Trading week recap for NASDAQ, DOW, DAX & FTSE (29/07/2023)Let's look back at the past trading week and learn from it. What went well? What could be better?
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Dax30
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (29/07/2023)In our primary scenario we expect a bit more upside as a wave (5) to finish the higher level wave ((1)). For investors, we are in an area to take (partial) profits. Investors do not buy here as the data shows a bearish divergence. Investors should wait for a decent wave ((2)) pullback before buying again. Traders should analyze the lower timeframe. We see opportunities for both short and long trades next week.
DAX to reach a new all time high today?GER40 - Intraday
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 16450.
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Short term momentum is bullish.
We look for gains to be extended today.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
We look to Buy a break of 16461 (stop at 16361)
Our profit targets will be 16711 and 16781
Resistance: 16450 / 16600 / 16700
Support: 16330 / 16250 / 16200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX intraday dips continue to attract buyers.GER40 - 24h expiry
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
50 4hour EMA is at 16125.
We look to buy dips.
Price action continues to trade around significant highs.
We look to Buy at 16131 (stop at 16031)
Our profit targets will be 16381 and 16461
Resistance: 16240 / 16300 / 16400
Support: 16200 / 16150 / 16100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Unleash the Bull: DAX Breaks Boundaries!Bullish/Bearish Momentum:
The Macro PVVM, which indicates long-term trend, has been consistently increasing from 68 to 102. This is a strong sign of a bullish momentum in the long term. The indicator breached the overbought level (>100) on the last data point suggesting a strong bullish trend but also the potential risk of a pullback.
The Micro PVVM, representing short-term movement, has also shown a general increase from 12 to 41 with some periods of pullback, which indicates a predominantly bullish momentum in the short term.
Alignment with Closing Prices:
The closing prices have generally been increasing, aligning well with the bullish momentum indicated by the PVVM indicators. The price moved from $16147 to $16189 with some fluctuations.
Long-term and Short-term Trends:
Long-term (Macro) Trend : The continuous increase in the Macro PVVM suggests a long-term bullish trend.
Short-term (Micro) Trend : The short-term trend, represented by the Micro PVVM, has also been predominantly bullish, but the ups and downs suggest a higher level of volatility and uncertainty in the short-term trend.
Key Takeaways:
The OANDA:DE30EUR is in a strong bullish trend based on the provided dataset, with both Macro and Micro PVVM showing an increasing trend.
The Macro PVVM has breached the overbought level, indicating a strong bullish market but also warning of potential short-term pullbacks.
The short-term movement shows volatility, which means traders should be cautious.
Proposed Trade Strategy:
Long Position : As the overall trend is bullish, traders can consider entering long positions. However, they need to watch out for potential pullbacks due to the overbought condition.
Short Position : Given the overbought state of the market, traders could consider short positions if there are clear signs of bearish reversal in the Micro PVVM or a decrease in the Macro PVVM.
Price Prediction:
Given the current trend, the TVC:DEU40 could continue to increase in the next 7 bars. However, as the Macro PVVM has entered the overbought territory, a short-term pullback or consolidation could also occur.
Critical Points to Watch:
Continuation of the bullish trend in the Macro PVVM.
Signs of a reversal in the Micro PVVM, given the overbought condition in Macro PVVM.
Price movements and their correlation with PVVM indicators. Watch out for any divergence between price and PVVM indicators, as it may suggest potential trend reversals.
Remember, while the PVVM indicators provide valuable insight into the market's direction, they are not infallible and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and fundamentals for the most reliable results.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (22/07/2023)In our primary scenario we expect a bit more upside as a wave (5) to finish the higher level wave ((1)). In our secondary scenario, the high might be in and the pullback might have started. For investors, we are in an area to take (partial) profits. Investors do not buy here as the data shows a bearish divergence. Investors should wait for a decent wave ((2)) pullback before buying again. Traders should analyze the lower timeframe. We see opportunities for both short and long trades next week.
Trading week recap for NASDAQ, DOW, DAX & FTSE (22/07/2023)Let's look back at the past trading week and learn from it. What went well? What could be better?
This is an experiment. Educational content to become a good waver. If you like this video, please let me know by commenting. Any suggestions? Please let me know.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 18/07/2023We discuss three scenarios that could play out today. We reached the area where the wave ((4)) can end. In case of a single correction, we should start to see an upside movement. In case of a double correction, wave ((4)) can retrace deeper. Finally, we also might see no wave ((4)) if the preceding three waves up are part of a larger WXY correction. In that case, a new wave 4 low in the higher degree cannot be excluded.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 17/07/2023We discuss three scenarios that could play out today. We reached the area where the wave ((4)) can end. In case of a single correction, we should start to see an upside movement. In case of a double correction, wave ((4)) can retrace deeper. Finally, we also might see no wave ((4)) if the preceding three waves up are part of a larger WXY correction. In that case, a new wave 4 low in the higher degree cannot be excluded.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (15/07/2023)In our primary scenario we expect a bit more upside as a wave (5) to finish the higher level wave ((1)). In our secondary scenario, the high might be in and the pullback might have started. For investors, we are in an area to take (partial) profits. Investors do not buy here as the data shows a bearish divergence. Investors should wait for a decent wave ((2)) pullback before buying again. Traders should analyze the lower timeframe. We see opportunities for both short and long trades next week.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 14/07/2023We need a bit more data but traders can prepare for a short trade. In case of an impulse, we wait for 5 waves up that end with divergence. Keep in mind that we do not necessarily need the 5 waves up, 3 waves in the form of an ABC is also possible. If we stick with the three waves, a new wave 4 low cannot be excluded.
Will DAX find buyers at previous support?GER40 - 24h expiry
Short term oscillators have turned positive.
Previous resistance at 15750 now becomes support.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Prices have reacted from 15450.
Trading volume is increasing.
We look to Buy at 15741 (stop at 15641)
Our profit targets will be 15991 and 16051
Resistance: 15851 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15800 / 15750 / 15650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Dax40 Long turned down, but first support can be nearDax has been trading higher since October 2022 but five waves up from that low suggested that bulls are done for now and that correction is in play. In fact, we have seen a nice reversal down recently, through the trendline support on the 4h chart so the corrective phase is here, but with three waves down from the top, we may start observing some of the support for wave (C). An interesting level for a new price stabilization can be at 15300-15400 area.