24102023 - #DAXYesterday's levels worked well as market dipped off PZ, dropped to the support zone below before rallying back to the PZ. But there was a pullback again towards the end of the day.
Are we going to see a repeat of last Tuesday? Price is still below the BZ thus, cautious on the up move. Ideally, from current looks, we would want market to make a higher low (it could test the lows and rebound).
Lots of news today from UK, Europe and US thus it would decide this next move. But anyway, IMO, I would try a long if price goes back above PZ 14748 for a move to 14860 (50 Fib) and 14954 (possible high for today).
DAX Index
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 24/10/2023In the higher time frame, we have completed a WXY correction but as forecasted this was not yet the wave (2) low. The lower time frame was showing corrective price action indicating more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered because we took out the 04/10/2023 low. In the lower time frame, before going down, we might see some upside as a wave (iv) or wave X.
Will DAX turnaround today?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
A break of the recent high at 14920 should result in a further move higher.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to Buy a break of 14922 (stop at 14822)
Our profit targets will be 15172 and 15232
Resistance: 14920 / 15000 / 15100
Support: 14780 / 14700 / 14600
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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DAX continues in the downward move.DE30EUR - 24h expiry
Our short-term bias remains negative.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
15100 has been pivotal.
Bespoke resistance is located at 15100.
The preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
20 4-hour EMA is at 15080.
We look to Sell at 15098 (stop at 15198)
Our profit targets will be 14848 and 14788
Resistance: 14981 / 15100 / 15200
Support: 14916 / 14800 / 14700
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 20/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we have completed a WXY correction but this is probably not yet the wave (2) low. The lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX: Rebound expected to test the 1D MA50.DAX is trading inside a Channel Down since July 31st and lately has been on the decline after a rejection on the 1D MA50. Naturally, its 1D technical outlook is bearish (RSI = 38.140, MACD = -103.800, ADX = 23.717) but also low enough to justify a short term rebound.
We expect one last 1D MA50 that will decide the long term trend and based on the previous -6.50% pre-bearish leg, this should be on the 0.786 Fibonacci level. That is marginally under the top of the Channel Down and that is our target (TP = 15,450).
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 19/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 18/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 17/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 16/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
GER40 Analysis 13Oct2023In my opinion, GER40 presents a slightly different perspective. If you observe the movement of the wave, you will notice a curve that is currently supporting it. Usually, when such a curve forms, the price tends to follow the same movement. Therefore, I believe that in the medium term, the price is likely to remain bearish.
Furthermore, if you look at the current situation, it is possible that we are in the bearish channel, which would mean that the price will continue to follow this downward trend.
DAX Short term sell signal on the MA200 (4h).DAX got rejected on the MA200 (4h) and is pulling back.
This is heavy pressure as it took place near the top of the 2 month Channel Down.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the first green (4h) candle.
2. Buy if Resistance (1) breaks.
Targets:
1. 15230 (Rising Support and -2.20% decline like the September 5th pull back).
2. 16000 (Resistance 2).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) just formed a Sell Cross. This amplifies the short term selling momentum.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX is topping short term. Fast profit opportunity.DAX trade excatly as expected last time (chart at the bottom) making a new Low in the established Channel Down.
The price reached the 0.5 Fibonnaci level today, a reading which formed the August 31st Lower High on the other -6.50% bearish leg.
Sell now and target 15150 (Rising Support) but close if it reaches first the 1day MA50 as the MACD Buy Cross can completely reverse it long term.
Previous chart:
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Porsche Holding: Bottom formation 🔄The Porsche Holding share price is approaching the 78.60% retracement of the magenta target zone between €56.44 and €36.61. Here, we expect the low of the magenta wave 2, which has been dragging on since 2021. With the low formed, a reversal should then take place, and the price should rise well above the resistance at 60.18€.
DAX: Already done? 📌🤔Since last Wednesday, the German stock index DAX has been rising again. In theory, the low of the turquoise wave alt.4 could already be in place. However, this scenario would require a rise above the resistance at 15 647, which we consider to be 33% probable. Until then, we maintain our primary expectation that the turquoise target zone between 14 866 and 14 555 points should be targeted for the low.