how high this can go and I said, until we clearly see consecutive big bear bars, bulls are in full control and you should look for longs instead of shorts. Market is beyond overvalued and overbought but that does not matter for now.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 21000 - 21500
bull case: Bulls are in full control. No one know’s where it stops. Look for longs. Bears have spikes and that’s it. Bulls are buying everything and just melting this higher.
Invalidation is below 21000.
bear case: You can not start looking for shorts until bears have closed a 1h bar below 21000. This is probably true for most traders. Are you 1 in a million and can make money trading both sides on this? Good for you but for the rest of us, we better come with easy to follow, tested and profitable strategies and try to survive. Trend is your friend. Don’t fight it. Was I wrong about the bearish outlook? Timing-wise, yes. But that will never stop me form changing my mind and trade what’s in front of me. I am here to make money and not to be proven right.
Invalidation is above 21500.
short term: Bullish until bears do more. Trade the channel.
medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying big previous support around 21000.
DAX // possible start of the correctionThe market has reached the daily target fibo 200 and broke the H4 structure by breaking below the H4 impulse base.
If H4 makes a new low before making a new high, the countertrend becomes valid.
———
Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
<<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
DAX Short - How Many Times You Got Already Burned?So, obviously the masses are short while institutions are long. We wanna know where they take profit. Psytropy gives us this beautiful report, combining it with middle of the month (loves to be reversal), let's short. I'll update the correct take profit levels later.
2025-01-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bull channel is what you should trade for now. I do think the top is near though. My plan for tomorrow is to see if market stalls more around 21170/21200 and if bears come around to short this down to 21000 again. There I expect bulls to appear again and try another higher high. The bull channel is valid until broken and if bears could break it, first target would be 20850.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20900 - 21200
bull case: Bulls want to continue inside the bull channel. That’s it. Look for pull-backs to long if bulls print a good signal bar. 21200 is my max target though, so I don’t expect market to go much beyond.
Invalidation is below 20100.
bear case: Bears need to break the bear channel. That’s also everything there is to this right now. Bulls are in full control until then and you should look to long this much more than shorting. It’s overbought, climactic, bubbly, yesyesyes and all of that. Does not matter one single bit until we clearly see much bigger selling pressure.
Invalidation is above 21250.
short term: Neutral in the middle of the channel but otherwise bullish until bulls clearly lost interest buying above 21000.
medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again.
current swing trade: None. Bears need to do much more before I want bigger shorts again.
trade of the day: Buying 21000 has been profitable 3 times today. Trade the channel.