Daxindex
#DAX, #GER30 is ready to fall.-----------DAX DOWNSIDE MOVE IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN-----------
DAX index shows a few signs that it is ready to deep dive. The course is at all time high. Economic indicators like GDP, interes rate, emloyment don't support that optimistic behaviour. Weekly RSI is at overbought territory. And daily RSI shows divergence. I think it is time to re-consider the long positions at least or rather start to build a short position on German stock index.
Dax Jan 31 - Feb 1 UpdateSharing DAX updated from TTR
DAX had a perfect reversal candle, but still needs to confirm below 16855
We got a monthly inside candle close today.
Weekly has more room to the upside, but a double we have a potential double top formation here
We have a clear negative divergence on the daily level!
GER40 Analysis 13Oct2023In my opinion, GER40 presents a slightly different perspective. If you observe the movement of the wave, you will notice a curve that is currently supporting it. Usually, when such a curve forms, the price tends to follow the same movement. Therefore, I believe that in the medium term, the price is likely to remain bearish.
Furthermore, if you look at the current situation, it is possible that we are in the bearish channel, which would mean that the price will continue to follow this downward trend.
DAX: Already done? 📌🤔Since last Wednesday, the German stock index DAX has been rising again. In theory, the low of the turquoise wave alt.4 could already be in place. However, this scenario would require a rise above the resistance at 15 647, which we consider to be 33% probable. Until then, we maintain our primary expectation that the turquoise target zone between 14 866 and 14 555 points should be targeted for the low.
DAX - (massive!) Short; This is a no-brainer!Germany decided to systematically destroy their (and the EU's) economy, in a consistent and spectacular fashion. This is a no-brainer!! (I have been shorting this, with everything I've got, for the past week.) The only thing that kept this thing afloat, so far, is the underlying currency (EUR/USD) push-pull. I believe that is now over and full capitulation is at hand.
Where will this mayhem stop? ... Well, it depends on the maximum pain tolerance of the combined German industrial base.
Will they let their government fully destroy their entire economy or will they put a stop to it, at some point? ... Right now, I don't care!
The damage is already done, the only question remaining; Just how bad?
Sell, sell, sell ... and then, Short some more!
DAX Index Is Forming This Decisive Ascending-Wedge-Formation!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the DAX Index in which we are looking at the 4-hour timeframe perspectives. In trading, it is always necessary to assess the market by a neutral perspective to come up with the most possible scenarios and move on with the opportunities resulting out of it rather than over-speculating the market into a one-sighted direction in which one does not have an exit plan and gets overwhelmed by circumstances when they show up. In this case, now I discovered a very interesting formation developing in the Dax Index and what are important factors, upcoming determinations, and aftermath-developments we should consider in this structure.
Structural Developments:
As when looking at my chart now we can watch there how the Index has emerged with this major ascending-wedge-formation in the structure marked in my chart with the black boundaries. Within this ascending-wedge the Index has the coherent wave-count with the waves A to E almost all already completed and now the index already showed up with an increased bearish pullback from the 15800 level in which it is testing and penetrating the lower boundary of the formation now again. Furthermore, it is necessary to register that the index moved below the 45-EMA marked in my chart in red which was previously support and is now a strong resistance by which a pullback is highly likely.
Upcoming Determinations:
Taking all these factors into the consideration the index is in a decisive situation now as when bearishness increases further in the near future this will lead to a breakout below the lower boundary and such a breakout, as it is marked in my chart, will complete the ascending-wedge-formation bearishly to the downside and the index will highly possibly move on with further bearishness to the downside. The final wedge-completion will activate the targets within the 14800 level marked in my chart in blue and when these targets are reached the situation needs to be elevated anew, it is also strong support therefore a stabilization in this structure has increased potential.
In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about the DAX Index and the important decisive ascending-wedge-formation currently forming, great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, all the best!
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Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
DAX: Beam us up, Mr. Scott! 🖖Happy Birthday, William Shatner! Consistent with the great day of the actor playing Captain James T. Kirk in Star Trek , DAX was also beamed up – and considerably so. From the low of wave iv in pink, the index has shot upwards by about 5% and should still continue the ascent above the resistance line at 15 703 points, where it should complete wave 1 in blue. However, a 35% chance remains that DAX could slip below the support line at 14 617 points. In that case, the index would first develop wave alt.iv in pink to establish a new low in the pink zone between 14 299 and 13 863 points before moving upwards again.
DAX40 Break out or fake out?Gm
Today we opened DAX,with a gap which has been closed few hours later, and now we’re looking at price action near psychological level - 14 000.
Bullish:
(Higher low and support at point of control? ~13885?)
In this moment I’m checking if price action forming triangle pattern and if it could break out and boost price from current level to ~14160 and even ~14220 where for me is a key level resistance point at this moment.
Relative strength index line tested SMA from above and it’s going upward direction, but i have attention to lower times frames which do not give me right signs (RSI should cross SMA -15m/30m, bearish engulfing bar at 15m wasn't right sign.)
Still waiting for more bullish confirmations in short term on price action.
Bearish:
In the other hand we have price action rejected at 0.618 fibonacci level and if this a local triangle formation it could get back to 13870 where was prominent demand, and as we can assume – double bottom with a candle weak confirming value area low.
We are still under moving average ribbon and momentum still pressure for downward.
Short term:
Lower than 0.381 fibo → price going down 13 880/ 13 800
Higher than 0.618 fibo → going up 14 150/ 14 300
My prediction for now is mostly downward. But first I’ll wait to see what happens at drawed white triangle edge line. Then what will have place at 13 880 and 13 800 price levels. Anyway I don’t expect to price go higher than 200 moving average at 1h timeframe.
DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2.82%, down from 2.98% last week according to VDAX data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 1st percentile, while according to VDAX, we are on 1th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.94% movement
Bearish: 2.38% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 17.9% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 14920
BOT: 14050
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
75% probability we are going to touch previous high of 14600
25% probability we are going to touch previous low of 14333
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 66% bullish trend
Daily timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend
4H timeframe indicates 66.6% bullish trend
DAX Index, coming to supply zone. GER30Hello my friends, Everything is clear on the chart for you like always. We have a bullish trend and price keeps it but the weakness in the trend is obvious and I expect supply from the resistance zone. So monitor the price's action in the circles.
Good luck.
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DAX: Push itIt's not a struggle for the German index! The DAX index used all its willpower to find its way up and pushed all the way to climb above the resistance at 13 970 points. We're currently observing an upwards slope that should steadily move into the pink zone between 14 346 - 14 687 points. As soon as the blue wave completes its movement, the trend should turn into a downwards slope heading to the resistance at 13 970 points. If the DAX can't keep its upwards trend going, there's a 35% chance for the trend to cross the support at 13 036 and drop below 11 829 points into the green zone. We'll keep you posted on whether the DAX can keep up with its hard work or if it slams on the brakes.
DAX: Startle ReflexesWe don’t know what has startled DAX so much that it has jumped upwards and has come quite close to the mark at 12425 points again – maybe, someone tested its startle reflexes… However, the index is already back on track and should continue to move downwards into the pink zone between 11421 and 11060 points to finish wave III in pink, which it could also do in the slightly lower and larger blue zone between 11352 and 10828. Afterwards, DAX should perform a countermovement into the upper pink zone between 12129 and 13066 points, before dropping into the big green zone to complete the overarching downwards movement. Indeed, wave 2 in green could also end in the blue zone between 9980 and 9456 points, which provides a little bit more room southwards.