Stop NOT Trading This Pair!If you haven't been trading NZDCAD, you've missed out on some great pips/trades/profits/rides to the bank whilst laughing/etc!
This pair can be abusive, as long as you go into it knowing that everything is mucho easier!
OK here's what I'm doing AGAIN on this pair, I've been shorting it from 9650, in and out several times.
This recent retracement has pulled back, almost to the pip, 61.8%. I'm ready for one of two things:
1. sell the break of .9465
2. sell the secondary channel if it forms below the current ascending trend line.
STOPS are above .9575, a break above there will likely move an add'l 85+ pips into the next major resistance, no thanks.
TARGET .9300
Daytradersfx
Sell the @#$% out of this break out level!I've been discussing selling EURUSD for some time now, it keeps pulling back small and selling off bigger. There's assortment of pivots that make it look like a trend is starting to pick up momentum.
Draghi's comments today had some pretty serious mixed reactions for euro pairs, the overall takeaway was, we're probably going to sell the curly hair out of the EURUSD!
1.0910 was Brexit low for this pair, now we're right back to retest that area, a break below here looks great!
Here's what I'm going to be doing:
sell break of 1.0910
targeting 1.0700 and 1.0650
stops- moves back above 1.0950 will make me look for small losses and reassessing the set up.
A time to buy?USDCAD looks ready for a buy potentially. The BOC talked about stimulus today, the cad got clobbered. Oil isn't looking very supportive of a massive CAD move towards weakness but 100-300 pips doesn't look out of the question.
Simple trade, buying trend line break, locking in profit along the way, seeing where things go from there.
This could swing either way- 50-100 pips should be easyUSDJPY is definitely a pair I want to be long and buy every opportunity. However the mixed movement with USD pairs makes this a possible sell trade for the short term while we wait to buy dips.
All jpy pairs look like better buys than sells but I would consider shorting this down to the weekly pivot for 100 pips. If you're not feeling aggressive, wait for dips and buy any pull backs looking for longer upper targets at 107.50.
Selling pull backs, quick 100 pips comingNZDCAD has been Christmas time, it just keeps giving up pips and pips. If you're not in yet or you've been in and out, here's another chance to grab a quick 100 pips.
It's pretty easy, we have a bear flag, we want to sell the break and target big support at 9300. If this pair can pull back towards the missed daily pivot we can get some nice entries short hopefully up around 9400 area.
See the chart for details, make some pips and have a happy Thursday/Friday!
3 things to watch side by side, 500-1000 pips is the goal here!USDCHF (chart posted yesterday), DXY and EURUSD are all lining up very well and confirming one another. Here is the big "what if" and of course it's related to another central bank being central banky!
Yellen speaks wednesday, expect plenty of USD volatility... PLENTY! IF these USD pairs can hold trend lines and support then we should be ready for some big moves.
USDCHF and closing above the daily trend line is important. 9835 will be easy for the daily candle to clear, 9885 (previous high) could be a little bit of a challenging level, FOMC will tell us more.
DXY 97.50 is important, watch the daily candle for a close above and then the FOMC, that's an important level, plus we're closing outside of the wedge and looking very bullish.
EURUSD 1.1125/00 was easily taken out, next stop looks to be 1.0900 so if that goes we should have an easy run of 150 pips and then another 200 pips into 1.0700.
In summary, all three of these need to be watched side by side and if FOMC minutes don't mess everything up we should see steady movement across the three pairs into some nice profit.
500 pip trades are setting up everywhere, especially here!AUDUSD, EURJPY, USDJPY, AUDNZD, NZDCAD and many other currency pairs are all setting up for 500 pip plays and we want to be ready for the action!
DXY needs to confirm with a clean break out on the daily chart (it's nearly there) and we need to get past FOMC minutes on Wednesday but barring anything super crazy happening there, we should see a clean move on USDCHF.
If GBP panic movement was a sign of things to come, I want to be long USD against most pairs as the moment but we need just a little more confirmation.
This big move happened but is something bigger coming?Some can trade gold, some can't and some just don't care. Here's the deal folks, like it or not gold can be telling of larger things to come. It's true gold is a wild mover and it's also a great indicator of larger movements across the currency market, particularly with the USD. The US dollar has been unadulterated garbage for weeks now and all of the sudden golds smashes through some pretty important levels, be on high alert with USD pairs.
This break out could reverse in the next few hours at which point, we don't care about gold anymore. But if this break out holds and we start to see moves lower in the other missed pivot points, don't be surprised to start seeing the USD and other pairs start to move more than a little.
For now, this is more of a heads up than a trade set up. Watch gold, watch this recent move and if everything holds this pattern and continues, let's all be ready to rock some other currency trades.
For all those that made money on this recent break out in gold, I salute you!
Massive H&S pattern, get short then longThe weekly chart is pretty interesting looking here for a few reasons:
1) we had a large channel break and have run up steadily into 4 year old resistance (8800 area)
2) if resistance holds, I want do short below 8800 for 100-200 pips, maybe more but at least that. Then look for an entry long around the .8000 level
3) if this all plays out we could see 600-1000 pips of movement long term.
This pattern is huge and could take a long time to play out.
The short term opportunity is to short trend line breaks as long as price stays below 8800, looking for 8650 and below as potential targets.
One of the most important charts for currency traders!Whether you trade oil or not, this is a must watch! Any currency impacted by oil movement (think CAD, NOK, USD) this is a must watch chart. If oil starts to break out and confirms this head and shoulders, we may see the black gold get back into the mid 60's. I know what you're thinking, "there's an oil glut etc etc etc" I don't care and I'm not looking at that, this is a purely technical outlook. If this head and shoulders confirms, we may see this as the result in the near future.
So be ready for what may be setting up. And if you do trade oil, jump on this!
Head and shoulders in the works, quick 60-80 pips!Worse case scenario hopefully this is just a channel break and there's a trade to be had at the break of the channel. However I would love to see one more small leg of confirmation and see if this can turn into a head and shoulders pattern.
I want to see 60-80 pips of profit, I'll short at the break of the trend line/quasi-neckline.
.8525 is a great short term target/area to move stops into profit. Speaking of stops, initial entry should have stops above the recent highs.
Decision point, 500 pips either directionWe are sitting at a solid decision point, we have 500 potential pips to go either direction, 1.7000 is going to be an important area to know where this pair is headed in the short term.
AUD pairs are setting up for possible bearish movement, making this set up very interesting. However GBP pairs remain a little heavy and possibly mixed. Enough AUD weakness should do what we need and start this move up to the high 1.7000's
CRIKEY! We have a long AND/OR short setting up here!AUDUSD was kind enough to give me 50 pips a few days ago, I don't trade this pair too often but I'm getting more interested in this because of a multi-year channel we have to work with.
If this pair break up or down we have a long way to go to to the bottom of this 4 year old channel. If it break up we have nothing but smooth sailing to the upside.
I've marked the symmetry levels for the nearest term targets if we see break outs, there could be a lot more to come beyond that but at least that looks good to start the party.
if this happens, look for 300-400 pips.If we can get a spike higher of 100+ pips, I will be actively looking for opportunities to short this pair for a big move down into 1.1000. If we are patient with this pair, we should be able to grab 300-400 pips. I'll update this trade ideas as it progresses along.
Wedge and head and shoulders, this might be ready to ROCK!GBPCHF, along with so many other GBP pairs, looks like it might be ready for something big. The head and shoulders pattern on the 4 hour chart has a price projection of 700-800 pip ((laughing all the way to the bank)) and we have a falling wedge (the blue trend lines). There is a lot of bullish patterns in the works here, I'm ready for GBPCHF to starting moving up.
An entry at the break of the falling wedge could start the party, then adding to it at the break of the neckline would be great as well.
I'll update you all as this trade develops and I take an entry.
Everything you need to know about USD directionYou may have noticed USD not showing much direction, it's because of this little guy here, the US dollar index. Until this breaks out of the nice little wedge that's been holding it prisoner for months and months, we're likely to see USD pairs struggle. So we need to watch other currencies that have big strength or weakness. This doesn't mean USD pairs won't move, it just means the USD component will not be doing much of the push either direction. I love audusd, nzdusd, usdcad and others, but not for the USD side of it.
So this is more of a reference chart, there's no trade here for me it's just what I'm watching so I'll be ready for the big USD movement when the wedge finally breaks.
Quadruple top, yeah I'm going to sell this for 600 pipsThere's been discussion if this is a quad top or an inverse head and shoulders pattern, seems strange to have an inverse H&S pattern at the top of a trend. So i'm going with a quadruple top and I'm already short at 9585, if we get closes above 9650 I'll close with a loss and get long, however if 9650 holds, I'm riding this down to at least 9000 level, anyone interested in almost 600 pips?
Below this level something big could happen0.7500 area (give or take a few pips) could be a much more important level than anyone is noticing. NZD has been rallying non stop and gain against most pairs... WELLLL most NZD pairs are showing levels of overextension for NZD strength. EURNZD already made a nice move towards NZD weakness, NZDCAD, NZDCHF, NZDJPY and others are starting to smell bearish.
So that being the case, I'm watching NZDUSD for a few reasons, let me elaborate:
1. 0.7500 is the 50% fib from that big double top high that happened in early 2014 to the low of 2015.
2. NZDUSD has failed to make a new low since that one test a year ago at .6200 (currencies like the yearly trend)
3. we're at the stop of a nice multi-month channel showing good signs of failure (50% fib coincides with channel top)
4. because I want to sell the shiz out of it already!!
5. because I said so!
If 7500 holds i'm looking for shorter term trend line confirmation to start shorting, no guess work here we're looking for a break out.
.7200 looks like a good near term target.
Yes there's GBP strength, I'm looking to short soonWith all the GBP strength over the last several days it probably seems crazy to think/talk about shorting GBP I'm going to do it and you can't stop me. I've already made some good cash buying EURGBP this morning, GBPUSD is next on the chopping block. I want to see this move 100'ish pips higher then i'll be looking for some short term trend line breaks to sell. I love trading back to the 200 ema on the 15 minute chart and that's what I plan to do here.
I'll have a new trend line drawn at some point in the next 24-48 hours but if we see 1.3530-50 area I'll be selling.
See chart for details....
It's GO TIME for GBPUSD. I love this set up if....If you've been following the move and the charts and videos I've been posted you know all week we've been looking for USD weakness and it's coming in full force!
GBPUSD looking very interesting with a close above 1.3277, there's nothing but clear sky above and I want to be in on the action.
Moves and holds above 1.3277 make me very interested in 1.3800 area for a target. As always, I won't give this much room, if it can't hold above the break out zone I'll exit quickly with a small loss.
quick 50-100 pips short before buyingI like the idea of selling this pair before buying. I think we can get a quick 50-100 pips of sell off towards the weekly and daily pivots before it starts to rally.
If it breaks below 1.2790 look for a quick move into 1.2740 and beyond.
See more about this at www.daytradersfx.com
very short term bearish outlookwe have a very short term bearish outlook here, several of the USD pairs are looking ready for at least a small correction and we want to get in on the action.
EURUSD, USDCHF and others are looking ready for a small correction towards USD weakness and the DXY is looking ready to lead the way.
Wedge Broke, Sell RalliesEURUSD did a nice job of breaking the rising wedge, I've been shorting it since 1.1330. I think/hope we have another opportunity to sell this pair at a retest of the daily pivot at 1.1320.
SELL trend line break for confirmation
TARGET: 1.1200/1.1150
STOP: above the highs, failure of the wedge
I'll be updating the details about this in our free chat, you can log in (free) at bit.ly/dtfxfreechat