DAX - short term correction currently very Overbought!Hi guys, we are following up with our next opportunity DAX :
Currently it has been perfoming fantastic as being part of the biggest Economy in Europe, and it reached a glorious All time High, following up with the western Indices , SP500,NASDAQ100 and Dow Jones. Currently the price has reached a very overbought level based on the RSI check on 1H time frame and 4H time frame, so for the time being I am looking into a short term correction with a follow up to maybe break down the current all time high and get passed it.
Entry : 20,400
Target : 19,916
Let's see how things are going to formulate and move from there.
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Dax30short
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a confirmed bearish structure and pre-market rejection.
- Confluence Factors:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price retraces into a bearish FVG for a high-probability short entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bearish break supports downside continuation.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H Kijun line aligns with the FVG, reinforcing dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: The price action indicates a sweep of liquidity above the FVG, creating strong rejection signals.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG zone for tight risk management.
- 1:2.35 RRR as per chart, targeting liquidity zones below.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,309 , aligning with intermediate liquidity.
- TP2 around 20,250 for a deeper liquidity sweep.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: GER40 shows bearish signals with a weakening broader market sentiment.
- Volume Profile: Declining buy-side volume within the FVG zone signals limited bullish interest.
- Pre-Market Behavior: Rejection from the FVG aligns with pre-market bearish tendencies, further supporting the setup.
Execution Plan:
- Short entry within the FVG zone, managing risk with a stop-loss above the FVG.
- Strict adherence to the 1:2.35 RRR with partial profit-taking at TP1 and remaining at TP2.
- Monitor market conditions and invalidate if price reclaims the FVG or breaks the Kijun level.
Extra Note: Keep an eye on macroeconomic triggers that could cause sudden volatility, particularly during the European session. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) following a clear bearish shift in market structure.
- Confluence Factors:
- Break of Structure (BOS): Price confirms a bearish break, with a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) reinforcing downside bias.
- FVG Rejection: Anticipating rejection within the 1H FVG as price retests this imbalance area, providing an optimal entry point.
- Kijun Resistance: Kijun line on the 1H timeframe aligns as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR with a tight stop-loss above the FVG zone.
- Target: TP1 near liquidity at 20,306 ; TP2 at deeper liquidity grab around 20,260 .
Confluence Factors:
- Market Context: Indices showing signs of pullback after extended bullish momentum, with GER40 leading a potential retracement.
- Volume Signals: Declining buy-side volume during recent highs, indicating exhaustion and paving the way for downside.
- Liquidity Levels: Price action aligns with tapping liquidity from equal highs before driving into lower demand zones.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the 1H FVG.
- Maintain tight risk management with a stop-loss just above the FVG zone.
- Reassess trade if price closes above the Kijun or invalidates the bearish structure.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic news or EUR-related sentiment for potential catalysts that could impact volatility in GER40. Let me know if you'd like any additional details or adjustments!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Pre-Market Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the pre-market bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting the defined downside liquidity zones.
- Confluence Factors:
- Pre-Market Gap: Price retraced into the FVG formed during bearish pre-market movement, offering a low-risk, high-reward entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): A confirmed bearish structure break reinforces downside momentum.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H and 4H Kijun levels align with the FVG, acting as strong dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: Recent liquidity sweep near the highs sets the stage for further bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG to maintain a tight risk.
- 1:3.83 RRR as per the defined target zones on the chart.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,267 , aligning with local liquidity.
- TP2 at 20,240 , deeper liquidity grab zone for full target execution.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Pre-market signals and reduced buyer strength suggest increased selling pressure ahead of European market open.
- Economic Indicators: Risk-off behavior in broader markets supports bearish bias.
- Volume Profile: Weak buyer volume within the FVG zone adds confluence for downside continuation.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the FVG zone with a stop-loss just above it.
- Strictly adhere to the 1:3.83 RRR, with partial profit-taking at TP1 and the remainder at TP2.
- Monitor the European open for any shifts in momentum that could invalidate the setup.
Extra Note: Stay updated on economic news or key macro triggers that could influence GER40's short-term price action. Let me know if you'd like further refinements!
DAX may have topped alreadySince mid-August, the German index has risen nicely, gaining 2,000 points, or around 10%. However, at the end of October, the GER30 broke below its rising trendline, suggesting a potential top.
Currently, the price is consolidating within a range, and a break below 19,000 could indicate a future decline. Key support levels are at 18,300, followed by 17,300.
If you expect the index to stay below 20,000, selling rallies around 19,300 could be a viable strategy.
DAX/GER retest yesterday high - prepare to shortTeam, with the DAX, we need to wait for the confirmation before we enter the short. We are waiting for the trend to be retested. And Confirm if it is a FAKE breakout.
We consider entering the short position at 18887-18883. STOP LOSS at 18953. We are updating pricing as well. Less confuse
Target 1 - 18832
Target 2 - 18790-18784
Target 3 - 18746-18723
DAX30/GER30 PREPARE TO SHORT ONCE THE PRICE HITTeam, I am waiting for the price to move toward our position to short.
We are considering shorting once the price hits below 18703-18697. The current price is at 18720
We assume the stop loss at 18775, but a safer stop loss level would be at 18817
Our target would be 18619.4. Please reduce or take profit from 50% to 70% of your volume at this price and trail your stop loss toward BE.
And second target is 18526
SHORT DAX40 at the current market price Team we are shorting the at the current price of 18556, you can use stop loss at 18613 or 18684
Target 1 at 18511.2
target 2 at 18422
target 3 at 18383
Please note: once the price hit the first target at 18511.1 take 50-60% volume
trail your stop loss to 18613. There will be a consolidated period between 18480-18555, so please be aware
GET READY TO SHORT DAX/GER30 OR 40Good evening to everyone,
We have not seen a beautiful pricing like this for a while.
We found good opportunity once the price hit 18933 to short, with stop loss at 18977
Target 1 18889
Target 2 - 18819
Target 3 - 18761
Please note, once the price hit first target, take some partial profit, trail stop loss to 18937 then continue to focus on second target and so on.. any strong trend pull back then get out.
DAX to get back on the old tracks?GER40 - 24h expiry
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
A break of the recent low at 15070 should result in a further move lower.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Short term momentum is bearish.
We look to Sell a break of 15058 (stop at 15158)
Our profit targets will be 14808 and 14758
Resistance: 15150 / 15230 / 15270
Support: 15070 / 15000 / 14900
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