DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 29/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, the primary scenario suggests that wave 4 as a WXY structure is in.
Dax40
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 25/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, the primary scenario suggests that wave 4 as a WXY structure is in.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 24/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, the primary scenario suggests that wave 4 as a WXY structure is in.
The DAX could be at (or near) a swing lowIndex futures held their ground overnight, and the US dollar's rally is showing signs of near-term exhaustion. And that indicates a subtle change in sentiment ahead of today's open.
The DAX found support at its 50day EMA on Wednesday, which is just above the 2021 high. Given a small-ranged bullish hammer formed alongside higher volume suggests a 'change in hands' between sellers to buyers, so we're on guard for a bounce.
Bulls could seek to enter within yesterday's range with a stop beneath the 2021 high and initially target gap resistance around 16,490 - a break above which brings 16,600 into focus for bulls.
However, as we suspect the US dollar is set to extend its gains after a pause in its rally and that equities are yet to make a decent retracement, we're anticipating another leg lower towards the support zone just above 16,000.
a daily price action after hour update - daxGood evening and i hope you are well.
After such strong rallies, markets tends to form trading ranges instead of another trend in whatever direction. So today, we chopped back and forth. Which is bad for the bears because that means acceptance of higher prices. Only question is then, how high? Most indexes have obvious targets above, which i gave in my weekly outlook. I also said market is currently bullish and today further confirmed my thesis.
dax
Dax is inside a big triangle from the recent bull trend and the upper bear channel visible on the daily chart. Today was uneventful since we close 9 points above the open price. The tricky thing on a day like today is, that the 2 to 3 legged moves inside the range look strong with good looking signal bars that just turn around at support & resistance, tricking traders into believing a breakout is about to happen. That’s just something will learn to read with hard earned experience. Nothing else.
short term: sideways to up
medium-long term: down
trade of the day: short from the open to globex gap close and test of fridays open and the long above bar 55 to todays open price. that could have been 150-200 points
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 23/01/2024 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, the primary scenario suggests that wave 4 as a WXY structure is in.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 19/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that wave 4 as a WXY structure should be in.
2024-01-18 - dax price action update
Good Morning,
i could see dax breaking out of this bull channel to rally upwards. I'd look only for longs here. Here is my recap from yesterday after hours to give more context:
Let’s look at the 1h tf because today closed 10 points above the opening price. That tell’s you enough. Opex sold off 100 points to eu open and bulls could not get this above 16560. Bears tried multiple times to push this below 16500 but every attempt was bought. One side tries to push the market into a direction just so many times before they give up. This brings us to an adjusted big lower bear channel line so market is free to move up imo. We will trade sideways to up in the globex session which would bring the 1h 20ema closer or we can get above it. More reasons why we market could go up. Bar 10 + 16 today formed a double bottom and bar 16 + 19 could already have set the new bull channel upwards. If you look at the daily chart, you can clearly see 3 pushes down and an expanding triangle. Lows from 2023-12-18 + 2024-01-05 + 2024-01-17. Do i have a short term bear case? Not really, i think the odds that we break below that channel and close low are below 25%.
short term: up
medium-long term: down
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 18/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that wave 4 as a WXY structure should be in. If we do not see upward price action, we are working on a deeper ABC correction.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 17/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that we are working on wave 4 as a WXY structure.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 15/01/2024 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that wave 4 has finished as an ABC structure. Doing the double correction as a WXY cannot be excluded.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 12/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that wave 4 has finished as an ABC structure.
DAX to find buyers at market levels?GER40 - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned positive.
Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 16724 found buyers.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to buy dips.
Prices have reacted from 16444.
We look to Buy at 16725 (stop at 16645)
Our profit targets will be 16925 and 16985
Resistance: 16885 / 16962 / 17004
Support: 16790 / 16724 / 16657
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US100 ENTRIES FOR SHORT,Longs All Trap Zones for 5th Jan.2023This analysis is only for my honorable followers.
Click on the chart above
and study it closely, before taking any trade today: Ofcourse if you want to win.
I will buy if these conditions hit. if one of them do not hit, the bulls will get trapped hard
30 min close above 16425
US DATA TODAY VERY STRONG for nasdaq,gold, etc
but negative for the U DOLLAR
and if retracment after 30 minute closing
firm above 16425
My first target will be 16820
Here I will solve out my short hedge that I have opened
at 16853, and take Profit. But I will add more longs too,
and all longs that are active,but hedged will run along
SELL CONDITIONS: I would ell US100 ONLY and ONLY, if these conditions met. Otherwise the downward move will be a bear trap
16275: I would open a short , below this price only
if:
1. it reache 16244 or 16223
2.I will wait for a pullback to 16275
3. if it cannot break above that level,
t hen I would open the short.
Profit levels are as lower mentioned.
At 15939 we have 0,382 Fibonacci of Hourly and higher
Time frame(that is very strong support level no. 2)
TRAP ZONE 1
THE OPEN PRICE TODAY
is below yesterdays range, but
it is not rejected
tHIS IS AN INDICATION THAT the market is
accepting the lower price, and the sentiment ha not been changed
Both bulls and bear will get trapped very often in this range
16356-16416
TRAP ZONE
BULLS got trapped
in this zone twice this week
I will AVOID TO ENTER THIS ZONE AND
GETTING TRAPPED
BETTER: I WILL WAIT
If You are Gold Digger and speculate
to take some pips
your Risk Reward ratio will be high(Higher RISK THAN REWARD)
As at this point the market quickly changes sentiments
Follow the price The trend is your friendCut losse quickly, Let the profits run. Dont predict the market. Intelligent traders follow these principals only.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 10/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that wave 4 has finished as an ABC structure.
GER40 ideaAfter price broke structure to the downside, it retraced and retested a supply zone before preceding to break further structure with momentum. Before it broke the latest low, it formed liquidity right below a golden zone that it is currently retracing towards. It is this liquidity that it could use to fuel it's move to the downside to take out the latest weak low since it is now confirmed that price has just shifted to a bearish overflow.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 09/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that wave 4 has finished as an ABC structure.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 08/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that we are now working on wave 4 as an ABC structure.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 05/01/2024In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded. The primary scenario suggests that we are now working on wave 4 as an ABC structure.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 03/01/2024 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures. However, another high as a wave 5 cannot be excluded.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 20/12/2023In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.
DAX Short setupDax looks so good for a short. I can clearly see a broke down of a weekly trendline on higher timeframe. On lower timeframe we can also see a break of a short-term trendline, short squeeze and drop. My indicators also shown a good divergence on h4 timeframe, and a drop is gihly expected
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 18/12/2023 (+ HTF)In the higher time frame, it looks like we started a new upward cycle from the October low. This means the wave ((2)) low is in after an expanded flat. The alternative scenario assumes a wave (2) low of a lower degree. In the lower time frame, we are observing ending upward structures.