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DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2.82%, down from 2.98% last week according to VDAX data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 1st percentile, while according to VDAX, we are on 1th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 1.94% movement Bearish: 2.38% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 17.9% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 14920 BOT: 14050 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 75% probability we are going to touch previous high of 14600 25% probability we are going to touch previous low of 14333 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates 66% bullish trend Daily timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend 4H timeframe indicates 66.6% bullish trend
XETR:DAX
by exlux
DAX: Push itIt's not a struggle for the German index! The DAX index used all its willpower to find its way up and pushed all the way to climb above the resistance at 13 970 points. We're currently observing an upwards slope that should steadily move into the pink zone between 14 346 - 14 687 points. As soon as the blue wave completes its movement, the trend should turn into a downwards slope heading to the resistance at 13 970 points. If the DAX can't keep its upwards trend going, there's a 35% chance for the trend to cross the support at 13 036 and drop below 11 829 points into the green zone. We'll keep you posted on whether the DAX can keep up with its hard work or if it slams on the brakes.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by MarketIntel
1
DAX: Startle ReflexesWe don’t know what has startled DAX so much that it has jumped upwards and has come quite close to the mark at 12425 points again – maybe, someone tested its startle reflexes… However, the index is already back on track and should continue to move downwards into the pink zone between 11421 and 11060 points to finish wave III in pink, which it could also do in the slightly lower and larger blue zone between 11352 and 10828. Afterwards, DAX should perform a countermovement into the upper pink zone between 12129 and 13066 points, before dropping into the big green zone to complete the overarching downwards movement. Indeed, wave 2 in green could also end in the blue zone between 9980 and 9456 points, which provides a little bit more room southwards.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by MarketIntel
Mini DAX Futures (FDXM1!), H4 Potential for bearish dropType : Bearish Drop Resistance : 13340 Pivot: 13004 Support : 12591 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price expected to reverse off the stochastic resistance, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 13004 where the pullback resistance is to the 1st support at 12591 where the swing low support and 100% fibonacci projection are. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 13340 where the overlap resistance, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, -61.8% fibonacci expansion and 78.6% fibonacci projection are. Fundamentals: Due to the extended Nord Stream 1 halt, we have a bearish view on the DAX Index .
EUREX:FDXM1!Short
by Genesiv
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop Resistance : 12999 Pivot: 12809 Support : 12415 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving within a descending channel and below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 12809 where the pullback resistance is to the 1st support at 12415 where the swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 12999 where the pullback resistance, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are. Fundamentals: Due to the extended Nord Stream 1 halt, we have a bearish view on the DAX Index.
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by Genesiv
DAX: HiccupsLooks like DAX has the hiccups, the way it is hopping about nervously. We don’t know what has affected its stomach – maybe it is the fact that the index is still indecisive about wave (2) in white. Apparently, it has not yet determined whether it has already completed wave (2) in white or wants to finish it a bit lower still, before resuming the overarching ascent. However, there is only room until the support at 12425 points, as below this mark, our secondary scenario with a probability of 40% would come into play. In that case, DAX would have to take a detour through the green zone between 12140 and 11150 points first, before rising again.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by MarketIntel
Mini DAX Futures (FDXM1!), H4 Potential for bearish dropType : Bearish Drop Resistance : 13341 Pivot: 13011 Support : 12422 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving within a descending channel and below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from the pivot at 13011 where the pullback resistance is to the 1st support at 12422 where the swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 13341 where the overlap resistance and 50% fibonacci retracement are. Fundamentals: Since Russia's Gazprom said that a new turbine halt will further cut gas to Germany, it creates additional supply worries and we have a bearish view on the DAX index .
EUREX:FDXM1!Short
by Genesiv
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop Resistance : 13344 Pivot: 12996 Support : 12370 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking out of an ascending channel and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 12996 where the pullback resistance is to the 1st support at 12370 where the swing low support and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 13344 where the overlap resistance and 61.8% fibonacci projection are. Fundamentals: Since Russia's Gazprom said that a new turbine halt will further cut gas to Germany, it creates additional supply worries and we have a bearish view on the DAX index .
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by Genesiv
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop Resistance : 13669 Pivot: 13346 Support : 12999 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking out of an ascending channel and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 13346 where the overlap resistance, 38.2% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci projection are to the 1st support at 12999 where the pullback support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection are. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 13669 where the pullback resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Fundamentals: Since Russia's Gazprom said that a new turbine halt will further cut gas to Germany, it creates additional supply worries and we have a bearish view on the DAX index .
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by Genesiv
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise Resistance : 14239 Intermediate Resistance: 13980 Pivot: 13661 Support : 13350 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastic support, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 13661 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to the take profit at 14239 in line with 100% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement. Take note of intermediate resistance at 13980 where the swing high resistance and 61.8% fibonacci projection are. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to 1st support at 13350 where the overlap support, -27.2% fibonacci expansion, 127.2% fibonacci extension and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are Fundamentals: No Major News
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by Genesiv
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise Resistance : 13968 Pivot: 13674 Support : 13379 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price expected to bounce from the stochastic support, moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 13674 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 13968 in line with swing high resistance and 61.8% fibonacci projection. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to 1st support at 13379 where the overlap support, 100% fibonacci projection, 38.2% fibonacci retracement, -27.2% fibonacci expansion and 127.2% fibonacci extension. Fundamentals: Since the Eurozone and German ZEW Economic Sentiment data worsened in the current survey, we have a bearish view on the DAX Index. We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by Genesiv
Mini DAX Futures (FDXM1!), H4 Potential for bullish riseType : Bullish Rise Resistance : 14220 Pivot: 13670 Support : 13351 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and within an ascending channel , we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 13670 where the pullback support and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st resistance at 14220 in line with 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection . Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to 1st support at 13351 where the pullback support, -27.2% fibonacci expansion, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection are. Fundamentals: Since investors have seen evidence that inflation has peaked, we have a bullish view on the DAX index.
EUREX:FDXM1!Long
by Genesiv
DAX INDEX FUTURES (FDAX1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise Resistance : 14213 Pivot: 13782 Support : 13670 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator and along an ascending channel, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 13782 where the pullback support and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st resistance at 14213 in line with 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to 1st support at 13670 where the pullback support, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 50% fibonacci retracement are. Fundamentals: As the US Consumer Inflation eases, we have a bullish view on DAX Index .
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by Genesiv
DAX Index, needs some correction. GER30Hello my friends, This is an update of previous analysis (blow link). Everything is clear on the chart for you like always. We have a bullish trend and price keeps it and needs some correction for now to 13320, but If the price loose the support zone , the sell position will be activated in the direction of the arrow. So monitor the price's action in the circles. Good luck. If you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow me for next analysis :) Write your comment and opinion below to me
FX:GER30Short
by ArashBanakar
1