DAX Post Election Potential Bullish ContinuationDAX price still seems to exhibit signs of potential bullish continuation (during the current post election period) as the price action may form another credible Higher Low with multiple confluences from key Fibonacci and Support levels.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 22653
Stop Loss @ 22014
TP 1 @ 23292 (Before All Time High)
TP 2 @ 23931 (After All Time High)
Move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP1 hits.
Daxanalysis
DAX 40 Index Technical AnalysisDAX 40 Index Technical Analysis
Market Profile Insights
Value Area Analysis
Trading ABOVE yesterday's value area high
Seeking extension from Monday's Point of Control (POC)
Anticipating potential reaction zones at Monday's High Volume Nodes (HVNs)
Current price positioning suggests bullish market sentiment
Trade Parameters
Entry Point: 22,833.71
Target Price: 23,356.52
Stop Loss: 22,572.31
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Technical Narrative
Price breaking through previous resistance levels
Showing strength by trading above key market profile structures
Volume profile indicates institutional accumulation
Momentum suggesting potential trend continuation
Entry Confirmation Criteria
Multiple timeframe alignment
Strong volume profile
Market profile structural support
Momentum indicator confirmation
Risk Management Considerations
Monitor reactions at previous HVNs
Use market profile levels for dynamic stop management
Be prepared for potential consolidation zones
Conclusion
High-probability bullish setup with robust market profile confirmation. Disciplined, structure-based approach recommended.
DAX Rally Overstretched? Initiating a Strategic Short PositionSince February 25, the DAX has surged by 7.24% without a meaningful pullback, suggesting potential overextension. Coupled with emerging bearish technical indicators and unfavorable economic fundamentals, this presents an opportunity for a short position.
Fundamental Analysis:
Germany’s economic landscape is currently facing several challenges:
• Economic Slowdown: The government has slashed its 2025 growth forecast to 0.3%, down from the previous 1.1%, citing trade tensions and domestic uncertainties.
• Industrial Strife: Major companies are implementing job cuts and factory closures to manage rising costs and global competition, leading to increased labor disputes and uncertainty over Germany’s manufacturing sector.
• Political Uncertainty: Upcoming European and local elections have intensified debates over economic policies and migration, contributing to market volatility and investor caution.
Trade Details:
• Entry: 22,611
• Stop-Loss: 23,000
• Target Zone: 21,800 - 21,600
• Partial Profits: To be taken at key support levels
The confluence of technical signals and economic headwinds suggests a potential correction in the DAX. This short trade aims to capitalize on the anticipated pullback, with risk managed through a well-placed stop-loss and planned profit-taking at identified support zones.
Next week will be critical for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases shaping market sentiment. Investors should particularly watch the PMI data on Friday, which could significantly impact expectations for the region’s economic trajectory.
Stay informed and trade responsibly.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
"GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
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Buy entry above 23000
Sell Entry below 22100
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 22600 for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 22600 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 24100 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 21200 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
"GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness)., driven by several key factors.
🔰Fundamental Analysis
The GER40 index has experienced a moderate decline of 2.5% in February, with the index currently standing at 22,500 points.
Company earnings have been mixed, with some companies exceeding expectations while others have disappointed.
The dividend yield for the GER40 is around 2.5%, which is relatively attractive compared to other major European indices.
🔰Macro Economics
The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained its hawkish stance, keeping interest rates at 4.25% to combat inflation.
Germany's GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 1.5% in 2025, due to the ongoing economic uncertainty.
Global trade tensions, particularly between the US and China, continue to impact the German market.
🔰Global Market Analysis
The GER40 is experiencing a bearish trend, with a 0.5% decline in the last 24 hours.
The index is currently trading at 22,500, with a high of 22,600 and a low of 22,400.
🔰COT Data
Speculators (Non-Commercials): 45,011 long positions and 30,015 short positions.
Hedgers (Commercials): 25,019 long positions and 40,011 short positions.
Asset Managers: 30,015 long positions and 20,019 short positions.
🔰Market Sentiment Analysis
The overall sentiment for the GER40 is bearish, with a mix of negative and neutral predictions.
55% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🔰Positioning Analysis
The long/short ratio for the GER40 is currently unknown.
The open interest for the GER40 is approximately €10 billion.
🔰Quantitative Analysis
The GER40 has a relatively high volatility, with an average true range (ATR) of 150 points.
The index is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend.
🔰Intermarket Analysis
The GER40 is highly correlated with the Euro Stoxx 50 index, with a correlation coefficient of 0.85.
The index is also highly correlated with the DAX index, with a correlation coefficient of 0.90.
🔰News and Events Analysis
The GER40 has been impacted by the ongoing economic uncertainty in Europe.
The index has also been affected by the decline in German industrial production.
🔰Next Trend Move
Bearish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bearish move, targeting 22,000 and 21,800, due to the ongoing economic uncertainty and decline in German industrial production.
Bullish Prediction: Others predict a potential bullish move, targeting 23,000 and 23,200, due to the attractive valuations and potential economic recovery.
🔰Overall Summary Outlook
The overall outlook for the GER40 is bearish, with a mix of negative and neutral predictions.
The market is expected to experience a moderate decline, with some analysts predicting a potential bearish move targeting 22,000 and 21,800.
🔰Real-Time Market Feed
As of the current time, the GER40 is trading at 22,500, with a 0.5% decline in the last 24 hours.
🔰Future Prediction
Short-Term: Bearish: 22,200-22,000, Bullish: 22,800-23,000
Medium-Term: Bearish: 21,800-21,600, Bullish: 23,200-23,400
Long-Term: Bearish: 21,400-21,200, Bullish: 24,000-24,200
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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DAX GE40 Counter Trend Trade IdeaThe DAX is currently overextended, having reached all-time highs and trading at the top of its range. I'm anticipating a pullback on GE40 down to equilibrium for a potential counter-trend short. Once price retraces and establishes support, I'll be watching for a bullish market structure break as a signal to go long. This is not financial advice.
DAX (DE40) INTRADAY consolidation supported at 22220The DAX (DE40) intraday price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since the spike to intraday all time high at 22620 on 13th January 2025, the DAX price action is consolidating sideways, potentially indicating the overbought condition.
The key trading level is at the 22220 level, which is the 61.8% Fib retracement from 12 Feb ’25 swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 22220 level could target the upside resistance at 22480 followed by the 22620 and 22700 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 22220 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 22154 support level followed by 22000 and 21800.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX 40 Crosses the 22,000 Mark for the First TimeThe German index increased just over 3% in the past five sessions, driven by the strong performance of companies such as SAP, Siemens, and Deutsche Bank , which have posted gains exceeding 3% during this period. Notably, these companies represent more than 20% of the weight in DAX 40, making their positive performance a key factor in sustaining the bullish pressure that has now pushed the index to new all-time highs.
Strong Uptrend
The DAX 40 is currently in a strong uptrend, which has accelerated since November 2024. The price has now reached the 22,000-point zone , a potentially significant resistance level. However, for the buying momentum to remain intact in the short term, it will be crucial for bullish positions to hold above this level.
Potential Correction
At the moment, the RSI line continues to oscillate above the 70 level , signaling overbought conditions. Additionally, while the DAX price has been making higher highs, the RSI has been making lower highs, forming a bearish divergence. These two signals suggest that the recent buying activity may have created an imbalance in the market, which could open the door to short-term downward corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
22,000 points – A new critical resistance zone, aligning with the latest all-time high reached by the DAX 40. If buying activity remains strong above this level, it could help sustain the bullish bias and pave the way for further upward movement in the coming sessions.
21,300 points – A nearby support level, corresponding to a neutral zone from previous sessions, and also aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This area could serve as a potential correction zone, and if price action falls below this barrier, it may lead to a sideways phase in the medium term.
20,300 points – A distant support level, aligning with the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If the price approaches this level, it could revive bearish sentiment and put the current uptrend at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Dax Short 4HGood Day, Trading View friends!
I'm excited to share my latest trading insights with you. This setup is all about those trusty Fibonacci and psychological levels. Right now, the DAX is testing a 4-hour midline, and we’re typically seeing a pullback at this point. If the DAX can hold 21,500 and 21,550 as a demand area, based on our earlier 4-hour wave, we're aiming for the next level at 21,965 to 22,000.
I’m on the lookout for a rejection near 22,000, followed by an M pattern with a lower high on the second peak for that perfect entry confirmation.
Also, be cautious today as we have the FOMC meeting. Make sure to factor that into your strategies!
Feel free to check out my previous setups to get a feel for how I approach things. I can’t wait to hear what you think and keep the conversation going!
DAX 40 Remains in Strong Overbought ZoneThe German index has recorded eight consecutive sessions of gains, appreciating more than 5% in the short term. The price level of 21,400 points now stands as the all-time high barrier for the current long-term bullish trend.
Strong Trend:
The bullish momentum that emerged after the significant drop in August 2024 has been key to the continuation of the long-term uptrend. However, the accelerated pace of buying in the short term could lead to bearish corrections in the coming sessions.
RSI:
The RSI indicator shows an impressively bullish slope, currently displaying readings of 83 —well above the overbought level of 70. The current event in the DAX price indicates that recent movements have created an imbalance in bullish and bearish forces, which could trigger early bearish corrections as the price continues to advance.
Key Levels:
21,400 points: Positioned as the new resistance zone at the latest all-time high. Consistent buying pressure is necessary to maintain the bullish bias currently observed in the index.
20,300 points: The nearest support level on the chart and a potential area for bearish corrections in the short term. If the price drops below this level, sustained bearish pressure on the DAX could return.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
DAX Daily Short Setup: Targeting 19,700The DAX approached its previous high but failed to break through, signaling potential exhaustion at these levels. In response, I have initiated a short position, targeting a retracement to the 19,700 price zone.
Fundamental Insights:
1. Economic Uncertainty: Disappointing inflation data from China has sparked concerns about demand for German goods, which weighed heavily on DAX futures during the Asian session.
2. Sector Weakness: The auto sector, including Porsche, BMW, and Volkswagen, saw significant declines due to lingering tariff threats and softening demand.
3. US Jobs Report Impact: Friday’s US Jobs Report could further dictate market sentiment. A weaker report may boost expectations for rate cuts, providing temporary support to the DAX. Conversely, stronger data may reinforce bearish momentum.
4. German Economic Indicators: While November’s industrial production showed a 1.5% rise, weak factory orders suggest limited optimism. Imports fell 3.3%, signaling declining demand, further justifying a cautious short bias.
Technical Outlook:
• The DAX remains above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating bullish momentum. However, failure to sustain above 20,523 strengthens the likelihood of a retracement.
• The RSI near 59 suggests room for further downside before approaching oversold conditions.
As always, maintain disciplined risk management. Let’s see how this setup unfolds!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX: Watch 20100-20200 Resistance For A Sell-offThe German DAX is trading slowly for the last few days, here beneath the 20,000 level, which clearly acts as a strong resistance zone. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if more liquidations occur slightly higher, around the 20,100 mark. Because what I’m observing is a minor triangle within current recovery, and these patterns are typically in the middle of smaller trends. This suggests that we might still be missing one final leg in wave B to complete the recovery from December 20th low. After that, a strong bearish reversal could still show up on the DAX, possibly sometime this week.
Be prepared and aware of the potential for a deeper correction ahead.
GH
DAX/GER - HOPE YOU CHECK LAST SHORT TRADETeam, with DAX
last week, we suggested shorting at 20515-25, and we reached 3 of our target
Today, we find an opportunity to go to LONG DAX at 20208-20215
STOP LOSS at 20182 - extension to 20165
Target at 20245-56 - please take partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 20272-83
Mastering the German 40 Index: A Comprehensive Trading Strategy 👀👉 In this detailed video, I examine the complexities of trading the German 40 Index (DAX), sharing my personal trading plan and strategies aimed at identifying lucrative trade opportunities. Most importantly, my goal is to provide you with the essential tools to effectively navigate the indices markets. 📈✨
KEY HIGHLIGHTS:
✅ Trading Strategy Overview: I outline a structured approach to planning trades and identifying optimal trading opportunities.
✅ Technical Analysis Techniques: We explore concepts such as Wyckoff Theory and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) principles, emphasizing their application in real-world trading scenarios.
✅ Timeframe Analysis: The video guides you through analyzing higher timeframes to inform lower timeframe entries, ensuring a well-rounded trading strategy.
✅ Entry Points & Risk Management: Learn how to pinpoint entry points, set effective stop-loss orders, and establish profit targets to maximize your trading success. 🎯
✅ TradingView Features: I highlight essential features of TradingView, showcasing two advanced indicators: the Volume Profile and VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), which are crucial for intraday analysis and understanding market trends. 📊
🔔 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading activities.
Join me on this journey to enhance your trading skills and gain valuable insights into the German 40 Index! Don't forget to comment and if you found the info of value, giving this post a BOOST would be awesome! 🙏
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 4H Long Setup
Trade Idea:
- Long in the 4H FVG post-CPI wick grab, following a potential exhaustion of the ongoing short setup.
Confluence:
- FVG Zone: Price retraces into the 4H Fair Value Gap, providing a strong discounted entry point.
- Liquidity Grab: CPI wick likely cleared liquidity below, setting the stage for a bullish reversal.
- Dynamic Support: 4H Kijun aligns with FVG, reinforcing the zone as a high-probability support.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss below the 4H FVG.
- Targeting 1:2+ RRR with initial profit-taking at 20,400 and extended targets toward 20,500 .
Quick Take:
If CPI triggers downside liquidity sweep, this setup offers a clean bullish reversal opportunity. Watch for confirmation before entry!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a confirmed bearish structure and pre-market rejection.
- Confluence Factors:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price retraces into a bearish FVG for a high-probability short entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bearish break supports downside continuation.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H Kijun line aligns with the FVG, reinforcing dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: The price action indicates a sweep of liquidity above the FVG, creating strong rejection signals.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG zone for tight risk management.
- 1:2.35 RRR as per chart, targeting liquidity zones below.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,309 , aligning with intermediate liquidity.
- TP2 around 20,250 for a deeper liquidity sweep.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: GER40 shows bearish signals with a weakening broader market sentiment.
- Volume Profile: Declining buy-side volume within the FVG zone signals limited bullish interest.
- Pre-Market Behavior: Rejection from the FVG aligns with pre-market bearish tendencies, further supporting the setup.
Execution Plan:
- Short entry within the FVG zone, managing risk with a stop-loss above the FVG.
- Strict adherence to the 1:2.35 RRR with partial profit-taking at TP1 and remaining at TP2.
- Monitor market conditions and invalidate if price reclaims the FVG or breaks the Kijun level.
Extra Note: Keep an eye on macroeconomic triggers that could cause sudden volatility, particularly during the European session. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) following a clear bearish shift in market structure.
- Confluence Factors:
- Break of Structure (BOS): Price confirms a bearish break, with a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) reinforcing downside bias.
- FVG Rejection: Anticipating rejection within the 1H FVG as price retests this imbalance area, providing an optimal entry point.
- Kijun Resistance: Kijun line on the 1H timeframe aligns as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR with a tight stop-loss above the FVG zone.
- Target: TP1 near liquidity at 20,306 ; TP2 at deeper liquidity grab around 20,260 .
Confluence Factors:
- Market Context: Indices showing signs of pullback after extended bullish momentum, with GER40 leading a potential retracement.
- Volume Signals: Declining buy-side volume during recent highs, indicating exhaustion and paving the way for downside.
- Liquidity Levels: Price action aligns with tapping liquidity from equal highs before driving into lower demand zones.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the 1H FVG.
- Maintain tight risk management with a stop-loss just above the FVG zone.
- Reassess trade if price closes above the Kijun or invalidates the bearish structure.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic news or EUR-related sentiment for potential catalysts that could impact volatility in GER40. Let me know if you'd like any additional details or adjustments!
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Pre-Market Short Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Short position initiated within the pre-market bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting the defined downside liquidity zones.
- Confluence Factors:
- Pre-Market Gap: Price retraced into the FVG formed during bearish pre-market movement, offering a low-risk, high-reward entry.
- Break of Structure (BOS): A confirmed bearish structure break reinforces downside momentum.
- Kijun Resistance: 1H and 4H Kijun levels align with the FVG, acting as strong dynamic resistance.
- Liquidity Grab: Recent liquidity sweep near the highs sets the stage for further bearish continuation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set just above the FVG to maintain a tight risk.
- 1:3.83 RRR as per the defined target zones on the chart.
- Targets:
- TP1 near 20,267 , aligning with local liquidity.
- TP2 at 20,240 , deeper liquidity grab zone for full target execution.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Pre-market signals and reduced buyer strength suggest increased selling pressure ahead of European market open.
- Economic Indicators: Risk-off behavior in broader markets supports bearish bias.
- Volume Profile: Weak buyer volume within the FVG zone adds confluence for downside continuation.
Execution Plan:
- Place short entries within the FVG zone with a stop-loss just above it.
- Strictly adhere to the 1:3.83 RRR, with partial profit-taking at TP1 and the remainder at TP2.
- Monitor the European open for any shifts in momentum that could invalidate the setup.
Extra Note: Stay updated on economic news or key macro triggers that could influence GER40's short-term price action. Let me know if you'd like further refinements!