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Dead-cat-bounce

🔥 Ethereum Dead Cat Bounce? Potential Massive Sell-Off ComingIn this analysis I want to take a look at ETH's price action over the last few weeks. It appears that ETH is underway to form a classical pattern that most of you a familiar with, a dead cat bounce into another sell-off. Keep in mind, the dead cat has not been confirmed yet, since the price needs to go below the purple dotted line. Still, it's a pattern that will likely play out if the Bitcoin bulls will not step in very soon. ETH (and likely also BTC) is at risk of giving away most post-ETF gains if this continues. We knew already from other analyses that Bitcoin is far ahead of where it *should* be at this point in time, so a correction might be necessary? Time will tell.
Short
by FieryTrading
2
Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels After TSLA EarningsDepending on investor sentiment, I am expecting 3 possibilities, listed from most positive to least positive investor sentiment: In Purple (most positive): Bounce to $196-$198 fib levels, decaying to $188-192 range. In Yellow: Bounce to $192-$194 fib levels, decaying to $184-186 range. In red (worst): Little to no bounce, very pessimistic view on stock, decaying straight to $180-182. If we hit red, or maybe even yellow, we are looking at a rough 2024 (See my triple top and dip Idea.)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
Understanding the "Dead Cat Bounce" in TradingIn the dynamic world of trading, one peculiar phenomenon that often catches investors' attention is the "Dead Cat Bounce." This term, as bizarre as it sounds, is a crucial concept in technical analysis and market psychology. It refers to a temporary recovery in the price of a declining stock, followed by a continuation of the downtrend. This article delves into the nuances of the Dead Cat Bounce, helping traders recognize and navigate this pattern effectively. What is a Dead Cat Bounce? Originating from the saying, "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height," this metaphor is used to describe a brief and false recovery in a bear market. Essentially, it's a short-lived rally in the price of a stock or an index following a substantial decline, misleading some into believing that the downtrend has reversed. Characteristics of a Dead Cat Bounce Precipitating Sharp Decline: Typically, a Dead Cat Bounce occurs after a significant and rapid drop in price. Temporary Rebound: The stock or index experiences a brief period of recovery, which may be mistaken for a trend reversal. Resumption of Downtrend: The initial downtrend resumes, often eroding the gains made during the bounce. Identifying a Dead Cat Bounce The key challenge for traders is differentiating between a true market recovery and a Dead Cat Bounce. Here are some indicators: Volume Analysis: A genuine recovery often accompanies increasing trade volumes, whereas a Dead Cat Bounce may occur on lower volumes. Duration: Dead Cat Bounces are usually short-lived, lasting from a few days to a couple of weeks. Technical Indicators: Tools like moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and Fibonacci retracements can aid in identifying these patterns. Trading Strategies for Dead Cat Bounces Short Selling: Traders might short sell a stock during a Dead Cat Bounce, anticipating the resumption of the downtrend. Stop-Loss Orders: Setting strict stop-loss orders can mitigate risks if the bounce turns out to be a genuine reversal. Patient Observation: Sometimes, the best strategy is to wait and observe the price action for clearer trend confirmation. Case Studies and Examples Analyzing past instances of Dead Cat Bounces can be educational. For instance, examining the 2008 financial crisis or the dot-com bubble burst reveals classic examples of this phenomenon. Conclusion The Dead Cat Bounce is a fascinating aspect of market behavior, representing the constant battle between optimism and reality in trading. Understanding this concept is not just about recognizing a pattern but also about grasping the underlying market psychology. As always, traders should approach these scenarios with caution, equipped with sound research and a well-thought-out strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by GreenCryptoTrades
BITCOIN MAKES CLASSIC DEAD CAT BOUNCEAs you can see in the chart, this is a very simple setup: When we look at the big picture, we have a dead cat bounce breakout retest pattern. As confirmation, we have a clear RSI bearish divergence and a descending triangle, which can be a good entry point. As targets we have the clear support levels and we set an stop loss at the last swing high, so in case the price goes against the position, we protect our capital. Sticking to ideas when proved wrong can be a very expensive mistake. Always be ready to change your mind.
Short
by piccard54
3
Bitcoin Forecast Sunny🌞 (Clear: 100.0 %)🌤️ Bitcoin Weather Report: Sunny Forecast! 🌤️ According to the latest Bitcoin chart index for the past hour, I'm happy to announce that the weather in the Bitcoin world is expected to be sunny ☀️. With a confidence level of 1.0, I have high certainty in this forecast. Let's take a closer look at the key indicators: 📈 Open: 25019 🔼 High: 25063 🔽 Low: 24890 📊 Volume: 18820 📉 Close: 24918 The recent price movement indicates a potential for a dead cat bounce 🐱 following a sharp drop. This means that after a significant decline, there might be a short-lived upward movement before the downward trend resumes. However, it's important to approach this with caution as dead cat bounces are typically temporary and may not signal a sustained recovery. Moving on to the moving averages, we observe the following values: 📈 EMA9: 25101 📈 EMA21: 25355 📈 EMA50: 25621 📈 EMA100: 25781 📈 EMA200: 25909 The exponential moving averages show a gradual increase over time, which indicates a potential upward trend in the Bitcoin market. However, it's crucial to consider other factors and not solely rely on moving averages for investment decisions. Additional indicators include: 📉 RSI: 27 The relative strength index (RSI) is on the lower side, suggesting that Bitcoin may be oversold. This could potentially lead to a buying opportunity for investors, but it's crucial to assess other factors before making investment decisions. 📉 Fast %K: 9 📉 Slow %K: 16 📉 Slow %D: 20 The stochastic oscillator values indicate a bearish sentiment, as the %K values are lower than the %D value. This suggests that selling pressure may be prevalent in the market. 📉 MACD: -279 The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, indicating a bearish trend. However, it's important to note that this is just one piece of the puzzle, and other factors should be considered. In conclusion, while the Bitcoin weather forecast appears to be sunny, it's crucial to exercise caution and not solely rely on a single hour's data. The potential for a dead cat bounce after a sharp drop introduces some uncertainty to the market. Remember to consider various indicators, market trends, and perform comprehensive analysis before making investment decisions. Happy trading! 💰📈
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ChatGPT_Bitcoin_Forecaster
Watch this ticker attempt a rally...When less than stellar stocks attempt to run after a 90 percent drop its note worthy to watch, understand the basic mechanics of the pump and dump and FOMO by bed ridden traders that believe they can make millions while laying in bed... This is half a joke and half true, never chase trade but if you must understand technical, short term resistance above $7 upper resistance $16.... Woahhh, 200 percent gains sounds insane but also 900 percent in less than two week. Based on Fibonacci levels you'll understand why $16 is the sweet spot and if you trade this last week you'd know why $16 held in the initial rally now people dead cat bounce are really this isn't me saying BUY because I can already hear the traders with their eyes cover in buggers saying pumper as if they hold million that my suggestion to watch this for educational purpose would lead them to buy and lose such precious money... So understand this is an opinion agree to disagree and show me your analytical skills not the hot air blasting from your morning breath (@: Remember always keep watch because those with infinite resources will always have an upper hand on us the APES. Trade the trend not your greedy my friends...
NASDAQ:OMH
by GhostingTrades
First Republic Bank Continues Below $5Merely an update to my previous idea. And well... I started this idea before the bell, and it was $3.51 at the time. It's now $2.01 post as of typing this but that will be different already. I think I will just post this as is, because it's moving too quickly to make any rational conclusions. To be noted, every time $15 was broken, the market dumped it below preventing it from becoming proper support. Now, the HKEX:5 line is going to be doing similar tricks on it and FRC fell below it. Notice the two more recent dead cats I have professionally marked 😼 I did not have HKEX:3 price line on my previous chart, but I see that now there's a clear line there as well. Only psychological levels matter at this point. Same ideas: *It's a personal opinion of mine that psychological levels, whole number resistance and support, should have this much control over price action. Psychological levels have the most effect when there's extremes of emotions. I feel it's rather self-explanatory. It's either going towards zero or it's getting bought to prevent it from hitting the pavement. The variance in price alone is a clear indicator its in deep trouble while it was just downgraded to BB. Previous low on charts of $17.60 is notable, while HKEX:20 pertains to psychological significance. Below this, I see little more than psychological levels. HKEX:10 , double digits. HKEX:5 , where select exchanges consider a stock a penny stock. HKEX:1 , where the rest consider it a penny stock. You can label a ton of this chart a deadcat bounce here or there. Please add thoughts. I didn't see a Fibonacci ladder helping much because the price action was too chaotic. DYOR/DYOC.*
NYSE:FRCShort
by mrniemeier
TSLA Relief Rally *Be Careful-(Short Term Bullish)***Warning Monday Jan 2nd (Market is Closed) - Q4 EV Deliveries - good report then TSLA will complete H&S pattern and continue Bullish Island Gap Reversal Positive: `TSLA is Very Oversold, we could see a continuation of this bounce up too 150-180 if production release is great on Monday. -Bullish Chart patterns show inverse H&S pattern created by Island Gap Reversal. LARGE Buying Volume strong-sign of institutional investment - this could be accumulation phase Beginning of January tends to be positive for the stock market NDX & SPX showing signs of upcoming relief rally (*before we make final leg down) HYG & JNK Bonds are showing bullish divergence Negative: Monday possible less deliveries than expected -if is lack luster I can see TSLA dropping 7-12% to retest the low China Covid Cases/ Shanghai Factory Slow production Tesla is still in a Strong Bear Market pattern Elon and Twitter Drama Earnings report on the 23rd - with factory issues, supply issues - it does not look promising Macro H&S Pattern puts the measured decline to $90-$80 range Sentiment: Short Term -Swing /Day Trading -I am only Bullish for the Short Term* (1-2 weeks) . Long Term Investing: I am Bullish for Long Term (5 yrs) ....over-all I would choose the $109 area as 1st pt accumulation / $80 area second point / $60 area 3rd pt (TSLA will Grow 25% Sales YoY for next 5yrs) PEG ratio looking good
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Black_Sheep1
Bitcoin | Dead cat bounce?The trend drawn from the ATH level of 2011 looks like a pullback movement in the red line. Price can say that the sloping trend line is a pullback movement after it broke down in November of last year. As for the RSI indicator, as indicated by the red circle in the figure, the situation is very close to the scene of the sudden fall in the summer of 2015. In general, the 15500 zone was the bottom of the bear market, and most traders are anticipating the market with the belief and hope that a bull run has begun. As far as I'm concerned, the bear market is not over and we expect to see another new bottom. This upward movement that has been going on since the beginning of the year is seen as a possible "Dead Cat's Reflection". It is too early to tell if this is the case, as the rate will prove to be a dead cat by breaking below the previous bottom.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by StiIIDre
SPY: Very bearish! What could make it bounce?• So far, SPY is heading to the next support at $360.69, indicating we have a few more bucks to drop, and there’s no technical evidence pointing to a reversal. In the daily chart, at least, there’s not a single bullish pattern yet; • We see some open gaps (yellow squares), and they will become targets, in the future, if (and only if) SPY triggers a reaction; • In the 1h chart we see a possible bullish structure, a Double Bottom chart pattern. Keep in mind, this pattern wasn’t triggered yet, and maybe SPY won’t trigger it at all, but it is important to keep in mind a scenario where it’ll break the $370.21; • By triggering this Double Bottom, SPY would bounce back up to the $388 (its next target); • In my view, I would prefer to see it bouncing after a retest of the $360, but this could work too; • This wouldn’t be a true bullish reversal sign, and maybe would be just a Dead Cat Bounce, but could be the beginning of a true mid-term reversal. I’ll keep you guys posted on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
10
CSPR died in January 2021, like RchainHyperinflation during bear market - same marketcap as we had in 20c in August 2021 The team has bad image - team scolding people in Telegram (already deleted), I have screenshot in case people say I am lying Not listed on any major exchange since listing - hyped up Binance, never came Still no use case Slow chain, slow finality - eth2 coming so completely useless Same team as RChain was also Casper fork - utterly failed There is heavy selling pressure from validator - in entire bull market it did 10% up maybe then full retrace. I saw it going up by 10-30% many times during autumn 2021, all to retrace. Casperpad was also a scam - but good enough for final double top
Short
by Heartskull
3
DEAT CAT BOUNCEHey guys, I went back in the chart and circled what I considered to be similar situations to where we're at right now. I think over the next month, there is an extremely high chance CAT has a fakeout rally that could very well reach $225/share. That being said, I don't expect it to breach ATH's, and I expect the rally to be an incredible shorting opportunity before a potentially violent markdown phase. The agriculture sector is still relatively high up, and when you look into it, it is fresh off of distribution and primed for a markdown(made obvious in names like DE, CF, and MOO). I am currently waiting on CAT to rally, hopefully up to $220-230/share before selling my position and flipping entirely short on the stock. I expect this stock to see the low $100's well before year-end. Disclaimer: I was previously short CAT, and am currently long CAT at $180/share in anticipation of a dead CAT bounce(ha)
NYSE:CATShort
by MichaelEugen1
2
BTC SIDEWAY IN THE LONG WEEKEND Hello Everyone!!! I just checked a very interesting scenario in the Hourly Time Frame. Seems like we moving in an Ascending Channel/Bearish Flag Pattern, and I think we're going to have a big move soon, perhaps in the New York Session even though it's long weekend. Please leave me your thought about my opinion, and if you guys like to, maybe I will create YouTube channel for English language. **BTC Idea** This is not change my Daily perspective on BTC, recently I posted about BTC Moon Cycle, and so far almost in every Full Moon Phase, we had a nice rally. But, still we can't ignore the lower time frame, and as a Trader, there's so many opportunity to look out on the lower timeframe. In the 1-Hour Timeframe, right now I see a potential SHORT Opportunity, only if BTC can Breakdown very impulsive against the Trendline here. A couple things that make me think that, this is a good opportunity to SHORT is a potential scenario for Dead Cat Bounce Pattern and also Head & Shoulders Pattern. Although H&S is more preferable in the Uptrend, because of the characteristic of H&S that changing the Direction of the market. Still, I'm considering the same situation right here, and looking the recent Resistance as potential Lower High for BTC price movement. This is not a financial advice, it's just my humble opinion and I could be wrong somehow. I also have the alternative Scenario in case you guys want to see. Good luck for you guys!! And I'll be waiting for your reply on your thoughts. God Bless and Cheers!!! www.tradingview.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Kevin_Sailly
2
SP500 either topped, will top, or flying high for yearsMy patience is being tested right now. I am running out of possible days of length and price targets. I have the market in Sub-Millennial wave 1 (began June 1877), Grand SuperCycle wave 5 (began March 6, 2009), SuperCycle wave 3 (began March 23, 2020), Cycle wave 2 (began January 4, 2022), Primary wave B (began February 24, 2022), Intermediate wave C (began March 8, 2022). The shorthand for this wave is 1532BC which is based on wave letters and numbers combined. Right now, Intermediate wave C (if we are still in it, we cannot be for much longer) is: 1) 1) 15 days long 2) 2) Gain of 479.43 3) 3) 300% the length of wave A 4) 4) 172.99% the move of wave A 5) 5) Accounts for 65.22% of the larger wave’s (Primary B) length 6) 6) Makes up 91.73% of the larger wave’s (Primary B) move This also makes the stats on Primary wave B look like: 7) 7) 23 days long 8) 8) Gain of 522.65 9) 9) 65.71% retracement of Primary wave A’s length (35 bars) 10) 10) 74.24% retracement of Primary wave A’s movement (dropped 703.97 points) 1-My models only forecast 15, 17 and 27 days in length for wave C. Most of the model agreement was below 10 days. 2-The move is not necessarily a factor by itself but the additional data will use this. The price forecasts below the current high is 4633.725. The next set of price points tops below 4700 are: 4637.45, 4652.15, 4653.96, 4657.99, 4664.74, 4665.448, 4673.78, 4674.76, 4675.68, 4676.19, 4681.05, 4689.68, 4697.24. These prices begin to have more gaps than the prices below this point. There is a 4 point grouping in the 4670s. 3-Intermediate C waves rarely exceed the 300% length of wave A which is where the index is based on today’s high. Intermediate C has moved 276.92% (wave ended C2C, we are 2BC), 281.25% (2BC), 466.67% (C2C), 517.39 (54C). 4-Intermediate C waves ending in BC have a median move which is 127.13% of Intermediate wave A and an average of 123.72%. Intermediate C waves ending in 2BC have a median move of 152.47% and an average of 142.60%. The maximum is 242.75% of intermediate wave A’s movement. We are above the normal in the current case. 5-In the three wave structure of Primary wave B, Intermediate C waves ending in BC have a median contribution of 31.25% for Primary wave B’s length and an average of 33.46%. Waves ending in 2BC have a median contribution of 49.45% and average of 44.22%. The highest contribution so far is 64.29% for 2BC and BC waves. 6-Likewise regarding the contribution to the overall wave, BC waves make up 68.74% as a median and 70.32% on average. There are four occasions above 90.49%. Waves ending in 2BC have a median make up of 90.49% and with a maximum at 95.12%. The current contribution is still acceptable, and quite common for 2BC waves. 7-The forecast days from my models at and above the current length are 26, 28, 32, 40, 51, 52, 59, 63, and 70 days in length. Strong agreement at 26 and 28 days. 8-The price forecasts for the end of Primary wave B have a few tight price target pockets which are: 4637.365, 4637.588, 4645.7, 4645.874, 4654.17, 4654.2, 4654.525, 4658.71, 4658.962, 4659.03, 4659.04, 4659.691, 4675.203, 4677.57, 4677.81, 4687.6, 4687.61, 4688.36, 4688.39. 9-Typical Primary waves ending in 2B match 25% to 400% the length of Primary wave A. Waves ending in 32B usually retrace around 55-70% with an outlier at 400%. We are in the smaller window now, but only for a day or two more at most. 10-Typical Primary waves ending in 2B move 41 to 88% of wave A’s movement. Waves ending in 32B move 54-77% which we are also nearing the high end of this window. To conclude, 1) the market has either topped today and we finally began Primary wave C downward with the final 15 minutes of trading today; 2) the market can rise for 2 more days at most before a reversal; or 3) We are not in Primary waves B or C and instead we ended all of the downward movement on February 24. If the latter is the case we are in the early stages of Cycle 3 which will see massive upward momentum for possibly 2-3 years. If option 1 remains valid, the chart below shows early signs of where movement will take us. Regardless of option 1 or 2, we will find a bottom and then begin Cycle 3 with the same aforementioned results. I am bullish long-term, but remain bearish in the short-term until we either break above 4818 or move below 3900.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
SPX and NQ - looking bearishTime to be careful as there are more technical signs that all is not well: 1. dead cross firmly on the Nasdaq since 28 Feb (impending for SPX) 2. Toppish head and shoulders pattern seen on both 3. no signs of sustainable upward momentum yet (need to see a breakup of the near term downward channel for a start) Hence, do not be too eager to bottom fish and when we do (yeah, itchy fingers happen), cut losses fast if wrong (unless one is a long term investor who is ok to dollar cost average on stocks with proven long term fundamentals). The strong sectors right now are in the oil, metals, defence and utilities. The rest could continue to mostly languish or enjoy only short term bounces from oversold conditions. On the fundamental front, rising oil/commodity prices and high inflation of above 5% is always a precursor to a recession (thou it could still be months away but markets tend to be forward looking). Perhaps this could turn out to be yet another short term steep correction (like the many in the past decade), be flexible and nimble. It's ok to just let the technicals tell us what to do even if we are noob on macro economics. Stay safe and good luck. Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Please your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Juliac