I wanted to share an analysis I've conducted on Sanofi over the past five years using both comparable methods and a 2-Stage DCF approach. According to my findings, the market value appears to be at least 22% undervalued in comparison with its fair value. Moreover, considering the post-COVID effects on pharmaceutical companies, I believe Sanofi presents a...
Hoping for price to dip to $10-$13 per share - long term upside targets of $50, $75, then $100-$120
Unilever DCF Assumptions: Tax Rate = 23.5% Discount Rate = 4.9% Perpetual Growth Rate = 1.5% EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x Transaction Date = 01/04/2022 Fiscal Year-End = 31/12/2022 Current Price = 41.92 Shares Outstanding = 2,610 Debt = 29,672 Cash = 4,495 Capex = 1,340 Base Case Scenario In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is...
Based on analysing the company financial, qualitatively and prospectively, the fair value of Apple's stock seems to be in between 120 and 130 dollars while the lowest most conservative realistic value stand around 96 while with best assumption of future growth, and based on the true sustainability of said growth, the highest value seems to be around 178 dollars a...
This valuation analysis is based on a base case scenario DCF model. Google DCF Model Assumptions: Tax Rate = 16.2% Discount Rate = 8.4% Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0% EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x Transaction Date = 05/02/2022 Fiscal Year End = 31/12/2022 Current Price = 2,865.86 Shares Outstanding = 662 Debt = 26,206 Cash = 20,945 Capex = 24,640 ...
Intel DCF Assumptions: Tax Rate = 12.0% Discount Rate = 7.4% Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0% EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x Transaction Date = 28/02/2022 Fiscal Year-End = 25/12/2022 Current Price = $47.71 Shares Outstanding (m) = 4,072 Debt (m) = $38,101 Cash (m) = $28,413 Capex (m) = $20,329 Base Case Scenario In addition to the above assumptions, the...
Fundamental : The PE Ratio for Silver Industry is 28.39. This company's PE Ratio is 21.82. So that is good. It's net income 5 years ago was $120m and now its $217m. Their total revenue 5 years ago was $816m and now its $1.64b. Profit margin is 15.4% which is very good. Its Debt to Equity ratio is 0.45 which is awesome. I looked at three different DCF Models and I...
Palantir is the best SaaS company to buy this year, next year and the following years. Right now, the accumulation happening is crucial. The next leg up that will happen (2-4 years) with bring it to 40, an 80% move. A golden cross happened (buy orders taken) so technical analysis is bullish. My discounted free cash flow model gives me a price target of 38. What...
I did a simple ROIC sort search and found this business being one of the top. I am a technical guy but I take a glance at some fundamental numbers sometimes and $ETSY pop out to me as a pretty good value play. Did a rough DCF and I believe with a conservative revenue projection and a margin of safety $ETSY imo is worth around $40B. Yes, I still look at technicals...
Landscape in the agricultural sector could not be much more favourable for Kernel than it is nowadays. Grains Price Index is at its highest level since 2013 and the company has managed to fix most of its sale prices for the 2021/2022 season. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, global grain yields in 2021 will be remarkably high mostly thanks to the...
Ad-tech business - a hot industry, with names like $TTD and $APPS. My DCF analysis says a conservative 50% upside. Yesterday we made a doji at weekly 2B support. Today prints a strong opening marubozu. TD D-Wave analysis says we completed wave 4 and on course to wave 5.
First cup and handle pattern I have drawn out. Would love some feedback. The setup looks great plus MTH is a great value buy with a DCF fair value of $202. I think it can hit at least 140 in the coming weeks with a lower estimate of about 120 if the handle retraces 2/3 of its advancement.
I did a 20 year DCF analysis of $ENPH. Assuming a slowly declining revenue growth from 25% in 2021 and a solid 25% FCF margin. In my opinion, $16B is a fair price. I will add a small amount. and will add more if we drop.
All comments and likes are very appreciated. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Description I do hope that the federal government will do its best to support millions of families that will suffer during 2020. This report is about the more mundane topic of a stock recommendation....
All comments and likes are very appreciated. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Dollar Tree (DLTR) shares offer an attractive entry point for long-term focused investors at current levels. Since peaking at nearly $120 in October 2019, three consecutive EPS guidance reductions (7%...
To see full idea from ST follow me on Tradingview...HBI is undervalued and has been a 5* Stock on MorningStar for some time now, well below their 5* price of 19.25. 3.65 % div yield; and 61% undervalued using DYT; 38.6% margin of safety using DCF. PE is 11.02, 52% less than industry and 80% less than 5 year PE. HBI has been in downtrend since 2015, but has...
AMD has been struggling since 08' both price wise, and with cash flows. AMD performed especially poorly through FY16, FY15, with negative free cash flows and shockingly terrible net incomes for 7 out of the 8 quarters, despite decent gross margins, between 20-30%, however, Nvidia has remained more capital efficient with 40-60% margins. FY17 has been a strong...
After Q4E Reverse DCF models increased fair value from 5.46/7.45 - 5.93-7.71 suggesting stock is now 107-169% undervalued. Price to PeL is now 277% >current. Revenue has increased 31% YoY and 30% QoQ. Symmetrical pattern is neutral until decisive breakout.