GER 40 Trade Log GER40 1H Long Setup: Entering at 0.5 FVG Level
I'm eyeing a long position on the GER40 (DAX) based on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown of my trade setup:
🔹 Entry Point:
- Entering at the 0.5 level of the hourly Fair Value Gap (FVG).
🔹 Risk Management:
- Risk: 1% of the trading account.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2.
- Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the 1H Kijun-sen line to account for potential volatility.
🔹 Trade Idea:
- Expecting a retracement to the FVG before resuming the upward trend.
- Aware that price action might slice through our SL, but willing to see how it unfolds.
📊 Technical Analysis:
- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the cloud, indicating a bullish trend. Placing the SL below the 1H Kijun-sen provides a safety net against sudden dips.
- FVG Levels: Fair Value Gaps often act as magnets for price retracements. The 0.5 level is a strategic entry point to capitalize on the potential bounce.
🌐 Macro Factors Supporting the Trade:
- Economic Resilience: Recent data shows that the German economy is demonstrating resilience amid global uncertainties, boosting investor confidence.
- ECB Monetary Policy: The European Central Bank's accommodative stance continues to support liquidity in the markets, which is positive for equities.
- Political Developments: Speculation around leadership changes, such as discussions about President Macron's position, might lead to increased investor optimism in European markets.
- Global Market Sentiment: A general shift towards risk-on sentiment globally can propel the GER40 higher.
📝 Note:
Trading always carries risk. While the setup aligns with both technical and macroeconomic factors, unforeseen events can impact the outcome. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategy as needed.
Let's monitor this trade and see how it plays out. Feel free to share your thoughts or any insights you might have!
Daxanalysis
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Short Position (Discretionary)
Rationale :
- Overextension: The GER40 index appears significantly overextended without substantial fundamental support.
- Rising German Bond Yields: An increase in German government bond yields suggests a shift towards higher borrowing costs, potentially impacting equity valuations.
- MACD Divergence: A notable divergence between the MACD indicator and price action indicates a weakening bullish momentum, often preceding a trend reversal.
- CVD Divergence: Divergence in the Cumulative Volume Delta points to a disparity between buying and selling pressures, signaling a potential downturn.
Trade Details :
- Position: Short GER40 via market order
- Risk Management:
- Risk per Trade: 1% of trading capital
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
Note: This trade is discretionary and anticipates a sharp correction at market open. Despite the lack of a formal signal, the confluence of technical indicators and macroeconomic factors supports this decision.
DAX - TIME HAS COMEI hope you all remember yesterday, when we said only hit our price then we short.
PATIENCE is the key.
but now we are prepare to SHORT once the price is hit our limit order at 19469-18482
STOP LOSS can be set at 19525 - can extend to 19575 depend on your risk
Target 1 at 19433-28 - once it hit, take some partial and bring stop loss to BE to protect the trade
target 2 at 19389-72
target 3 at 19367-48
DAX/GER - PREPARE FOR THE BATTLETeam, earlier we went long for scalping only.
but now we are prepare to SHORT once the price is hit our limit order at 19469-18482
STOP LOSS can be set at 19525 - can extend to 19575 depend on your risk
Target 1 at 19433-28 - once it hit, take some partial and bring stop loss to BE to protect the trade
target 2 at 19389-72
target 3 at 19367-48
NOTE: NO rush of an entry, until the price is reach. enter slowly with proper risk management.
Heading into pullback resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 19,198.60
1st Support: 18,949.40
1st Resistance: 19,439.34
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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DAX looks unwell at these highsIt's been a tough few weeks for the DAX. But if the bearish reversal pattern on the daily chart comes to fruition, things could get a worse. I also factor in price action clues on the monthly candlestick chart, which again suggests things could deteriorate further before they get better.
MS.
DAX/GER30-40 - ALL THE WAY FOR RECOVERYTeam,
it has been a while since we are trading this.
Yesterday we did not post, we tried, but hit stop loss
then later I got all the money back as I expect the target hit. but we were using very tight stop loss, no room for movement
Today we are entering between 19050-19060 with STOP LOSS at 19035
Target 1 - 19086-95
Target 2 - 19126-335
Target 3 - 19211-19230
Please NOTE: once the price hit the 1st target, bring STOP LOSS TO BE. REMEMBER to take partial profit.
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/21/2024Good morning,
I will be monitoring the daily candle close today, anticipating a bullish pullback or reversal to develop over the next few weeks.
Several indicators have pointed to this:
1. The weekly chart has surpassed the previous high established on December 25, 2023. Currently, the price is attempting to retest the Demand zone that led to the breakout of that high..
2. The weekly demand zone is identified between 1.0775 and 1.0825. Pay attention to the key level at 1.080, as it appears to be setting up as a robust support level for the currency pair.
3. The market has declined approximately 400 points since September 27, 2024, showing minimal pullbacks on a daily basis. Notably, this price drop has formed a double top without a genuine next line test. I anticipate that prices will rebound to around 1.100 in the coming weeks. A break below 1.100 could trigger a long-term retracement back to the highs at 1.200.
Volume signature indicates that market makers are gradually exiting the trend. The weekly outlook remains bullish and is expected to dominate. It's important to note that the weekly chart is currently retesting the bearish flag it broke out of between June 24, 2024, and August 19, 2024.
TVC:DXY
OANDA:EURUSD
XETR:DAX
Germany DAX30 buy analysisAs the price didn't react to the area of value in 1H TF, So I think it is possible that the price come down again to touch our entry but it should NOT close below the low.
I'm waiting for a lower candle shadow that trigger our entry and then go up again.
we can set an order or wait for price to come to our zone and then look for a CHoCH in lower TF and then find an entry with more confidence.
Let's see what happens...
Dax Long position setupWe had a BOS to the down and then a CHoCH to the top.
Now we have to wait for a pullback, and I think this area has its potential to set an order.
This setup is in 4H TF, so also we can wait for the price to come into our area of interest and then wait for a CHoCH in lower TF like 15m TF and then find another entry zone...
DAX30/GER30 PREPARE TO SHORT ONCE THE PRICE HITTeam, I am waiting for the price to move toward our position to short.
We are considering shorting once the price hits below 18703-18697. The current price is at 18720
We assume the stop loss at 18775, but a safer stop loss level would be at 18817
Our target would be 18619.4. Please reduce or take profit from 50% to 70% of your volume at this price and trail your stop loss toward BE.
And second target is 18526