26062023 - #DAXLast Friday, market sold off after Thursday's somewhat bearish close. It sold perfectly to support before an equally fast recovery. Market closed near the mid point.
Weekly chart looks bearish with price below weekly BZ. Also, looking at how the monthly candle at this point of time, my thought was that if price trades below May's low, that could trigger downside. But at the same time, we also had the Russia news over the week end which probably seem to indicate a gap down but no it did not.
Having said so much, we should see further downside today. But let's see what premarket brings. Price is now basing above PZ, thus short term wise, could see a move to 15890 and even 15924 first before a rejection; looking for a move to 15710 or so, where we look for any long opportunities. If market did not trigger the above 2 levels, look for a move below 15824, test and rejection for the move lower.
DAX Index
All My Entries For This Week , A lot Of Secrets Shared , Enjoy This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Dax to be supported soonI am looking at the possibility of a potential flat in wave 2 as we keep falling in what could be a wave {c}. Equality of wave {c} vs.{a} is where I would like to start seeing some support and that would be at the beginning of the golden box.
Feel free to ask question, trade safe!
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 22/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for a long trade.
Will DAX find buyers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
The primary trend remains bullish.
The 1 day moving average should provide support at 15923.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Bespoke support is located at 15900.
We look to Buy at 15902 (stop at 15802)
Our profit targets will be 16152 and 16192
Resistance: 15950 / 16000 / 16050
Support: 15912 / 15860 / 15800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 21/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for a short trade.
DAX Sell signal but gets invalidated on this levelDAX is on a 2-day pullback with a new (dashed) Channel Up emerging.
The index is already inside two long term Channel Up patterns.
The RSI (1d) crossed under its MA level, calling for a technical pullback inside the borders of these Channel Up patterns.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell as long as the price remains under Resistance (1).
2. Buy if it breaks above it.
Targets:
1. 15740 (bottom on two Channel Up patterns).
2. 16950 (top on two Channel Up patterns).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has a Rising Support. Keep that in mind as if it holds you might consider closing the short position earlier.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 20/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for both a long and a short trade.
DAX: Holding today's low can lead to 16,500DAX is trading inside multiple short and long term Channel Up patterns, an indication of a strong bullish trend, showcased by the green 1D technicals (RSI = 59.394, MACD = 107.100, ADX = 32.591). As long as the 1D RSI stays over the MA line, we remain bullish (TP = 16,500). If it breaks under it, we will target first the dashed Channel bottom (TP1 = 16,000) and after a 1D candle close under it, extend to S1 (TP2 = 15,635).
Prior idea:
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 19/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for both a long and a short trade.
DAX to reach a new all-time high today?GER40 - Intraday
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
The bias is to break to the upside.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to Buy a break of 16351 (stop at 16251)
Our profit targets will be 16601 and 16651
Resistance: 16340 / 16400 / 16500
Support: 16300 / 16200 / 16100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 16/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for both a long and a short trade.
DAX One last pump to 16600.DAX is on the 4th green 1day candle in a row, extending the spot on buy entry we gave 2 weeks ago exactly at the bottom.
The 1day RSI is on balance bullish levels (62.31) and shows still upside potential while there is still room left before the Channel Up makes a Higher High.
That will be at a +6.30% rise from the Low, as previously taken place.
Target remains at 16600.
Previous chart:
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DAX to turnaround at all time highs?GER40 - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
The previous swing high is located at 16333.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Bespoke resistance is located at 16300.
We look to Sell at 16299 (stop at 16399)
Our profit targets will be 16049 and 16009
Resistance: 16300 / 16340 / 16400
Support: 16280 / 16235 / 16200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 15/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for both a long and a short trade.
DAX Incomplete Elliott Wave Bullish Sequence Favors HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in DAX suggests the rally from 3.20.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Up from 3.20.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 15298.49 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 14809.82. Index then extends higher in wave 3 towards 16331.94. Pullback in wave 4 is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 15726.5 and wave ((b)) ended at 16079.73. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 15629.12 which completed wave 4. Index has resumed higher in wave 5.
Internal subdivision of wave 5 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 16114.84 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 15909.85. Index then resumes higher again in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 16020.28 and wave (ii) ended at 15913.95. Expect the Index to extend higher 1 more leg to complete wave (iii), then it should pullback in wave (iv) before it resumes higher again. Near term, as far as pivot at 15629.38 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
UPDATE DAX Target hit 16,333 still heading upDAX formed two powerful patterns.
The bigger one was a Falling Wedge & the smaller one was a Reverse Cup & Handle (Which I believed I made up, in case you go Google and not find it :P)
The price broke up and headed straight to the top of the wedge which is a decent target for the pattern.
7 >21 >200
Target hit at 16,333
Now this trade was a tough one because even though it hit the target, we held on FAR too long. The daily costs do add up as well as the opportunity cost of holding. even though profits were realised, these are the kinds of things we think about as traders.
ABOUT THE DAX
The DAX, or Deutscher Aktien Index, is a key stock market index in Germany
Foundation: The DAX was launched on December 30, 1987, by the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
Composition: The DAX tracks the performance of 30 of the largest and most liquid companies on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
Selection Criteria: Companies included in the DAX are selected based on market capitalization, book value, and their importance to the German economy.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 14/06/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we might see some more upside in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. For today, depending on what the market gives us, we see an entry for a short trade.