ETH looking to flip Month long range ETH is testing and looking to flip where it has been ranging for almost the entire month of June from a technical standpoint. If we can flip and retest this level I feel comfortable opening a long position here.
The current defi craze is also making me lean very bullish as everything runs on ETH so some of that value will be captured no doubt with people seemingly hurrying to the space and the ETH network being very very active in recent weeks...
Something to keep an eye on.
DE
[$BTC] Zone neutre avec un structure baissièreBonjour à tous,
J'espère que vous allez bien.
Aujourd'hui, video de 8 min d'analyse du Bitcoin en Daily et H4.
Nouveautés avec l'ajout du MTF Ichimoku qui permet d'avoir les nuages d'Ichimoku sur 4 échelles de temps différents.
J'utilise 2 nuages pour cette analyse pour ne pas ajouté trop de complexité dans l'analyse
Si vous avez des questions : DM ou venez échanger sur Twitter @nicodoncrypto ou Discord : discord.gg
Stay Safe !
PEACE !
CoronabodenNach den Panikverkäufen der letzen Wochen im XETR:DAX könnte sich (vmtl nach entsprechender Luntenbildung) ein "CoronaBoden" abzeichnen.
Es könnte ein guter Anlaß für den überverkauften Markt sein, zu drehen.
Die fundamentalen Daten sind auf dem Höhepunkt der schlechten Nachrichten. Außerhalb Chinas ist das Wachstum noch exponentiell, und große Teile der Bevölkerung verstehen exponentielles Wachstum nicht und sind von den täglichen Zahlen erschüttert.
Dennoch hat sich in China die Kurve auf nahezuhin 0 Wachstum abgeflacht und es gibt keinen Grund anzunehmen, daß dies in Europa nicht auch der Fall sein wird in 3-6 Wochen.
Natürlich fühlt sich bei diesem Chartbild ein bullisches Play wie ein Griff ins Messer an, doch den Mutigen gehört die Welt :)
Auch halte ich weitere Kusverluste für wahrscheinlich, doch zunächst sollte sich ein Rücklauf einstellen.
Shorting Deere's (DE) dead cat bounce!In the middle of May, Deere reported earnings during what was a massive cascading sell-off in its stock. Their main issues for poor guidance were the China tariffs and the fact that they had begun to hurt the revenues of farmers and therefore the machinery that Deere sold to farmers. The stock took yet another spill after earnings and managed to bottom around $132 before embarking on an impressive 17% rally in 20 trading sessions.
Today, at the top of this rally, Baird came out and upgraded the stock! I believe this is a prime example of analysts being late to the party as the upgrade has forced the stock to rally right into previous support (now resistance in the 154-155.50 level. The China situation has only gotten worse and farmers continue to struggle despite Trump's many attempts to inject cash into their pockets.
I believe we can short DE between 153.50 and 155.50 with the following parameters:
Target 1: $147
Target 2: $132
Stop: 158
Resistance here, heading back to $300, hold, then back to $720Price really wants to go to $500, but the psychological affect of not wanting to buy at the top is weighting down on the price action.
As you can see based of volume, a lot of ppl bought pretty low, so they are in no hurry to sell. However, a lot of new buyers are not that eager to drop $500 on what used to cost on average $120. So i can expect some stronger than usual distribution here.
Also, right now is very critical juncture for price as u can see, we about to hit D-E pattern and resistance line.
It feels like BTC is still going to have struggling time with 8k-9k and it is going affect alt coins.
Either way, though, those that got BCH around 100$ are very solid and should hodl for as long they think is right.
Good luck everyone ;)
**LEGENDS**
BLUE = Bear/Resistance
Yellow = Bull/ Support
~Explore the chart for possible scenarios of price actions - use zoom and scroll for better view.~
/*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.*/
If you want your coin to be analyzed, JUST ask.
If you got a question, ASK away!
And please keep those Stop losses in place!
Fractal dates are moments of interest, where price and time collide to create oscillation - vertical lines!
Thank you,
Ajion
THE WEEK AHEAD: BBY, DE, GPS, LOW EARNINGS; UNG, XOP, NFLXIn spite of the shortened trading week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, there are balls to hit out there ... .
Earnings:
BBY (95/57) (announcing Tuesday before market open): The December 21st 57.5/75 short strangle shown here is paying 2.42 with break evens near the one standard deviation line. I tried pricing out a defined risk iron condor, but it looks like some strikes need to populate post-November opex in order for me to price a setup where I'd want to set up my tent (i.e., short strikes between the 20 and 30 deltas, longs 3-5 strikes out with the setup paying at least one-third the width of the wings).
LOW (78/40) (announcing Tuesday before market open): As with the DE play, I'm able to price out a short strangle -- the 80% probability of profit December 21st 80/105 pays 1.35, but not an iron condor due to the population of strikes around where I'd like to set up. I'll just have to wait until NY open to price a defined risk setup.
GPS (87/54) (announcing Tuesday after market close): To me, it's small enough to short straddle, with the December 21st 26 short straddle paying 3.17, but I could also see going with the 23/29 (paying 1.05) to give yourself a little more flexibility with defense if you're not a fan of defending the straddle via inversion (which is generally what you have to do with a short straddle where the move is greater than the expected). Alternatively, the December 21st 21/26/26/31 iron fly pays 2.71 with a buying power effect of 2.29, which are the metrics I'm looking for out of an iron fly (risk one to make one or better; credit received at least one-fourth the number of strikes between the longs).
DE (81/48) (announcing Wednesday before market open): The December 21st 135/160 is paying 4.53 with near one standard deviation break evens; the 130/135/160/165 iron condor in the same expiry pays 1.75.
Non-Earnings Single Name:
NFLX (69/54) still has some juice in it post-earnings. The December 21st 240/245/325/330 is paying 1.56 -- not quite one-third the width, but you're only working with 33 days until expiry.
Exchange-Traded Funds:
The top symbols: SLV (100/24), UNG (100/97), EEM (63/27), OIH (77/41), and XOP (77/42). Unless you've been living under a rock, UNG, OIH, and XOP "friskiness" are understandable here, with oil prices taking a header from more than $75/bbl. to a low $20 below that since the beginning of October. Conversely, a fire got lit under natty's ass due to seasonally early weather-related pressure, shooting up from a less than a 3.50 print at the start of November to 4.93 mid-month. It's eased back to 4.39 since then, but yeesh ... . Were it not natural gas, I'd be inclined to sell premium in UNG given the rank/implied metrics, but I'm patiently waiting for my standard seasonality play -- a downward put diagonal with the front month in Jan, the back month mid year. Since we're only in November with plenty of winter in front of us, I'm satisfied with waiting on more potential upside before pulling the trigger on that setup.
With XOP and related products, I've been selling nondirectional premium, although I could see potentially skewing things bullishly, adding some petro underlying long delta to existing setups, or just taking an outright bullish assumption shot (e.g., /CL short puts, XOP/OIH/XLE short puts, upward call diagonals, etc.), since oil has been totally crushed here.
Majors:
SPY (31/21); QQQ (53/25); IWM (54/23); DIA (37/19). Temporarily, it looks like QQQ is where the broad market premium is at, followed by IWM.