DAX - Long as projectedAs projected on the 31th Jan DAX is hitting our first target. It's time to adjust your stop-loss if you have not already. This upper line of the triangle can be tested several times today and if it holds we are heading for the second target which will be around 15950 points. otherwise, we can expect the price to fall to the EMA (9).
Stop-loss can be adjusted to the EMA (9) line or slightly below.
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DE40
DAX - Alert for potential longRSI - SMA is close to signaling a "buy". If the price stays the same or higher by end of the day. If this happens target is the upper triangle line (blue line) and the second target will be around 15950 points.
What do we don't want to see for confirming our "long strategy": A closing below the SMA (9)
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________
🚀 Follow for daily posts
🎯 About my posts: They are kept self-explanatory in order to avoid overcomplicating and confusion. Mostly price signals and trend analysis combined with chart patterns.
Disclaimer: This is not an investment advice
DAX -DE40 TRIANGLE TRADING SETUP + possible BREAKOUT LEVELSThere is a nice formation on the DE40 - DAX chart. You can trade inside the triangle. We hit strong support, and we are climbing higher. Let's see if we can break the bearish TL.
GER40 Buy the oversold correction.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 15276 (stop at 15204)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A break of 15270 is needed to confirm follow through bullish momentum.
20 4hour EMA is at 15470.
We look for a temporary move higher.
A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15477 and 15517
Resistance: 15270 / 15400 / 15500
Support: 15100 / 15050 / 15000
GER40 Sell the previous support.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15694 (stop at 15751)
Previous support at 15700 now becomes resistance.
Our short term bias remains negative.
20 4hour EMA is at 15700.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 15541 and 15511
Resistance: 15600 / 15650 / 15700
Support: 15500 / 15450 / 15400
DE40 Sell a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15947 (stop at 15994)
Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of bespoke support at 15950, and the move lower is already underway.
Our profit targets will be 15822 and 15802
Resistance: 16000 / 16050 / 16100
Support: 15950 / 15900 / 15800
DAX waving a short-term buy signal againFollowing our most recent DAX update, the price did eventually yield to its signs of exhaustion and pulled-back:
The pull-back extended as low as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday where it found support and is rebounding today. This could be a short-term buy signal again, the technical overlay was explained on the previous update. As you see this is similar to the 1D MA50 rebound of October 29 which also came close to the Internal Pivot trend-line and pushed the price to its final blow-off top just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. A Target Zone within 16400 - 16600 as the new blow-off top is realistic.
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DAX waves signs of exhaustion. Top might be near.I've been bullish on DAX for a very long time as the Rising Wedge and Channel Up patterns prompted to Higher Highs ever since April 2021:
However, the German index seems to be forming a pattern that based also on the 1D CCI, was previously seen just before market tops (i.e. Higher Highs on the pattern). As this 1D chart shows, the price just entered the CCI Resistance Zone that has been holding throughout the whole of last year. On two occasions (July 13 2021, August 12 2021) the CCI top matched with direct market tops. On the other two occasions (May 24 2021, November 03 2021), it made the price consolidate (orange circles) and made one last (blow-off) top 15 and 12 sessions later respectively.
The above means that we've either topped or will top within the next two weeks. Potential peak points include 16400 (top/ Higher High of the Channel Up) and 16600 (just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level as it happened with the November 19 Top). In either case, a strong pull-back towards the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) should be expected.
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DE40 Sell the previous support.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15448 (stop at 15516)
We have a Gap open at Monday from 15472 to 15360.
Previous support at 15450 now becomes resistance.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Daily signals are bearish.
Our profit targets will be 15251 and 15221
Resistance: 15300 / 15350 / 15400
Support: 15200 / 15150 / 15100
GER40 Buy at previous resistance.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15451 (stop at 15381)
Prices have reacted from 15057.
Bespoke support is located at 15450.
15426 has been pivotal.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 15649 and 15669
Resistance: 15500 / 15550 / 15600
Support: 15450 / 15400 / 15350
DE40 Buy at 20 EMA.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15821 (stop at 15757)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Previous resistance, now becomes support at 15800.
20 4hour EMA is at 15820.
We look to buy dips.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Our profit targets will be 15997 and 16017
Resistance: 15900 / 15980 / 16000
Support: 15800 / 15750 / 15700
DAX Emerging MA50/MA100 Bullish Cross on the 4H.DAX appears to have completed the short-term profit taking pattern as presented last week on the following analysis:
The 1D MA200 held and the index can now resume the uptrend towards the top of the long-term Channel Up. On today's analysis I shift focus to the 4H time-frame where the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) are close to forming a Bullish Cross. Last time that happened was in October 20 and resulted in a massive rally to 16300.
All the price needs to do is clear the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which rejected the rebound today and break this short-term Bearish Megaphone. At the same time the 4H MACD just printed a Bullish Cross as well, while the Higher Lows trend-line from the November 30 market bottom is holding firmly. We are looking for a medium-term rise around the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (16300).
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DE40 Buy a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 15851 (stop at 15769)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Our profit targets will be 16097 and 16127
Resistance: 15800 / 15850 / 15900
Support: 15700 / 15650 / 15600
germany dax in coming week : double buy pinbar,3angel patterntechnical say dax must go to fibo 161% 17200(in next 3 month)
for coming days , dax target in up is 16122 (gap on cash xetra dax)
in red arrow ,we can put sellimit
advice by big banks traders= still advice looking for buy with SL in day low (or yesterday low) when dax is above EMA200 daily only looking for buy in deep,dont sell
AC 4hour is green too = up trend can start
bad scenario = if low break , dax can crash to 14000
let see futures cot data (net order by big banks and big funds money managers)
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DAX short-term profit-taking leading to 16400Last week DAX gave the most optimal buy entry on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up as I presented on my most recent analysis:
The price hit 15840 on a strong rebound, the strongest 2 days of the year. Yesterday the price started to pull-back but shouldn't be alarming as the very same -1.30% correction took place on October 18, during the last rally wave and turned out to be just profit taking. The index traded sideways for a week and later went on a 1 month rally extension towards the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
That extension is currently a little over 16600 and if it takes place, it would mean the break to the upside of the August Channel Up. For the time being, it is more sensible to initially target 16400 and then re-evaluate.
Notice how the 1D MACD is currently forming a Bullish Cross, which DAX typically forms at the start of its rallies.
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DE40 Sell a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15985 (stop at 16044)
Short term momentum is bearish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Bespoke support is located at 16000.
A break of 15985 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
16300 has been pivotal.
Our profit targets will be 15818 and 15798
Resistance: 16100 / 16150 / 16200
Support: 16050 / 16000 / 15950
DAX Buy Signal long-termPattern: Channel Up on the 1D time-frame
Signal: Buy as the price hit and held the Higher Lows (bottom) trend-line of the Channel, while hitting the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since November 2020. Also the CCI bounced off its multi-month Support Zone.
Target: 16500 (just below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension).
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