DAX to turnaround from a bearish engulfing?GER40 - Intraday
Bearish divergence can be seen on the daily chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
Short term momentum is bearish.
50 4hour EMA is at 15490.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15491 (stop at 15571)
Our profit targets will be 15291 and 15251
Resistance: 15550 / 15600 / 15650
Support: 15510 / 15450 / 15400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Index
DAX is slowly approaching all time highs.GER40 - Intraday
Broken out of the channel formation to the upside.
Trades at the highest level in 13 months.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
A lower correction is expected.
20 4 hour EMA is at 15525.
We look to buy dips.
We look to Buy at 15525 (stop at 15445)
Our profit targets will be 15725 and 15755
Resistance: 15680 / 15700 / 15800
Support: 15630 / 15585 / 15550
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX - Up Up & Away!DAX
We've had European indices out-perform compared to US indices, this would be due to international opportunities increase this has been executing for while a hedge against US, we look at US yields we are 5% roughly now that into consideration of going into US indices the need of making a return is relative high, now compared to the opportunities and growth of Europe! In my previous posts you can see FTSE100 that idea playing out well.
Now I am sharing the DAX chart as I think we could even re-test those highs that has been tested couple times, a break through key resistance where we are currently at the momentum is still on long side and targets would be 16250 areas and look that 1.618 Fib. However, if we break below 15150 areas and break out down side of this beautiful channel then I'd expect 50 EMA areas to be your target areas.
My thoughts overall, we really need pay attention to DXY where that's going to play further, daily close perhaps below of ranges we are at a pull back will occur but we do have NFP and if that is above let's say 220k and is strong number higher expect DXY to rally yields, and we also need to take not only NFP into consideration this week, let's not forget next week we have CPI. Take in all this important US data, and then we need think is market still pricing just 25 basis point hike or will we go 50, currently its pricing 25...Time will tell! I still think housing crises will increase and the automotive industry will face further issues.
Key tip: Don't forget to look at the bigger picture!
Have a great week ahead,
Trade Journal
DAX 60On H4 there's a nice confirmation tested 2 times so we're surely looking to sweep the untested OB . I indicated using the green horizontal line which is the 50% candle which is the level I'll be taking short trades from . I hope everyone will have a profitable Monday. Feel free to ask more about the trade idea
all index like dax,nasdaq,sp500 say:can start wild +up trend
ALERT = WILD + RALLY WILL START ON DAX-DOW-NASDAQ-SP500
2 scenario possible in next 9 month
1- wide zigzag and range (30% possible) or
2-break all high and touch new all time high (60% possible ,,,on dax reach fibo 161% = 19000 and in dow above 45000)!!!!
strongly advice you 90% looking for buy in deep and hold it to high (be careful from sell and put SL on last high,,,,save in mind = market can flyup)
wish you win my friends
ALERT 2= TRADE INDEX LIKE NASDAQ IS VERY COMPLEX AND HARD (ZIGZAG MANER) AND NEED MINIMUM 5 YEAR PRACTICE ON DEMO ACCOUNT , IF YOU DONT HAVE 5 YEAR DEMO EXPERIENCE ,DONT TRADE IT ON REAL MONEY
DAX going straight for its All Time High!DAX held the MA50 (1D) and is rising aggressively.
Such aggressive rise was seen at the start of both bottom rallies within its Channel Up pattern.
As long it doesn't diverge much from its MA100 (1D) in the future, DAX is in for an extremely strong rally.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 16300 (the All Time High).
2. 16750 (Fibonacci 1.786), assuming a pull-back happens that doesn't break the MA100 (1D).
Tips:
1. The Higher Highs of the Channel have been Lower Lows during the Bear Cycle. High symmetry between the Cycles.
2. High Symmetry also from Low-to-Low inside the Channel Up. 78 days the first and 72 days the second.
3. RSI (1) on a Rising Support. You can use this to enter upon pull backs.
DAX will reach its ATH having Support from the 1day MA50.The 1day MA50 is approaching DAX for the first time in 2 months. This is the first Support on every long term uptrend.
Support A is at 15000 and can be hit on a wick to provide the bounce DAX needs.
Our Target 1 is Resistance A (15660) and long term its All Time High on Resistance B (16300).
The 1day RSI is well supported on its 5 month Rising Support, meaning the index can rebound any moment.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Did stocks just bottom? Are they going higher or lower?It looks like stocks bottomed today, but what is my evidence, and why would I say that?
1. This correction has been very orderly, and VIX has been going down along with stocks, which means something is happening.
2. Stocks have held exceptionally well despite rising interest rates and the DXY.
3. We have continuous liquidity injections by most central banks, and that doesn't just mean the BoJ and PBoC. Since the Sep-Nov issues that bond markets faced globally, even the Fed and Treasury have increased market liquidity.
4. Current debts can't be repaid. That's why bonds are going down (yields up). There is no way governments can't pay these dividends through taxation and can only repay them with printed money. Now you can hold both a depreciating asset that pays dividends and riskier assets. Chasing a fool's yield isn't ideal, but it's a strategy. Higher yields = more money supply will be created. High inflation isn't necessarily bad for stock markets, contrary to what the majority wrongly believes.
5. During this correction, sentiment has become increasingly bearish, with most investors being bearish.
At the CryptoBullSociety, in private channels, as well as on my Twitter account, I have been talking about the market piercing the 200 DMA and bottoming. Yesterday I shared bullish ideas on Tradingview for metals and Chinese stocks, which also permeates to US stocks after such a substantial rise since Oct 2022; the market needed to test bulls and, as usual, pull into the golden cross before going higher. On their way up, stocks swept some highs and filled some gaps, but some gaps were left unfilled higher, along with some newly formed double tops. Even if markets are about to go lower, I believe SPX will first test 4350-4400 and then go lower. By lower, I mean more of a sideways market than a continuation of the bear market or an outright crash. So far, we have seen the major US indices pull into their crosses, test support, sweep lows, and today form a reversal candle. Below are many US-related charts showing all the potential targets (double tops, double bottoms, etc.). The reason why I call them targets is that the market tends to break these structures. As we've been trending higher, it's more likely we will first take out the double tops and then the double bottoms.
Currently, nothing indicates a crash, while there are indications of a bottom being in. To be clear, I am not saying we are ready to fly to the moon tomorrow, although we could. Given the system's structure, with most governments being broke, more money will be created. Below you can see some charts of other stock markets, like the GER40 (DAX), UK100 (FTSE), and CN50 (CHINA). I also added the S&P500 value index, IVE. UK100 is at new ATHs, GER40 near highs seem to be in tight consolidation before expansion, CN50 appears to be back in a bullish trend after capitulation (something I talked about in yesterday's idea, which you can find below), and IVE almost made new ATHs a few weeks ago.
My overall point is that sentiment is bearish, while I believe liquidity will keep increasing, causing a short squeeze that could last at least until SPX gets to 4350. As I've mentioned in my previous ideas, it's unlikely that we would get a 2000 or 2008 crash so quickly after the Fed started tightening, and if we get one, it will probably be in Q4 2023 or Q1 2024. The path I've drawn in the chart is what I see as the most likely one, followed by another significant correction. Of course, I could be wrong, so my stop loss is at 3840
DAX continues in sequences of lower lows and highs.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15424 (stop at 15504)
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
Short term momentum is bearish.
The trend of lower highs is located at 15490.
Our short term bias remains negative.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Our profit targets will be 15224 and 15184
Resistance: 15300 / 15350 / 15420
Support: 15250 / 15184 / 15100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX, H4 | Bearish Breakout?We're seeing price break at key support at 15240 which could potentially trigger a move down to major support at 14967 - which has seen prices bounce off multiple times in the past.
There is a descending resistance line that is pushing prices down along with the bearish Ichimoku cloud. The bearish momentum could carry the breakout all the way down to the 14967 level.
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