DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 20/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we have completed a WXY correction but this is probably not yet the wave (2) low. The lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Index
DAX: Rebound expected to test the 1D MA50.DAX is trading inside a Channel Down since July 31st and lately has been on the decline after a rejection on the 1D MA50. Naturally, its 1D technical outlook is bearish (RSI = 38.140, MACD = -103.800, ADX = 23.717) but also low enough to justify a short term rebound.
We expect one last 1D MA50 that will decide the long term trend and based on the previous -6.50% pre-bearish leg, this should be on the 0.786 Fibonacci level. That is marginally under the top of the Channel Down and that is our target (TP = 15,450).
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 19/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 18/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 17/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 16/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
GER40 Analysis 13Oct2023In my opinion, GER40 presents a slightly different perspective. If you observe the movement of the wave, you will notice a curve that is currently supporting it. Usually, when such a curve forms, the price tends to follow the same movement. Therefore, I believe that in the medium term, the price is likely to remain bearish.
Furthermore, if you look at the current situation, it is possible that we are in the bearish channel, which would mean that the price will continue to follow this downward trend.
DAX Short term sell signal on the MA200 (4h).DAX got rejected on the MA200 (4h) and is pulling back.
This is heavy pressure as it took place near the top of the 2 month Channel Down.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the first green (4h) candle.
2. Buy if Resistance (1) breaks.
Targets:
1. 15230 (Rising Support and -2.20% decline like the September 5th pull back).
2. 16000 (Resistance 2).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) just formed a Sell Cross. This amplifies the short term selling momentum.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX is topping short term. Fast profit opportunity.DAX trade excatly as expected last time (chart at the bottom) making a new Low in the established Channel Down.
The price reached the 0.5 Fibonnaci level today, a reading which formed the August 31st Lower High on the other -6.50% bearish leg.
Sell now and target 15150 (Rising Support) but close if it reaches first the 1day MA50 as the MACD Buy Cross can completely reverse it long term.
Previous chart:
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Porsche Holding: Bottom formation 🔄The Porsche Holding share price is approaching the 78.60% retracement of the magenta target zone between €56.44 and €36.61. Here, we expect the low of the magenta wave 2, which has been dragging on since 2021. With the low formed, a reversal should then take place, and the price should rise well above the resistance at 60.18€.
DAX: Already done? 📌🤔Since last Wednesday, the German stock index DAX has been rising again. In theory, the low of the turquoise wave alt.4 could already be in place. However, this scenario would require a rise above the resistance at 15 647, which we consider to be 33% probable. Until then, we maintain our primary expectation that the turquoise target zone between 14 866 and 14 555 points should be targeted for the low.
DAX has started the new Channel Down bullish legDAX hit last week the bottom (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down that started after the July 31 High. Technically that is a short-term buy signal, aimed at the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the top of the Channel Down. Our current target is 15500 (also on a +3.70% symmetry with the previous bullish leg of the Channel).
A 1D candle close above the Channel Up will be a bullish break-out signal targeting 15920 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level). But until it does, the trend will remain bearish within the Channel Down, targeting the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) at 14750.
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GER30: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GER30
Pattern – LH - Lower support test
Support – 15,055 - 15,015
Resistance – 15,287 - 15,504
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The GER30 daily is today's focus. Due to the tragic events over the weekend, we have seen stock futures trading lower into the new week. The GER30 is testing Friday's firm finish and could be forming a new lower high. The key here will be if sellers can be price back down to test 15,055 - 15,015 support. A break set up a continuation of the med-term downtrend.
If buyers can reject today's selling and break back above Friday's high, this could suggest a new higher leg and a possible test of 15,504.
Good trading.
Rheinmetall: Locked and Loaded 💥After briefly dipping below the turquoise target range of €245.60 to €228.40, Rheinmetall's stock price has rebounded into this zone. We now believe it has set the low for the magenta wave (iv at this point. Consequently, a substantial increase to €320 is anticipated.
05102023 - #DAXMarket made a nice bullish reversal candle yesterday when all are bearish, and this was as per plan ().
IMO, price action is bullish vs price is still below the DBZ. But I would go for the move higher from here. Looking for PZ to hold and a move to target 15320. I will not discount the possibility of price reacting against the DBZ and a down move first (to 15002) but overall, looking for a move to 15236 minimally and 15320 likely, before any strong reaction from sellers.