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Dax30

German DAX trending higher Daily Insight Commentary: Monday - German Industrial Production m/m beats forecast this follows Friday’s strong September factory orders data German DAX +12% since October 13th Higher tops and higher bottoms on price indicates short term uptrend taking shape (daily chart) , however resistance in front of current price may push price lower before continuing any further advance. Current price 13,441 Key resistance at 13,555 , a break above resistance places 13,750 in sight for longs with a short term view (5 to 25 days), while short sellers may be aiming for a retest of the 12,950 support spotted at the 38.2% retracement from the 4 week high.
SKILLING:DE40Long
by Skilling
DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022 DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 7-11 November 2022 We can see that this week our volatility is at 3.45% which declined from 3.59% last week. Currently according to ATR we are on 36th percentile, and according to DVOL we are on 15th percentile, indicating in both cases, that we are currently is a quiet market. And as a matter of fact we can that this was case for the last weeks but at the same time , one has to be aware that during this "quiet times", things can change radically. Now, based on the implied volatility data that we have for this week, lets look into further details. We can see that currently there is 18.2% chance, that our candle is going to close at the end of the week either above/below the next channel TOP: 13880 BOT: 12920 This can also be translated as a 81.8% chance that the market is going to move within this established range. At the same, looking at the previous high/low values of the candle, and taking into account the entire history available of data, we can expect that there is going to be a 73% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of 13500 26% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of 13000
XETR:DAX
by exlux
Porsche: Ready to Race?Instead of stepping on the gas pedal, the Porsche stock corrected as soon as it touched our tourqoise target zone. We predict that the course continues to drop into the red zone between 56.44€ and 44.06€, until it completes the red wave (2). Following the correction, the trend should head towards the resistance at 69.20€. In an alternative scenario with a 35% chance, the Porsche stock has the opportunity to push for a rapid turnaround now and exceed the 69.20€ resistance mark to gain further pace on the upper side.
XETR:PAH3Short
by MarketIntel
DAX Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 DAX Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.3%, increasing from 7.18% of last month. This is currently placing us in the 70th percentile according to ATR and 91th according to VDAX. Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is: BEARISH Candle : 5.3% BULLISH Candle : 5.14% With this in mind we can expect with a close to 16% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel: BOT: 12385 TOP: 14302 Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a : 75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 13300 (already happened yesterday) 25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 11900
XETR:DAX
by exlux
DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022 DAX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022 Currently the volatility for this week is around 3.82% , up from expected 2.7% last week. According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 50th percentile. Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is : BEAR : 2.49% from the opening point of the weekly candle BULL : 1.84% from the opening point of the weekly candle At the same time, currently there is 20.2% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to break and close either above or below the next channel: TOP: 13617 BOT: 12891 Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a : 75% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high 25% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low
XETR:DAX
by exlux
DAX Breakout or Breakdown?The DAX has rallied significantly since the end of September after touching a major support range at 11,550 - 11,850 - the area that price bottomed in November of 2020 It is now pressuring the downtrend extending from the yearly highs and could be poised to break higher A convincing close above downtrend resistance would provide a great buying opportunity with near-term targets at 13,570 and 13,950 However, if trend resistance holds firm, a continued downside push looks likely, with a great opportunity to sell and chase price back to yearly lows
XETR:DAX
by dmoss94
Bullish technical conditions Looking ahead - ECB interest rate decision tomorrow Tomorrow: 12:15 GMT European Central Bank (ECB) meeting takes place where a +0.75% (75 basis point) increase is expected Market movers: German DAX testing resistance opening up the potential for a further upside advance? DAX Index: Bullish technical conditions in the very short-term following the reversal from the 11,829 low, the reversal signals the index may have entered a “corrective” cycle and if proven true places 13,144 at key resistance and 13,721 as prospective upside targets for longs with stops at 12,893. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SKILLING:DE40Long
by Skilling