Daytrading
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮
📅 Tue, Feb 4
🌎 Market-Moving News:
📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods.
🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies.
📊 Key Data Releases:
📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M)
🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%)
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization.
#trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
USDCHF short biasI'll be anticipating to short usdChf from 0.91643 taking the Old New York high 0.91611
I didn't see the sell opportunity that happens today to I'm anticipating a pull back to my point of interest then I ride it down.
A believe it's going to be a bearish week.
Please share if you find this insightful 🫴
Journey to 53K: 2.3.25 My Live executions with ICT NQ CommentaryTook some L's today but I accept because I do not want to repeat last week over again.
We also have to get ready for work and make some breakfast for my sisters so we are calling it today. May tomorrow and the other days this week bring me more blessings. but we will see. I am really working on not feeling rushed.
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US500 Trade insight Price breaks above December high 6102.21 so I believe we are currently on a retracement to 5901.87 for continuing to the upside.
If the ISM manufacturing PMI news happening at 10:00 UTC-5 NY push proce to my POI then I'll stick to my buy bias but if it pushes price to the upside without getting to my point of interest then I might look for a short sell from 6024.40 down to my Poi for buy.
If you find this insightful, 🫴 kindly boost and share
EUR/USD 4H Analysis: Smart Money Concept SetupOn the 4H timeframe, EUR/USD transitioned from a downtrend to bullish momentum after breaking the previous LH. This indicates a potential trend reversal.
Price swept liquidity at the IDM level, confirming the inducement move. I’ll now move to the 30M timeframe to refine my entry. My focus is on waiting for a CHoCH (Change of Character) and a bullish order block retest before executing a buy position.
Sticking to one pair this week to maintain a focused approach. Let’s see how this plays out!
Feedback is welcome—drop your thoughts below!
Bless Trading!
XRP/USD -Learnig from Mistakes and Refining Entries (30M TF)In trading, losses are just as important as wins when it comes to learning and improving.
Here's a breakdown of a recent setup I analyzed on XRP/USD that didn't play out as planned-and how I refined my approach to get it right.
What Went Wrong (Bottom Chart):
=I initially identified a break of Major Higher Low (HL) with a strong volume candle.
=I assumed this would lead to bearish momentum toward my target, but price failed to deliver.
=The issue? I overlooked key liquidity points and entered permaturely without a proper confirmation of intent.
What Worked (Top Chart):
=After reviewing the chart, I spotted the correct setup: a proper HL break, which swept Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) / (IDM).
=Price tapped into a well-defined supply zone (order block) after taking liquidity, signaling a high-probability reversal.
=This approch aligned with the market structure and led to TP being smashed.
Key Takeaways:
1. Watch for liquidity sweeps and inducements before committing to a trade.
2. Confirm intent by combining structure breaks (CHoCH) with zones of interest like supply/demand zones.
3. Review losses thoroughly-they often hold the key to improving your entries and view.
Let me know your thoughts, or feel free to share your experiences below. Always learning, always evolving!
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 2.02 - 2.07.2025Last Week :
Globex opened inside VAL under the Weak stops from previous sessions that we have market off which signaled weakness, under 6100 market started taking out lower stops and key areas which gave a big flush into lower Value during ON hours to start the week but we ran out of selling after looking below lower VAL and rotated out of Value from there. RTH Session did not bring anymore size selling, instead we were able to hold above Value take in all the Supply and move back into/above upper Edge which brough stability and pushed us into 6114 - 064 Intraday Range where we found balance. End of week price made a push into upper Value again but the move was done during ON lower Volume hours and once we hit the bigger area of supply/where we previously found bigger sellers over 6144 the whole push came apart and gave us another move under VAL into the Edge where we closed right at a big area without really breaking under.
This Week :
This week is really tricky to try and call because we have new month starting, we had some news over the weekend which has made a lot of people bearish or at least think that we should be bearish and either open on gap down or continue lower, we have seen strong selling from above areas which probably trapped buyers to give us more weakness BUT as much as I like to cheer for the downside and a good correction most of the time as I am a short seller, we have to be careful here because we are at important HTF areas which if we don't get the needed volume to stay under could bring stability and continue to give us balancing action over them.
We will have to see what we do on the open tonight and during ON sessions to really get a better picture but we can have a plan and keep things in mind that IF they start happening then we can be ready. Daily TF for now is still in uptrend after a failed correction in mid January and we are just grinding over smaller Daily MA with buying interest running out over 6100s which is giving us this sideways/selling action, weekly TF also grinding over its smaller MA and has closed right around weekly balance mid area after failing to hold under its low which is in 940s this could mean that we may potentially continue holding and grinding/sideways with weakness until we see some bigger change.
Daily Edge top is around 6070 - 40s we would need to either see a push that can close under 50s to signal acceptance back in lower HTF Range or a push under with continuation to/through lower VAH which can then bring in more sellers and give us continuation towards lower targets at VAL/Edge and if things get really ugly to push us through 933 - 913 Edge from where we need to watch out for further continuation towards our Previous Distribution Balance.
On the other hand we need to be careful forcing the short side under 6060-50s unless market can clearly show us that it wants to be under, if it does not then we can watch for us to stay inside Current Intraday Range where we could balance and maybe tighten up the ranges as things have been pretty wild, if this will be the case then we could see stronger sells coming from areas closer to above VAL and from inside/above it, weakness from VAL can continue until we can push into Value and start balancing around the Mean area without getting back under 6114.
TOSHIUSD demand zone (0.00070) waiting for bullish confirmation 🚀 TOSH/USD Analysis: Fresh Demand Zone on M15 – Awaiting Bullish Confirmation
🔍 Why is this setup interesting?
✅ Fresh Demand Zone created on M15 at 0.00070 → Potential strong buy pressure 📊
✅ Trade not confirmed yet → Waiting for a bullish signal h1📈
✅ Confluence with Price Action and Market Structure 💹
📊 Key Levels & Scenarios:
🔵 Demand Zone (daily Support): 0.00070
🟢 Potential Confirmation: Wick rejection + Bullish close
🟢 Target Levels: 🎯 ATH
🛠 Supply & Demand Strategy Applied:
Fresh Demand Zone → Strong bounce potential ✅
Waiting for bullish confirmation (Engulfing candle, wick rejection, high volume) 📉
Optimized Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🎯
🔥 Follow me for more live market analysis
15min - 1 hour short term Day trade Idea for MES15min - 1hr trading idea for short term gain. Thoughts.
After reviewing and studying the chart I found myself pondering on a short term gain for the upcoming trading session. Thoughts and critique welcome.
The use of FVG that has not been mitigated is in play
Oversold on an RSI
Momentum on slowing down on a bear trend
As always. Not offering financial advice. Just food for thought.
Election Rally Price BalanceThis is simple, Trumps Election win caused a massive rally with no retrace back to November 6th. We have to balance out that price action before we break the ceiling of $4,000. I also believe we had a massive gain on Crypto New Comers and this is the way they will get wiped out. Call it a Bear Trap, Shakeout, Liquidator. We will eventually climb back up.
Ethereum (eth) Long entry setup supply and demand + ote 📊 Precise Setup for a Long Entry on ETH/USD
💡 Why this trade?
🔹 Strong demand zone detected (S&D)
🔹 Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) confirmed by the 62%-79% Fibonacci retracement
🔹 Bullish breakout + strong reaction at a key order block
🎯 ETH/USD Trade Plan
✅ Optimal entry point (OTE) 📍: Waiting for a fresh bullish demand zone on H1 or M15
✅ Key demand zone (S&D) 🛑: $3,060.00
🔥 ETH is setting up for a strong move! This Supply & Demand + OTE strategy offers a high-probability trade with an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
📢 Follow for more exclusive analysis and trade signals! 🚀
#Ethereum #Crypto #Trading #ETH #SupplyAndDemand #OTE #SmartMoney #DayTrading #SwingTrading #CryptoSignals #TechnicalAnalysis
“XRP/USD - Adding a Second Position to Ride the Wave”4H Bias Holds Strong - 5M Entry Refinement
In continuation of my initial position on XRP/USD, I’ve added a second entry to compound on the 4H bullish bias move.
Key Observations:
1. 4H Structure: The price respected the order block within the IDM zone, confirming bullish intent.
2. Refined Entry: Top screenOn the 5M timeframe, after a sweep of SSL and a clear CHoCH, price retested the order block. I entered on the bullish reaction with TP levels set at 3.3974.
3. Bigger Picture (2H for Clarity): The engineered liquidity was swept cleanly, and momentum aligns with the continuation plan toward higher levels.
Both positions are running in sync, aiming for the same take-profit zone. I’ll monitor how price action develops overnight for potential adjustments or further refinement.
Let me know your thoughts—are you tracking XRP/USD, or are you focused on other pairs this week? Drop a comment below!
Bless Trading!
XRP/USD Trade Update - Liquidity Grab & Potential Reversal I’m still holding my XRP/USD long position, but price recently broke to the downside from a wedge formation. Instead of continuing directly toward my TP, it’s now seeking engineered liquidity before making its next move.
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Liquidity Grab: Price is dipping into a key liquidity zone, sweeping weak hands before a potential move back up.
✅ 30M Order Block: I’ve identified a demand zone around 2.8170, which could act as support for a reversal.
✅ Bullish Continuation? If price holds the 2.8170 area and reacts strongly, I anticipate a move back toward TP levels. However, if this zone fails, I’ll reassess my bias.
🎯 Plan Moving Forward:
📌 Watching the 30M order block reaction closely.
📌 If bullish confirmation appears, I expect a push back toward my TP.
📌 If invalidated, I’ll adjust my trade accordingly.
Let me know what you think—are you still bullish on XRP/USD? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
#XRPUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #Liquidity #OrderBlocks #Forex #CryptoTrading
Bless Trading!
GBP/USD Long, EUR/USD Long and GBP/AUD LongGBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H low tests.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/AUD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/USD LongGBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
XAU/USD: Potential Reaction at Supply Zone*On the 4H timeframe, XAU/USD has shown a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), with the previous Higher Low (HL) being broken, taking out Buy-Side Liquidity near the highs. Price is now trading within a supply zone, aligning with bearish order flow.
On the 30M timeframe (see chart):
• A CHoCH has been identified within the supply area, signaling a potential shift in direction.
• Price looking to clear the inducement (IDM) before tapping into the zone, strengthening the likelihood of a sell-off.
• I’m anticipating a reaction and continuation to the downside, targeting lower liquidity levels around $2,730.500.
Key Points:
• Bearish Bias from the 4H Supply Zone.
• Liquidity grab + CHoCH on the 30M confirms bearish intent.
• Targeting the lows near $2,730.500 for a high-probability trade setup.
Trade Idea:
Wait for confirmation within the 30M supply zone (e.g., a lower timeframe entry such as a CHoCH or breaker structure). Maintain discipline and proper risk management.
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts below!
Bless Trading!
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD): Assessing the Potential BreakoutOver the past few months, the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD) has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory, marked by higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of sustained bullish sentiment. However, we've seen periods of consolidation and recent volatility - let's take a look at its current technical landscape.
Current Market Overview:
As of January 29, 2025, the NASDAQ 100 is trading at approximately 21,600, a level that has served as a significant pivot point in recent trading sessions. A decisive move above this threshold could validate the ongoing uptrend and open the door to further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Immediate Resistance : The 21,600 level is crucial. A sustained break above this point could signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Levels : Should the price retreat, the 21,300 - 21,200 are notable support areas to watch.
Recent Developments:
The market has recently experienced heightened volatility, notably a sharp dip around January 27, followed by an aggressive recovery. This shows how unpredictable the market can be and hints at continued bullish movement.
Strategic Considerations:
Breakout Confirmation : A sustained move above 21,600, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, would provide stronger confirmation of the breakout.
Support Retest : If the price successfully breaches the 21,600 resistance, this level could transform into a support zone. A subsequent retest of this level as support could present a compelling entry opportunity for long positions.
However , considering the Fed decision and fundamental factors around todays announcement - the most likely scenario would be slightly hawkish or a hawkish pause , which would be somewhat negative for the index. This would allow price to experience a temporary drop back down to the previous support (demand) level of 21,200 before buyers re-engage.
Trading Strategies:
Long Positions on Breakout Confirmation : A clear break and close above 21,600 could signal a long (buy) entry.
Long Positions on Retest of Support : A pullback to the 21,200 support level (assuming it holds) could offer a better opportunity to enter long positions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly. OANDA:NAS100USD IG:NASDAQ PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
EUR/USD LongEUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
XRP/USD: Continuation of Bullish Momentum Towards 3.3901 In this analysis, I entered an XRP/USD trade at 2.8887, utilizing Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and inducements for precise direction and entry timing. My trading framework combines multiple timeframes to ensure alignment with market structure and intent.
EUR/USD Long, GBP/USD Short and EUR/GBP ShortEUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/GBP Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 3 touch 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.