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Dead-cat-bounce

30% chance of ATH soon for BTCIn this theory, there seems to be 3 equally weighted scenarios that may play out in the short term. Regardless, I believe the long term is still a slow trend to the upwards side. However, this could become a more exponential growth if 1 of these scenarios plays out, which has a 30% chance of occurring. Continuation to ATH: 33% "Dead-cat bounce" with a head and shoulders forming in the $48K-55k range: 33% Immediate rejection around $48k-52k, then a drop down to the $30k range: 33% Yea..."it could go up down or sideways"... I get that, however this is my "more detailed" version of that here. A healthy movement on the RSI over the next week or two will be the best indicator here for the bullish scenario, and an over correction of the RSI will most likely signify the bearish scenarios.
by DoozerInvest
BTC ETH LTC: Dead Catch Bounce ScenarioHello friends, today you can review the 1H charts for Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Litecoin (LTCUSD). #CryptoPickk notes the following: 1) As the entire crypto market fell drastically, the potential for a move upwards is very possible. In these scenarios, a Dead Cat Bounce Pattern is very possible. 2) For anyone that doesn't know what a Dead Cat Bounce it, please refer to the Investopedia article for further details: www.investopedia.com . 3) Using the Fibonacci Extension, taking the price from the drop start point to the drop end point, the 0.618 - 0.786 levels may be potentials for where the Dead Cat Bounce may happen and the price drops further from that point. 4) Remember one thing that has helped in trading: When a wick happens, the candle body close is surely to follow. Not financial advice of course. Do your own research. What are your opinions on this? If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MillionaireEconomics
8
Chance to Join EURAUD's Downtrend The downtrend of the EURAUD, which commenced following a reversal indicated by the Head and Shoulders pattern, looks poised to continue sliding lower. This was indicated by the recent Dead Cat Bounce from the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.57112. The price action is now likely to head towards the previous swing low at 1.52680. This is part of the establishment of a broader 1-5 impulse wave pattern, as postulated by the Elliott Wave Theory.
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by Trendsharks
SPX: Crashing again! Time to panic?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today! Breaking the short-term bull trend, the index is seeking its next support levels. We lost the Pennant downwards, along with the 21 ema and the 4,394. The 4,351 is another good support candidate, which is holding the price for now. Our last support level is the 4,305, and below this point, we might assume the index will engage a stronger bearish momentum for a few weeks. By losing the 4,305, we’ll confirm the idea that the index just did a Dead Cat Bounce to the 21 ema and it just resumed the bear trend, frustrating the possible bullish reversal to the ATH. Right now, the index is in a “no-man’s land”. While we don’t see any meaningful bullish reaction, there’s nothing to do. While we don’t see any bearish confirmation, we can’t say it’ll reverse the long-term bullish bias either. In the weekly chart, we are still above the 21 ema, and we could stay there for a few weeks from now, doing many frustrating signs. Only if we lost the 21 ema in the weekly chart we’ll see something new, and the market could do a sharper pullback. However, this won't be easy, as we have many support levels in the short/mid-term to work with. For now, let’s just calmly wait for more signs. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates. Have a good day.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
10
SPX: Key Points you must watch from now!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today! The index is doing exactly what we said it would do in our previous analysis, as it lost the support at 4,435 (1h chart), turning bearish for a few days. However, it is trying to react, and this reaction came quite quickly. Since the index lost the purple trendline we knew that the bull trend got weaker, but this doesn’t mean reversal . When this happens, we usually seek the next support level, and in this case, the 4,367 is working nicely. We did a false breakout from it this week, but today’s reaction might indicate that we’ll see a reaction, at least to the 21 ema. The 1h chart has a bullish pivot point at 4,394, which the index is triggering right now at this moment. This might be the start of something new that will cause the rally to the 21 ema in the daily chart. If the trend will continue or if this will be a classic Dead Cat Bounce , it is too soon to tell. Let’s just react to the next signs. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates, and support this idea if it helped you! Have a good day!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
10
Bitcoin is confirming the next Bear MarketHello Everyone, Quick post for today. After a 20x gain over an entire year, I believe Bitcoin is confirming the next bear market cycle. Here are the technicals: 1. Rejection of the Hull Moving Average: The hull moving average has been a consistent determination in whether we remain in cycle or not. In both previous cycles, we see Bitcoin lose the hull moving average then on an attempt to regain, it rejects or fails and price continues downward. 2. Death cross: After rejecting the hull moving average, there is a death cross of the 20WMA and the 50WMA. This immediately happens after rejection and is another confirmation of a bear market. 3. Dead Cat bounce: There were 2 distinct dead cat bounces right after the fall from each cycle ATH. This is noticeable with the bearish price action: low volume higher price 4. Negative RSI: RSI seems to be going down as bitcoin continued to make highs. This is a bearish indication 5. Weakening MACD: MACD is weakening as bitcoin has another attempt at the 65k all time high. Although some of you may be discouraged, angry, or depressed the bear market is the best place to DCA and restock swing trade buys. My guess is the bottom is consistent with the 200WMA as it has been the bottom of each of the other two bear cycles. My plan moving forward is to DCA between the 100 and 200 WMA as well as look for swing trade plays during the bear market. As always, be patient, use risk management, and good luck trading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RomanXIV
17
$BTC rally-base-drop reversalMy view on #bitcoin non-religiously considering the simple facts. Short-term we are going to be ranging between 200 DMA and 21 WMA, with strong rejection from 200 DMA sealing the faith of this dead-cat bounce. From S&D perspective #bitcoin is now completing the rally-base-drop reversal pattern perfectly. I will be saving all money I can to buy the 200 WMA. As said in my previous publications, this is where bulls with balls are being made and the ever running $BTC bull run resumes.
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by MarianusInconnuX
5
Certainty is dangerous - BTC downsideThis run up from 29k has been fast paced and well accepted by most. Most are certain downside isnt feasible at the current state as BTC is so bullish however given confluence at 54k mixed with a few other indications , i feel our current position is not going to be held for long ! Mapped out are two price ranges highlighting the drop size required to go to 27k . Notice how in the first dump we dropped 34k in 70 days and now we could be looking to dump 26k , sending us to 27k in 70 days. Currently the dxy looks weak and is showing signs it could return to 90.This is a potentially bullish sign for BTC however that also fits in with my idea here considering we are still 4k away from 54k. I do expect a pull back to 48k at some point within the next week if we make no attempt at 54k. 27k is still very unlikely however certainty is dangerous -Ozwald
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by ollie_oz
2
Roku: Dead Cat Bounce? Roku bounced really well at the strong support zone and also changed the trend to bullish "U" on the daily and 4HR chart.Previous Resistance that turned into support $351 is crucial indicator of reversal. Making daily higher highs and higher lows gave it a confidence bounce upside. If it can hold at EMA 20 with volume, it can easily hit back to $360. Bullish trend on RSI as well. When it breaks, there will be a big opportunity. Selling pressure is slowing down and a trend change with the inverse hammer followed by a green candle. If it breaks the support of $340, its a dead cat bounce.
NASDAQ:ROKU
by yflaw1018
2
NIO: What it needs to fly again?Hello traders and investors! Let’s take a look at NIO today! Since it reported earnings, NIO has been in a bearish momentum, and it seems nothing will reverse it. The last support was at $ 38.66, and NIO lost it, but what does this means? We are still far from May’s bottom at $ 30, and since it dropped that sharply, it has good chances of bouncing back up, but so far, we have no bullish structure in the 1h chart. On the bright side, we are near the support level, and it seems NIO didn’t lost it completely, as we see early signs of reaction. Let’s see the daily chart for more clues: We have a bullish candlestick pattern today, which is a start for a possible reversal, and since we are near the previous support level, now is the best time for NIO react. If we close above the $ 38.66 again, it will be a false breakout from the support level, and this will be very frustrating for the bears, as they will be stopped out. Since we hit the support, the volume increased, and if we see a reaction, the 21 ema will be the target for us. Then we’ll see if it’ll be a Dead Cat Bounce or the beginning of a true reversal. But I agree that today’s reaction is not the best so far, and we must wait for more information. The situation is very delicate, and how NIO will react in this support will dictate the next big movement. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates. Have a good day.
NYSE:NIO
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
6
Rising wedge acting as supportThe previous trend line resistance for the wedge is now acting as support as go into the mid and upper 40's. This is normal for a s/r to flip however what I find weird is the candle we saw earlier dipping inside the wedge and bounces off the support. Previously I had stated that the 10-11th of august is a deciding day for BTC as we are likely to test the 200dma and it is the meeting point of the wedge.My fear is that the candle earlier exposes weakness in the support and that if tested again we may fall into the wedge where we remain before falling down. This ties into my previous idea about supply takeout and how if we don't reclaim this area we bounce down. The wedge deadline gives us time and actually supports us up to this area while still providing an area for us to fall. Also previously stated that if 45 is not claimed then we may see a down fall quickly diving into the many fvg we have left on this quick assent. While I remain neutral I'm still very open and more opposed to any idea that 45k will be an easy absorption
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by ollie_oz
4
USDCNY to Fall Towards the Lower End of the Accumulation The USDCNY continues to find itself in a solid downtrend. This is illustrated by the ADX indicator, which has been threading above the 25-point benchmark since late September 2020. The ADX reached a peak around the time the price action fell to the upper boundary of the last Accumulation range at 6.4700. Afterwards, the price went on to establish a false bullish rebound. The latter materialised in a Dead Cat Bounce pattern, which typically represents a temporary break in the development of a broader downtrend. The pattern failed to strengthen above the 20-day MA (in red), which is why the USDCNY was then able to break down within the Accumulation range. That is why the strength of the underlying Markdown - an essential component of the Wyckoff Cycle - appears to be waning down, as underpinned by the ADX indicator after February 2021. This represents an early signal that the USDCNY is once again getting ready to consolidate in a new range. Before this can happen, however, the price action looks poised to fall to the Accumulation range's lower boundary at 6.2650 once again.
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by Trendsharks
The 'Dead Cat Bounce' ScenarioPrice has been unable to rise clearly over the 40k level. Good news is that it almost reached 40,500 today before finding resistance to drop below support at 38,500 At this stage it is important to see Higher Lows! This means that if the price drops below the 36,000 level we run the danger of seeing a further drop / in this case the rise from 30k to 40k levels will simply be classified as one (Dead-Cat-Bounce) and we could be prepared to see a further drop to 30k. Am I bearish now? No, I am still bullish but I also need to do what the chart commands. Right now we must be careful, if 36,000 is breached under we will be worried/turning into sell positions. For the time being I have reduced my sell positions and opened some hedge positions (25% sell 75% buy). Hope it helps, the FXPROFESSOR
by FX_Professor
14
BTC Turns bearish on Daily - ShortBitcoin has dropped below the 20week and 200day moving averages for the first time since April 47th, 2020. With a triple bearish divergence, a break of the pitch fork trend and floating below the 20wk MA..I cannot help, but read this as bearish in the short term until we secure a weekly close back above the 20wk MA. Not sure how much lower we could go, there is no telling. How much longer until we reverse, unsure. Is this the end of the bull run? I don't want to believe so, but you cannot deny the chart. There is aways time to return when the whales give us a bullish sign that things are reversing, but I don't see on the chart right now. I remain bullish in the LONG. This is not financial advice, It is only my opinion.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MFGroon
More Bearish Pressure on the NZDCAD The NZDCAD is about to test the strength of the ascending trend line. If it manages to break down below it on the third attempt, this would likely allow the pair to probe breaking even further down south - towards the previous swing low. Upon completing the last 1-5 Elliott Wave Pattern, the pair is currently developing a corrective ABC pattern. Notice that the AB retracement is taking the form of a Dead Cat Bounce, which confirms the bearish expectations. Moreover, the Bounce peaked below the 50-day MA, which represents yet another selling indication.
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by Trendsharks
3