ridethepig | DAX 2020 Macro MapAs those following the latest Macro charts in Euro will know, the philosophy of EUR finding a strong bid will constitute good criteria for the devaluation of German Equities and rule out any possibility of setting new all time highs. This is crunching time for the Fiscal side in Europe, if Germany start to use the fiscal side then the logical follow up is EUR long:
An ingenious swing move, which is extraordinarily difficult to trade without knowledge of the fundamentals in play. Bulls have all the time been operating in stealth mode, whereas bears starting to go overboard in a counter attack. Mother Nature is taking care of these errors, all at once. In most circumstances she would have turned a blind eye, although from time to time intervention is necessary with a gentle smile and turned cheek. The diagram in Bund Yields highlights the underlying issue:
The sacrifice of the 12886 lows in DAX creates freedom for the waterfall manoeuvre. Otherwise sacrifices on the topside (only via a sweep) are still possible. See for example the following flows in CAC:
The fact that this attack was able to clear the highs, shows the two different battlefields in play for Europe. The exchange of flows in Europe is particularly worth expressing via DAX shorts with 2020 outlooks all set and ready to go. In the long term, remember to consider the US Equities chart:
To secure the position; invalidation and reassessment only necessary with a break above the highs. To the downside, initial targets enter into play at 10,500 ... we will cover and update the flows live here.
As usual thanks for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, questions and etc! Feel free to jump into the conversation in the comments with your views/charts.
Daxtrader
DAX DEU30 LONG exact like Forecasted in the ChannelDAX is in Long Mode since 15.10. and runns up
in my channelsystem like it should.
The shorttime forecast is exact in the middle of
the longtime forecast channel, so move is straight
gone up in same manner since 15.10.
Please have an eye on the lower BLUE marked trendline
Short only by fall below that line at 12730
Stopp Long if the blue trendline is broken !
Good trades
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I am just started yesterday a blog, the design
must be finished , but the infos you are ableo to
find here.
www.patreon.com
Good trades
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Renkotrade
Renkotrade
Short - Dax - long term Sept. with an expanded bottomI am staying bearish. Technicals might need a recalibration under current market conditions.
I do not see the Dax flying to the moon soon, especially when the ripple effect of supply chain management across the world becomes a bigger issue and might get some stops and holds on their output - export of the automotive sector.
Deutsche bank is not in the clear yet, and the chance they default or need to pull a Lehman seems more of a direction. I have no reason to be optimistic when the theoratical cycle seems to indicate a recession. I aimed for recession 2022, but it might get a much faster pace.
The dax30 is advancing just as we thoughtA red channel is descending, the trend is completely downward, you can see that the Dax stopped precisely with resistance. Later, it returned to resistance in a short time and again it did not succeed. Now the sellers are taking over.
Entry price: 11980
Stop loss: 12250
Take profit: 11630
Dax daily: 17 May 2019 Yesterday’s session turned out to be yet another success in a long row. The hypothesis suggested the breakout of Wednesday’s high and Dax was pierced that level with strong momentum, not even reacting by any bounce at the resistance level of 12 190. We haven’t even found sellers at the first resistance level laying at 12 097. Today we open with a descending gap
Important zones
Resistance: 12 376
Support: 11 196, 12 118
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today’s session hypothesis
Today, the price could continue in the uptrend that has formed over the recent days. Dax already filled our primary target which was at 12 190. In the upcoming days, we anticipate the retest of 12 448. We could to find buyers around 12 196 or even further down at the support level of 12 118. Should the price get above yesterday’s high (which has a probability of 83%), it is likely that sellers enter around the restest of 12 376.
DAX LONG Situation end of 14.3.2019As described the days before DAX has made a new Long setup
verify to see at the new red marked trendline long
For the next trading day:
If Dax can not hold the strong long setup there is a blue marked
long support line below where Dax could hold and stay in long
If these trendline also breaks there is the big support
( have colored in black) at around 11420
which decide Long from Short aerea.
So in other words:
Long setup above the red trendlines
Cautious on long positions between the red and the blue trendline
Stopp long positions = Neutral aearea between the blue long trendlne
and the black big suppport line
Trading below the black support line is a Short setup
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My ideas are no investment adviced
you have to do always your ow research
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Dax - day viewTwo possible scenario for DAX.
We closed two gap.
Retest last high and continuation bullish scenario (blue arrows).
Or we will break the minimum of the last week and continue moving down (pink arrows).
Let`s see.
I will comment on the idea, as events unfold.
Thank you for your attention.
Shine on you diamonds - GER30~ Hourly diamond formation on the german DAX. The daily trend is upwards, climbing to the top of a canal. I will wait for the breakout though as any good trader would, and would indicatively state 11960 as a target if bull breakout, and 11540 if bearish breakout.
Cheers ;)
Where is a good pullback area (Dax)?We've had a 1000 point rally on the Dax, but haven't really seen much of a pullback or correction. Looking at this volume profile, I am wondering whether a break below 10400 opens up a move back to the higher volume area of 11275. Perhaps this is a spot for bulls to add to their position. I think we are bullish above 10222. But if 10400 holds, we could continue to build higher from here.
Back inside the familiar range again, breakout higher? #daxWe were trading in this range for much of November '16 and I was frequently asking "which will we hit first, 10500 or a break above 10830?" Well, the answer was 10500; thanks in part to the uncertainty caused by Italy. Now, however, we have recovered all of the losses and are now way ahead, can we build from here and break out to the upside?
Potential support levels from the Volume ProfileIf we look at the volume profile (15-minute chart showing the last month) and focus on the higher volume areas, we can draw these four zones that may act as potential support levels if price breaks lower. The issue with predicting these support levels is the Italian referendum result is likely to cause volatility.