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Deathcross

Mastering the Death cross and Golden cross - How to use it!In this guide I will discuss the Death crosses and Golden crosses. The next subjects will be described: - What SMA to use? - What is a Death cross? - What is a Golden cross - Is a Death cross always bearish and a Golden cross always bullish? - How did the Death crosses and Golden crosses play out this cycle? What SMA to use for Deathcross and Golden cross on the daily timeframe In technical analysis, when identifying Golden Crosses and Death Crosses on the daily timeframe, the most commonly used moving averages are the 50-day and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMA). The 50-day moving average represents the average closing price of an asset over the past 50 trading days and reflects medium-term market trends. The 200-day moving average, on the other hand, represents the average over a longer period and is used to gauge the broader, long-term trend. What is a Deatch cross? A death cross is a bearish technical analysis signal that occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average. Most commonly, it refers to the 50-day simple moving average crossing below the 200-day simple moving average on a daily price chart. This crossover suggests that recent price momentum is weakening relative to the longer-term trend, which can be an early indication of a potential downtrend or extended period of market weakness. The death cross is often interpreted as a sign of increasing selling pressure and a shift in investor sentiment toward caution or pessimism. While it does not predict immediate declines, it is closely watched because it has historically preceded some significant market downturns. However, like all technical indicators, it is not infallible. Since it is based on past price data, the death cross is a lagging indicator, meaning it often appears after a downward trend has already begun. What is a Golden cross? A golden cross is a bullish technical analysis pattern that signals the potential beginning of a long-term uptrend. It occurs when a short-term moving average, typically the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), crosses above a long-term moving average, most commonly the 200-day SMA, on a daily price chart. This crossover suggests that recent price momentum is strengthening in relation to the longer-term trend, indicating growing investor confidence and increasing buying interest. The golden cross is widely viewed as a positive signal by traders and investors, often marking a shift from a downtrend or consolidation phase to a more sustained upward movement. It reflects a change in market sentiment where shorter-term gains begin to outweigh longer-term losses. Is a Death cross always bearish and a Golden cross always bullish? The death cross is not always a purely bearish signal. While it reflects that price momentum has shifted to the downside, it's important to remember that moving averages are lagging indicators. By the time the crossover occurs, much of the downward move may already be priced in. As a result, it's common to see a relief rally shortly after the signal appears. This bounce can catch traders off guard, especially those who enter short positions expecting immediate continued weakness. On the other hand, the golden cross often sparks a wave of bullish sentiment. Many traders see it as confirmation of a strong uptrend, leading to increased buying pressure. However, just like with the death cross, the lagging nature of the signal means that much of the initial move may have already happened. It's not unusual for the price to stall or even retrace shortly after the crossover, especially if the market has become overextended. In both cases, the market often reacts in a counterintuitive way in the short term, which is why these signals are best used alongside other tools and indicators. How did the Death crosses and Golden crosses play out this cycle? In this cycle, we’ve seen three death crosses and three golden crosses on the daily timeframe, with a fourth golden cross currently in the making. Interestingly, all three of the previous death crosses have not led to sustained downside as many might expect. Instead, each one has marked a local bottom, followed by strong upward movement in the weeks and months that followed. These signals, rather than being a reason for bearishness, turned out to be contrarian indicators. The most recent death cross occurred when Bitcoin was trading around 80k. From there, it managed to rebound impressively, climbing back above 111k, a clear reminder that death crosses, especially in this cycle, have not been reliable signals for further downside. The golden crosses, on the other hand, have behaved a bit differently than usual in this cycle. The first golden cross actually marked a local top, with Bitcoin facing rejection shortly after. During the second golden cross, price action was more neutral, BTC moved sideways for a period before eventually continuing its upward trend. The third golden cross was followed by only a shallow pullback, after which Bitcoin pushed to new all-time highs. Now, we are approaching the formation of the fourth Golden cross. Based on the pattern of past crosses and current market sentiment, a minor pullback could be on the horizon. It’s not guaranteed, but given the level of euphoria in the market right now, some cooling off would not be surprising. Even if a pullback does occur, the larger trend remains intact, and this golden cross may end up reinforcing that momentum. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
34
$BTC Post Death Cross PA Has NOT Confirmed 200DMA - Must Read!Throughout Bitcoin's history it has had 11 Death Crosses (50DMA crossing under 200DMA), and 10 of those times price has retested the 200DMA within ~3 months (with 1 outlier). Do you know what time it did NOT retest the 200DMA? You might have guessed it… this most recent death cross ☠️ The only outlier that price did not retest the 200DMA within ~3 months was in 2015, where it took nearly a year to retest. In that time, CRYPTOCAP:BTC ripped 200% just 75 days later, which marked the start of the PARABOLA. This is why I have been so adamant with sticking to my base case for Bitcoin’s next move. Is this time different? 🥸 Will it take nearly a year to retest the 200DMA? An interesting observation I found was that if we take 90D from the most recent death cross, it brings us out to July 6th, which is right around when the 90-day pause of tariffs is lifted 🧐 Having said all that, if PA confidently breaks above and confirms previous ATH (~$110k), I will lean towards the 2015 outlier for the 200DMA retest, which would put us into late Q1 2026. That would line up nicely with a suspected top of the cycle 🥲
INDEX:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
BTC - Is this rally sustainable and what to expect?In the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced an impressive surge in price, exploding from around 85k to over 94k, showing strong bullish momentum. This rapid movement has certainly caught the attention of many traders and investors. However, while the price action has broken through previous lower highs, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment, it's crucial to approach this rally with caution. Although the recent price increase indicates that bullish momentum is in play, it's important not to overlook the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation. The market has shown volatility before, and while breaking the lower-high structure is a positive sign, it doesn’t necessarily guarantee sustained upward movement. In this analysis, I will dive deeper into the current price action and what it means for BTC short-term outlook. We’ll explore the factors to watch in the coming days and the potential risks that could challenge the bullish trend. ------------------------------------------ What will we discuss: - Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance - Point of Control - Stochastic RSI - The deathcrosses ------------------------------------------ Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance The golden pocket Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.65), measured from the highs to the lows on the higher timeframe, is located between 96,450 and 97,580. This area aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered a strong move down in BTC. The golden pocket often acts as a strong rejection zone, and bears are likely to try defending this level again. So be careful on how price will move into this level and how it reacts. ------------------------------------------ Point of control (POC) The Point of Control (POC) for the entire trading range from November to the present is located precisely at 96,450. This level is particularly significant as it aligns with multiple technical factors, creating a strong confluence zone. Not only does it coincide with a well-established resistance area that previously initiated a sharp move to the downside, but it also sits within the golden pocket Fibonacci. The POC marks the price level where the highest volume of trading activity has occurred during this entire range, indicating a strong area of interest for both buyers and sellers. High-volume nodes like this often act as magnets for price and tend to offer either strong support or resistance depending on the context. In this case, with the POC positioned within a broader resistance zone, it becomes an even more formidable barrier. ------------------------------------------ Stochastic RSI The Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe is currently in the overbought zone, where it has remained for approximately 10 consecutive days. This prolonged stay in overbought territory suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening and the indicator is beginning to show signs of exhaustion. Typically, when the Stochastic RSI hovers in this upper range for an extended period without a meaningful pullback, it signals that a reversal or at least a slowdown in the prevailing trend could be imminent. The oscillator appears to be running out of steam, and barring a sudden surge in buying pressure, it is likely to start curling downward in the coming days or within the next week. This could imply a shortterm correction is luring. ------------------------------------------ Deathcrosses this cycle A deathcross is a bearish technical indicator (lagging) that occurs when a shorter-term (50-day MA) crosses below the longer-term (200-day MA). Deathcross 1 At the time of the first death cross, the price of BTC had already formed a local low before the crossover occurred. Following the death cross, BTC experienced what is commonly referred to as a "death cross rally" — a counterintuitive move where price rallies shortly after the bearish signal. This rally was significant, as it broke short-term market structure to the upside and eventually found support at the 50-day MA, the same level that previously acted as resistance. That support held, even during a brief rejection, and marked a key shift in momentum. From there, BTC continued its upward move and eventually went on to make new highs, effectively invalidating the immediate bearish expectations typically associated with a death cross. Deathcross 2 The second death cross in this cycle occurred after Bitcoin had already established a local low and began moving back upward toward the death cross. Initially, BTC struggled to break above the 50-day MA, but it eventually managed to push through. However, this time, during the subsequent correction, Bitcoin was unable to hold the 50-day MA as support. Instead, it formed a higher low, indicating a shift in market dynamics and suggesting that the selling pressure may have been weakening. This higher low marks a crucial point in the price structure, as it hints at potential bullish momentum building, despite the earlier bearish signal from the death cross. Deathcross 3 This time, the low was established right at the moment of the death cross, and BTC began to move upward immediately after the crossover occurred. After initially struggling to break above the 50-day MA, BTC surged higher and managed to surpass both the 50-day and 200-day MA. Currently, BTC is facing strong resistance at these levels. The question now is whether BTC will correct and find support at the 50-day MA once again, as it did during the first instance, or if it is aiming to form a higher low, similar to the second occurrence. In both scenarios, Bitcoin has historically experienced a pullback after a few days of upward movement, so a correction at this point would not be surprising. ------------------------------------------ Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
100
THE DEATH CROSSDeath Cross Triggered During Consolidation: What It Could Mean The 50 SMA (blue) just crossed below the 200 SMA (red), signaling a Death Cross—a traditionally bearish indicator. But here’s the catch: this didn’t happen during a steep downtrend. It happened during consolidation. That changes the narrative. When a Death Cross forms during a period of sideways chop instead of a clear downtrend, it often reflects lagging momentum, not accelerating weakness. It can trap shorts expecting a breakdown, especially if price is coiling above strong support or forming a basing pattern. 💡 Key things I’m watching: Does price respect the consolidation range low? Are we forming a bullish divergence on RSI or MACD? How does volume behave around the cross? This may not be a "short and hold" moment—this might be a shakeout before trend resolution. Stay sharp. Don't trade the cross, trade the context.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by dburgos0127
S&P 500 Index Goes 'Death Crossed' Again, Due To Unruly EconomyThe "Death Cross" is a technical chart pattern signaling potential bearish momentum in the US stock market, occurring when a short-term moving average (typically the 50-day) crosses below a long-term moving average (usually the 200-day). Despite its foreboding name, historical data shows its implications are often less dire than perceived, serving as a coincident indicator of market weakness rather than a definitive predictor of collapse. Historical Examples and Market Impact The death cross gained notoriety for preceding major market downturns: 2000 Dot-Com Bubble: The Nasdaq Composite’s death cross in June 2000 coincided with the burst of the tech bubble, leading to a prolonged bear market. 2008 Financial Crisis: The S&P 500’s death cross in December 2007 foreshadowed the 2008 crash, with the index losing over 50% of its value by early 2009. 2020 COVID-19 Crash: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2020 amid pandemic-driven panic, though markets rebounded sharply within months. 2022 Ukraine's War Crisis: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2022 due to proinflationary surge on Ukraine's war and Arab-Israel conflict, leading to a prolonged bear market within next twelve months, up to March quarter in the year 2023. These examples highlight the pattern’s association with extreme volatility, but its predictive power is inconsistent. For instance, the 2022 death cross in the S&P 500—its first in two years—occurred amid Fed rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, yet the market stabilized within weeks rather than entering a prolonged downturn. Perspectives on Reliability and Use Cases While the death cross reflects deteriorating short-term momentum, its utility depends on context: Lagging Nature: As a lagging indicator, it confirms existing trends rather than forecasting new ones. The 50-day average crossing below the 200-day often occurs after prices have already declined. False Signals: Post-2020 data shows the S&P 500 gained an average of 6.3% one year after a death cross, with Nasdaq Composite returns doubling typical averages six months post-cross. Combined Analysis: Traders pair it with metrics like trading volume or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to validate signals. Higher selling volume during a death cross strengthens its bearish case. Strategic Implications for Investors For market participants, the death cross serves as a cautionary tool rather than a standalone sell signal: Short-Term Traders: May use it to hedge long positions or initiate short bets, particularly if corroborated by weakening fundamentals. Long-Term Investors: Often treat it as a reminder to reassess portfolio diversification, especially during elevated valuations or macroeconomic uncertainty. Contrarian Opportunities: Historical rebounds post-death cross—such as the 7.2% Nasdaq gain three months after the signal—suggest potential buying opportunities for risk-tolerant investors. Fundamental Challenge Stocks Extend Drop as Powell Sees Economy ‘Moving Away’ From Fed Goals Powell sees economy ‘moving away’ from job, price goals due to Trump's tariff chainsaw. Fed well positioned to wait for policy clarity. Strong jobs market depends on price stability, he adds. Stocks extend declines, bonds rally as Fed chair speaks. Conclusion The "Death Cross" remains a contentious yet widely monitored pattern. Its dramatic name and association with past crises amplify its psychological impact, but empirical evidence underscores its role as one of many tools in technical analysis. Investors who contextualize it with broader market data—such as earnings trends, interest rates, and macroeconomic indicators—are better positioned to navigate its signals. While it may foreshadow turbulence, its historical track record emphasizes resilience, with markets often recovering losses within months of the pattern’s appearance. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎 // Think Big. Risk Less
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
DEATH CROSS on the SP500?We just witnessed the 50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA — a technical signal known as the Death Cross. Historically, this pattern has been associated with: Trend reversals from bullish to bearish Extended downside pressure A loss of investor confidence in the short-to-medium term 🧠 While not always followed by major crashes, the last time this pattern showed up in a similar setup was followed by an accelerated drop — and that’s exactly what we’ve seen again. The real question now is: 👉 Was this a false signal or is more downside ahead? 🔍 Keep an eye on price action around the 5,400–5,500 zone. If it fails to recover, this death cross might just be the start of a deeper correction...
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by SmartSignalss
Bitcoin Breakdown Head & Shoulders Pattern Death Cross in Play?This daily BTC/USD chart is showing a potential Head & Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal structure. But that’s not all Bitcoin is also at risk of forming a Death Cross, signaling deeper downside potential. Here’s what stands out: 🛑 Key Bearish Signals: 🔻 Head & Shoulders Formation: The pattern consists of a peak (head) with two lower peaks (shoulders) on either side, indicating a loss of bullish momentum. 🔻 Neckline Breakdown: BTC is testing the neckline support around $76,000—a break below this level could trigger further downside. 🔻 Death Cross Forming: The 50 SMA (yellow) is sloping downward, getting dangerously close to crossing below the 200 SMA (blue)—a well-known bearish signal that could accelerate selling pressure. 📉 Bearish Targets if Breakdown Confirmed: If BTC breaks below $76,000, the measured move projection suggests a possible drop toward $50,000-$52,000, aligning with previous structure support. 🚀 Bullish Case – Can BTC Recover? For bulls to regain control, Bitcoin must reclaim $88,000+, invalidate the breakdown, and push above key moving averages. Otherwise, downside pressure remains strong. ⚠️ Final Thought: Death Cross + Head & Shoulders = Bearish Storm? A Death Cross happening alongside a Head & Shoulders breakdown is a dangerous combination for bulls: - A Death Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, signaling a long-term trend shift to the downside. - Historically, BTC has seen major sell-offs after this formation, especially when combined with bearish structures like we see now. - If BTC loses $76,000, the next stop could be $50,000-$52,000—but if bulls defend this level and reclaim FWB:88K +, they can avoid disaster. Verdict : Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—either bulls step in now, or we could see a steep drop ahead. Will you short, or do you think this is a bear trap? Let’s discuss! 🧐🔥
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Bitcoin Price Action: Breakdown in Progress Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern, a classic bearish reversal structure. The chart suggests that BTC failed to sustain momentum above key moving averages and is now heading toward critical support zones. Key Observations: 🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown: BTC recently broke below a rising wedge, indicating potential further downside. 🔹 Moving Averages as Resistance: The 200 SMA (blue) and 50 SMA (yellow) are acting as resistance, confirming bearish momentum. 🔹 Support & Target Levels: First Target : Around $79,845 - $78,516, aligning with previous structure support. Second Target : $75,762 - $72,500, where strong demand could emerge. What’s Next? Bearish Case: If Bitcoin fails to hold the $78,000-$79,000 zone, we could see further declines toward $72,500. Bullish Rebound: A strong bounce from support levels could push BTC back toward $85,000, but it needs to reclaim key moving averages to confirm strength. 🚨 Final Thought: Bitcoin bulls need to step in soon, or we might see deeper corrections ahead. #DeathCross
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
$INDEX:BTCUSD Action Potential? End of Day decisionINDEX:BTCUSD We see BTC continue to eat people trying to long this market based on low timeframes. BTC is currently in an uptrend on the micro but overall there is a bearish cloud that continues combatting all growth I believe this is artificial and tonight's close below the sup/res area at 95,500 will see another test 0f the support trend line. if that breaks and cannot set new highs above the flipped sup/res trend that should open the way for a crawl towards 200EMA
by dasBoot
CNH JPY Short Suggestion: Trade For Monday 9 Sept.24 This is the Daily chart for the Chinese Yuan & Japanese Yen. You can see following along the trend line how strong the Yuan was until a month or two ago - when it sharply sold off - 50 EMA diving under the 200 EMA creating a 'death-cross' which can signal a trend change. Even the last couple of Daily candles resumed this weakness down. So, I see the Yuan falling some more and perhaps quite swiftly down to the levels and take-profit levels I have clearly marked. One thing to be aware of is that the Yuan is heavily oversold at the moment & I see demand coming back into it very soon after this final 'flush-down' plays-out. Then we might trade it back up when I see enough demand coming back into it. easy_explosive_trader Chris
Short
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Bitcoin eyes 44 000 $ - Death cross signals larger correctionBitcoin is currently targeting the $44,000 level, a key area where multiple former support lines converge and where the 1.618 fibonacci retracement target is. This level also aligns with the potential completion of Elliott Wave 4, setting the stage for a possible upward push. The recent Death Cross—where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average—signals a larger correction may be underway. Historically, this pattern has often preceded significant market downturns. However, the $44,000 zone could serve as a critical support level, possibly marking the end of the correction. If BTC holds this level and completes Elliott Wave 4, we could see the beginning of a new bullish wave, potentially pushing the price toward the $100,000 mark. While the current outlook is cautious, the long-term potential for Bitcoin remains strong in my opinion. Here are three reasons why the scenario of Bitcoin reaching $44,000 before a push toward $100,000 might unfold: Macro-Economic Uncertainty: Bitcoin's short-term outlook is influenced by macroeconomic factors like rising interest rates, a stronger U.S. dollar, and global recession fears. These elements could reduce demand for riskier assets, potentially leading to a price decline despite Bitcoin's long-term potential. Strong Support at $44,000: This level is significant due to the convergence of several former support lines, making it a likely area for buyers to step in and stabilize the price, potentially marking the end of Elliott Wave 4. Fundamental Drivers: Despite short-term bearish signals, the long-term fundamentals for Bitcoin—such as increasing institutional adoption, limited supply, and inflation concerns—remain strong. These factors could fuel a rapid recovery and push BTC to new all-time highs after the correction. Thanks for reading and make sure to follow as I post more charts weekly! X:@PuppyNakamoto BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by WOLFofBlockStreet
2
BTC at Risk - Death Cross Signals Potential Drop!Welcome to another analysis, where I dive into the latest developments with BTC and explore the potential paths ahead. I'm becoming increasingly bearish on BTC following the confirmation of a "Death Cross," where the 20- and 50-day moving averages have crossed below the 200-day moving average. This pattern is often seen as a strong indicator of a bearish reversal and the start of a new downward trend. Historically, when we experienced a "Death Cross" in January 2022, BTC dropped from $50,000 to $15,000 per coin. While there have been instances where BTC recovered after a Death Cross, given the current pattern of lower highs and lower lows, coupled with the ongoing uncertainty and volatility in the stock market, I believe the bearish scenario is the most likely outcome. Although I'm long-term bullish on BTC, it might be time for the cryptocurrency to take a breather, potentially allowing altcoins to take the spotlight! Be sure to follow for more updates like this! I also post daily on X: @PuppyNakamoto. Thanks for reading, and good luck with your trading! BITFINEX:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by WOLFofBlockStreet
9
ADOBE: What is the stock doing before the Q2 earnings Adobe's stock price has been declining over the past month, currently trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, with the chart drawing a "death cross" pattern around mid-April, which further confirms the bearish sentiment. The stock now trades at a 25% discount compared to the highs earlier this year. The Volume Oscillator currently stands at 1.3%, suggesting some buying interest remains, but it's weakening compared to recent trading volume. This could signal a potential reversal, but the downtrend remains strong, with the neutral RSI not suggesting any bullish reversal either. Next week's Q2 earnings announcement could be a significant catalyst for Adobe. Positive earnings could potentially reverse the current downtrend, but the recent controversy surrounding Adobe's terms and conditions update could weigh on investor sentiment. The T&Cs update has sparked concerns among users, particularly creatives worried about their creations being used to train AI models, and professionals concerned about the privacy of their data. This could potentially impact Adobe's reputation and customer base, particularly since Adobe remains relatively silent on the issue. This uncertainty adds another layer of risk to the stock in the near term.
NASDAQ:ADBEShort
by WHSelfInvest
BMY- a large cap pharm loosing market cap SHORTBMY is here on the daily chart. The double top and death cross of the EMA moving averages makes for a strong candidate to short with shares or take put options. A comparsion of the most recent earnings report with the previous one sixty days earlier tells most of the story. The dual time frame RSI indicator shows ongoing wekaness. I will short BMY here and take some call options as well. I am in LLY long in a big position. This will be a race in opposite directions for two large cap pharmaceuticals.
NYSE:BMYShort
by AwesomeAvani