Diagonal ending in a larger degree of wave????Greetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
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DAX Index
DAX Strong sell opportunityDAX extended its almost 1 month rise and is about to hit Resistance (1) at 16065. We've had two rejections there in August.
Over this Resistance lies the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, a key technical Resistance during recovery rallies.
Besides those obvious bearish bias, the current rally can be compared to the pattern from March 7th to May 19th, which ended with a -4.33% pull back to the MA50 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 15550 (the 0.5 Fibonacci level, on top of Support Zone (1)).
2. The MA50 (1d) on a -4.33% drop can be targeted only if you see the pull back to aggressive by its second (1d) candle as on May 23rd.
Tips:
1. The CCI (1d) is posting a Bearish Divergence, which has been an absolute (100%) sell signal during the whole year. Most pull backs on that signal have been greater than -4.33%.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Zalando: Final Stage 🏁Zalando's stock price retreated last week, so we consider the high of the magenta wave (iv) to have been reached. We therefore locate the price in the last stage of the gray wave II and expect a descent to the green Target Zone between €18.71 and €10.40 before this movement is completed. Long entries could be made here. However, there is also a 30% probable alternative, which would see a further rise should the price exceed the resistance at €26.40.
: European Equities and DAX: Navigating Bullish Sentiment Amid EEuropean equity markets, especially the German DAX, are poised with a bullish sentiment despite concerns about a potential economic slowdown in 2024. Analysts surveyed anticipate a moderate increase in European benchmarks, projecting a 4.1% rise for the pan-European STOXX 600 index and a 2.5% increase for the Euro STOXX 50 index by the end of next year. Amid worries over economic headwinds and the possibility of a recession, the markets remain cautiously optimistic, attributing the potential growth to expectations of a more dovish stance from central banks and a potential easing in energy prices.
Despite Germany's position as the bloc's industrial powerhouse facing challenges due to its reliance on energy-intensive industries and external demand, the German DAX is expected to rise by 5% by the end of 2024, building upon its 14% gain in 2023. Analysts emphasize the importance of key levels for the DAX, suggesting that a breakout from current resistance levels could signify a bullish trajectory for both Germany and the broader U.S. markets. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD also align with this bullish sentiment, providing buy signals.
Investors are cautiously optimistic, considering the potential for a year-end rally in the U.S. to positively impact European equities due to increased risk appetite globally. However, concerns persist regarding a possible economic slowdown's impact on European markets, particularly in the latter half of 2024, posing challenges for sustained growth.
The current outlook for DAX hints at a continuation of its upward trend, potentially reaching resistance levels around 16,060. However, analysts also note the possibility of a drop towards support levels around 15,860 should a pivot point at 15,962.66 be breached, reinforcing the importance of monitoring key levels for cues about future market directions.
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DAX to break to the upside?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
Posted Mixed Daily results for the last 2 days.
Overnight losses have been limited.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
15956 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 15956 should result in a further move higher.
The bias is to break to the upside.
We look to Buy a break of 15966 (stop at 15866)
Our profit targets will be 16216 and 16276
Resistance: 15956 / 16000 / 16100
Support: 15917 / 15800 / 15720
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Overbought and approaching August's Resistance.DAX turned overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 71.962, MACD = 124.900, ADX = 41.751) as it closed its 9th straight green 1D candle and is approaching the R1 level (16,050). This has been the Resistance since the start of August. The index is in need of a technical pullback otherwise this rally won't be sustainable. We will short next week's opening near the R1 and aim for the 1D MA200 (TP = 15,670), which is at the top of the S1 Zone. That is a Symmetric Support Zone holding since April 5th, only broken downwards in September's selloff.
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DAX to continue in the upward move?DE30EUR - intraday
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
A lower correction is expected.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 15694.
We look to Buy at 15705 (stop at 15605)
Our profit targets will be 15955 and 16005
Resistance: 15869 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15778 / 15712 / 15650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX H4 | Running into resistanceThe DAX (GER30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 15654.35 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 15825.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 15349.03 which is an overlap support.
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 14/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC and we are currently working on the wave B. In the lower time frame, wave B can unfold as an ABC or WXY structure. We favor the WXY structure.
DAX Watch this low risk November trading plan.It's been a bit long since we last took a trade on DAX (DE40) but it didn't disappoint as it hit both our buy and sell targets (see chart below) within the 3-month Channel Down:
The rebound took place within the 6-month Support Zone and slightly under the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), similar to the March 20 rebound. The fractals are identical as they both rebounded aggressively, indicating strong demand inside the Support Zone. Both also formed a strong 1D MACD Bullish Cross straight after they bottomed.
The price is now on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at the top of the Channel Down, and the last two days failed to close the 1D candle above the MA50, despite breaking it. The Resistance pressure is getting stronger since this is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the July 31 top.
As a result, we are willing to sell the Lower Highs top of the Channel Down and target 15050 (can go even to the 0.618 Fib level but we seek short-term exposure for now) but only as long as the candles close below the 1D MA50. Upon the first 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50, we will take the loss and resume buying, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 15635.
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10112023 - #DAXDAX seemed to have gain strength as it is relatively strong yesterday; basing off the PZ and going to new highs. But US weakness resulted in DAX pulling back also.
Are we going to get a next leg down now? TBH US indices are more bearish and definitely oversold and thus many would likely be looking for further downside continuation today for US indices.
But IMO, DAX's closure yesterday is not bearish, or even somewhat bullish. Price is between PZ and DBZ, which is neutral to bullish. Overall, I would say to look for further upside; with 15195 as a low risk level to go long, for a move back to yesterday's high (15359) and even further to 15411.
DAX to turn into an uptrend?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
Our short term bias remains positive.
The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
Short term RSI is moving higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15301 (stop at 15201)
Our profit targets will be 15551 and 15601
Resistance: 15291 / 15400 / 15500
Support: 15180 / 15100 / 15068
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 09/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC or WXY structure. The lower time frame favors a WXY structure. We are currently working on the wave X as an expanded flat structure. The wave ((c)) of this expanded flat does not look finished.
DAX to get back on the old tracks?GER40 - 24h expiry
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
A break of the recent low at 15070 should result in a further move lower.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Short term momentum is bearish.
We look to Sell a break of 15058 (stop at 15158)
Our profit targets will be 14808 and 14758
Resistance: 15150 / 15230 / 15270
Support: 15070 / 15000 / 14900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.