Bitcoin's next cycle top REVEALEDAs you can see from the chart, if you measure how many days before a halving, did the cycle low occur.
For ex, in November 2012's halving, ~373 days before btc found a cycle low, projected into the future, ~373 days after the halving, a cycle top is in.
Same thing with 2016's halving.
Cycle low ~540 days before the halving, projected into the future ~540 days after the halving, we have a cycle top ($20k).
Yet again, with 2020's halving, btc found a low around 513 days before the halving, projected into the future, it took 513 days for a cycle top to be in.
Now in 2024's halving. Btc found a cycle low ~525 days before the 2024 halving ($15k)..Projected into the future ~525 days after the halving we should get a cycle top in Sept 2025.
Will history repeat itself yet again?Check back with this chart in 2025 :)
Good luck
Days
Roy's picks for April 25, 2022My selection of stocks based on 44 rising SMA , weekly bottom fishing method, and all time high methods. My strategy is to hold for approx 10 days and take 5-10 return. These are experimental only and I have no guarantee that this is going to gain a profit. My own probability instinct is 50:50
EXPR - Tine cycles EXPR daily chart with the length of the prior bull runs tracked in days. Excluded the 2019 run as it was corrective in nature/didn't conform.
From this count, on average the last 4 prior runs going back to 2011 lasted 435.75 days. The shortest run was 378 days.
Current run is 287 days. Thus current run is predicted to end by sometime in the 4th quarter 2021. See chart.
I also looked at the average price increase for the last four runs - which was ~1101 bars. Currently equates to a price of $11.67.
In terms of other indicators/overall chart dynamics the stock is behaving similar to the prior runs IMO. However, ever since EXPR "squeezed" this past January its OBV has been very high comparatively to past runs. This is contibuting to the price and trend strength IMO as traders appear to be holding through the dips.
Note: Time cycles are inherently variable as changing economic and market dynamics, black swans, new regulations, etc. can greatly effect these cycles as related to equities.
Not financial advice.
ETHUSD Still Beating Bitcoin - Even on a Down DayETHUSD Still Outperforming Bitcoin
ETH rallied just under 100% from the resurrection day lows at
360 to high at 713. In that time Bitcoin rallied 50% or so.
Today Bitcoin is down 3.7% at moment and Eth is down 2.9%.
That's impressive price action by ETH for sure. So far at least.
It should be double that decline but it's less than like-for-like.
Whatever the current ratio, it still moves with Bitcoin - which
has hold up at 8800 for ETH to stay overall positive too.
At the moment despite losing the lower parallel and tripping
over its edge Eth is holding up off the first support line at 625
- it's ralled from just above the line towards the underside of
the parallel and been rejected. But it looks unlikley to break
lower still unless Bitcoin in turn breaks below 8800. And if so,
Eth would be likely to fall to 576 and the lower parallel of a
potential flag in the early stages of formation where it
becomes a buy again if tested with stops below by 5 points or
so.
Returning to the upside any break above the upper parallel of
the nascent flag formation at 693 now would be very bullish
and signal further nearer term strength to 869- 89.
Eth is still outperforming though, as today's price action confirms.
BTCUSD: Bitcoin The First Real Bullish Sign for DaysToday's price action has effectively created another double bottom over a 40 hour period - showing that loss of downward momentum bulls and HODLers have been hoping for. It's the first bullish signal we've seen for days. So we can look to add or follow the next break higher when it comes.
Right now Bitcoin is making a small continuation pattern but so far holding up off the nearest support line at 9150. It can be bought or added to once the upper small parallel is broken on upside with stops under the same line.
In very near term it can spend some more time consolidating and if 9150 gives way should come back to 9012-9000 - so stops on any longs can be raised to just under 9150 looking to buy back at 9012 if struck.
Long / short DAXToday GAP reverse and take long. Stops of shorts positions killed by sharks :( But today and tomorrow seems go long, But finally down again. Probably Tomorrow's GAP has shorter.
Lvls today: Shorter and Stop Loss near 10640, Take profit near 10525. When take 10525 lvl enter Longer until 10640 and after take Shorter again until 10451.
Increased BTC Weakness Demanding To Reverse ETH PositionSooo, weak... On top, we have another significant spike of "days destroyed" >>>
blockchain.info
While there is certainly a lot of room for speculations about the possible reasons, I do consider it as a huge bearish red flag in any case.
To buy/long ETH and getting rid off Bert before he starts to properly dump is recommended.
Target (BTC): 373.00EUR (ETH): No idea. Just let it run...