POTENTIAL TRADE SET UP FOR ETHUSD (LATE UPDATE)PLAN
1. Short ETHUSD from 1206 to 985-908. Take profit at any point you feel is enough there.
2. Wait for a pullback to 1145-1180 price range and get ready for another short targeting 833.
- Once price reaches the 980 price region in the green box , wait for a breakdown.
-If the price rejects the box and closes an hourly above the green box then put stop loss at entry. (Wait for a trade update)
-If it Breaks and continues moving down TP at 850-833 region.
3. Place long orders at the 789-742 region(One scalp order and a positional order )
-Scalping positions should take TP at 988-1000 region.
-Put the positional order's stop loss at entry and wait for the breakout above 1000 targeting the next green box
INFO
- 30-50 % correction during a bull run is normal and healthy for the market.
- Ethereum below $900 is cheap.
- Ethereum on road to $2000
Signing off,
THECRYPTONIZER
DBA
POTENTIAL PULLBACK PATTERN FOR BTCUSDPLAN
- After the JP Morgan News about BTC, the price started pumping because that is the biggest bank in USA.
- If the price closes below the $31300 or FIB RETRACEMENT 0.786.
- The price might have pullback to any of the three target.
INFO
- Trade shorts cautiously, with the support of the hourly EMA.
- The link to the CNBC news of JP MORGAN: www.cnbc.com
- Yup, during recession period people would search for a safe haven to store their money. BITCOIN IS THE DIGITAL GOLD AND THE FUTURE CURRENCY ...
SIGNING OFF,
THE CRYPTONIZER
ETH TO 820$ IS IMMINENT-A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
-A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and is used to spot opportunities to go long.
-Expect a movement to 820$ by the end of December.
SECOND CONFIRMATION TO 820$ IS IMMINENT- Broke out of a falling wedge "BULLISH FLAG" and hit our target
-"W'" candle formation or DOUBLE BOTTOM formed and TP zone near 800-820 Zone
- A double bottom will typically indicate a bullish reversal which provides an opportunity for investors to obtain profits from a bullish rally. After a double bottom, common trading strategies include long positions that will profit
DBA Agriculture FundI like everything about this one
1. Break out of the long term down trend (not completely out of it but moving in the right direction)
2. All macro behind it is looking great
3. Anti-inflation hedge
4. Very underpriced compared to equities
5. Rotation in commodities might be a theme for 2021
This is a long term, slow growing asset class. Do not expect any mega moves. If market sniffs out value here, it might jump.
TBT - Next Big Mover?Without too much noise, interest rates appear to be creeping up. In comparing with other trading instruments I watch, it appears to have the biggest potential for a move. As the rising rates indicate an increase in inflation, I've also had my eyes on a few commodities. Inflation has too long been downplayed but we all know the reality of inflation because we are exposed to the reality, not the engineered inflation figures that show there is none. Soybeans have looked interesting (SOYB). Also watching DBA for a broader commodity play. Oil as well. Started taking positions in some like XOM. Could be testing a long term low. Politically, the oil industry appears toxic but such fears often prove to be great buying opportunities. I'm taking some shots here across the inflation spectrum.
DBA looking bullishWe like the agriculture sector here with the one of the if not the largest flooding in history for the Midwest. The chart is extremely oversold on weekly and monthly time frame, the daily pattern has a lot of potential and the fundamental could be changing quickly with this flooding (more rain coming and melted snow from up north not arrived yet).
UPDATE: Soft commodities have the answers for all assets s/t DBAHi guys, thank you for the support! I will have this analysis out each weekend as well as daily updates throughout the week, if you guys like what I'm doing hit the "follow" button and you will get a notification each time I post a video or chart!
Have a great day everyone!
ADB longWhen something is hated and oversold, it is time to buy it. There is not yet clear conformation for bullish trend, but it will be very interesting when two trendlines meet on weekly chart. Risk reward is on bulls side. And with ever increasing prices, it is only matter of time before actual food become more expensive.
TRADE IDEA: DBA APRIL 20TH 18/20 LONG CALL VERTICALMetrics:
Probability of Profit: 38%
Max Profit: $140/contract
Max Loss: $60 contract
Break Even: 18.60
Notes: With the underlying at all-time lows, going for a small directional shot. Going out to April to attempt to take advantage of potential seasonality. Fills look to be pesky, with the bid/ask on this setup at .55/.65 (mid .60) ... . I would also note that the short call isn't taking much off the top in terms of debit paid (bid .10/ask .15), so this may be one of those cases where you might just want to go Plain Jane long call (bid .70/ask .75) and not cap out max profit with the shortie ... .
DBA weekly : have some patience...DBA had a retrace after breaking out of this declining wedge. I am now watching price behaviour around this base area and setting some alerts ( 21.00USD ). If the macro assessment is correct we should see Agrobusiness follow the pro-inflation-fear environment, which means that precious metals, commodities and Agrobusiness should provide considerabel gains in to 2017 and 2018. Long-term appreciation expected. However one has to have enormous patience. Once the big players catch up on this ( they did already in Gold and Silver ) we should be well positioned.
DBA and the DollarRecent declines in the dollar have previously lead to large rallies in DBA. As of yet the current decline in the dollar has not done much for DBA, however I anticipate this to change soon if the dollar continues the current pull back through the summer. A retest of the ~88-89 level on DXY may be coming and if so, DBA may break out of the current down trend which started with the dollar rally.
The declining trend line noted on the chart represents about ~17% gain and would be a reasonable target.
Agriculture is Outperforming EverythingAgriculture is outperforming everything: US debt, emerging markets equity and debt, US equities, FTSE, gold, oil, copper, bitcoin....pretty much everything. I'm not buying because I've got other opportunities I'm focused on, but I think this trend still has legs.
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