BITCOIN DEATH CROSS?? 5K NEXT!?Bitcoin appears to be in the deadly death cross and if price does not show bullish signs of retaking the 55 ema soon, then we may see our beloved hero drop down to the mid 5ks once again. Just as the 200 ema and 200 ma crossed before the major run to 14k earlier this year, we see the same cross before the (china bullish news), This to me was clearly manipulated since we got the pre-death cross with the 200ema/200ma just as we have gotten this cross before the 14k run up. Some are calling for a Head and Shoulders as well. We will see how this plays out.
Deathcross
50/200 EMA Death CrossThe chart shows that there is a bearish flag showing here. A death dross of the EMA50 (red) and the EMA200(white). The purple lines outline the overall trend since the last large price action in the past 1.5 weeks, and the yellow is a confirmation trend from a previous, higher high about 3 weeks ago. The white bar at $9126 is the previous support that has been tested before and passed, but now has been broken(green ellipse), and reversed now into a resistance barrier(yellow and red ellipses). The bar at $7912 is where I believe the price to be headed due to previous testing of this support level. This will be confirmed with more candles closing along or below the bottom purple line. If the price consolidates above the bottom purple line that will likely become the new area of support, not at $7912. Only time will tell.
Falling wedge vs Death crossHello beutiful,
so we are looking for the price of bitcoin to bounce in the near future.
Death cross coming up of the 100 and 200 EMA daily, which could have shorts confident and maybe shaken out if we ralley into the death cross.
Falling wedge also a highly likely scenario on the 4h and 12h and also partially on the daily timeframe. Much resistance lies up ahead, but also critical support down below.
Will be important what happens on this weekend going into next week. This falling wedge could go on for one more week, so that means we could see the price slowly grind down further.
There seems to be a lack of followthrough for bears when price hits lower lows. We mostly ralley short term and hit the upwards trendline of the pattern.
There still is a lot of resistance and support so you really want to be carefull with stop lossses and in my opinion want to scale with small positions and low leverage since you can be shaken out easily.
I think price grinded down too far to be confident in entering short positions, but of course that is of your own judgement.
That's it for today, please check me out on YouTube, I must not post links sadly, so here is my name:
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There you will also be given more information on my current outlook, with links to my social media.
Cheers
Longs; savior or killerLook at the ratio between longs/short over time and take a look at Bitcoin over same time.
In my opinion we have legit bottom at 4k area, built in march 2019.
From 4k and up to 14k, there is a great mix of real demand, and lot of long- and short gambling.
In this range of price, we can se four bigger actions (compared BTC with Long/Short ratio) and how price reacted to that.
Bitcoin is tangled between different MA's, specially under the daily MA200 which is moving towards a potential death cross with daily MA100. Have Longs really accumulated well or have they misjudged the situation a bit? How will they act in a potential setback?
Let me know what you guys think.
Bitcoin: all eyes on the 4-hour chartBTCUSD broke through the 200 SMA (white line) on the 4-hour chart and has, so far, failed to reclaim it. And things get worse for bitcoin bulls; there's also a death cross (crossing of the 55 EMA and the 200 EMA, blue and red line respectively), and we are well under the 21 EMA (yellow line). More downside looks imminent. If BTCUSD fails to get back above 8700 soon, our previous target of 8200 is very much in play. Probably with a small bounce at daily support around 8550 first.
As usual, zooming out to higher time frames can provide more clarity. In a little over two hours there will be more information available:
Can the daily close above the 200 EMA (8701)?
Can the 2-day close above the 100 EMA (8703)?
Can the 3-day close above the 10 SMA (8707)?
So, if BTCUSD fails to get back over 8700 at the daily close, there's an easily manageable short opportunity here: we could enter as near to the 200 SMA as possible with a stop-loss above either the 200 SMA, the 21 EMA, or the death cross depending on risk appetite. Our profit target would be the resistance area around 8200, with a possibility to take some early profit around 8550.
BTC -Updated bear scenarioI realized on my last analysis that we can't have an ending diagonal at my last forecast. Rather a continuation of the tested WXY-WXYXZ combo correction. Along with the 50 and 200ma DEATH CROSS.
Trend is our friend. Simply break that resistance line then this bear scenario is invalidated.
The Haunted CrossAs the Death Cross refers to the 50 MA crossing down through the 200 MA, what is it called when the 100 MA crosses down through the 200 MA? Well regardless of what that would be referred to, it is interesting to note that amongst the major alts that I have been following which includes - LTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, XLM, BCH, EOS, ADA, TRX, and DASH - BTC is the only one remaining to have its 100 DSMA still above the 200 DSMA. But it's approaching real fast. And the last time this happened was in April of 2018 (where we actually saw BTC's price rise close to 50% during that timeframe...
Is last week's pump also a false breakout?
Manipulation, Death Cross and Xi Jinping's statementHello fellas, welcome back to our Saturday update about bitcoin. Let's get to the point
We have seen a 40% surge on bitcoin in 1 day of trading. However, even in crypto industry, this is still a tremendous moves so far and unfortunately, once again it indicates that the crypto market is showing its unstable circumstance which can easily manipulated. Just right before the 40% surge, the China president, Xi Jinping shared his view about bitcoin and announce a support on blockchain in China. However, this gives a tremendous effect on crypto market. Altcoin's market lose a lot of volume but on the other hand, money inflow in bitcoin is growing even faster.
I believe that it is only the manipulation that some parties made to wipe out the people who short the market. I do expect a little pullback to the upside but I never thought that it was this tremendous. I am a type of the people who don't believe in fundamental analysis, I am 100% technical believer. All the short term spike is just manipulative as always. Now, look at the higher time frame of daily chart.
After the 40% surge to the upside, today's candle produce the 12% wick of rejection and is still moving below the white resistance region. this white resistance region was the broken support that is now become resistance as well. And the white trend line is the resistance trend line that has held the price since june 26th, 2019. As long as the price is still moving below this trend line, I will still remain bearish as well.
Another view on another technical indicator, which is EMA 55 and MA 200, we can easily deduce the death cross has already occured. However, death cross is always be the most respected factor to look for most of swing traders. I am expecting a daily candle closure will be below the EMA 55 which is the blue dynamic line to confirm this continuation of down trend.
btc already attempting the deathcross fakeout?Looks like we may even break up from the wedge earlier than i was anticipating as we are witness a crazy amount of bullish volume in the last couple 1 day candles and btc has fought it's way valiantly back above the deathcross and is currently retesting the top trendline of the falling wedge multiple times as solidified support! if btc can maintain the top trendline of the wedge as support for the next 2 to 3 1 day candles it will almost certainly confirm the wedge breakout here in which case we have 2 two potential breakout targets. 1 at 12.9k and 1 at 13.6! if we were to hit either of these 2 targets it would save the bull market and we would likely continue much higher than that soon after but it all hinges on confirming this breakout 1st and maintaining support above the deathcross to insure it flips back into a sustained true golden cross
Death Cross Short OpportunityThe death cross is a long term trend reversal indicator that happens when a faster 50 moving average crosses a slower 200 moving average
An optimal time to short is when price in the vicinity of the cross right as they cross.
If price can pump to $8890 area soon this area would be a good position to open a short.
This area also corresponds closely to a well developed parallel channel
Bitcoin Death Cross has ArrivedBItcoin Death Cross has taken place. Will we see follow through price action to the downside in result of it? Their are no technical indicators or reason to be taking a position long or short this very moment. You are in the makes of creating Daily Bullish Divergence, but you have no sign of rounding out oscillators as of right now. You've been holding this support line very well since we have dumped, but it is extremely surprising that we have not retraced whatsoever yet. But keep in mind, the death cross has taken place as of today.
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Bitcoin - In the next 24 to 48 hoursAs traders what we want to know is if we have hit the bottom or if we are going up, or are we going to fall some more. On the post I did on the 22nd I told you we were going to fall in a matter of hours and we did. Check this out, there are 3 keep spots we need to keep an eye on to see if we are going up or down. I know the answer but I would like to hear from some of you. The chart above shows you the new battleground. If BTC goes and closes below either of those support lines in green that will show weakness and it is time to go down some more soon. If for the last few months we've done nothing but lower lows and lower highs what should your trade strategy be?
This is the next thing to keep an eye on:
If the yellow trendline 50MA goes under the white trendline 200MA (Which is almost a done deal) then we are going down.
This is the last place to keep an eye on:
If we close a candle under the green trendline that means we are going down as well.
So the specific question is this: Would you put money in right now?
THE TREND: Going Down a little more
THE OUTLOOK: Safe to buy a percentage of BTC wait a bit more to buy-in.
Death Cross ImminentWe all know this death cross will happen the question is how long will we stay under the 200 DMA. If you look back you can see that it wouldn't be the first time we had a death cross followed by a bull run ( Sep 2015) will this repeat. With the OTC market drying up will this be the last chance we get to buy at these levels or are we in for a long accumulation phase. I know what my plan is. Do you have one? Comment your thoughts I would love to hear them.
Bitcoin dropped like a brick 10/23/2019Okay the drop I have been pointing out for weeks is finally coming to fruition. Not trying to gloat here, but now we need to find out where we go from here. The signs are still pointing to more dip in my opinion. The fact we are still well below the cloud and the 50 MA and 200 MA (all bearish signs) says a lot. Until I see some signs we have bottomed out I will stay in the bear camp. There is some support apparently around 7500 but I'm skeptical about it holding up the candles. The death cross will happen today or tomorrow most likely due to this dip that occurred this A.M. I predicted it would happen within 3-4 days this a.m. but that was before the dip. Now that the price has changed a bit the prediction has as well. When the candles cannot break the 200 MA on the daily along with the fact we are under that 50 MA and the cloud that is all bearish. Bitcoin took the path of least resistance. That path still points down. At least until we can get over the 50 and 200 MA's (and the cloud). It will happen eventually but in the mean time keep an eye on the charts and learn to read them properly or look to your favorite traders for guidance. We are at an important place where a new pattern is going to form and the candles will start to create a flag or a pennant (most likely) and we may see more red if that is the case. Regardless I am bearish til I see some hope. I will be watching the charts in the mean time and I will be sharing my thoughts. I hope the bulls can regroup and prove me wrong. I love it when there are green candles because the groups Im in are a lot more fun when everyone is seeing green. Just keep in mind if you are a trader you can make just as much money off the green candles vs the red ones. Daily volume is at $20,008,742,408. That is significantly higher than it was 24 hours ago. It does not mean we are going up but it does show that a lot was going on. I am creating a group on Facebook for those that want to learn to trade. If you would like details contact me here. Im looking forward to hearing from you. (WTFDIK)
BTC | Bounceology (Pt.2)As mentioned in a idea published back on September 3rd where I highlighted (Figure 2) BTC's price action being supported by the .382 fib level drawn from the weekly top of Dec.2017 to the low of last year. That .382 level of around 9430 was touched 4 times during the months of July to August before breaking down on September 24.
Now in Figure 1, we can see the current trading range in the past month being supported by the 7800 level. And this level has been touched 4 different times as well. If we use what happened in Figure 2 to the current price action, we can expect in 25 days for BTC to breakdown again through this support. A strong indicator for this to happen is the looming death cross approaching.
Let me know what you think.
Sign for long term bearish market?I want you guys to notice something very important as-well...
What we see here are averages of E200 and E50, both going downwards, while E50 is crushing towards a death cross, now this cross is special, because not only it will confirm bigger TF averages are coming for impact, but also they are going downwards, if 1 of them would have went upwards instead then it would weaken the death cross, but if both going downwards an if both will cross? then Bitcoin is going to stay bearish for many more months before we can see new signs for the next bullish phase...