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BTC SIDEWAY IN THE LONG WEEKEND Hello Everyone!!! I just checked a very interesting scenario in the Hourly Time Frame. Seems like we moving in an Ascending Channel/Bearish Flag Pattern, and I think we're going to have a big move soon, perhaps in the New York Session even though it's long weekend. Please leave me your thought about my opinion, and if you guys like to, maybe I will create YouTube channel for English language. **BTC Idea** This is not change my Daily perspective on BTC, recently I posted about BTC Moon Cycle, and so far almost in every Full Moon Phase, we had a nice rally. But, still we can't ignore the lower time frame, and as a Trader, there's so many opportunity to look out on the lower timeframe. In the 1-Hour Timeframe, right now I see a potential SHORT Opportunity, only if BTC can Breakdown very impulsive against the Trendline here. A couple things that make me think that, this is a good opportunity to SHORT is a potential scenario for Dead Cat Bounce Pattern and also Head & Shoulders Pattern. Although H&S is more preferable in the Uptrend, because of the characteristic of H&S that changing the Direction of the market. Still, I'm considering the same situation right here, and looking the recent Resistance as potential Lower High for BTC price movement. This is not a financial advice, it's just my humble opinion and I could be wrong somehow. I also have the alternative Scenario in case you guys want to see. Good luck for you guys!! And I'll be waiting for your reply on your thoughts. God Bless and Cheers!!! www.tradingview.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Kevin_Sailly
2
SP500 either topped, will top, or flying high for yearsMy patience is being tested right now. I am running out of possible days of length and price targets. I have the market in Sub-Millennial wave 1 (began June 1877), Grand SuperCycle wave 5 (began March 6, 2009), SuperCycle wave 3 (began March 23, 2020), Cycle wave 2 (began January 4, 2022), Primary wave B (began February 24, 2022), Intermediate wave C (began March 8, 2022). The shorthand for this wave is 1532BC which is based on wave letters and numbers combined. Right now, Intermediate wave C (if we are still in it, we cannot be for much longer) is: 1) 1) 15 days long 2) 2) Gain of 479.43 3) 3) 300% the length of wave A 4) 4) 172.99% the move of wave A 5) 5) Accounts for 65.22% of the larger wave’s (Primary B) length 6) 6) Makes up 91.73% of the larger wave’s (Primary B) move This also makes the stats on Primary wave B look like: 7) 7) 23 days long 8) 8) Gain of 522.65 9) 9) 65.71% retracement of Primary wave A’s length (35 bars) 10) 10) 74.24% retracement of Primary wave A’s movement (dropped 703.97 points) 1-My models only forecast 15, 17 and 27 days in length for wave C. Most of the model agreement was below 10 days. 2-The move is not necessarily a factor by itself but the additional data will use this. The price forecasts below the current high is 4633.725. The next set of price points tops below 4700 are: 4637.45, 4652.15, 4653.96, 4657.99, 4664.74, 4665.448, 4673.78, 4674.76, 4675.68, 4676.19, 4681.05, 4689.68, 4697.24. These prices begin to have more gaps than the prices below this point. There is a 4 point grouping in the 4670s. 3-Intermediate C waves rarely exceed the 300% length of wave A which is where the index is based on today’s high. Intermediate C has moved 276.92% (wave ended C2C, we are 2BC), 281.25% (2BC), 466.67% (C2C), 517.39 (54C). 4-Intermediate C waves ending in BC have a median move which is 127.13% of Intermediate wave A and an average of 123.72%. Intermediate C waves ending in 2BC have a median move of 152.47% and an average of 142.60%. The maximum is 242.75% of intermediate wave A’s movement. We are above the normal in the current case. 5-In the three wave structure of Primary wave B, Intermediate C waves ending in BC have a median contribution of 31.25% for Primary wave B’s length and an average of 33.46%. Waves ending in 2BC have a median contribution of 49.45% and average of 44.22%. The highest contribution so far is 64.29% for 2BC and BC waves. 6-Likewise regarding the contribution to the overall wave, BC waves make up 68.74% as a median and 70.32% on average. There are four occasions above 90.49%. Waves ending in 2BC have a median make up of 90.49% and with a maximum at 95.12%. The current contribution is still acceptable, and quite common for 2BC waves. 7-The forecast days from my models at and above the current length are 26, 28, 32, 40, 51, 52, 59, 63, and 70 days in length. Strong agreement at 26 and 28 days. 8-The price forecasts for the end of Primary wave B have a few tight price target pockets which are: 4637.365, 4637.588, 4645.7, 4645.874, 4654.17, 4654.2, 4654.525, 4658.71, 4658.962, 4659.03, 4659.04, 4659.691, 4675.203, 4677.57, 4677.81, 4687.6, 4687.61, 4688.36, 4688.39. 9-Typical Primary waves ending in 2B match 25% to 400% the length of Primary wave A. Waves ending in 32B usually retrace around 55-70% with an outlier at 400%. We are in the smaller window now, but only for a day or two more at most. 10-Typical Primary waves ending in 2B move 41 to 88% of wave A’s movement. Waves ending in 32B move 54-77% which we are also nearing the high end of this window. To conclude, 1) the market has either topped today and we finally began Primary wave C downward with the final 15 minutes of trading today; 2) the market can rise for 2 more days at most before a reversal; or 3) We are not in Primary waves B or C and instead we ended all of the downward movement on February 24. If the latter is the case we are in the early stages of Cycle 3 which will see massive upward momentum for possibly 2-3 years. If option 1 remains valid, the chart below shows early signs of where movement will take us. Regardless of option 1 or 2, we will find a bottom and then begin Cycle 3 with the same aforementioned results. I am bullish long-term, but remain bearish in the short-term until we either break above 4818 or move below 3900.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
YFI, Whale Grabs 12 Billion SHIB,According to Anton Nell’s tweet, he and Andre Cronje decided to leave the crypto industry. Starting from April 3, a total of 25 decentralized finance applications, including Yearn.Finance, Keep3r Network and Solidly, will be terminated. Affected by a sudden announcement, YFI and FTM tokens collapsed roughly 13%, while SOLID token dropped 60%. Last January, Cronje wrote a blog post titled “Building in DeFi Sucks,” but it was simply a “therapeutic” rant. Now, Nell has made it abundantly clear that Cronje is dead serious about leaving. Whale grabs 12 billion SHIB tokens WhaleStats reports that an anonymous Shiba Inu whale has purchased 12 billion meme tokens, which totals $1 million in fiat equivalent. The receiving address now holds $109.2 million worth of various tokens, including Shiba Inu, USDT, SAND and MANA. At press time, SHIB is changing hands at $0.00002353, losing almost 2% from its value over the last 24 hours.
COINBASE:YFIUSDLong
by seeacoxonce
1
SPX and NQ - looking bearishTime to be careful as there are more technical signs that all is not well: 1. dead cross firmly on the Nasdaq since 28 Feb (impending for SPX) 2. Toppish head and shoulders pattern seen on both 3. no signs of sustainable upward momentum yet (need to see a breakup of the near term downward channel for a start) Hence, do not be too eager to bottom fish and when we do (yeah, itchy fingers happen), cut losses fast if wrong (unless one is a long term investor who is ok to dollar cost average on stocks with proven long term fundamentals). The strong sectors right now are in the oil, metals, defence and utilities. The rest could continue to mostly languish or enjoy only short term bounces from oversold conditions. On the fundamental front, rising oil/commodity prices and high inflation of above 5% is always a precursor to a recession (thou it could still be months away but markets tend to be forward looking). Perhaps this could turn out to be yet another short term steep correction (like the many in the past decade), be flexible and nimble. It's ok to just let the technicals tell us what to do even if we are noob on macro economics. Stay safe and good luck. Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Please your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Juliac
TSLA: These are the KEY POINTS we must watch for now.Hello traders and investors! The movements on TSLA have been so technical and precise, and it is behaving according to our technique. Let’s update our thoughts. Remember, the link to yesterday's analysis is below this post, as usual. First, in the 1h chart, TSLA is still bullish, as we expected, as it is still doing higher highs/lows. Is there any bearish structure around that could indicate it will do a sharper pullback or even reverse the trend? No. In fact, TSLA is trying to break the previous top at $ 922, which is another good sign. To me, TSLA is inside a huge Ascending Triangle made by the black line at $ 943 and the purple line which connects the previous bottoms. This tells us that our next stop is the $ 943 again. What will it do from there? We don’t know, but we don’t have to know in order to trade well. Trading is reactive, not predictive. All we must know is that TSLA is still bullish, and pullbacks to the 21 ema and to the $ 896 are expected, and wouldn’t be a reason to panic at all. In the worst case-scenario, I see it retesting its purple line again, but I don’t see a technical reason to work with this scenario right now. In the daily chart, we see many support levels (the retracements), and this is another reason why it wouldn't be too easy for TSLA to drop from here. However, as we expected, the 21 ema is here to annoy us. Probably this week, we’ll have our answer if this is a Dead Cat Bounce or not. I’ll keep you guys updated every day on TSLA, so remember to follow me to not miss my daily analyses.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
6
30% chance of ATH soon for BTCIn this theory, there seems to be 3 equally weighted scenarios that may play out in the short term. Regardless, I believe the long term is still a slow trend to the upwards side. However, this could become a more exponential growth if 1 of these scenarios plays out, which has a 30% chance of occurring. Continuation to ATH: 33% "Dead-cat bounce" with a head and shoulders forming in the $48K-55k range: 33% Immediate rejection around $48k-52k, then a drop down to the $30k range: 33% Yea..."it could go up down or sideways"... I get that, however this is my "more detailed" version of that here. A healthy movement on the RSI over the next week or two will be the best indicator here for the bullish scenario, and an over correction of the RSI will most likely signify the bearish scenarios.
by DoozerInvest
Into 2022.....With possibly a limp erection stumbling into 2022 until late January 2022 early Feb 2022. Much like if BTC was leaving the New Year party after having a few too many refreshing beverages. Lets face it, BTC now is a little long in the tooth as they say, and no longer the shinning star he once was. He still pushes on at a predictable ROI and a fine place to park your money safely for the grandmothers who like a safe bet in the crypto universe. A new approach must be taken with BTC now that it is at the top of this cycle. Right now it is huge in terms of capitalization ! It's like your fat and over weight aunt with that horrid perfume who always wants to pinch your cheeks. What would it take to lift this thing up the percentage points we were accustomed to ? I could tell everyone I know to buy this thing and it would go no where fast. I've noticed over the past while more and more crypto assets are no long in sync with what BTC does, not all, but a growing number. BTC goes down, MATIC continues to rise ? Time for some new equations, formulas and algorithms. Jesus, I can do more transactions per second with a cheap Chinese calculator than BTC will ever do. With all these new projects coming out maybe we need a new standard ? Admittedly BTC has the largest dominance in the market, but that is slowly evaporating. Maybe a new index ? Perhaps a coin that includes ETH and a few other hot ALTS ? Who really knows ? There was hope for ADA, as it was a constant performer, but people jumped off that project like a girl friend with bugs. It was far too slow in delivering for this crypto market. I am not sure what is in store for BTC ? At best maybe stumble sideways for a while until the market decides, but we all know that the crypto market is cruel and shows no mercy unless you perform and if you don't you are left at the side of the road like an old toothless cheap hussy. Now I guess it's about time to screen through the crypto and screen out the best performers for 2021. The constant performers, not the one hit wonders I have to skim off the top every time I do a screening. I really wish Tradingview would come up with a prebuilt screen for us so that it would eliminate all that extraneous crap and give us some clean data to look at. I asked them once, they were too busy and blamed Binance for including all those Premium assets that show a > 10,000 % + increase in 5 minutes. Who has ever lucked into a coin like that ? If you say yes, you are lying. You just gotta know that some market manipulation is going on because it's not because of getting listed on a new exchange. Time for coffee. The Prince of Palm Beach * It's the last chance for romance with BTC
EASYMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by WMWToronto
2
BTC ETH LTC: Dead Catch Bounce ScenarioHello friends, today you can review the 1H charts for Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Litecoin (LTCUSD). #CryptoPickk notes the following: 1) As the entire crypto market fell drastically, the potential for a move upwards is very possible. In these scenarios, a Dead Cat Bounce Pattern is very possible. 2) For anyone that doesn't know what a Dead Cat Bounce it, please refer to the Investopedia article for further details: www.investopedia.com . 3) Using the Fibonacci Extension, taking the price from the drop start point to the drop end point, the 0.618 - 0.786 levels may be potentials for where the Dead Cat Bounce may happen and the price drops further from that point. 4) Remember one thing that has helped in trading: When a wick happens, the candle body close is surely to follow. Not financial advice of course. Do your own research. What are your opinions on this? If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MillionaireEconomics
8
Chance to Join EURAUD's Downtrend The downtrend of the EURAUD, which commenced following a reversal indicated by the Head and Shoulders pattern, looks poised to continue sliding lower. This was indicated by the recent Dead Cat Bounce from the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.57112. The price action is now likely to head towards the previous swing low at 1.52680. This is part of the establishment of a broader 1-5 impulse wave pattern, as postulated by the Elliott Wave Theory.
Short
by Trendsharks
SPX: Crashing again! Time to panic?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today! Breaking the short-term bull trend, the index is seeking its next support levels. We lost the Pennant downwards, along with the 21 ema and the 4,394. The 4,351 is another good support candidate, which is holding the price for now. Our last support level is the 4,305, and below this point, we might assume the index will engage a stronger bearish momentum for a few weeks. By losing the 4,305, we’ll confirm the idea that the index just did a Dead Cat Bounce to the 21 ema and it just resumed the bear trend, frustrating the possible bullish reversal to the ATH. Right now, the index is in a “no-man’s land”. While we don’t see any meaningful bullish reaction, there’s nothing to do. While we don’t see any bearish confirmation, we can’t say it’ll reverse the long-term bullish bias either. In the weekly chart, we are still above the 21 ema, and we could stay there for a few weeks from now, doing many frustrating signs. Only if we lost the 21 ema in the weekly chart we’ll see something new, and the market could do a sharper pullback. However, this won't be easy, as we have many support levels in the short/mid-term to work with. For now, let’s just calmly wait for more signs. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates. Have a good day.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
10
SPX: Key Points you must watch from now!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today! The index is doing exactly what we said it would do in our previous analysis, as it lost the support at 4,435 (1h chart), turning bearish for a few days. However, it is trying to react, and this reaction came quite quickly. Since the index lost the purple trendline we knew that the bull trend got weaker, but this doesn’t mean reversal . When this happens, we usually seek the next support level, and in this case, the 4,367 is working nicely. We did a false breakout from it this week, but today’s reaction might indicate that we’ll see a reaction, at least to the 21 ema. The 1h chart has a bullish pivot point at 4,394, which the index is triggering right now at this moment. This might be the start of something new that will cause the rally to the 21 ema in the daily chart. If the trend will continue or if this will be a classic Dead Cat Bounce , it is too soon to tell. Let’s just react to the next signs. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates, and support this idea if it helped you! Have a good day!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
10
Bitcoin is confirming the next Bear MarketHello Everyone, Quick post for today. After a 20x gain over an entire year, I believe Bitcoin is confirming the next bear market cycle. Here are the technicals: 1. Rejection of the Hull Moving Average: The hull moving average has been a consistent determination in whether we remain in cycle or not. In both previous cycles, we see Bitcoin lose the hull moving average then on an attempt to regain, it rejects or fails and price continues downward. 2. Death cross: After rejecting the hull moving average, there is a death cross of the 20WMA and the 50WMA. This immediately happens after rejection and is another confirmation of a bear market. 3. Dead Cat bounce: There were 2 distinct dead cat bounces right after the fall from each cycle ATH. This is noticeable with the bearish price action: low volume higher price 4. Negative RSI: RSI seems to be going down as bitcoin continued to make highs. This is a bearish indication 5. Weakening MACD: MACD is weakening as bitcoin has another attempt at the 65k all time high. Although some of you may be discouraged, angry, or depressed the bear market is the best place to DCA and restock swing trade buys. My guess is the bottom is consistent with the 200WMA as it has been the bottom of each of the other two bear cycles. My plan moving forward is to DCA between the 100 and 200 WMA as well as look for swing trade plays during the bear market. As always, be patient, use risk management, and good luck trading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RomanXIV
17
$BTC rally-base-drop reversalMy view on #bitcoin non-religiously considering the simple facts. Short-term we are going to be ranging between 200 DMA and 21 WMA, with strong rejection from 200 DMA sealing the faith of this dead-cat bounce. From S&D perspective #bitcoin is now completing the rally-base-drop reversal pattern perfectly. I will be saving all money I can to buy the 200 WMA. As said in my previous publications, this is where bulls with balls are being made and the ever running $BTC bull run resumes.
Short
by MarianusInconnuX
5