Has DAX formed a top?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 22635.
An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high.
Posted a Double Top formation.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
We look to Sell at 22635 (stop at 22805)
Our profit targets will be 22205 and 22105
Resistance: 22552 / 22700 / 22852
Support: 22370 / 22280 / 22100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Dax30
My Long Dax Idea 21-2-2025Took a long on GER40 After the dip that happened yesterday. The fundamentals are straightforward and DAX40 scores 6 on Edgefinder. The technical setups are looking good and indicating for a possible "bottom". Now we don't really know how far this price action will take us up since the European economy is not stable, yet.
Will keep an eye on it.
“Rheinmetall Pushes DAX Higher“ but until When?. Trend Lines and Moving Averages:
• Moving Averages (MA): Check the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. DAX is trading above these averages and the 50-day is above the 200-day, that generally indicates an upward trend. A crossover (where the 50-day falls below the 200-day) might suggest a shift to a bearish trend. Stay tuned!!
• Trend Lines: Draw trend lines connecting recent highs & lows. An upward-sloping trend line suggests bullish momentum, Which, in reality triggers an alarm for shortterm buyers to start selling and waiting for a pull back to buy cheaper by waiting downward-sloping bearish pressure.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
• An RSI above 70 typically indicates that the asset might be overbought, suggesting a possible pullback or consolidation.
EURO STOXX 50 celebrates new ATH, due to Ukraine war abateThe European stock rally is beginning as investors have gotten optimistic about a potential ceasefire in Ukraine.
The end of the 3-years conflict was always a wild card for European equity markets. Now investors are starting to prepare for this scenario, aggressively buying energy-intensive sectors and European laggards.
While a lot of upside potential remains for some sectors, the path ahead is likely to be rapid. The benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 has rarely been this overbought in the past four years.
Some investors have been aggressively buying back their shorts on Europe, while others are diversifying out of expensive and heavily concentrated US equities. The region trades at about a 40% discount to the US and this gap has the potential to narrow. There’s also room for gains within the Stoxx Europe 600 to broaden, with just 20% of its members in overbought territory.
With the prospect of an eventual ceasefire on investors’ minds after the US and Russian leaders agreed to start negotiations, stocks geared to the reconstruction of Ukraine are in focus, like construction stocks Heidelberg Materials AG and Holcim AG as well as chemicals company BASF SE.
The strategists at Barclays Plc are overweight chemicals but are more cautious on autos, partly due to the US tariffs threat. They say construction materials have had a strong run already, while mining and steel may have more catch-up potential, along with transport and leisure.
Rebuilding Ukraine would be one of the largest construction undertakings in recent years, with total costs of nearly $500 billion, according to the World Bank. This would be highly commodity-intensive, especially for steel and cement, to restore buildings and infrastructure.
It is clearly unequivocally good news for European markets.
The EURO STOXX 50 is a stock index that represents 50 of the largest and most liquid stocks in the Eurozone. It is designed to represent blue-chip companies considered leaders in their respective sectors. The EURO STOXX 50 is one of the most liquid indices for the Eurozone.
Key facts about the EURO STOXX 50:
The index includes shares from various Eurozone countries, including Belgium, France, Finland, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain.
France and Germany contribute to over 66% of the index.
The technology, industrial goods and services, and consumer products and services sectors account for more than 45% of the index.
The EURO STOXX 50 was introduced on February 26, 1998. Prices were calculated retroactively to 1986, with a base value of 1000 points on December 31, 1991.
The index captures about 60% of the free-float market capitalization of the EURO STOXX Total Market Index (TMI), which covers about 95% of the free-float market capitalization of the countries represented.
The EURO STOXX 50 serves as a benchmark for the Eurozone's stock market performance.
Eurex trades futures and options on the EURO STOXX 50, which are among the most liquid products in Europe and worldwide.
Technical challenge
The main 6-month graph for EURO STOXX 50 futures indicates the epic all time high (1st time over past 25 years), with a potential further upside price action.
DAX Rally Overstretched? Initiating a Strategic Short PositionSince February 25, the DAX has surged by 7.24% without a meaningful pullback, suggesting potential overextension. Coupled with emerging bearish technical indicators and unfavorable economic fundamentals, this presents an opportunity for a short position.
Fundamental Analysis:
Germany’s economic landscape is currently facing several challenges:
• Economic Slowdown: The government has slashed its 2025 growth forecast to 0.3%, down from the previous 1.1%, citing trade tensions and domestic uncertainties.
• Industrial Strife: Major companies are implementing job cuts and factory closures to manage rising costs and global competition, leading to increased labor disputes and uncertainty over Germany’s manufacturing sector.
• Political Uncertainty: Upcoming European and local elections have intensified debates over economic policies and migration, contributing to market volatility and investor caution.
Trade Details:
• Entry: 22,611
• Stop-Loss: 23,000
• Target Zone: 21,800 - 21,600
• Partial Profits: To be taken at key support levels
The confluence of technical signals and economic headwinds suggests a potential correction in the DAX. This short trade aims to capitalize on the anticipated pullback, with risk managed through a well-placed stop-loss and planned profit-taking at identified support zones.
Next week will be critical for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases shaping market sentiment. Investors should particularly watch the PMI data on Friday, which could significantly impact expectations for the region’s economic trajectory.
Stay informed and trade responsibly.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX NO CHANGES IN THE LABELING FORECAST TOPThe chart of the German Dax. All markets are in harmony in the formations . Inflation causes higher prices higher prices causes higher revenues higher revenues causes higher profits which causes higher stock prices based on increased Earnings . So without inflation All ASSETS DEFLATE !! That is just about to happen !!!
DAX to turnaround?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Short term momentum is bearish.
Short term oscillators have turned negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
A break of the recent low at 21166 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We look to Sell at 21249 (stop at 21351)
Our profit targets will be 20961 and 20881
Resistance: 21250 / 21370 / 21531
Support: 21166 / 21100 / 20950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER40/DAX "GERMANY 40" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40/DAX "GERMANY 40" Indices Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Target 🎯: 19,300 or Before 19,400
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Economic Factors:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and the US, could negatively impact German exports and growth.
Trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China, as well as between the US and the EU, could negatively impact German exports and growth.
Brexit uncertainty: The ongoing Brexit process could lead to uncertainty and volatility in the European markets.
Monetary Policy Factors:
ECB's monetary policy: A less accommodative monetary policy from the European Central Bank (ECB), potentially leading to higher interest rates, could negatively impact the index.
Interest rate differential: A widening interest rate differential between the US and the EU could lead to a stronger USD and weaker EUR, negatively impacting the index.
Geopolitical Factors:
EU political instability: Political instability in the EU, potentially driven by a more fragmented European Parliament, could negatively impact the index.
Global geopolitical tensions: Escalating global geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, could negatively impact the index.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any decisions.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
DAX/GER - HOPE YOU CHECK LAST SHORT TRADETeam, with DAX
last week, we suggested shorting at 20515-25, and we reached 3 of our target
Today, we find an opportunity to go to LONG DAX at 20208-20215
STOP LOSS at 20182 - extension to 20165
Target at 20245-56 - please take partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 20272-83
DAX Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Amid CPI VolatilityDAX Technical Analysis:
The price reversed from their ATH, and now has a bearish momentum as long as trades below 20350 will touch 20220 and then should break 20220 to continue the bearish trend toward 20020 and 19910.
Otherwise should break the ATH closing 1h or 4h candles above it to be a bullish area toward 20575
The market will be volatile due to the Result of CPI.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20350
Resistance Levels: 20460, 20580
Support Levels: 20220, 20020, 19910
Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum
DAX to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 20259 should result in a further move lower.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell a break of 20245 (stop at 20365)
Our profit targets will be 19945 and 19845
Resistance: 20396 / 20474 / 20600
Support: 20259 / 20200 / 20119
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 4H Long Setup
Trade Idea:
- Long in the 4H FVG post-CPI wick grab, following a potential exhaustion of the ongoing short setup.
Confluence:
- FVG Zone: Price retraces into the 4H Fair Value Gap, providing a strong discounted entry point.
- Liquidity Grab: CPI wick likely cleared liquidity below, setting the stage for a bullish reversal.
- Dynamic Support: 4H Kijun aligns with FVG, reinforcing the zone as a high-probability support.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss below the 4H FVG.
- Targeting 1:2+ RRR with initial profit-taking at 20,400 and extended targets toward 20,500 .
Quick Take:
If CPI triggers downside liquidity sweep, this setup offers a clean bullish reversal opportunity. Watch for confirmation before entry!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a confirmed bearish structure and pre-market rejection.
- Confluence Factors:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price retraces into a bearish FVG for a high-probability short entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bearish break supports downside continuation.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H Kijun line aligns with the FVG, reinforcing dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: The price action indicates a sweep of liquidity above the FVG, creating strong rejection signals.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG zone for tight risk management.
- 1:2.35 RRR as per chart, targeting liquidity zones below.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,309 , aligning with intermediate liquidity.
- TP2 around 20,250 for a deeper liquidity sweep.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: GER40 shows bearish signals with a weakening broader market sentiment.
- Volume Profile: Declining buy-side volume within the FVG zone signals limited bullish interest.
- Pre-Market Behavior: Rejection from the FVG aligns with pre-market bearish tendencies, further supporting the setup.
Execution Plan:
- Short entry within the FVG zone, managing risk with a stop-loss above the FVG.
- Strict adherence to the 1:2.35 RRR with partial profit-taking at TP1 and remaining at TP2.
- Monitor market conditions and invalidate if price reclaims the FVG or breaks the Kijun level.
Extra Note: Keep an eye on macroeconomic triggers that could cause sudden volatility, particularly during the European session. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
DAX forming a top?GER40 - 24h expiry
Sequence of 7 positive daily performances broken.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
A higher correction is expected.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 20415 (stop at 20535)
Our profit targets will be 20115 and 20025
Resistance: 20350 / 20474 / 20600
Support: 20260 / 20200 / 20000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) following a clear bearish shift in market structure.
- Confluence Factors:
- Break of Structure (BOS): Price confirms a bearish break, with a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) reinforcing downside bias.
- FVG Rejection: Anticipating rejection within the 1H FVG as price retests this imbalance area, providing an optimal entry point.
- Kijun Resistance: Kijun line on the 1H timeframe aligns as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR with a tight stop-loss above the FVG zone.
- Target: TP1 near liquidity at 20,306 ; TP2 at deeper liquidity grab around 20,260 .
Confluence Factors:
- Market Context: Indices showing signs of pullback after extended bullish momentum, with GER40 leading a potential retracement.
- Volume Signals: Declining buy-side volume during recent highs, indicating exhaustion and paving the way for downside.
- Liquidity Levels: Price action aligns with tapping liquidity from equal highs before driving into lower demand zones.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the 1H FVG.
- Maintain tight risk management with a stop-loss just above the FVG zone.
- Reassess trade if price closes above the Kijun or invalidates the bearish structure.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic news or EUR-related sentiment for potential catalysts that could impact volatility in GER40. Let me know if you'd like any additional details or adjustments!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Pre-Market Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the pre-market bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting the defined downside liquidity zones.
- Confluence Factors:
- Pre-Market Gap: Price retraced into the FVG formed during bearish pre-market movement, offering a low-risk, high-reward entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): A confirmed bearish structure break reinforces downside momentum.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H and 4H Kijun levels align with the FVG, acting as strong dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: Recent liquidity sweep near the highs sets the stage for further bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG to maintain a tight risk.
- 1:3.83 RRR as per the defined target zones on the chart.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,267 , aligning with local liquidity.
- TP2 at 20,240 , deeper liquidity grab zone for full target execution.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Pre-market signals and reduced buyer strength suggest increased selling pressure ahead of European market open.
- Economic Indicators: Risk-off behavior in broader markets supports bearish bias.
- Volume Profile: Weak buyer volume within the FVG zone adds confluence for downside continuation.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the FVG zone with a stop-loss just above it.
- Strictly adhere to the 1:3.83 RRR, with partial profit-taking at TP1 and the remainder at TP2.
- Monitor the European open for any shifts in momentum that could invalidate the setup.
Extra Note: Stay updated on economic news or key macro triggers that could influence GER40's short-term price action. Let me know if you'd like further refinements!