DAX - Bouhmidi-Reversal Reversal in Play with Bouhmidi-Bands - Do we see a weekly close above 15.500? - Would be the first time this year
DAX Index
DAX will reach its ATH having Support from the 1day MA50.The 1day MA50 is approaching DAX for the first time in 2 months. This is the first Support on every long term uptrend.
Support A is at 15000 and can be hit on a wick to provide the bounce DAX needs.
Our Target 1 is Resistance A (15660) and long term its All Time High on Resistance B (16300).
The 1day RSI is well supported on its 5 month Rising Support, meaning the index can rebound any moment.
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Did stocks just bottom? Are they going higher or lower?It looks like stocks bottomed today, but what is my evidence, and why would I say that?
1. This correction has been very orderly, and VIX has been going down along with stocks, which means something is happening.
2. Stocks have held exceptionally well despite rising interest rates and the DXY.
3. We have continuous liquidity injections by most central banks, and that doesn't just mean the BoJ and PBoC. Since the Sep-Nov issues that bond markets faced globally, even the Fed and Treasury have increased market liquidity.
4. Current debts can't be repaid. That's why bonds are going down (yields up). There is no way governments can't pay these dividends through taxation and can only repay them with printed money. Now you can hold both a depreciating asset that pays dividends and riskier assets. Chasing a fool's yield isn't ideal, but it's a strategy. Higher yields = more money supply will be created. High inflation isn't necessarily bad for stock markets, contrary to what the majority wrongly believes.
5. During this correction, sentiment has become increasingly bearish, with most investors being bearish.
At the CryptoBullSociety, in private channels, as well as on my Twitter account, I have been talking about the market piercing the 200 DMA and bottoming. Yesterday I shared bullish ideas on Tradingview for metals and Chinese stocks, which also permeates to US stocks after such a substantial rise since Oct 2022; the market needed to test bulls and, as usual, pull into the golden cross before going higher. On their way up, stocks swept some highs and filled some gaps, but some gaps were left unfilled higher, along with some newly formed double tops. Even if markets are about to go lower, I believe SPX will first test 4350-4400 and then go lower. By lower, I mean more of a sideways market than a continuation of the bear market or an outright crash. So far, we have seen the major US indices pull into their crosses, test support, sweep lows, and today form a reversal candle. Below are many US-related charts showing all the potential targets (double tops, double bottoms, etc.). The reason why I call them targets is that the market tends to break these structures. As we've been trending higher, it's more likely we will first take out the double tops and then the double bottoms.
Currently, nothing indicates a crash, while there are indications of a bottom being in. To be clear, I am not saying we are ready to fly to the moon tomorrow, although we could. Given the system's structure, with most governments being broke, more money will be created. Below you can see some charts of other stock markets, like the GER40 (DAX), UK100 (FTSE), and CN50 (CHINA). I also added the S&P500 value index, IVE. UK100 is at new ATHs, GER40 near highs seem to be in tight consolidation before expansion, CN50 appears to be back in a bullish trend after capitulation (something I talked about in yesterday's idea, which you can find below), and IVE almost made new ATHs a few weeks ago.
My overall point is that sentiment is bearish, while I believe liquidity will keep increasing, causing a short squeeze that could last at least until SPX gets to 4350. As I've mentioned in my previous ideas, it's unlikely that we would get a 2000 or 2008 crash so quickly after the Fed started tightening, and if we get one, it will probably be in Q4 2023 or Q1 2024. The path I've drawn in the chart is what I see as the most likely one, followed by another significant correction. Of course, I could be wrong, so my stop loss is at 3840
DAX continues in sequences of lower lows and highs.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15424 (stop at 15504)
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
Short term momentum is bearish.
The trend of lower highs is located at 15490.
Our short term bias remains negative.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Our profit targets will be 15224 and 15184
Resistance: 15300 / 15350 / 15420
Support: 15250 / 15184 / 15100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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DAX - Bouhmidi-Long Reversal $DAX - We started the day with a #BouhmidiBands reversal at the lower Band - A second test could be possible during the day.
DAX, H4 | Bearish Breakout?We're seeing price break at key support at 15240 which could potentially trigger a move down to major support at 14967 - which has seen prices bounce off multiple times in the past.
There is a descending resistance line that is pushing prices down along with the bearish Ichimoku cloud. The bearish momentum could carry the breakout all the way down to the 14967 level.
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DE40 possible breakout to the downsideDE40 is in a bullish trend since the end of September. Price bouncing between a converging channel making higher highs and higher lows, recently broke through the ~15250 level and found support there but showing weakness as retested that level several times from the upside and RSI indicator make lower highs while price increasing. If price break below the support level and trend line and retest my first TP target will be 14900 the second 14550.
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Thank you
DAX: This pattern has caused strong pullbacks since 2012.DAX on the 1W time frame is technically bullish (RSI = 64.556, MACD = 451.600, ADX = 57.699) having avoided a 1W Death Cross as the 1W MA50 is diverging again from the 1W MA200.
Every time it avoided a 1W Death Cross since 2012 while the 1D MA100 crossed above the 1W MA50, DAX has always pulled back to at least the 1W MA50 (three cases out of the four even hit the 1W MA200). The 1W MA50 is at the moment at 13,866. Due to the circumstances we see a softer landing on the 1D MA100 however, which is at 14,315 but rising every day rapidly.
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DAX Sell this rejection, buy on the 1D MA50.DAX (DE40) got rejected on its third Lower High within this 2 week Channel Down. We are taking this sell but first target is on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Triangle and only if that breaks, we will extend selling to complete a -2.18% decline on the new Lower Low of the Channel Down.
The RSI's Rectangle shows the best short-term buy entry. The most optimal long-term though will be on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), regardless of that being on Support 1 or 2. That will be our buy entry, targeting Resistance 1 (15480) and Resistance 2 (15655) on the long-term.
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DAX 1 HOUR say : it can go up to 158002 place is important (2 arrow on chart)
AC INDICATOR on 4hour chart show up trend will start soon (IF last LOW NOT BREAK)
alert= weekly chart technical say dax can go to 19000 , 100% be caeul from sell(put sl on last high ) ...90% looking or buy and buy pinbar
note= trade index like dax ,nasdaq need minimum 5-7 year practice on demo ,if you dont have it pick it on demo account,not real
if you have old sell, hedge them now then wait 2-3 month dax go p and back (down trend apear) then frist close your sell in low ,then on high close your buys
goodluck
DAX has one more drop to make before the RSI signals a buyDAX is inside a Megaphone pattern but the recent Channel Down of the past 2 weeks is eyeing a repeat break downwards as the December Megaphone did on the 1day MA50. The latter is waiting now inside Support A.
The strongest buy signal will be given when the 1day RSI hits the bottom of its 3 month Rectangle at 41.00. Buy and target the previous High at 15650.
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DAX in a descending triangle.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15484 (stop at 15564)
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
Daily signals for sentiment are at oversold extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
The trend of lower highs is located at 15510.
Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance.
Our profit targets will be 15284 and 15244
Resistance: 15400 / 15480 / 15500
Support: 15350 / 15300 / 15250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short target 10k+ zoneDAX is ready to reverse, wave (B) may be done here. Wouldn't recommend to be long until mid 24.
easyMarkets DAX Daily - Quick Technical OverviewThe technical picture of DAX on our daily chart shows that the index is currently stuck between two trendlines - a short-term downside resistance one taken from the high of February 9th and medium-term upside support line drawn from the low of October 3rd. Given that DAX has been on a roller coaster ride for the whole month of February, we need to see a clear violation of one of the trendlines in order to consider a near-term directional move, either up or down.
However, we would get more comfortable with higher areas if we also see a break somewhere above the 15700 zone.
For the downside, a drop below the 15200 territory might attract more sellers into the game.
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DAX Potential For Bullish Rise to previous swing highLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DAX is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy stop entry at 15677.77, where the recent high is to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at 15269.71, where the overlap support and 50% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 16285.35, where the previous swing high is. It's worth noting that there is an intermediate resistance at 15977.44, where price might struggle to break through.
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DAX SHORT OF THE YEAR I believe that we have seen the highs on the DAX for the coming 2 years, therefore I have gone full short expecting the rice to reach a new low.
DAX One last push lower for a bottom.DAX has had the strongest 1D bearish candle today since December 15 2022. That was the candle that accelerated the correction from the Higher High Zone (red zone) of the long-term Channel Up to the Buy Zone (green zone). With the Channel Up pattern starting on the October 03 2022 market bottom and remaining valid up to now, this Buy Zone has been the most optimal long entry of the past four months.
We look at two indicators for buying, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D RSI hitting the bottom of its Rectangle pattern and entering the Accumulation Mode. A -6.50% correction doesn't have to necessarily be completed as in late December. Our long-term target is the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level, which an early projection giving us a 16350 Target.
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DAX to stem dip again?GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15282 (stop at 15202)
Daily signals are bullish.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment. Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
20 1day EMA is at 15340.
Support is located at 15300 and should stem dips to this area.
Our profit targets will be 15482 and 15522
Resistance: 15556 / 15630 / 15660
Support: 15500 / 15450 / 15400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 24/02A review of the price action from the European session and recap of US price action as US indexes followed on from some strength this time in the Asian and European trade. The US gapped up on the open, sold off hard only to bounce back into the close to wipe off the majority of the earlier losses. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
DAX respecting the 4hour MA200DAX is staging a rebound coming close to the 4hour MA50 yesterday (has been untouched since January 4th). This is the normal technical reaction we expected on such an important Support Cluster (as the dotted line from the October 2nd bottom was also there) and was a short-term buy.
Maintain a tight SL though as a cross under it renders the price extremely bearish on the medium term that will target the 1day MA50.
A -6.60% repeat of December 14th - 16th gives a 14610 estimate. 4hour RSI still far from the buy opportunity when being oversold.
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DAX Trading: From Lower to Upper Bouhmidi-Band$DAX - From lower to upper - Todays highs are reaching almost upper #BouhmidiBands
NAS100 TRADE IDEANas100 has been down more 4% since the beginning of the week. we have FOMC today and nas100 is in a bullish direction.
DAX: Support at lower Bouhmidi-BandIn the course of the day so far, a support zone seems to be forming at the lower #BouhmidiBands for the time being
