DAX Index
DAX BEARISH As shown it looks like the market could still continue down the channel till the end of the week, as it comes up to retest the Fibonacci zone to sell. It has also created LH AND LL inside the channel. With NAS100 having reaching a point of ''HIGH DEMAND'' yesterday we might see the same occur on DAX. for now i am waiting to see if it respects the levels or breaks out creating new HH AND HL
DAX has turned negative.GER40 - Intraday -
Short term oscillators have turned negative.
The trend of higher intraday lows has also been broken.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
50 4hour EMA is at 15242.
We look to Sell at 15229 (stop at 15329)
Our profit targets will be 14979 and 14939
Resistance: 15000 / 15120 / 15250
Support: 14885 / 14700 / 14600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Further Downside in DAX Impulsive Elliott Wave DeclineDAX ended cycle from 9.28.2022 low in wave ((1)) at 15707.61 with internal subdivision as 5 waves. Index is now correcting that cycle within wave ((2)) in larger degree 3, 7, or 11 swing. Internal subdivision of wave ((2)) is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. A zigzag is an (A)-(B)-(C) structure where wave (A) and (C) both subdivide in 5 waves. Wave (A) of ((2)) is now in progress as 5 waves. Down from wave ((1)), wave ((i)) ended at 15524.85 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 15667.21. Index resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards 14913.98, and wave ((iv)) ended at 15128.25. Final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 14887.44 which completed wave 1.
Corrective rally in wave 2 has ended at 15272.11 and the Index resumes lower in wave 3 towards 14702.91. Wave 4 is proposed complete at 1488.06. Expect the Index to see a few more lows before ending wave 5 and this should complete wave (A) in larger degree. Afterwards, the Index should rally in wave (B) to correct cycle from 3.7.2023 high before it resumes lower again in wave (C) of ((2)). Near term, as far as pivot at 15707.6 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
DAX rising on the MA100 (1d). Low risk buy here.DAX is trading inside a Channel Up pattern since November 3rd.
The price almost hit the MA100 (1d) today and instantly jumped.
The drop completed a -6.50% decline, consistent with the prior decline to the Higher Low of the Channel Up on December 20th.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 16200 (representing a +10.40% increase, consistent with the rises of January 17th and November 14th).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is inside its own Channel pattern and it has registered a Double Bottom. An additional buy signal.
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BIG SHORT ON THE DAXAs you can see from my track record, I am never wrong.
The DAX will sell off to 14100.
I have taken my trade at the very top.
Let us watch this unfold.
Cheers
DAX: Rally started and targets 16,500DAX is rising again on the 1D MA50 after hitting the bottom of the four month Channel Up. The 1D technicals are on the best buy levels possible (RSI = 46.297, MACD = 24.600, ADX = 26.606) and the 1D RSI is also rebounding on the bottom of its Channel Down.
According to the extent of the previous two DAX rallies, we are expecting a +11.50% bullish wave to be completed, it is not late to go long even on the current levels (TP = 1
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DAX IndexHello Traders,
Dax Index is heading to 15200 K zone then probably there will face a lot of sellers.
Long intraday TP 15200 circa.
Trade safe.
Illyrian Finance
DAX Major bearish breakoutWe're watching the support level of 14877 very closely as it's a major overlap, 23.6% Fib retracement and a break of this level, coinciding with the ichimoku cloud bearish exit, could trigger a massive drop to the next support level at 13863.
It's also nice to see strong bearish divergence vs Stochastic suggesting we could see a big reversal upon the break of the 14877 level.
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DAX Major bearish breakoutWe're watching the support level of 14877 very closely as it's a major overlap, 23.6% Fib retracement and a break of this level, coinciding with the ichimoku cloud bearish exit, could trigger a massive drop to the next support level at 13863.
It's also nice to see strong bearish divergence vs Stochastic suggesting we could see a big reversal upon the break of the 14877 level.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DAX BEARISH SCENARIO NOT OVERDAX felt 3.04% in Monday, biggest drop for the instrument after December. Investors are cautious after the failings of SVB and Signature Bank that the entire bank sector might be badly hurt from the sharp rise of interests in the last year.
On the technical front both MACD and RSI indicators are suggesting continuity of the bearish movement, with RSI below the 50 neutral line and MACD histogram deep under the zero line and keep falling.
If the current movement continues, the price might try to test levels of 14500. In the opposite scenario the price might revert back to 15410.
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DAX still showing positive signs?GER40 - Intraday -
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
We look to buy dips.
Support is located at 15290 and should stem dips to this area.
Our outlook is bullish.
We look to Buy at 15291 (stop at 15191)
Our profit targets will be 15471 and 15531
Resistance: 15500 / 15550 / 15600
Support: 15400 / 15350 / 15290
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.