DAX looks unwell at these highsIt's been a tough few weeks for the DAX. But if the bearish reversal pattern on the daily chart comes to fruition, things could get a worse. I also factor in price action clues on the monthly candlestick chart, which again suggests things could deteriorate further before they get better.
MS.
Daxfuture
DAX two possible scenarios.DAX has at the moment two possible scenarios.
If we look fundamentally, inflation might peaked, but recession probabilities around the world are still rising.
So for me the most likely scenario to happen is the bearish one.
Use a solid money management and risk precautions before you enter the market.
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 12999
Pivot: 12758
Support : 12415
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving within a descending channel and below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 12758 where the pullback resistance is to the 1st support at 12415 where the swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 12999 where the pullback resistance 61.8% fibonacci projection and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Since Russia's Gazprom said that a new turbine halt will further cut gas to Germany, it creates additional supply worries and we have a bearish view on the DAX index .
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 12999
Pivot: 12758
Support : 12415
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving within a descending channel and below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to the pivot at 12758 where the pullback support is. Once there is downside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to 1st support at 12415 where the swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 12999 where the pullback resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Since Russia's Gazprom said that a new turbine halt will further cut gas to Germany, it creates additional supply worries and we have a bearish view on the DAX index .
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 13348
Pivot: 13004
Support : 12415
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking out of an ascending channel and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to the pivot at 13004 where the pullback support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection are. Once there is downside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to 1st support at 12415 where the swing low support and 161.8% fibonacci extension are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 13348 where the overlap resistance is.
Fundamentals: Since Russia's Gazprom said that a new turbine halt will further cut gas to Germany, it creates additional supply worries and we have a bearish view on the DAX index.
Mini DAX Futures (FDXM1!), H4 Potential for bullish riseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 14210
Pivot: 13664
Support : 13376
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within the ascending channel, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from pivot at 13664 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 14210 in line with 100% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to 1st support at 13376 where the overlap support, -27.2% fibonacci expansion, 100% fibonacci projection and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: As the US Consumer Inflation eases, we have a bullish view on DAX Index.
Micro DAX Futures (FDXS1!), H4 Potential for bullish riseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 14216
Pivot: 13674
Support : 13348
Preferred Case: On the H4, with prices moving along an ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 13674 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 14216 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 13348 where the overlap support, 100% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to concerns of inflation, we have a bearish view on the DAX Index . We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
DAX Futures (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for bullish riseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 14222
Pivot: 13674
Support : 13341
Preferred Case: On the H4, with prices moving along an ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 13674 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation of price breaking pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 14222 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to the 1st support at 13341 where the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to the House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan capital, Taipei, the DAX Index is exposed to downside risk and we have a bearish view on the DAX Index . We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
DAX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 13814
Pivot: 13348
Support : 13004
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving along an ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our pivot at 13348 in line with overlap support to the 1st resistance at 13814 where the 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 127.2% fibonacci extension and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to 1st support at 13004 where the pullback support, 50% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to the House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan capital, Taipei, we have a bearish view on the DAX index. We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.