DAX looks unwell at these highsIt's been a tough few weeks for the DAX. But if the bearish reversal pattern on the daily chart comes to fruition, things could get a worse. I also factor in price action clues on the monthly candlestick chart, which again suggests things could deteriorate further before they get better.
MS.
Daxforecast
DAX (GER 40).... BULLISH!Price has traded through the Swing High with a strong close above.
Now, price has pulled back into a +FVG.
The Daily +FVG is overlapped by the Weekly +FVG, a strong confluence.
The expectation is for price to continue higher to the next recent swing high.
May profits be upon you.
GDAX DAX 40 (German 40) Technical Analysis & Trade IdeaTheres a full video analysis posted before this.
The DAX 40's recent bullish surge reveals signs of exhaustion on the monthly and weekly charts. Lower timeframes suggest a manipulative price structure primed for a potential trend reversal.
Here's the breakdown:
- Overextension: Extended trends often succumb to corrections or shifts in direction. The DAX 40 appears ripe for such a move.
- Liquidity Engineering: The 4-hour and daily price action hints at manipulation. The downside breakout followed by a stop-loss raid indicates possible accumulation to fuel a bearish move.
- Reversal Pattern: This market behavior aligns with recurring reversal setups I've observed consistently throughout my trading experience.
Trade Idea
- Direction: Short (with the potential for significant downside)
- Timeframe: Expect bearish momentum through February and March.
- Monitor: Watch for validation on lower timeframes (e.g., a bearish break of the current range).
- Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels based on your risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Before making any trades, perform your own in-depth research and exercise prudent risk management.
GER 40 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 11/12/2023-15/12/2023The Index is currently trading in an uptrend parallel channel, and momentum also indicate that the bulls are still in control of the market, so the interesting thing is are we going to see a pullback to level around 16500.00 level for us to get into the trade or the index will still go up.
A deep pullback to around 16000.00 will still provide good entry levels for one to get into the trade, Will wait and see what is going to happen.
GER40 / DAX Analysis 26July2023Ger40 / Dax entered the initial correction period. If you see Wave A has the same length as Wave C, then the possibility that is happening at this time is the formation of Wave (X), after Wave (X) occurs, the price will return to the target with the target up to the trendline below. There is a possibility that the price drops not to the trendline area, by forming complex correction.
DAX H4: Too early for bears to enter? Fed did it again.Bears in Twitter start to ask themselves whether they were all wrong or they were too early to bet against the market after the Fed was hawkish-but-not-too-hawkish in yesterday's meeting. DAX is a heavily automotive, banks and other cyclic assets weighted European index. Europe has performed better than America, but if ECB decides to implement an even more hawkish strategy than that of the Fed, those "better European gains" will vanish relatively soon. That is why, together with the current economic, political and social-unrest context; I am beginning to feel bearish on DAX and CAC. DAX could be shaping a H&S pattern the next days that could end up pretty bad if inflation does not calm down, ECB continues to raise rates and unemployment increases.
Therefore, my prediction is that DAX will not reach ATHs and stay around 15580-16250 to drop later on to 11350-13350.
Could there be again a Head and Shoulders on its way?
DAX 2 Possible scenarios for this weekDont be fooled, DAX went up 800 points in 3 days, no pullback befor continuation up would be more than surprise in these world conditions. Daily support level is at 450 area.
DAX: Startle ReflexesWe don’t know what has startled DAX so much that it has jumped upwards and has come quite close to the mark at 12425 points again – maybe, someone tested its startle reflexes… However, the index is already back on track and should continue to move downwards into the pink zone between 11421 and 11060 points to finish wave III in pink, which it could also do in the slightly lower and larger blue zone between 11352 and 10828. Afterwards, DAX should perform a countermovement into the upper pink zone between 12129 and 13066 points, before dropping into the big green zone to complete the overarching downwards movement. Indeed, wave 2 in green could also end in the blue zone between 9980 and 9456 points, which provides a little bit more room southwards.
DAX: HiccupsLooks like DAX has the hiccups, the way it is hopping about nervously. We don’t know what has affected its stomach – maybe it is the fact that the index is still indecisive about wave (2) in white. Apparently, it has not yet determined whether it has already completed wave (2) in white or wants to finish it a bit lower still, before resuming the overarching ascent. However, there is only room until the support at 12425 points, as below this mark, our secondary scenario with a probability of 40% would come into play. In that case, DAX would have to take a detour through the green zone between 12140 and 11150 points first, before rising again.
DAX: Deep BreathDAX should draw a deep breath because it has quite the way downwards coming up. We expect the index to head for the support at 12425 points, crossing it to dive into the green zone between 12140 and 11150 points, where it should finish wave 2 in green. Afterwards, DAX should take off again, climbing not only back above 12425 points but also above the resistance at 13682 points. There remains a 33% chance, though, that the index could surmount the resistance at 13682 points earlier already.