Death of the POPE and Economic Impact
Hi, I'm trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that has deeply shaken the world: the death of Pope Francis.
Pope Francis, born Jorge Mario Bergoglio, was the first Latin American pontiff and the first Jesuit to hold the role of Pope. Born in Buenos Aires in 1936, he dedicated his life to serving the Church and those most in need. His pontificate, which began in 2013, was characterized by a strong commitment to social justice, peace and environmental protection. He has always tried to bring the Church closer to the faithful, promoting a message of love, humility and inclusion.
The death of Pope Francis, which occurred on April 21, 2025, left a huge void not only in the Catholic Church, but also in the hearts of millions of people around the world. His charismatic figure and his commitment to human rights and social justice have had a significant impact on many aspects of global society.
Pope Francis has been a spiritual leader who has been able to speak to the hearts of people, regardless of their faith. He has addressed complex issues such as the refugee crisis, climate change and global poverty, always seeking solutions that promote human dignity and solidarity. His encyclical "Laudato si'" has been an urgent call to the international community to take care of our common home, planet Earth.
Now, let's analyze how the death of Pope Francis could affect the stock market and forex. The passing of such an influential figure can generate uncertainty and volatility in the financial markets. Investors may react with caution, waiting to see how the Church will manage the transition and who will be the next Pope. In addition, the Jubilee of 2025, which is underway, could undergo organizational changes, affecting tourism and the economy of Rome.
In the short term, there may be some instability in the markets, with fluctuations in the values of currencies and stocks linked to sectors influenced by the Catholic Church. However, in the long term, stability could be restored once the new Pope is elected and the Jubilee celebrations continue.
The death of Pope Francis could also have repercussions on the bond market. Investors could seek refuge in safer assets, such as government bonds, increasing demand and influencing yields. In addition, companies operating in the religious tourism sector could see a temporary drop in bookings, impacting their profits.
Let's now analyze the currency pairs that could be affected by this event:
EUR/USD: The euro/dollar pair could see increased volatility, especially considering the importance of the Vatican and Rome in the European economy. Uncertainties related to the Jubilee and religious celebrations could affect the value of the euro.
EUR/GBP: The euro/pound pair could also be affected, as many pilgrims and tourists from the UK could change their travel plans, affecting the flow of capital between the two regions.
USD/JPY: The dollar/yen pair could see significant movements, as Japanese investors tend to seek refuge in safe assets such as the US dollar in times of global uncertainty.
EUR/CHF: The euro/Swiss franc pair could be affected by European investors' search for stability. The Swiss franc is often considered a safe haven in times of volatility.
Another crucial aspect will be the day of the election of the new Pope. The Conclave, which will take place between May 6 and 11, 2025, represents a moment of great expectation and hope for millions of faithful around the world. During this period, the cardinal electors will gather in the Sistine Chapel to vote for the successor of Pope Francis. The white smoke, announcing the election of the new Pope, will be a sign of stability and continuity for the Catholic Church.
On the day of the election, there is likely to be increased volatility in financial markets. Investors may react quickly to the news, trying to anticipate the economic and political implications of the new pontificate. Currencies and stocks linked to sectors influenced by the Catholic Church could see significant movements, with possible trading opportunities for those who are able to correctly interpret the market dynamics.
In conclusion, the death of Pope Francis is a major event that will have not only spiritual and social repercussions, but also economic ones. Investors should carefully monitor the developments and adapt their strategies based on the new dynamics that will emerge.
Death
$INDEX:BTCUSD Death Cross Potential - 200 EMA test imminent INDEX:BTCUSD
BTC has been stagnant since the initial excitement over the political landscape got brought back to earth through the talk of steep tariffs by the US on imports from its main suppliers and trading partners. The DEEPSEEK bomb went off around the same time sending the big buyers to put a pause on accumulating crypto and we have seen the this translate into a very weary market.
And Now because of investor insecurity smart money is waiting for the price to fall to take advantage of the fear that we are witnessing the end of the cycle and 20k btc is around the corner. No Such luck, however we do get a nice DEATH CROSS on the daily looking like weekend price movement is bound to see selling pressure that will drive the 20 EMA below the 50 EMA which will see bearish results in price and pressure to trend downwards
Anyone reading my Posts knows that I've been eyeing the 200 EMA on the daily as a zone that we are bound to visit before the market can continue to increase and set higher highs. I've previously given my reasons why in previous posts ie. convergence, fvg, support. I believe this could be the pressure that will drive is into those mid to low 80k areas that seemed so far away a few weeks ago, low 70's are also in play if we can't hold the 200 EMA or the psychological 80k support . I believe that enough buyers are waiting down there for those fire sale prices that once we do hit the 200 EMA it will be paramount to assess market conditions before going full in on the bounce likely to take place around 84,500k the 200 EMA's relative area that ties into the liquidity in the FVG.
KO Coca-Cola and the E. coli outbreak linked to McDonald’sIf you haven`t bought the dip on KO:
Now you need to know that Coca-Cola (KO) could see a decline due to the E. coli outbreak linked to McDonald’s, as the two brands have a longstanding partnership, with Coca-Cola products being served widely in McDonald's restaurants.
Negative publicity impacting McDonald's could indirectly affect Coca-Cola by reducing in-store traffic, which may lower beverage sales.
Additionally, Coca-Cola's association with fast food means that consumer sentiment shifting towards healthier options could further impact sales.
If the outbreak spurs changes in public dining behavior, Coca-Cola may face a temporary decline in demand across other food service venues, potentially impacting its stock performance.
Major Bearish Signal ALERTAnother major bearish signal has flashed. All 6 moving averages have crossed both the Bull Market Open Price and Point Of Control. As we mentioned earlier this year, this usually signals the beginning of a short-term bearish trend up until the halving. Watch to find out more!
EUR/JPY Need Some Correction50 Moving Average close to 100 Moving Average so if Cross happened then you know what direction price go. 1d Chart create higher low pattern , last Candle Close above the 50 Moving Average But Below the Trama, So Possibilities price drop down, This is My View if you have any idea share it in comment box.
📉 The "Death Cross" PatternDeath Cross, 5 Key things to watch
The "death cross" is a market chart pattern that occurs when a short-term moving average falls below a long-term moving average,
indicating recent price weakness. It is often studied using the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The death cross pattern is more reliable
when confirmed by other indicators such as high trading volume or momentum indicators like the MACD.
These indicators can help confirm that a major trend change is occurring.
🟠 The Death Cross (convergence of moving averages) is a strong indication of a sell-off
🟠 If volume increases after the Death Cross, the downward trend is likely to strengthen
🟠 If price is above moving averages, strong volumes may be needed to suggest a turnaround
🟠 If price is below moving averages, the selling pressure is likely to be severe and any upward corrective moves will face strong resistance
🟠 The first sign of selling pressure weakens as moving averages start to turn upward
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BTC TOTAL MCAP CAPITULATION VERY SOON ?!!(URGENT)As you can see on this chart, the FIB circles lines perfectly confluence, and it shows that the subsequent capitulation is very near.
I think the total market cap price will resist at the 200ma and fib 0.618 on the 4H chart.
FIB CIRCLE 1.618 has been respected perfectly for the past 2 weeks and crossing it could mean a crash in next
We are very close to crossing the respected Fib circle so ill be looking closely at how the next 4H candle will close.
Stoch Rsi seems OVERBOUGHT.
This is just an idea.
NFA DYOR
Golden Cross
GOLDEN CROSS
1. A golden cross occurs when a faster-moving average crosses a slower moving average.
2. Specifically, you need the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages.
3. Anything other than these two periods and it is not a true golden cross.
4. The golden cross is a powerful trade signal, but this does not mean you should buy every cross of the 50-period moving average and the 200.
5. You will need to bring a higher level of sophistication to the setup, to ensure you are buying into a trade with real opportunity.
THE THREE STAGES OF A GOLDEN CROSS
1. As the downtrend in the stock market ends, the short-term 50-day moving average moves below the 200- day moving average.
2. In a crossover, when a stock recovers, the short-term moving average crosses over the long-term moving average. That’s where the term golden cross comes from, when the two average lines cross on a chart.
3. In a crossover, when a stock recovers, the short-term moving average crosses over the long-term moving average. That’s where the term golden cross comes from, when the two average lines cross on a chart.
THE THREE STAGES OF A GOLDEN CROSSPROFIT POTENTIAL OF THE GOLDEN CROSS PATTERN
A. DEATH CROSS
1. One option is to wait for a cross of the 50 back below the 200 as another selling opportunity.
2. The only issue with this approach is you are likely to give back a sizeable portion of your profits since moving averages are a lagging indicator.
B. PRIOR SUPPORT
1. What you can also do is look for areas of resistance overhead which will act as selling opportunities for longs that have been holding the stock for a long period of time.
2. A caveat to this strategy is that the stock may consolidate and push higher.
C. TRENDLINE BREAK
1. If the golden cross is real, the signal will likely generate a strong buying opportunity.
2. You can then use the first couple of reactionary lows to create an uptrend line.
3. You then hold the stock until this trendline is broken.
Twitter Reject Elon Musk’s $48BTwitter has chosen to embrace a "Death wish" way to deal with Elon Musk's $48 billion proposals to purchase the organization, CNBC wrote on 16 April 2022. The restricted span investor freedoms plan gives that "assuming any individual or gathering procures advantageous responsibility for least 15% of Twitter's remarkable normal stock without the board's endorsement, different investors will be permitted to buy extra offers at a markdown.
Deathcross tradeI've been tracking this since the BTC death cross occurred and while I know this is too late for anyone to make any profitable decisions it is worth making a note for the future. You can verify the 50 and 200MA death crosses yourself but the probability of BTC going back to 200MA is very high (only failed once in Sept 2014). Currently my safe target would be 48k. Why am I showing then the TOTAL crypto mcap chart? Well as you know other digital assets will not move up unless BTC is going up (in most cases as some directly impacting news can move an altcoin despite BTC moving down) and watching both TOTAL,TOTAL2 and BTC charts can give you a better view of the whole crypto market (add BTC.D to the mix). We are still around 10% off the minimum target and while macro outlook isn't great if it is to play out as expected based on past performance it is most likely going to happen over the next couple of weeks.
If we drop lower and make new lower low then lower high this death cross trade will be treated as failed setup.
Either way as mentioned before worth adding this to your trading setup arsenal (watch BTC and TOTAL charts on Daily only and you can then make bullish decisions on other crypto of interest)
$SPY Head & Shoulders (Weekly/Daily)As we all have, I have been tweaking my spy pattern as we get through this crazy month. More and more everyday SPY seems to be self fulfilling this pattern. We can see on the two hour that the "head" of the H&S is another pattern within itself, further causing me to believe we are leading up to a massive drop. As we watch next week if the market continues to chop & drop at this level we could be seeing 375-380 soon.
Warning: Bitcoin Descending Channel + Death Cross !!!!Bitcoin Descending Channel + Death Cross
Bitcoin Descending Channel + Death Cross
Bitcoin Descending Channel + Death Cross
Bitcoin Descending Channel + Death Cross
What are your next expectations? Do you agree with this analysis?
But i'm optimistic.
This is not financial advice.
A Death Cross for Bitcoin?I see many people speaking about "The Death Cross" that's just appearing on the Bitcoin chart. The Cross brings some fear with it, and I can't just understand why, since it's not really a concerning one. But let me explain.
A Death Cross is only strong and meaningful as long as Both SMA (50 & 200) are pointing to the downside - both SMA need to be declining. Many Traders do also Check the Volume. If the Volume is Rising with the Cross, its more likely Valid, if the Volume is declining it less likely.
Personally, I don't really use the Volume to Confirm. I check the direction of Both SMA.
Edit: In my Opinion the Death as well as the Golden-Cross are really really bad Indicators since they're lagging really hard.
Don't get fooled!
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This Analysis is not intended to be investment advice. Always DYOR.
Death Cross a Symmetrical analogy from the previous appearance The Death Cross just appear today, It's a cross from the 50 and 200 MA and the last two had declined 25% and 15% respectively
Expect a double bottom at the 0.786 Fibonacci level around $35.5K or at least -13% decline in the BTC price. A possible fake out pump up to $46K could happen. Sell Short @ 43K to 46K / Buy Long @ 35K to 37K
Please note the green candles as a symmetrical projection continuation pattern from the last death cross
CRYPTO MARKET CAP & COVID19 DEATHS - Conspiracy?! Coincidence!? Hi, this is CRYPTOFILIO, your dark knight in the lightness!
This nugget of truth is about DEATH and CRYPTO..... Almost as correlated as death and taxes...
The blue line is the crypto total market cap and the yellow line is COVID19 DEATHS in the US (same scale and percentage). I'm not saying crypto causes covid or covid causes crypto - or eggs cause chickens or chickens cause eggs.
Can you handle my cold hard crypto factoids, while I handle your warm, soft....
If a star fell from the sky every time I thought about you, then the sky would be empty... And, consequently, billions of innocent aliens, whose planets fell out of orbit... would suddenly die.
Think about these deep thoughts for your shallow life!
VIX looks 68% bearish since Covid's low data shows.1 H. D.Cross : Since Covid's low 13 done & 7 not yet
30M D.Cross: since January 2021 13 done 5 not yet
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- 1H chart 68% we are done off volatility only tailwinds
- 30Min Chart 68% we are done off volatility only tailwinds
In a nutshell: There is a 68% chance we are done of volatility !!!
VOX Finance - great opportunity or r.i.p?!I saw some story about VOX finance, not that interesting but it made me check it out.
As far as my inexperienced eye can tell, it looks like it’s “do or die” for VOX.
I drew 3 possibilities, which one do you think?
Yellow, Green, or Red?
Or perhaps something else? Let me know!