CNH JPY Short Suggestion: Trade For Monday 9 Sept.24
This is the Daily chart for the Chinese Yuan & Japanese Yen. You can see following along the trend line how strong the Yuan was until a month or two ago - when it sharply sold off - 50 EMA diving under the 200 EMA creating a 'death-cross' which can signal a trend change. Even the last couple of Daily candles resumed this weakness down.
So, I see the Yuan falling some more and perhaps quite swiftly down to the levels and take-profit levels I have clearly marked.
One thing to be aware of is that the Yuan is heavily oversold at the moment & I see demand coming back into it very soon after this final 'flush-down' plays-out. Then we might trade it back up when I see enough demand coming back into it.
easy_explosive_trader
Chris
Deathcross
Bitcoin eyes 44 000 $ - Death cross signals larger correctionBitcoin is currently targeting the $44,000 level, a key area where multiple former support lines converge and where the 1.618 fibonacci retracement target is. This level also aligns with the potential completion of Elliott Wave 4, setting the stage for a possible upward push.
The recent Death Cross—where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average—signals a larger correction may be underway. Historically, this pattern has often preceded significant market downturns. However, the $44,000 zone could serve as a critical support level, possibly marking the end of the correction.
If BTC holds this level and completes Elliott Wave 4, we could see the beginning of a new bullish wave, potentially pushing the price toward the $100,000 mark. While the current outlook is cautious, the long-term potential for Bitcoin remains strong in my opinion.
Here are three reasons why the scenario of Bitcoin reaching $44,000 before a push toward $100,000 might unfold:
Macro-Economic Uncertainty: Bitcoin's short-term outlook is influenced by macroeconomic factors like rising interest rates, a stronger U.S. dollar, and global recession fears. These elements could reduce demand for riskier assets, potentially leading to a price decline despite Bitcoin's long-term potential.
Strong Support at $44,000: This level is significant due to the convergence of several former support lines, making it a likely area for buyers to step in and stabilize the price, potentially marking the end of Elliott Wave 4.
Fundamental Drivers: Despite short-term bearish signals, the long-term fundamentals for Bitcoin—such as increasing institutional adoption, limited supply, and inflation concerns—remain strong. These factors could fuel a rapid recovery and push BTC to new all-time highs after the correction.
Thanks for reading and make sure to follow as I post more charts weekly!
X:@PuppyNakamoto
BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD
BTC at Risk - Death Cross Signals Potential Drop!Welcome to another analysis, where I dive into the latest developments with BTC and explore the potential paths ahead.
I'm becoming increasingly bearish on BTC following the confirmation of a "Death Cross," where the 20- and 50-day moving averages have crossed below the 200-day moving average. This pattern is often seen as a strong indicator of a bearish reversal and the start of a new downward trend.
Historically, when we experienced a "Death Cross" in January 2022, BTC dropped from $50,000 to $15,000 per coin. While there have been instances where BTC recovered after a Death Cross, given the current pattern of lower highs and lower lows, coupled with the ongoing uncertainty and volatility in the stock market, I believe the bearish scenario is the most likely outcome.
Although I'm long-term bullish on BTC, it might be time for the cryptocurrency to take a breather, potentially allowing altcoins to take the spotlight!
Be sure to follow for more updates like this! I also post daily on X: @PuppyNakamoto.
Thanks for reading, and good luck with your trading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
ADOBE: What is the stock doing before the Q2 earnings Adobe's stock price has been declining over the past month, currently trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, with the chart drawing a "death cross" pattern around mid-April, which further confirms the bearish sentiment. The stock now trades at a 25% discount compared to the highs earlier this year.
The Volume Oscillator currently stands at 1.3%, suggesting some buying interest remains, but it's weakening compared to recent trading volume. This could signal a potential reversal, but the downtrend remains strong, with the neutral RSI not suggesting any bullish reversal either.
Next week's Q2 earnings announcement could be a significant catalyst for Adobe. Positive earnings could potentially reverse the current downtrend, but the recent controversy surrounding Adobe's terms and conditions update could weigh on investor sentiment.
The T&Cs update has sparked concerns among users, particularly creatives worried about their creations being used to train AI models, and professionals concerned about the privacy of their data. This could potentially impact Adobe's reputation and customer base, particularly since Adobe remains relatively silent on the issue. This uncertainty adds another layer of risk to the stock in the near term.
BMY- a large cap pharm loosing market cap SHORTBMY is here on the daily chart. The double top and death cross of the EMA moving averages
makes for a strong candidate to short with shares or take put options. A comparsion of the
most recent earnings report with the previous one sixty days earlier tells most of the story.
The dual time frame RSI indicator shows ongoing wekaness. I will short BMY here and take some
call options as well. I am in LLY long in a big position. This will be a race in opposite directions
for two large cap pharmaceuticals.
SBUX gets another earnings miss SHORTSBUX on the dialy chart may be another candidate to short while the general market remains
challenging in the face of the loss of anticipated rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical risk.
SBUX has been trending down for nearly six months and the earnings miss add emphaisis to the
trend. At this juncture, there is nothing to suggest a turnaround. I am adding SBUX to
my short list. I will look for pivot highs on a lower time frame and average into an overall
position in pieces.
$LINK Bull Trap Incoming Death CrossI'm super bullish on BIST:LINK long-term but this is honestly one of the worst charts of the majors rn
crazy to see analysts calling this bullish today
we'll see a Bull Trap from those 3 White Soldiers
Price action below the 20, 50 and 200 Moving Averages
If we get that Death Cross on the 200MA D then its straight to $10.6
NDAQ - Make or Break SpotNDAQ Consolidating and is looking like it's in quite the make-or-break spot. Definitely will be keeping an eye on the Nasdaq and broader markets, the NDAQ has a double bottom off of the lower trendline, while simultaneously all other signs point bearish. Death cross on both the MACD as well as the 50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA, accompanied by a bearish cipher as further confirmation of a trend. Just some support and resistance levels to keep an eye on in the interim, along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones, staying hedged, and staying cash.
TSLA Golden and Death Crosses on a Daily Chart SHORTShown on this daily TSLA chart with the "alligator" indicator overlaid showing SMA 20, 50 and 200
without offsets are the golden crosses of last June as compared with the "death" crosses in
January. At least for the moment but sustained by the news and antics of its CEO, the writing
for TSLA may be on a gravestone?
TSLA: Last CHANCE to REACT! - D&W chartsTSLA shares are trying to react today, and this is something that could signal a recovery, which is understandable, given how much the price has fallen in recent weeks and how oversold the stock is at the moment.
Since the last top in December, the stock has plummeted almost 30%, breaking all its medium-term supports, materializing a downtrend. I say the price is oversold because the RSI is at an extremely low level, and the last time we saw an RSI below 20, in December 2022, the stock actually recovered after confirming a bottom in the price.
TSLA’s RSI analysis and comparison to December 2022:
However, the trend is still downwards, and although there is the possibility of a recovery, it won't be easy to reverse the trend. Remember that pullbacks are different from reversals.
For the price to reverse the downtrend, we would need to see HH/Hls again, as well as a break of the 21 EMA, which is clearly pointing downwards.
What's more, TSLA's price is on the verge of triggering a Death Cross when the 50MA crosses the 200MA downwards, one of the most famous bear market signals.
A continuation of the downtrend can be avoided if there is a strong and clear reaction as soon as possible, and now would be a good time, as the price has approached a support region on the weekly chart:
We are close to the support line of a bearish channel. Last week's candle could be a possible Exhaustion Bar, but the price needs to react and reject the last bearish candle by breaking through its high at $217.80. Only then will we see a good reaction that could halt the long-term downtrend, or even reverse it. For now, until such a scenario materializes, any recovery could be just another Dead Cat Bounce.
Remember that I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider supporting this idea if you liked it, and follow me for more analyses like this.
All the best,
Nathan.
UNG ( Natural Gase Futures ETF) Swing trade Short then LONGUNG is shown here on the 15 minute chart with text box comments showing the three trades
over 8-9 trading days yielding 25% overall first two trades short then a one day long trade at
what may be an early reversal. A pair of hull moving averages 49/140 ( multiples of 7) are used
to generate buy and sell signals in golden and death cross fashion. A dual TF RSI indicator is
used to support those signals. As swing trades with typical stop losses these were quite
profitable with low risk. As an alternative if a trader has options charting available the same
strategy/ method can be applied for significantly higher profit with less capital in each trade.
Bitcoin price action analysis can reach 30k ranges The price has lost 50 Moving average and EMA top. Heading to 100 and 200 moving averages.
Hopefully 200 MA must give some support or else it can reach more downside .The lower low price action indicates bearishness and no sight of uptrend .
On weekly scale a large bearish wick is worrisome .if price retraced from rectangular box with good volumes there can be hope to reach 48k ranges again for retracement.
if price goes down and down the 1 day MA and EMA will print death cross which can lead to more downside in next month mid.
thank you.if helpful like and follow for more updates.
TSLA: Approaching a major turning point.TSLA's shares are collapsing, even though the company is beating vehicle delivery expectations. This can be explained by the fierce competition coming from China, as TSLA lost its position as the world's biggest seller of electric cars to BYD in the last four months of 2023 - even though the American company managed to beat its own expectations.
This not only affects TSLA, but also the shares of RIVN and LCID, the former of which also managed to exceed expectations for vehicle production.
From a technical point of view, the price could fall to the next support level in the next few days, around $230 . The price is already entering a short-term downtrend , as it has lost the 21 EMA, and in the absence of a clear bullish reaction that could reverse sentiment, this is the most likely scenario.
What should the price do so it can reverse this bearish sentiment? It would be nice to see a clear reversal candlestick, closing above the 21 EMA again . So far, there are no technical buy signals in my view.
Are there any other possible support points? Yes, we see the 50-period and 200-period averages very close to each other, also in the $230 area mentioned earlier, reinforcing the idea that $230 could be an important support for TSLA . It would be important to see the price react above this area to avoid a Death Cross (when the 50MA breaks the 200MA downwards).
A warning sign is the divergence between the RSI and the price. While the price was making higher tops, the RSI was already making lower tops, as evidenced by the red arrows in the chart above.
In addition, the RSI is already losing its support levels, while the price is still above them (green lines). This can be characterized as an Advanced Breakout (when an indicator anticipates a breakout in price).
For now, TSLA shares are in correction territory, and although we see a promising support zone near $230, I don't see any technical evidence that convinces me of a bullish reversal at the moment.
I'll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me for more daily analysis like this, and support this idea if you like it or learn something new here.
All the best,
Nathan.
#BTC/USDT 15m (ByBit) Symmetrical triangle breakdown and retestBitcoin is retesting local supply zone and printed a death cross + an evening star, looks ready for a retracement down on Low Time-Frame.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (35.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
43593.7
Entry Targets:
1) 43789.6
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 42287.0
Stop Targets:
1) 44291.3
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Risk/Reward= 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +120.1%
Possible Loss= -40.1%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 days
Why Bitcoin may move down to 12.5k1.) The 50/200 day EMA are about to complete a death cross (the 50/200 day MA have already done so, not shown above)
2.) The weekly price action has formed a rising wedge
3.) Price stalled out at the first area of resistance, failing to reach as high as the candle close from July of 2021
4.) Weekly RSI has printed a head and shoulders pattern and looks like it wants to move down. Note that there could be an interim re-test of the neckline that provides a small rally before breaking down.
5.) 12.5k is the next area of support after losing 16.5k.
6.) Volume has gone down as price corrected, indicating weakness.
For Bitcoin to return to bullish, it needs to get back above the 50/200 day EMA and MA, and we should see a strong reaction following the death crosses that quickly cross back over.
📊 Bitcoin's Tight Range: Preparing for a Breakout 📊Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, has been caught in a narrow range lately, oscillating between the SMA 100 and SMA 200 on the charts. This tight consolidation phase has traders and investors on the edge of their seats, anticipating a potential breakout. Let's explore what this could mean for the world's most prominent digital asset.
The Narrow Range Dilemma:
Bitcoin's price has been tightly bound within the range defined by the SMA 100 (Simple Moving Average over 100 periods) and the SMA 200 (Simple Moving Average over 200 periods).
Such consolidation is often a prelude to a significant price move, and traders are keenly monitoring the situation.
Awaiting the Breakout:
While Bitcoin's price action within this range might feel constricting, it's an integral part of its market cycle.
Traders are looking for a breakout, which could potentially set the direction for the cryptocurrency's next big move.
Significance of SMAs:
The SMA 100 and SMA 200 are key moving averages used to identify trends and potential reversals.
Crossovers or price action around these levels can provide essential trading signals.
Predicting the Unpredictable:
Predicting the direction of the breakout is a challenge. It could be either bullish or bearish.
Traders are advised to have a risk management plan in place to protect against unexpected market moves.
Trading Strategy: Preparing for Volatility
Traders can set price alerts or use technical analysis tools to be alerted when the breakout occurs.
Being prepared for sudden market volatility is vital when positioning for a potential breakout.
Conclusion: Bitcoin's Quiet Storm
Bitcoin's tight range is reminiscent of the calm before a storm. While it's uncertain which direction the market will take, it's crucial for traders and investors to be ready. Whether it's a bullish surge or a bearish dip, Bitcoin's journey continues to captivate the crypto community.
As Bitcoin teeters on the brink of a breakout, keep a close eye on your strategies and adapt as needed. The cryptocurrency market is filled with surprises, and staying informed and agile is key to success. 🚀📈🌐
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Don't forget to like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! 💚🚀💚
BTCUSD confirming a fakeoutIn this brief and simple analysis, I'd like to focus your attention on the interplay between the 55EMA (green line) and the 200EMA (purple line), on the 1D timeframe of the index chart for BTCUSD.
In technical analysis, when a faster moving average crosses above a slower moving average, you obtain a bullish cross, when the faster one crosses below the slower one, you have a bearish cross on your hands.
Sometimes, when a cross is about to present itself, you'll witness a fakeout instead: a move on the opposite side of the trend that nullifies such potential cross between the moving averages.
Usually, when something like that happens, price action tends to continue towards that direction sooner rather than later.
While this is not a must, it's a general rule of thumb.
In this specific case, we can observe what I would call a majestic example of a fakeout on the 1D timeframe, meaning that as long as all closes remain above the slower moving average - the 200EMA in this case - there's no reason to be bearish on BTCUSD.
At the time of writing, the 200EMA is sitting around 27000.
BTC September Spike then Slump! Probable death-cross retestsGm crypto fam.
This is a simple, yet powerful chart showing two MAJOR death crossed lining up.
One is a Bitcoin lifetime first (!), the 20-month crossing down on the 50-month (grey/black).
The other one is our classic 50/200D (light blue/dark blue).
Green dots show where crosses are forming. Ready to be retested on a spike.
September Spike then Slump!?
Brought to you by:
PIK analyst team at EXMO Study
Disney Macro Looks Dire with Risk of Further 40% DeclinesHi guys! So this is a Pure Technical Analysis on the Macro structure of Disney (DIS).
Macro in that we are on the 1 Month timeframe so each candle is 1 Months worth of price action averaged in.
Just note why i don't ever look at news to influence my trades. We got rejected from our highs in October 2021, Desantos bill signing that sparked the lawsuit stuff happened June 2022.
Prices were already on the decline way before. Just saying. Anyway moving on.
What i want to point out is our current price action.
We are currently BELOW the Major SUPPORT LINE that played support for about 7-8 years.
Being a monthly timeframe, just note we have NOT yet confirmed as our current candle is ongoing.
Ideally We would need to get back ABOVE and confirm Support to prevent further declines.
BUT if we do confirm here its NOT a good look.
BELOW the "The Last SUPPORT Line of Defence" is even way worse.
If we end of Confirming Resistance Below "the Last Line of Defence", we risk almost 44% Price DECLINES back to the highs of a previous consolidation zone or the line labeled "Major Support".
Its because the Rapid Price Increase labeled "Weak Market Structure" has no distinctive/ strong Support zones.
Theres nothing to cushion the eminent Price Declines that may be awaiting us.
Its mainly because we didnt test SUPPORT and have a slow methodical rise in price.
We also recently printed a DEATH CROSS. By the looks of that monster mouth, its a long ways before its momentum fizzles out.
If VOLUME also continues to be on the rise while we have this DEATH CROSS and price declines, aspect more price declines.
And the likely scenario of the DECLINE to "Major Support".
Keep in the back of the mind: This could make for a solid SHORT play once that confirmation below the last line of defence happens.
Anyway look to smaller timeframes for more current price action to see how things shape up for the macro. Keep on the look out for updates in the hourly, daily or weekly timeframes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on DIS in smaller timeframes in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.