DAX Index
DAX: Overbought and approaching August's Resistance.DAX turned overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 71.962, MACD = 124.900, ADX = 41.751) as it closed its 9th straight green 1D candle and is approaching the R1 level (16,050). This has been the Resistance since the start of August. The index is in need of a technical pullback otherwise this rally won't be sustainable. We will short next week's opening near the R1 and aim for the 1D MA200 (TP = 15,670), which is at the top of the S1 Zone. That is a Symmetric Support Zone holding since April 5th, only broken downwards in September's selloff.
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DAX to continue in the upward move?DE30EUR - intraday
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
A lower correction is expected.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 15694.
We look to Buy at 15705 (stop at 15605)
Our profit targets will be 15955 and 16005
Resistance: 15869 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15778 / 15712 / 15650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX H4 | Running into resistanceThe DAX (GER30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 15654.35 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 15825.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 15349.03 which is an overlap support.
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 14/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC and we are currently working on the wave B. In the lower time frame, wave B can unfold as an ABC or WXY structure. We favor the WXY structure.
DAX Watch this low risk November trading plan.It's been a bit long since we last took a trade on DAX (DE40) but it didn't disappoint as it hit both our buy and sell targets (see chart below) within the 3-month Channel Down:
The rebound took place within the 6-month Support Zone and slightly under the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), similar to the March 20 rebound. The fractals are identical as they both rebounded aggressively, indicating strong demand inside the Support Zone. Both also formed a strong 1D MACD Bullish Cross straight after they bottomed.
The price is now on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at the top of the Channel Down, and the last two days failed to close the 1D candle above the MA50, despite breaking it. The Resistance pressure is getting stronger since this is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the July 31 top.
As a result, we are willing to sell the Lower Highs top of the Channel Down and target 15050 (can go even to the 0.618 Fib level but we seek short-term exposure for now) but only as long as the candles close below the 1D MA50. Upon the first 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50, we will take the loss and resume buying, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 15635.
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10112023 - #DAXDAX seemed to have gain strength as it is relatively strong yesterday; basing off the PZ and going to new highs. But US weakness resulted in DAX pulling back also.
Are we going to get a next leg down now? TBH US indices are more bearish and definitely oversold and thus many would likely be looking for further downside continuation today for US indices.
But IMO, DAX's closure yesterday is not bearish, or even somewhat bullish. Price is between PZ and DBZ, which is neutral to bullish. Overall, I would say to look for further upside; with 15195 as a low risk level to go long, for a move back to yesterday's high (15359) and even further to 15411.
DAX to turn into an uptrend?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
Our short term bias remains positive.
The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
Short term RSI is moving higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15301 (stop at 15201)
Our profit targets will be 15551 and 15601
Resistance: 15291 / 15400 / 15500
Support: 15180 / 15100 / 15068
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 09/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC or WXY structure. The lower time frame favors a WXY structure. We are currently working on the wave X as an expanded flat structure. The wave ((c)) of this expanded flat does not look finished.
DAX to get back on the old tracks?GER40 - 24h expiry
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
A break of the recent low at 15070 should result in a further move lower.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Short term momentum is bearish.
We look to Sell a break of 15058 (stop at 15158)
Our profit targets will be 14808 and 14758
Resistance: 15150 / 15230 / 15270
Support: 15070 / 15000 / 14900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GERMAN40 BEARISH OUTLOOKGermany, a European economic powerhouse, is facing the threat of a technical recession as its industrial production, particularly in the automotive sector, has experienced a significant decline. In September, industrial production fell by 1.4%, surpassing the projected 0.4% drop, and the third quarter saw a 2.1% decrease in total production. The automotive industry, a crucial part of Germany's economy, reported a 5% drop in vehicle production from the previous month, alongside declines in other vital sectors like electrical equipment and pharmaceuticals. While there was a slight increase in factory orders for September, primarily due to large-scale orders and backlogs, economists remain cautious about the potential for future economic growth.
This economic downturn is worrisome for Germany, as it may be heading toward a technical recession, characterized by two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. Policymakers and economists are likely to closely monitor the situation and may consider measures to support the economy, such as fiscal stimulus or incentives to boost consumer spending and business investment. However, the situation is not isolated and may be influenced by global economic trends and factors, making it essential to keep an eye on international economic developments to gauge Germany's economic prospects in the coming months.
On a technical note, the daily graph had produced an Evening Star pattern that is reliable pattern for a downtrend. RSI is still on the neutral site, but MACD is already showing sell signals.
If this trend continues the price might reach levels of 14 977.5. In the opposite scenario the price might reach levels of 15 315.21
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 08/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC or WXY structure. The lower time frame favors a WXY structure. We are currently working on the wave X as an expanded flat structure. The wave ((c)) of this expanded flat does not look finished.
07112023 - #DAXYesterday's plan worked to almost perfection () as it hit my sell limit at exactly 15226 before selling down over 100points. Did not hit my target though before the bounce.
As mentioned yesterday, DAX is somewhat weak and only one I said to look for shorts in and truly, it was much weak even when US indices was somewhat strong.
Overall, yesterday was a small range day and price action is somewhat bearish. Still it might be better to trade later than earlier. IMO if market pulls back to 15170, it would be a level to watch; a rejection could see another move down to 15024/15000. If however, market just goes down from here, 15090 would be a price I am inclined to watch for a long for a move higher.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 06/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we are working on a wave ((2)) correction down. This wave ((2)) is unfolding as an ABC or WXY structure. The lower time frame favors a WXY structure. We are currently working on the wave X as an expanded flat structure.
DAX: Approaching the 1D MA50. Buy the pullback.Target achieved on DAX (chart at the end) as the price made a straight rebound at the bottom of the Channel Down. The 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSi = 52.756, MACD = -158.600, ADX = 30.783) and being that close to the 1D MA50 without being bullish already, makes a short term pullback possible. On the long term, we expect a bullish breakout over the Channel Down as the current rally originated after an (almost) one month long 1D RSI Bullish Divergence. So as long as the price gets rejected under the 1D MA50, we will wait for a 4H MA50 pullback to open the new long and target the R1 level (TP = 15,575), a candidate to make contact with the 1D MA200 as well.
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