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Daxanalysis

Will DAX find support at current lows?GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15275 (stop at 15195) Daily signals are bullish. Short term momentum is bearish. 20 1day EMA is at 15305. Bespoke support is located at 15300. We expect prices to stall close to our bespoke level (15300). Our profit targets will be 15475 and 15515 Resistance: 15500 / 15580 / 15660 Support: 15400 / 15350 / 15300 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
Can GER30 buyers resume the trend? Hi, and welcome to today's GER30 update. Yesterday buyers fought back from the range low to post a solid session that could be stage one in a new leg higher that could continue the current trend. Buyers still have some work to do. We want to see a break of yesterday's high and a break of the current resistance and highs set last week. A new trend point has started forming, but buyers still have to confirm it. We can see price has started to confirm, and the moving average and CCI are supporting possible higher prices, but for now, buyers need to take that final step. A piece of key data may have an impact, and that's today's US CPI data. The CPI data will be released tomorrow at 12:30 am AEDT. If the data matches or comes in lower than expected, this could boost stocks. If it comes in worse than expected, this could favor sellers. 15,500 is the current resistance, and support is seen at 15,260. If buyers can break yesterday's high, that's a solid first sign, but we feel the market will be waiting on the CPI data before we see some real direction. Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:GER30Long
by Eightcap
DAX broke into a new higher high.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15422 (stop at 15342) There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Daily signals are bullish. Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 20 4hour EMA is at 15421. A lower correction is expected. Our profit targets will be 15622 and 15652 Resistance: 15525 / 15572 / 15700 Support: 15480 / 15400 / 15350 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
DAX - ☕DAX - ☕ One of my most favourite patterns! Cup & Handle pattern - Inverse! I've back tested this pattern many times and it never has failed me with the correct amount of risk etc. What states on your plan, that's the greatest importance. Highs: 15420 Lows: 15280 A break above the highs this trade plan is no longer valid. A break below the lows I expect the continuation of bearish price action to continue and breaks below the trendline then we may go towards 200 EMA area. Have a great week ahead, Trade Journal Key tip: Ignore the noise
G
by Trade_Journal
DAX's bullish momentum continues to stall.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15163 (stop at 15253) We are trading at overbought extremes. Trend line resistance is located at 15170. Bespoke resistance is located at 15150. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Our profit targets will be 14943 and 14903 Resistance: 15150 / 15221 / 15272 Support: 15066 / 15000 / 14950 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
DAX vx SP500: Is DAX highly over valued?By comparing the charts of US indexes vs European indexes we usuallly find pretty much the same patterns. However there is something that really caught my attention, compare the monthly chart of sp500 vs Dax: DAX is only 6,54% from all time highs of 2022 SP500 is 15,40% from its all time highs of 2022. NASDAQ is 28,45% from it's all time highs of 2022 This difference is obviously linked to the different policies of central banks, however I wonder if such a huge difference is justified. German economy has been highly struck by energy prices and German inflation is still 8,5% vs 6,5% in the US.
EUREX:FDXM1!
by SBtrader82
Potential swing trade short on the DAX?Like many indices, the DAX has enjoyed a strong start to the year after a dismal ‘Santa’s rally’. But after a 9% rally this month and early signs of a potential top, perhaps it is time for the DAX to pull back from its highs. If we look at the daily chart, the market formed a small top and daily close below 15,000. Whilst prices are back above the milestone level, upside volatility is lacking and there are now the early signs of a lower high with yesterday’s bearish outside day. Perhaps we have seen the end of a wave b, which is part of a 3-wave countertrend move. • Futures markets point to a soft open for the cash market today • The bias is bearish below 15,200 / yesterday’s high • A 100% projection / wave equality is around 14,800 and 20-day EMA, making it a viable target for bears • A break below 14,800 brings 14,700 / December high into focus
XETR:DAXShort
by CityIndex
DAX on its way to our first target DAX formed a Massive Falling wedge in 2022. Remember a Falling Wedge is >1 month... A Pennant is < 1 Month The 7 >21 >200MA and the RSI is well above 50 showing upside to come. The target remains at 16,375 HOLD - BULLISH\ The January Effect where investors and institutions are still buying stocks and assets to start the year. They have offset their taxes and are now piling into the markets that they believe will run up. Hence the global rally. Also, Inflation seems to have hit its peak for now (with America CPI dropping to 6.5% this week). These are all good factors for a strong economy.
XETR:DAXLong
by Timonrosso
6
DAX to stall at overbought extremes.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15119 (stop at 151201) We are trading at overbought extremes. Bearish divergence can be seen on the daily chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. Our profit targets will be 14909 and 14879 Resistance: 15128 / 15200 / 15300 Support: 15050 / 14950 / 14830 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
1
DAX heading into a 44-week high.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 14702 (stop at 14619) Our short term bias remains positive. Prices look to be heading towards a new 44 week high. A lower correction is expected. 20 4 hour EMA is at 14701. We look to buy dips. Our profit targets will be 14898 and 14938 Resistance: 14886 / 15000 / 15100 Support: 14800 / 14700 / 14625 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023 DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.85% With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 1st percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: *For calculations, I am using the data since 2022* Bullish: 1.87% movement Bearish: 2.37% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 17.7% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 15095 BOT: 14218 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 73% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done) 26.5% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Daily timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index Weekly timeframe indicates 93.33% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index Monthly timeframe indicates 93.33% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
XETR:DAX
by exlux
1
DAX January 2023 Volatility Analysis DAX January 2023 Volatility Analysis Currently the volatility for DAX is at 6.28%, up from 6.13% last month. From the volatility current percentile we are located on 57th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement: Bullish : 5.686% Bearish : 5.885% With this in mind we have currently 84.1% that the market is going to stay within the next channel TOP Limit: 14850 BOT Limit: 13135 If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a : 34.43% to hit the previous monthly high 57.86% to hit the previous monthly low Lastly from the technical analysis point of view, currently Weekly Timeframe : 40% of rating moving averages is indicating BULLISH Monthly Timeframe : 66.67% of rating moving averages is indicating BULLISH
XETR:DAX
by exlux
DAX40 Break out or fake out?Gm Today we opened DAX,with a gap which has been closed few hours later, and now we’re looking at price action near psychological level - 14 000. Bullish: (Higher low and support at point of control? ~13885?) In this moment I’m checking if price action forming triangle pattern and if it could break out and boost price from current level to ~14160 and even ~14220 where for me is a key level resistance point at this moment. Relative strength index line tested SMA from above and it’s going upward direction, but i have attention to lower times frames which do not give me right signs (RSI should cross SMA -15m/30m, bearish engulfing bar at 15m wasn't right sign.) Still waiting for more bullish confirmations in short term on price action. Bearish: In the other hand we have price action rejected at 0.618 fibonacci level and if this a local triangle formation it could get back to 13870 where was prominent demand, and as we can assume – double bottom with a candle weak confirming value area low. We are still under moving average ribbon and momentum still pressure for downward. Short term: Lower than 0.381 fibo → price going down 13 880/ 13 800 Higher than 0.618 fibo → going up 14 150/ 14 300 My prediction for now is mostly downward. But first I’ll wait to see what happens at drawed white triangle edge line. Then what will have place at 13 880 and 13 800 price levels. Anyway I don’t expect to price go higher than 200 moving average at 1h timeframe.
XETR:DAX
by NightTerm
Buying DAX at market.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 14302 (stop at 14229) Daily signals are bullish. A lower correction is expected. 20 1day EMA is at 14302. The 1 day moving average should provide support at 14300. We look to buy dips. We look for a temporary move lower. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. Our profit targets will be 14488 and 14538 Resistance: 14450 / 14500 / 14550 Support: 14360 / 14300 / 14200 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
DAX 30 Big PictureThe DAX as a ZigZag correction . Rules of the ZigZag correction . 1. Wave A must be an impulse or Leading Diagonal Triangle ✅ 2. Wave B must be any corrective pattern (ABC) ✅ 3. Wave b does not correct wave A more than 99% ✅ 4. Wave C must be an impulse or Ending diagonal Triangle ❓ 5. Wave C must be at least 70% of wave B from a price perspective ❓ 6. Wave C fails extremely rarely (strong wave C) ❓ Current course . The DAX formed a Leading Diagonal Triangle since the beginning of 2022, which can be represented as an ABCDE or 12345 wave. The DAX was able to break out strongly from the Leading Diagonal Triangle in recent weeks (since October), forming an abc correction. We bounced off the upper trendline. Further course In the last days, the DAX shows first weaknesses and we assume that the DAX has already formed its TOP and now another downtrend follows. If the assumption of the ZigZag correction is correct, now the DAX should form another 12345 structure to the downside, which should hold in the trend channel. There is also still the possibility that the DAX makes a final uptrend until about just above the upper trend line and only then crashes. Depending on how the economic events will develop, we see 2 correction scenarios as likely: 1. the German or European recession comes harder than currently assumed and the DAX corrects below 10,000€. 2. the recession can be halfway cushioned and thus the financial market calms down faster and the DAX forms a bottom at around 10,500 to 11,000€. We currently see the first possibility as more likely due to the economic environment. Interest rates will not be lowered in the foreseeable future. The real estate sector is under massive pressure. Many companies continue to struggle with the huge cost of energy and capital, and a large number of companies are still highly overvalued. A perfect sentiment for a bear market to continue for another 6-12 months. We will keep you posted!
XETR:DAXShort
by Consyder
2
DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2.82%, down from 2.98% last week according to VDAX data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 1st percentile, while according to VDAX, we are on 1th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 1.94% movement Bearish: 2.38% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 17.9% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 14920 BOT: 14050 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 75% probability we are going to touch previous high of 14600 25% probability we are going to touch previous low of 14333 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates 66% bullish trend Daily timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend 4H timeframe indicates 66.6% bullish trend
XETR:DAX
by exlux