Daily analysis & day trading setups DAX DAX40 DE30EUR 02 SEP 22Happy Friday, Happy NFP Day,
Bold prediction: if DAX crosses 12587 & goes below 12352, it will break 12k and we will be going back to bear market
Today we are likely to push back above 860 to close the week with a reversal candle. Move towards 598 & break of that will attract it to 376 & onwards
Macro US Avg Hourly Earnings, Labor Force Participation, NFP
Buy
Break: 12 745, 795, 865, 917, 991
Reversal: 12 647, 598, 549, 510, 463
Sell
Break: 12 733, 698, 647, 591, 559
Reversal: 12 817, 877, 926, 991, 123035, 106
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
Dax40
Daily analysis & day trading setups DAX DAX40 DE30EUR 01 SEP 22Happy September, Happy Thursday,
DAX will cause some serious damage if it loses 12702 & 12677. The next level will be 12442 followed by 12323
On the upside, it is now firmly capped at 13k as bears now taking the charge. I am making a bold prediction here - the probability of 9943 followed by 9370 has gone up significantly
If you are thinking of buying the dip or going long, think carefully, seriously
Macro EU DE Mfg PMI, GB Mfg PMI, EU Unemployment Rate, US Jobless Claims, Nonfarm productivity, Labor Costs, Mfg PMI, Employment Index, New Orders Index
Buy
Break: 12 750, 795, 820, 870, 920
Reversal: 12 702, 677, 622, 585
Sell
Break: 12 725, 690, 648, 587, 530
Reversal: 12 805, 858, 925, 991, 13090
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
DAX40 Double Bottom Formation In The 4 Hour ChartI am looking at a possible double bottom formation on the DAX40 on the 4-hour chart.
We have seen nothing but bearish price action since we hit the daily resistance level around the 1395 price point on the 17th of August.
Since then we have been making lower lows and lower highs, forming a descending trend line.
We have tested this descending trend line twice.
What is interesting about the second time we touched the trend line is that the second tap coincided nicely with retesting previous support flipped resistance.
I have highlighted the neckline in yellow and have extended this zone to the left and right and we can see that the top of the current double bottom neckline is testing resistance that was once support if we look to the left. So we have some nice confluences here lining up already.
Looking at the two bottom peaks, we can see they are around the same price level but looking below at the MACD, we clearly can see full divergence. The Histogram is weakening and the MA lines are trending upwards as well. This means that the bears (sellers) are weakening and at some point, the bulls (buyers) should be stepping in and taking control.
When trading double tops and double bottoms, we always look for full divergence because this adds confidence and confluence to the setup.
Now, to confirm this double-bottom formation, we need the rest of the formation to play out. We need the price to move impulsively upwards pushing past the descending trend line, then push and close above the neckline. We also need to see strong bullish volume accompany that bullish move. If we see that, and only If we see that, I will then be looking at reasons to go long. I will be waiting for a retrace back into the neckline and enter somewhere inside of the neckline retest.
My targets will be previous daily resistance.
Currently, we are still ways away from something like this happening. However, I wanted to bring this to your attention because it is good to be able to see patterns begin to form early. This helps us keep an eye on it and set alerts if need be. This also trains our eyes and gives us the ability to spot these patterns in the smaller time frames where the action occurs much quicker and decisions need to be made must faster.
Let's watch what happens.
If the double bottom formation doesn’t form and the price continues to drop, we may look for further short opportunities and other pattern formations. We can only trade what the charts give us.
Hope you all have a fantastic first of September.
See you on the next one.
The Vortex Trader
Daily analysis & day trading setups - DAX DAX40 DE30EUR 20220831Happy month end, Happy Midweek, Happy Wednesday,
Bulls have managed to regain 13k overnight. So 13k is line in the sand. 13 125 now is the key level on the upside. Any break below 12 850 will confirm bear strength.
Last day of the volatime month.
Macro EU DE Unemployment, HICP, US Employment Change, Chicago PMI
Buy
Break: 13 045, 088, 110, 150
Reversal: 12 998, 935, 850, 815, 738, 690
Sell
Break: 13 013, 12 942, 870, 810, 775
Reversal: 13 094, 125, 154, 219, 290
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
Daily analysis & day trading setups - DAX DAX40 DE30EUR 20220830Happy Tuesday,
Unless DAX regains 13k and breaks above 13 100, it can still go either way. Bears do want to break yesterday's low and create LL.
Line in the sand is 12 850
Macro EU Business Climate, Consumer Confidence, HICP, US Housing Price Index, Consumer Confidence, Fed's Williams Speech
Buy
Break: 12 940, 990, 13 060, 085
Reversal: 12 890, 825, 735, 700, 675
Sell
Break: 12 905, 850, 795, 750, 700
Reversal: 13 010, 095, 130, 215
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - recovery likelySPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - recovery likely
All three indices are oversold
DAX at it's final FIB 78.6% support combined with volume support
S&P500 and Nasdaq both at FIB 50%
Recovery targets (all green FIB 38.2%)
DAX 13,168
Nasdaq 12,925
SPX 4,122
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Daily analysis & day trading setups - DAX DAX40 DE30EUR 20220829Happy New Week, Happy Monday,
DAX has broken 13K and got itself in some trouble here. 12675 & 11895 are two very important levels to watch. Bulls need to bring it back above 13440 & 14085 to get back the control.
Overnight drop in Dax has shown continuous selling pressure which is not good for bulls, going into another vital week with month end falling right in the middle of the week.
Macro ECB Lane Speech, US Fed's Brainard Speech
Buy
Break: 12 860, 970, 13 052
Reversal: 12 735, 655, 580, 525, 440
Sell
Break: 12 750, 665, 590
Reversal: 12 885, 990, 13 070, 175, 225, 270
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
Daily analysis & day trading setups - DAX DAX30 DE30EUR 20220825Happy Friday,
Are you ready to rock & roll!!!???
Today may turn out to be when either bulls or bears finally find their way. The tug of war may end today with JP's speech at JH Symposium at 3 pm London time.
DAX30 is hanging on to dear life at 13300. Bulls need to move above 13360 creating HL/HH. If DAX40 moves there, watch out for strong reaction at 13440. On the downside, 50 DMA are of 215 to 230 is still in play.
Macro US Core PCE, PI/PS, Power Speech, Michigan Cons. Sent. Index
Buy
Break: 13 340, 370, 445, 520
Reversal: 295, 260, 210, 180, 110
Sell
Break: 13 295, 250, 215, 160
Reversal: 13 375, 425, 465, 515, 550, 620
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - slight recovery before Powell SpeaksSPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - slight recovery before Powell Speaks at 04:00pm (UTC+2)
All the indices held there volume profile support at FIB 38.2%
A further V-shape recovery not likely IMO - sideways action and new direction decision I assume
What do you think dear Crypto Nation?
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Daily analysis & day trading setups - DAX DE30EUR 20220825 Happy Thursday, Happy GDP Day,
As I am publishing this, DAX has already pumped higher based on DE GDP positive data. May be, the doomsayers are afterall losing their story.
DAX is now aiming to takeout 13440 and go for 100 DMA at 13638. This may bring us firmly into bull territory.
Our line in the sand today is 13230
Macro EU DE Business Climate, ECB MPM Accounts, US GDP, Jobless Claims, Jackson Hole
Buy
Break: 13 330, 390, 415, 440
Reversal: 13 295, 265, 230, 180
Sell
Break: 13 300, 285, 240, 180
Reversal: 13 390, 440, 475
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
Update DAX; Tangible effects of romance.The DAX is moving according to my previous analysis for now.
After touching the cloud on W1 and closing under the KIJUN in June, it is slowly, but steadily moving in a downward direction.
That week, the price tested the KIJUN W1 again. In addition, on MN1 it is also bouncing off the KIJUN.
For happiness it needs three arguments:
price closing under the KIJUN MN1;
price closing under the TENKAN W1;
price closing under the D1 cloud.
Friday's speech by Jerome Powell could get in the way. I have it in my head that there is still time and the Fed may still want to pull the markets out before the end of the year.
But, even if that happens, I will only move my downward stance forward. Q4 2022 and Q1 2023 should bring negative data for the market - unemployment and persistent inflation.
Germany has serious problems:
rising inflation;
rising ECB interest rates;
the search for alternatives to energy from Russia.
If bad unemployment data come on top of this, the DAX may not hold very high.
That aside; I already have my first position at BE (price: 13877).
If I hear a more 'hawkish' attitude from the Fed on Friday, I'll be looking for a top-up.
Daily analysis & day trading setups on DAX DE30EUR 20220824Happy Midweek, Happy Wednesday,
DAX is at a precarious level. Bulls need to regain above 13275 & 13360. Bears are pushing to break 13050 & 12955.
Line in the sand today is 13175.
Macro EU DE 10y Bond Auction, US Durable Goods Order, Nondefense Capital Goods Orders, Pending Home Sales
Buy
Break: 13 160, 210, 265
Reversal: 13 085, 010, 12 985, 920, 870, 830
Sell
Break: 13 100, 015, 12 925, 875
Reversal: 13 165, 220, 275, 345, 365
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - more downward pressureSPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - more downward pressure
Next support levels:
DAX at 13,000 (FIB golden pocket)
NASDAQ at 12,612 (FIB 50%) and 12,275 (FIB golden pocket)
SPX at 4,028 (FIB 50%) and 3,938 (FIB golden pocket)
Likely we meet these targets IMO dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Daily analysis & day trading setups on DAX DE30EUR 20220823Happy Tuesday,
DAX has converted 50 DMA into resistance and that is our line in the sand today at 13 235. Bulls still have hope till 12440. Below that, bears are firmly in control aiming for 11440
Macro DE PMI, EU PMI, ECB Panetta Speech, Consumer Confidence, GB PMI, US PMI, Home Sales
Buy
Break: 13 190, 255, 360
Reversal: 13 130, 080, 12 975, 910
Sell
Break: 13 135, 095, 12 990
Reversal: 13 270, 375, 450
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
DAX testing its first Support, the 1D MA50The German Stock Index (DAX) got emphatically rejected on its January Lower Highs trend-line, as we anticipated with our previous analysis two weeks ago:
The price broke below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the first line of Support. As long as it closes above it, chances are that we will rise and re-test the Lower Highs (1) trend-line. A close below though, calls for a sell extension towards the 12400 Support, currently a Double Bottom.
Notice how the RSI on the 1W time-frame got rejected exactly on the 48.80 Resistance, which was where the June 06 High was made. That matches the Lower Highs as well. A break above this Resistance, would be an additional factor indicating that the long-term trend may be shifting from bearish back to bullish.
Technically, only a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)/ 1W MA50 (red trend-line) Resistance cluster, constitutes a long-term bullish break-out.
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Daily analysis & day trading setups on DAX DE30EUR 20220822Happy New Week, Happy Monday,
13400 level is still important for DAX. But the battleground is now between 13250 & 13700 for this week
Macro US Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Buy
Break: 13 480, 590, 685
Reversal: 13 440, 360, 250
Sell
Break: 13 450, 375
Reversal: 13 530, 600, 710, 780
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - volume support after breakdown ??!!SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - volume support after breakdown ??!!
All three traditional indices had a breakout of their rising wedges to the downside
Might be time for some recovery since prices meet volume profile support
Also hidden bullish divergence still in play
What do you think dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - what will next week bring ?SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - what will next week bring ?
Clear breakouts of rising wedges IMO
The only bullish in these charts seems to be hidden bullish divergences (higher low on price - lower low on RSI)
Not easy to derive the effect - what do you think dear Crypto Nation?
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Daily analysis & day trading setups on DAX DE30EUR 20220819Happy Friday, Happy Janmashtami,
After Wednesday's big move, yesterday was an inside bar. So 13600 becomes line in the sand.
Bears want to regain control <13600 & bulls want to go back >13740
Macro No news is good news ?!
Buy
Break: 13 660, 780, 815
Reversal: 13 580, 530, 450, 370
Sell
Break: 13 585, 535, 460
Reversal: 13 670, 745, 820, 870
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
Daily analysis & day trading setups on DAX DE30EUR 20220818 Happy Thursday, Happy Janmashtami
What a move on DAX yesterday. As it has now broken 13510, 13510 becomes line in the sand. Break of that will open up 13360 & beyond
Macro EU HICP, ECB Schnabel Speech - US Jobless Claims, Phil Fed Mfg Survey
Buy
Break: 13 690, 755, 805, 850, 915
Reversal: 13 595, 530, 450, 365, 290
Sell
Break: 13 600, 540, 455
Reversal: 13 700, 770, 815, 870, 930, 995
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
Daily analysis and day trading setups on DAX Ger30 20220817Happy Mid Week Day, Happy Wednesday, Happy FOMC Day,
Dax managed to touch 61.8 retracement at 13968 of recent down move. If support at 13852 holds, it can go to 14373
Line in the sand today stands at 13852
Macro EU GDP, US Retail Sales, FOMC
Buy
Break: 13990, 14065, 14160
Reversal: 13900, 13840, 13800, 13750, 13690
Sell
Break: 13915, 13845, 13810, 13760, 13710
Reversal: 14000, 14070, 14175
Green Goblin levels are here >>>
Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan for day trading setups. The links are here:
NASDAQ
DAX
SPX