Gold vs Commodities: Monitoring Relative Strength in Hard AssetsIntroduction:
The commodity sector spans various areas, including energy, agriculture, livestock, and metals. However, focusing on the most promising areas can lead to more effective investment strategies. One key ratio to monitor is gold AMEX:GLD versus a broader commodities basket (DBC). This ratio is especially relevant for those interested in hard assets, as it highlights where strength lies in the commodity space. Currently, this ratio favors gold as the stronger performer.
Analysis:
Relative Strength: The GLD-to-DBC ratio offers critical insights into the relative performance of gold versus other commodities. Gold has been outperforming the broader commodity basket, indicating its resilience as a hard asset.
Technical Pattern: Earlier this year, the ratio broke out of a rounding bottom pattern, signaling a bullish trend in favor of gold. Even before this breakout, the trend was clear through a series of higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the strength of gold relative to other commodities.
Gold’s Performance: Gold remains near its all-time highs, while other commodities continue to lag behind. This highlights gold’s resilience in the face of broader market uncertainties.
Conclusion:
Gold’s resilience compared to other commodities makes it a standout performer in the current market environment. The recent breakout in the GLD-to-DBC ratio and the continued pattern of higher highs and higher lows support the bullish case for gold. Traders focused on hard assets should monitor this ratio closely to gauge potential shifts in strength. What’s your outlook on gold versus other commodities? Share your insights below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the GLD-to-DBC ratio, the rounding bottom pattern, and the higher highs and higher lows trend)
Tags: #Gold #Commodities #HardAssets #GLD #DBC #TechnicalAnalysis
DBC
Preparing for Winter: Accumulating Natural Gas and DBC ETFs in ATitle: Preparing for Winter: Accumulating Natural Gas and DBC ETFs in Anticipation of Rising Prices
Comment: As colder months approach, I'm positioning myself strategically by accumulating Natural Gas, expecting a significant price surge driven by tight supply and potential demand spikes. Additionally, I'm reinforcing my portfolio with the DBC ETF, which covers commodities within the same sector. With rising energy needs on the horizon, this could be the perfect storm for a strong rally in energy markets.
DBC DeepBrainChain doing Wyckoff accumulation?One could look at it as a loooooooooooong type of bottoming formation. As long as this LPS holds one should be expecting a strong SOS before continuation further upwards.
And of course: If it looks like a flag, it usually is one. When/If this break upwards, things will speed up quickly.
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Hold my beer pls
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No financial advice, do your own research, don't be stupid
Natural Gas still coiling! breakdown or breakout? Natural Gas is appraoching the apex of a wedge pattern.
The Apex is the very tip of the triangle where 2 trendlines meet.
Price will likely have to make a move by April 3 or sooner.
As for which way will price break is anyones guess, but probabliietes are slightly swaying lower.
Signs of accumulation are being observed in the resource stocks. So a bottom is typically approaching.
DBC EtF has broken out. Nat gas has a small weighting in there.
Natural Gas crash?Natural gas has crashed when comparing it to the DBC commodity ETF.
If a recession takes hold, demand destruction always prevails and it looks like Nat gas is pricing this in.
This price action could be a leading indicator that many other commodities may be vulnerable to a pullback.
Since Natural Gas is one of the smaller components of this ETF, it can see a large influx of capital that has to stay long by rotating out of other overbought commodities. Natural gas has broken out before the DBC and it has bottomed before the DBC. Nat Gas has the largest divergence from its peers.
Analyzing Bank Liquidity: Key Charts to WatchThere is a lot of fear and uncertainty about bank runs right now, but fortunately, TradingView's charts give us objective and unbiased insight into the actual state of U.S. bank liquidity. In this video, I explain some key charts that you can use to analyze banking liquidity. You can add these charts to your Watchlist so you're always able to get a pulse on the current state of the U.S. banking system.
Important Disclaimer
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Trading and investing always involve risks and one should carefully review all such risks before making a trade or investment decision. Do not buy or sell any security based on anything in this post. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. This post is for educational purposes only.
SPX | The Everything BubbleSPX vs Inflation is a chart I explained in the following idea.
While this chart showed incredible golden-ratio behavior, there are some periods which stand out. The smooth dance of the ratio throughout the last 100 years, has some quirks (the red ellipses). These periods are not random, they all feature a bubble behavior. It is clear as day that in 1996 the .com bubble formed, which caused SPX to return to trend in 2003.
The 2004-2008 stock market growth and the Great Financial Crisis are not apparent, since they are part of The Great 2000 Recession. They are in the middle of a long-term downwards trend.
So where does this leave us? If this chart has any meaning, we are in the middle of the air, with incalculable drop for the chart in the future...
One target can be pinpointed using probable fib-extensions, using retracements drawn from important highs and lows.
It is 12 times lower than now, or 92% drop. It depends on how you look at it...
PS. I know that charts don't go back in time. The red arrow is drawn towards the left for aesthetic reasons.
Who knows how far downwards is the trend now...
PS2. I invented a new name for the Head and Shoulders pattern. I call it Cerberus, the three-headed beast guarding the Underworld.
Look at it in action:
The tail of Cerberus is a dragon's head spewing flames, which in trading would be a bull-flag.
Chart taken from SPY_Master
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
✴️ DeepBrain, Big Numbers (10,428% Wave Followed by 12,237%)This one was requested by one of our supporters in the last Name Your Altcoin series, Part 6.
Even though it didn't make it to the last batch of 10, from 50-60, here it is...
I have to share this with you because we have some crazy numbers, really big.
This type of market action supports what I've been saying all along; That Cryptocurrency already bottomed and we are set for years of growth .
DeepBrain (DBCUSDT)
Between March 2020 and May 2021 DeepBrain (DBCUSDT) produced a massive bullish wave, with 10,428% total growth. That's 100X.
From May 2021 through November 2022 was the bear market. A 98.70% correction, sounds just like Crypto.
Right after the bottom was hit in November 2022 a new bullish wave started to develop and so far we have 2,000%+ (20X) total growth.
All the signals continue bullish...
If we go by the Fibonacci extension tool and the long-term higher low, we can expect a higher high next.
The total would be around 12,237% from bottom to top for the next wave. Wow!
Crazy numbers I know... But we already saw a 10,428% wave in the last bullish phase.
I guess DeepBrain has something to do with AI!
AI Video Generator!
Namaste.
DBC Deep Brain ChainWell actually its a pretty cool and especially ALIVE project (twitter.com) but like many small caps this one has been in a bad decline since price discovery.
Here we are down 99.8% from the ATH looking at the chart in LOG scale to make it fit
Its a bit tough to charts but actually theres just 3 possibilities
1) its just going sideways here forevery slowly towards 0
2) its doing a corrective pattern up since the low: 0.618-0.886 (13x) or eventually 1.272/1.618 (100x)
3) its doing a diagonal and the top will be 8.236 @ $1.09 (1280x)
Soon its gonna touch the uptrend since the low in 2020 and possibily wicking ideal target to buy in around 0.382 @ $0.0006625
High Risk - High Reward
Insanely how accurately 4.236 on the way down was hit before starting a move up WOW
Hold my beer pls
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No financial advice, do your own research, don't be stupid
DeepBrain Chain : THE AI COIN THAT CAN FLY WITH 300 % UPIt seems that there is a lot of excitement and interest in the potential of AI and its applications in the coming years. Companies and persons like Elon Musk with OpenAI are making strides in developing advanced AI technology, and this has sparked interest in AI-related products.
the DeepBrain Chain coin can play an important role coming time, which some believe has the potential to show strong growth in the future. This study, based on technical analysis, predicts that the coin could reach a target of 300% in the coming time.
It is always important to thoroughly research and carefully evaluate any potential investment before making a decision.
this is not trading advice, but the coin has the possibility to increase in the coming time.
This coin is at this moment on Gate exchange
More info about Elon musk project
chat.openai.com
DB. commodity index idea (27/09/2022)DB. commodity index
We expect the index to continue declining because prices are below the 27.05 resistance point, and wave (2) has already ended and started falling in waves (3). We expect prices to drop to 1.618% at 22.18, but currently, we expect the correction to continue to 61% at 26.06 to end wave 2 before descending again.
DB. commodity index idea (13/09/2022)DB. commodity index
We expect the index to continue declining because prices are below the 27.05 resistance point, and wave (2) has already ended and started falling in waves (3). We expect prices to drop to 1.618% at 22.18, but currently, we expect the correction to continue to 61% at 26.06 to end wave 2 before descending again.
#DBC closed under 200dma and rising channelDBC - Invesco Deutsche Bank Commodity Index has closed and broken below both the rising channel and the 200 day moving average. Technically this is quite damaging and it will be interesting to see if we get follow through to the downside.
Crude oil and gasoline are major weights in this basket accounting for half of the weighting followed by gold at just over 6% and agriculture also having a decent weighting.
www.invesco.com
Should the technical targets play out we could see approx $22.50 and $19.30. Two daily closes back above the 200dma and i'll most likely concede that this view is incorrect.
Possible top coming soon for $DXY?I can't say that I've called a top using trendlines atop of a bullish trend, but I've seen a few others do it. With the rise in the dollar bringing mass bearishness to rest of the investment complex, a pause could bring some welcome relief. Anyway, I thought the timing might be relevant as important lower levels approach in $CL, $UX, and some metals, as well being overdue for a meaningful bounce in the equities. I will use the $109.xx marker in DXY to signal a buying point for small positions in UUUU, UEX, NXE, USO, GDX, SILJ, SPY, IWM, AAPL, AMD, et al
Commodity IndexOct 20' - Investors unsure of market, COVID concerns, no real fix -
Premise 1 - Investors move into commodities, specifically previous metals.
Premise 2 -Energies + Commodities related to consumer goods
DBC index provides basket catching the best of everything without great risk. At least that was what I read at the time of analysis.
March 22'
Equity Bubble? War Concerns, COVID certainty but no real fix, Inflation, Int Rates, FED.
Premise - SAME AS ABOVE.
DBC , LONG , wedge pop/bullish gap attack on open today Per my trading rules ,we now have the earliest possible price action to get in to some swing trades with the QQQ and SPY actions we see currently happening. As a result, I took a starter in DBC as planned .
QQQ/ SPY notes:
The SPY etf has put in a higher low and is above the 21 EMA , but still below the 200 sma and we have a valid death cross on daily , so certainly not out of the woods yet but with it being over the 21 ema for now it allows me to increase exposure as per my rules
QQQ is in a similar setup but we are a bit weaker vs SPY , and only have a double bottom so far but also currently living above its 21 ema for now.
DBC notes :
Wedge drop on march 15th confirmed and now we have a wedge pop/gap up on open setup this morning .
Entered with a stop under the 21 ema shortly after open today .
I am planning on selling 33% when we hit 2 R, stop will stay same , and carrying over the balance until we have a close under the 21 ema , hopefully .
If I get stopped out , re entry is an option only if we have SPY / QQQ basic entry condition's being met . It's very early and we could still certainly breakdown more on indices.
Entry @ 25.42
Stop 24.83
2R trade management target 26.70 ( sell 33% )