Mastering the German 40 Index: A Comprehensive Trading Strategy 👀👉 In this detailed video, I examine the complexities of trading the German 40 Index (DAX), sharing my personal trading plan and strategies aimed at identifying lucrative trade opportunities. Most importantly, my goal is to provide you with the essential tools to effectively navigate the indices markets. 📈✨
KEY HIGHLIGHTS:
✅ Trading Strategy Overview: I outline a structured approach to planning trades and identifying optimal trading opportunities.
✅ Technical Analysis Techniques: We explore concepts such as Wyckoff Theory and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) principles, emphasizing their application in real-world trading scenarios.
✅ Timeframe Analysis: The video guides you through analyzing higher timeframes to inform lower timeframe entries, ensuring a well-rounded trading strategy.
✅ Entry Points & Risk Management: Learn how to pinpoint entry points, set effective stop-loss orders, and establish profit targets to maximize your trading success. 🎯
✅ TradingView Features: I highlight essential features of TradingView, showcasing two advanced indicators: the Volume Profile and VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), which are crucial for intraday analysis and understanding market trends. 📊
🔔 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading activities.
Join me on this journey to enhance your trading skills and gain valuable insights into the German 40 Index! Don't forget to comment and if you found the info of value, giving this post a BOOST would be awesome! 🙏
Dax40
GER40 | 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME | TECHNICAL CHARTHello guys, I made FOREXCOM:GER40 analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL (GER40) 20,411.4 - 20,450,1
🟢TP1: 20,380,9
🟢TP2: 20,345,9
🟢TP3: 20,278,0
🔴SL: 20,557,2
Stay with love guys.
DAX Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Amid CPI VolatilityDAX Technical Analysis:
The price reversed from their ATH, and now has a bearish momentum as long as trades below 20350 will touch 20220 and then should break 20220 to continue the bearish trend toward 20020 and 19910.
Otherwise should break the ATH closing 1h or 4h candles above it to be a bullish area toward 20575
The market will be volatile due to the Result of CPI.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20350
Resistance Levels: 20460, 20580
Support Levels: 20220, 20020, 19910
Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 4H Long Setup
Trade Idea:
- Long in the 4H FVG post-CPI wick grab, following a potential exhaustion of the ongoing short setup.
Confluence:
- FVG Zone: Price retraces into the 4H Fair Value Gap, providing a strong discounted entry point.
- Liquidity Grab: CPI wick likely cleared liquidity below, setting the stage for a bullish reversal.
- Dynamic Support: 4H Kijun aligns with FVG, reinforcing the zone as a high-probability support.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss below the 4H FVG.
- Targeting 1:2+ RRR with initial profit-taking at 20,400 and extended targets toward 20,500 .
Quick Take:
If CPI triggers downside liquidity sweep, this setup offers a clean bullish reversal opportunity. Watch for confirmation before entry!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a confirmed bearish structure and pre-market rejection.
- Confluence Factors:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price retraces into a bearish FVG for a high-probability short entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bearish break supports downside continuation.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H Kijun line aligns with the FVG, reinforcing dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: The price action indicates a sweep of liquidity above the FVG, creating strong rejection signals.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG zone for tight risk management.
- 1:2.35 RRR as per chart, targeting liquidity zones below.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,309 , aligning with intermediate liquidity.
- TP2 around 20,250 for a deeper liquidity sweep.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: GER40 shows bearish signals with a weakening broader market sentiment.
- Volume Profile: Declining buy-side volume within the FVG zone signals limited bullish interest.
- Pre-Market Behavior: Rejection from the FVG aligns with pre-market bearish tendencies, further supporting the setup.
Execution Plan:
- Short entry within the FVG zone, managing risk with a stop-loss above the FVG.
- Strict adherence to the 1:2.35 RRR with partial profit-taking at TP1 and remaining at TP2.
- Monitor market conditions and invalidate if price reclaims the FVG or breaks the Kijun level.
Extra Note: Keep an eye on macroeconomic triggers that could cause sudden volatility, particularly during the European session. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
DAX forming a top?GER40 - 24h expiry
Sequence of 7 positive daily performances broken.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Short term MACD has turned negative.
A higher correction is expected.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 20415 (stop at 20535)
Our profit targets will be 20115 and 20025
Resistance: 20350 / 20474 / 20600
Support: 20260 / 20200 / 20000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) following a clear bearish shift in market structure.
- Confluence Factors:
- Break of Structure (BOS): Price confirms a bearish break, with a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) reinforcing downside bias.
- FVG Rejection: Anticipating rejection within the 1H FVG as price retests this imbalance area, providing an optimal entry point.
- Kijun Resistance: Kijun line on the 1H timeframe aligns as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR with a tight stop-loss above the FVG zone.
- Target: TP1 near liquidity at 20,306 ; TP2 at deeper liquidity grab around 20,260 .
Confluence Factors:
- Market Context: Indices showing signs of pullback after extended bullish momentum, with GER40 leading a potential retracement.
- Volume Signals: Declining buy-side volume during recent highs, indicating exhaustion and paving the way for downside.
- Liquidity Levels: Price action aligns with tapping liquidity from equal highs before driving into lower demand zones.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the 1H FVG.
- Maintain tight risk management with a stop-loss just above the FVG zone.
- Reassess trade if price closes above the Kijun or invalidates the bearish structure.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic news or EUR-related sentiment for potential catalysts that could impact volatility in GER40. Let me know if you'd like any additional details or adjustments!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Pre-Market Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the pre-market bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting the defined downside liquidity zones.
- Confluence Factors:
- Pre-Market Gap: Price retraced into the FVG formed during bearish pre-market movement, offering a low-risk, high-reward entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): A confirmed bearish structure break reinforces downside momentum.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H and 4H Kijun levels align with the FVG, acting as strong dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: Recent liquidity sweep near the highs sets the stage for further bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG to maintain a tight risk.
- 1:3.83 RRR as per the defined target zones on the chart.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,267 , aligning with local liquidity.
- TP2 at 20,240 , deeper liquidity grab zone for full target execution.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Pre-market signals and reduced buyer strength suggest increased selling pressure ahead of European market open.
- Economic Indicators: Risk-off behavior in broader markets supports bearish bias.
- Volume Profile: Weak buyer volume within the FVG zone adds confluence for downside continuation.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the FVG zone with a stop-loss just above it.
- Strictly adhere to the 1:3.83 RRR, with partial profit-taking at TP1 and the remainder at TP2.
- Monitor the European open for any shifts in momentum that could invalidate the setup.
Extra Note: Stay updated on economic news or key macro triggers that could influence GER40's short-term price action. Let me know if you'd like further refinements!
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 1H Long Setup: Entering at 0.5 FVG Level
I'm eyeing a long position on the GER40 (DAX) based on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown of my trade setup:
🔹 Entry Point:
- Entering at the 0.5 level of the hourly Fair Value Gap (FVG).
🔹 Risk Management:
- Risk: 1% of the trading account.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2.
- Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the 1H Kijun-sen line to account for potential volatility.
🔹 Trade Idea:
- Expecting a retracement to the FVG before resuming the upward trend.
- Aware that price action might slice through our SL, but willing to see how it unfolds.
📊 Technical Analysis:
- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the cloud, indicating a bullish trend. Placing the SL below the 1H Kijun-sen provides a safety net against sudden dips.
- FVG Levels: Fair Value Gaps often act as magnets for price retracements. The 0.5 level is a strategic entry point to capitalize on the potential bounce.
🌐 Macro Factors Supporting the Trade:
- Economic Resilience: Recent data shows that the German economy is demonstrating resilience amid global uncertainties, boosting investor confidence.
- ECB Monetary Policy: The European Central Bank's accommodative stance continues to support liquidity in the markets, which is positive for equities.
- Political Developments: Speculation around leadership changes, such as discussions about President Macron's position, might lead to increased investor optimism in European markets.
- Global Market Sentiment: A general shift towards risk-on sentiment globally can propel the GER40 higher.
📝 Note:
Trading always carries risk. While the setup aligns with both technical and macroeconomic factors, unforeseen events can impact the outcome. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategy as needed.
Let's monitor this trade and see how it plays out. Feel free to share your thoughts or any insights you might have!
DAX 40 Index Closes Above 20,000 for the First TimeDAX 40 Index Closes Above 20,000 for the First Time
On 24 October, we noted that the DAX 40 stock index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) was losing bullish momentum and could break downward from the Bearish Rising Wedge pattern (marked with black lines).
Since then, as indicated by the orange arrow on the DAX 40 chart:
→ The price dropped below the pattern.
→ It found support at the psychological level of 19,000, which had previously acted as resistance (marked by arrows).
→ The price then rose to a historic high, breaking the 20,000 level.
Interestingly, the index has risen despite media reports stating:
→ The IFO Business Climate Index has fallen for the fifth consecutive month.
→ The German Services PMI has remained below 50.0. New data released today confirms that economic weakness is spreading beyond the manufacturing sector.
The bullish sentiment may be driven by the weakening euro, which makes German export-oriented companies more attractive to investors.
Today, the chart of the German stock index DAX 40 (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) indicates that the stock market may be overbought:
→ The RSI indicator is at its highest level since May.
→ The price is near the upper boundary of the channel (marked with purple lines), constructed from key reversal points in autumn 2024.
Given these factors, it seems plausible that a correction could be forming under the current conditions. After the rally that started in late November, the DAX 40 index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) may decline towards the former resistance level of 19,700.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Short Position (Discretionary)
Rationale :
- Overextension: The GER40 index appears significantly overextended without substantial fundamental support.
- Rising German Bond Yields: An increase in German government bond yields suggests a shift towards higher borrowing costs, potentially impacting equity valuations.
- MACD Divergence: A notable divergence between the MACD indicator and price action indicates a weakening bullish momentum, often preceding a trend reversal.
- CVD Divergence: Divergence in the Cumulative Volume Delta points to a disparity between buying and selling pressures, signaling a potential downturn.
Trade Details :
- Position: Short GER40 via market order
- Risk Management:
- Risk per Trade: 1% of trading capital
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
Note: This trade is discretionary and anticipates a sharp correction at market open. Despite the lack of a formal signal, the confluence of technical indicators and macroeconomic factors supports this decision.
DAX/GER - TIME FOR A SHORTTeam, last week we were lucky to get out from the DAX with a profit
then, later they day, it pumps back
DAX either visit old high and retests,
SHORT DAX at current price 19646-50, STOP LOSS AT 19487,
Target 1 at 19548-62
target 2 at 19465-76
Target 3 at 19332-399
NOTE: once the price drop below 19600, bring stop loss to BE to protect the trade
we are looking at 3R-8R on this.
DAX/GER - PREPARE FOR THE BATTLETeam, earlier we went long for scalping only.
but now we are prepare to SHORT once the price is hit our limit order at 19469-18482
STOP LOSS can be set at 19525 - can extend to 19575 depend on your risk
Target 1 at 19433-28 - once it hit, take some partial and bring stop loss to BE to protect the trade
target 2 at 19389-72
target 3 at 19367-48
NOTE: NO rush of an entry, until the price is reach. enter slowly with proper risk management.
Bearish Breakdown Brewing on GER30 – Watch for the Drop!The price action shows a weak uptrend, with lower momentum reflected in the narrow candles nearing resistance.
The red trendline highlights the fragile support beneath the recent structure.
A break below the trendline signals bearish pressure gaining control.
If confirmed, the price is likely to revisit the key demand zone around the red horizontal line at 19,028.77, a major support level from prior lows.
GER40 - Our View for the Next 5 Years ( Weekly) Hello Folks
This is my personal roadmap for tracking GER40 over the next five years, revisiting it month by month to see how things evolve.
Right now, I’m expecting a short-term pullback, but only for a brief period. If the market hits 20K early, it might need to take a breather before aligning with the right cycle timing. However, my focus remains clear: I’m only looking for long opportunities in the bigger picture.
The larger structure is bullish, and any short-term corrections are just part of the process before the next major move upward. It’s all about timing and staying patient as the market reveals its hand.
Let’s see how this plays out in the months ahead
DE40, DAX SHORTLooking at the German DAX index, I am convinced about taking a short position. Over the next few days, I expect it to drop to 18250. What reinforces my view is the head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart. On the American index, some cooling off would also be welcome. I will try to keep this trade updated. Of course, this is just my personal market perspective.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 19,194.43
1st Support: 19,038.61
1st Resistance: 19,346.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into pullback resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 19,198.60
1st Support: 18,949.40
1st Resistance: 19,439.34
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX looks unwell at these highsIt's been a tough few weeks for the DAX. But if the bearish reversal pattern on the daily chart comes to fruition, things could get a worse. I also factor in price action clues on the monthly candlestick chart, which again suggests things could deteriorate further before they get better.
MS.
DAX/GER30-40 - ALL THE WAY FOR RECOVERYTeam,
it has been a while since we are trading this.
Yesterday we did not post, we tried, but hit stop loss
then later I got all the money back as I expect the target hit. but we were using very tight stop loss, no room for movement
Today we are entering between 19050-19060 with STOP LOSS at 19035
Target 1 - 19086-95
Target 2 - 19126-335
Target 3 - 19211-19230
Please NOTE: once the price hit the 1st target, bring STOP LOSS TO BE. REMEMBER to take partial profit.
