USDJPY: First green day, DAY 2Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2 ✅
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, potential weekly dump and pump, the market yesterday failed the LOW breakout, triggering long OTF traders and closing as a FGD, which typically is a template for a long setup, if identified. Between today and tomorrow we can see this template completed.
Short: secondary, not really interested in this scenario, however, I do not exclude a retest of the LOW, which it can be a scalping HOD to LOD, but I won't be interested in this trade.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Day2
EURUSD: DAY 3 SHORTS in the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Since Monday this market has been trending down, triggering shorts breakout traders in the market for three days in a row, potential signal of reverse considering the price at the low of the week
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Price after asian session printed high low of the day, it pinned down into the LOW and pumped up.
THESIS :
Major red news on calendar, no trade before 9:45am NYT
Long: considering 3 days of order flow trapped lower and lower, money and stops are placed above the HOW, this could complete a weekly dump and pump template by tomorrow.
Short: I can't exclude that this market is still breaking down and keep going lower considering, however, the market still in the backside of the move.
SETUP :
Long: dump into the previous closing price (CP), consolidation for 30/45 min and pump back to the HOW, or eventually first bar entry after news release If a green strong momentum bar is presented with news.
Short: Pump into Monday low (opening range), or previous HOD, consolidation for a dump back into the current LOD/LOW.
If none of this scenario will present, I wouldn't consider any other trade setup variations.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
OIL: Monday closed as First Red Day Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Yesterday, Monday, the market broke through the previous HOW and failed, closing the day as a first red day. Since the last Wednesday the market pumped up and now look like starting the backside move of a big template of pump and dump
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Asia and London session mostly dumped all the day, breaking the current low of the week
THESIS :
In the short scenario this market can go fo a range expansion, targeting the previous LOW, it would be my main trading opportunity.
In the long scenario, considering money on top at the HOW, I would be targeting the yesterday CP(HOD) or current HOW if strong momentum is presented.
SETUP :
Short: pump at least into previous LOD(LOW)
Long: Low in place, consolidation for 30/45 min and second/third hour NY session reversal
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni