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DE40

DAX Lower bottom and recovery signal on 8-year patternThe German stock index (DAX) has been trading under Lower Highs ever since the late December All Time High (ATH). Ignoring the March 08 2022 breach due to the Ukraine - Russia war, the pattern is a Channel Down. The last two times DAX traded within a Channel Down was for the whole year of 2018 and April 2015 - July 2016. Both correction were almost a year and took place due to bearish fundamentals (U.S. - China trade war and Brexit, Grexit, VW scandal Oil respectively). Both previous Channel Down patterns made their bottom on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension from the previous Lower Low. If we apply this on the current Channel Down, we get the 1.236 Fib a little over 11400. That is roughly the low of the November 2020 U.S. Presidential election. In all patterns, the RSI trades under Lower Highs (with the exception of the actual ATH) way before the index top (indicating that strength was lost earlier), and when the RSI broke above that trend-line, it coincided with the price breaking above the Channel Down, thus starting a new 1 year Bull Phase. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoyed this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant and support me and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XETR:DAX
by TradingShot
1
GER40 Buy a break of recent high.GER40 - Intraday expiry 9PM UK - We look to Buy a break of 12353 (stop at 12269) We are trading at oversold extremes. A break of the recent high at 12350 should result in a further move higher. A higher correction is expected. Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail. Our profit targets will be 12558 and 12598 Resistance: 12200 / 12350 / 12500 Support: 12100 / 12000 / 11900 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
Buying DE40 Weekly pivotal levels.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 12452 (stop at 12359) With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended. Weekly pivot is at 12426. Weekly pivot is at 12374. Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher. Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher. Support could prove difficult to breakdown. We look to buy dips. Our profit targets will be 12678 and 12758 Resistance: 12600 / 12700 / 12800 Support: 12500 / 12450 / 12400 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
DAX Testing the March Support. Potential Triple Bottom.The DAX futures index (FDAX1!) followed exactly what we pointed out on our last analysis more than a month ago, as it got rejected on the All Time High Lower Highs trend-line (1) and is now approaching the Support Zone that started after the March 07 Low: As you see, that Support Zone has so far made a Double Bottom (March 07 and July 05) and along with the Lower Highs trend-line (1) have formed a massive Descending Triangle that is on the verge of breaking out. With the 1D RSI on Higher Lows since March 07, a bullish break-out is quite likely and it should target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Note that the 1D MA200 has been untouched since February 02. However no further buying can be engaged with as the price will still be limited to the Lower Highs trend-line (2). In our opinion, only a break above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) can restore the bullish sentiment on DAX on the long-term. If on the contrary the 12360 Support breaks, we expect aggressive selling that can target the -0.236 Fibonacci extension around 11435. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
Selling into previous swing high DE40.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 12866 (stop at 12941) Our short term bias remains negative. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. 50 4hour EMA is at 12871. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Our profit targets will be 12688 and 12648 Resistance: 12700 / 12800 / 12900 Support: 12600 / 12500 / 12400 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
GER40 has turned negative again.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 13014 (stop at 13081) Short term bias has turned negative. 50 4hour EMA is at 13034. 20 4hour EMA is at 13029. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Our profit targets will be 12851 and 12811 Resistance: 12900 / 13000 / 13100 Support: 12800 / 12700 / 12600 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
Buying a simple DE40 support.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 12901 (stop at 12829) We look to buy dips. We look for a temporary move lower. We are trading at oversold extremes. Bespoke support is located at 12900. Our profit targets will be 13078 and 13118 Resistance: 13100 / 13200 / 13300 Support: 13000 / 12900 / 12800 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
DE30 Dips should attract buyers.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 13185 (stop at 13109) Short term bias has turned positive. We look to buy dips. 20 4hour EMA is at 13185. A lower correction is expected. Our profit targets will be 13368 and 13408 Resistance: 13400 / 13450 / 13500 Support: 13300 / 13200 / 13100 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by OANDA
DAX testing its first Support, the 1D MA50The German Stock Index (DAX) got emphatically rejected on its January Lower Highs trend-line, as we anticipated with our previous analysis two weeks ago: The price broke below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the first line of Support. As long as it closes above it, chances are that we will rise and re-test the Lower Highs (1) trend-line. A close below though, calls for a sell extension towards the 12400 Support, currently a Double Bottom. Notice how the RSI on the 1W time-frame got rejected exactly on the 48.80 Resistance, which was where the June 06 High was made. That matches the Lower Highs as well. A break above this Resistance, would be an additional factor indicating that the long-term trend may be shifting from bearish back to bullish. Technically, only a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)/ 1W MA50 (red trend-line) Resistance cluster, constitutes a long-term bullish break-out. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
3
DAX broke above the 1D MA100. Important Lower High test.The German Index DAX (FDAX) is attempting today a 1D candle closing above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and if successful it will be the first since June 07. Despite the bullish short-term action, this is not the time to double down on buying as the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line (1) is right above, providing Resistance. On top of that, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level is at 13855. Only a break above the LH (1) can justify further buying, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.5 Fib. Until then, it is likely to see a rejection and short-term pull-back to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. Note that if the index breaks above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), we can claim that the trend will turn bullish on the long-term. A strong sign that we may be turning bullish on the long-term is the fact that the RSI on the 1W time-frame is on Higher Highs since March 21 with the price rebounding after the Double Bottom. We saw the exact opposite formations right before the 2022 correction started. Price formed a Double Top while the 1W RSI was on Lower Highs. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
3