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Deathcross

Death cross forming on S&P 500It can be seen that there is a death cross (SMA-50 crossing below SMA-200) forming on S&P 500 with daily candles. The market has been going down quite noticeably recently and it seems highly unlikely the death cross can be prevented. Drawing tangents for the SMAs indicates they will cross approximately mid December. However, the current double bottom could indicate the prices going up despite the strong downwards pressure and thus, postpone the death cross. If the price breaks below the double bottom I would see the death cross forming even before mid December but if the price goes up from now it will likely form mid to late december. All in all the forming of the death cross seems quite likely in mid December. When this happens it signals we are likely to be entering a bear market and opening more opportunities for shorting. This might be a good moment to take a look at ones portfolio and consider how much risk you are willing to take and how long your investment time horizon is.
SP:SPXShort
by etsubu
3
DEATH CROSS COMING TO A MARKET NEAR YOU!As you can see, from the chart that the current trajectory of the 50 and 200 day SMA's are indicating that by mid December we will have us a Death Cross in the Broadest market measure...the S & P 500. This could however happen sooner or later than 12/12/18. This is given that the SMA's stay on their current trajectory through 12/12/18. A larger than expected fall from here could make that Cross happen much sooner, and a rise from here would push it out until mid January or February. Its going to happen either way.
SP:SPXShort
by jasonroy40
1
Load up your trolleys and grab a mary poppins umbrella!Bitcoin fell to new lows as I'm sure everyone frantically knows and my previous trade was stopped out. In hindsight I should not have been using Bitfinex charts. The discrepancy between exchanges makes for inaccurate TA so I'll be sticking to Coinbase for my market direction until there's parity again. Not all bad news though, we may have had the capitulation we were waiting for. Before all the lucky perma bears start screaming the dirty $3k number all over the place, Bitcoin seems to have found support on the larger previous trendline connecting the highs in December 2017 to the highs in July 2018. This could potentially mean that the pop we had on 15 October was a break out from a prior falling wedge and we have now successfully tested that wedge as support. If we drop back into this wedge I am expecting a large rebound. RSI is also oversold at the lowest levels it has been since January 2015, so I don't believe that there really is not much room for additional selling pressure. Same applies to all relevant time frames so get shopping and load your trolleys. A move back into the apex of the previous wider falling wedge will hopefully see a breakout from there. When tether drops like this the market becomes unsettled so hopefully the volatility keeps on creeping back over the next week so the breakout can take place with strong volume. If we have a deathcross on the 3D chart between MA50 and MA200 then this trade is trade is invalidated and we stay below the trendline resistance at least until SEC decision date on 29 December 2018 imo so keep an eye on your 3 day moving averages and use appropriate risk management, especially at these levels (if you're swing trading).
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Corn_Reaper
Bitcoin Daily Update (day 255)I believe that it is possible to beat the market through a consistent and unemotional approach. This is primarily achieved through preparing instead of reacting. Click here to learn more about how I use the indicators below and Click here to get my complete trading strategy! Please be advised that I swing trade and will often hold onto a position for > 1 month. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business. My recent Bitcoin Bubble Comparison - 3 Day Chart led to the following calls: < $5,750 by 11/15/2018 & my prediction for the bottom is $2,718 by 1/20/19 | My Bitcoin Bubble Comparison - Monthly Chart closely mirrored my price and time targets | Calling for $35 ETH before the end of 2018. Previous analysis / position: Short BTC:USD from $6,353 and Short ETH:USD from $205.72 Pool league started last week and it has gotten me out of my routine a little bit. Not going to be able to do the full post tonight, however wanted to provide a quick update. It may not seem like there has been significant price action over the last 24 hours, but there has. The price closed below the symmetrical triangle and created a new low. We are now seeing resistance from the short term MA while the medium and long term MA's are making a death cross. Now is the time to be fully positioned into a short (if you're into that kind of thing).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Sawcruhteez
5
Bitcoin Daily Update (day 230)I believe that it is possible to beat the market through a consistent and unemotional approach. This is primarily achieved through preparing instead of reacting. Click here to learn more about how I use the indicators below and Click here to get my complete trading strategy! Please be advised that I swing trade and will often hold onto a position for > 1 month. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business. I recently posted Bitcoin Bubble Comparison - 3 Day Chart . It provided new dates and prices for the bottom, however it’s still slightly too early to abandon my predictions from the previous Bitcoin Bubble Comparison ]Bitcoin Bubble Comparison: 1 day - 5 days = < $5,750 | bottom prediction: $2,860 by 10/30 | Calling for $35 ETH around the same time Previous analysis / position: “If we breakdown $6,370 then it would confirm the bearish harami as well as the hanging man. If that were to happen I will be prepared with a small stop order set to short $6,369.” / Short USDT:USD’ from 0.968 Patterns: Descending triangle / bearish harami Horizontal support and resistance: S: $6,410 | R: $6,454 BTCUSDSHORTS: Really started to look like they will break out of the triangle to the upside. Once volatility picks up so will volume and we should see unprecedented levels of short sellers. Funding Rates: Longs pay shorts 0.01% Short term trend (4 day MA): Bullish (price above MA) Medium term trend (4 week MA | 2 & 32 day MA’s): Bearish | Bearish Long term trend ( 32 Week | 50 & 128 day): Bearish | Bearish Overall trend: If daily closes below $6,438 then all will be bearish Volume: Surprised volatility didn’t continue after the volume spike on the 15th. Now we are back to painfully low levels. FIB’s: 0.618 = $6,530 | 0.5 = $6,441 | 0.382 = $6,351 Candlestick analysis: Harami inside a harami. Can we get a 3rd matryoshka doll? Ichimoku Cloud: 4h cloud acting as strong support at $6,424 TD’ Sequential: Weekly red 2 will fall below a red 1 at $6,086. Placing a stop order there could be a good idea Visible Range: Gap in volume from $6,246 to $6,371 with 5 day look back Price action: 24h: -0.1% | 2w: +/- 0 | 1m: +2.95% Bollinger Bands: Daily MA acting as strong resistance Trendline: Top of descending triangle ~/= $6,725 Daily Trend: Chop Fractals: Up: $6,792 | Down: $6,057 RSI: Hanging around 50 on most TF’s. 4h is a little overbought Stoch: Recrossing bearish on 12h, going for retest on daily after creating higher high Summary: I am closely watching the red trendline on the USDT:USD’ 1 hour chart as well as prior historical support at 0.9642. As long as it stay below those areas then I do not feel very comfortable about holding a short on BTC’ or ETH’. Furthermore I am strongly expecting the lower wick from October 15th’s candle to get re explored, similar to what followed October 2nd’s candle. If it has another selloff then BTC’ and other cryptos should get another pump. If it stablizes then I will feel comfortable going back to my normal approach of 99% TA Nevertheless, trading is about risk reward and properly managing positions. If the r:r is tilted too much in my favor then I will open a large position regardless of what is happening with Tether and I will use a market stop loss if need be. I posted a chart earlier with a $35 target for ETH:USD and that is a prime example of something that is too favorable to pass up. In the mean time there is an incoming death cross on the 3D chart with the 50 and 200 MA’s. The first close below the 200 MA is what led to my most recent Bitcoin Bubble Comparison . Only other time this happened was in October of 2014.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Sawcruhteez
10
Bitcoin Daily Update (day 193)I believe that it is possible to beat the market through a consistent and unemotional approach. This is primarily achieved through preparing instead of reacting. Click here to learn more about how I use the indicators below and Click here to get my complete trading strategy! Please be advised that I swing trade and will often hold onto a position for > 1 month. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business. My latest Bitcoin Bubble Analysis led to the following predictions: 1 day - 28 days = < $5,750 | bottom prediction: $2,860 by 10/30 Previous analysis / position: “Still waiting on a bounce off support before continuing the draw down” / Short ETH:USD. Took profit on 33% of position improving my average cost basis to $317.37 per ETH. Patterns: Descending triangle / 4h bear flag Horizontal support and resistance: S: $6,126 - $6,166 | R: $6,200? | $6,380 BTCUSDSHORTS: Continuing to pull back after a slightly lower high. Funding Rates: Shorts pay longs 0.0349% 12 & 26 EMA’s (calculate % difference): 12 = -8.04% | 26 = -8.69% 50 & 128 MA’s: 50 =11.36% | 128 = -13.73% Volume: Current selloff is significantly above MA on 4h chart. FIB’s: 1 = $6,039 | 0.886 = $6,300 Candlestick analysis: Prior 3 day candle engulfed the 3 before it. 4h hammer Ichimoku Cloud: C clamp on the 4h TD’ Sequential: 1h is currently on a 9. Daily is on a 4 Visible Range: 2 month lookback has point of control (POC) at $6,400. 3m-1y all have POC between $6,300 - $6,400. Expect that to become strong resistance. BTC’ Price Spreadsheet: 12h = -3.98% | 24h = -3.94% | 1w = -13.76% | 2w = -7.63 | 1m = -7.78% Bollinger Bands: Just about touched the bottom of the daily band on this last selloff. Bouncing from bottom 4h band. Trendline: N/A Daily Trend: Bearish Fractals: Just broke through another down. Next one = $5,855 | Up = $7,437 On Balance Volume: Moving down with price, no div’s ADX: ADX continues to move up while -DI and +DI continue to diverge, as would be expected. Chaikin Money Flow: Moving down with price, it’s a little worrisome how far daily and weekly have to fall before becoming overold. RSI (30 setting): W = 48.29 | D = 42.89 | Similar to CMF’ it’s a little worrisome how far daily and weekly have to fall before becoming overold. Stoch: Weekly getting ready to make bearish crossover. Daily is reaching oversold territory. Summary: When the markets start moving I like to pay close attention to the shorter term MA’s to give me an idea of when to expect consolidation and/or a correction to the upside. In one of my Telegram groups someone pointed out the 20 and 200 MA’s on the 4 hour chart and said to watch for the death cross. I noticed that the price tends to retest the 200 MA before selling off again and think that will be a great area to place some orders to sell The 4h bear flag breaking down on volume tells me that we may not make it back to that area. I always watch for the breakdown of the flag itself as well as horizontal support from the pole, both of with occured. Still having one third of my short position open on ETH makes me feel comfortable either way. If you are not in a position and you didn’t sell the 4h bear flag then it is time to wait. If we get a bounce then you get a high percentage short. If we don’t get a bounce then you need to be okay with missing out on a move. Today is Saturday, go outside and enjoy the beautiful summer weather! Even if you are in a position, set your stop loss and forget about it!
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Sawcruhteez
Technical + Fundamental on USDCHFUsing the Ichimoku clouds TK Death Cross Strategy, I can see an incoming strong sell signal, This is due to the Tenkan-sen crossing the Kijun-sen from above to below. To solidify my signal on the TK Death Cross the current Chikou span is below the price of 26 periods ago and price is below the Kumo cloud, although it is currently thin, I expect it to expand in the future. Price has also made a retracement from resistance back to the support level of 0.97956 and is looking to continue a downtrend after a prolonged consolidation. Fundamentally, tomorrow awaits the United States' results on CB Consumer Confidence, this measures the consumer confidence in it's economic activities. Analysts forecast a result of 126.8. A higher than expected result may influence price to violate Ichimoku's analysis, although a lower than expected result will compliment my Ichimoku cloud analysis.
Short
by AI_Expert_Advisor
AUDUSD (Short)Whats up Guys, 95% of the the meat and potatoes of this chart is explained on the chart - Fundamentals Behind my Technicals - No surprise and not the only thinking this - the trade war with the US and China is currently and for the medium term in the FAVOR of the US. This hurts China. Australia is a major exporter to China. This hurts Australia. Australia remains Dovish with their interest rates and nothing spectacular happening in their economy ATM. The Red Lines above the ST on my chart - show - in the event that I am wrong and the AUDUSD breaks out Upwards, areas of potential resistance to the breakout. Keep a close eye on this one guys - i think its ready to pop. Ten Likes and I will update the chart Intelligent disagreement welcome Good Luck - See you on the trading floors #Crypto #BTC #cryptocurrency #ADA #CARDANO #LTC #LTCUSD #LitecoinNation #XRPCommunity #XRP #Ripple #EOSUSD #BCH #BITCOINCASH #forex #EURUSD #AUDJPY #GBPUSD #USDCFH -Nix
Short
by WillNixTrading
3
small shouldered H&S pattern seems 2 b validated; 4hr deathcrossNot a good sign as we plunged below the 1day charts buy/sell line after days of constant support from it. it takes us back to take another look at the 4hr charts strange looking head and shoulder pattern we had our eye on the other day. This pattern seems increasingly more legit and if it was indeed validated the drop target is as deep as the 5.9k area. I have also listed price target points just for the breakdown of the recent flag and the support zone at the old pink symmetrical triangles top trendline seen here on the 4hr chart. Be prepared for any of these 3 to be support but keep in mind with the unavoidable 4hr death cross that is iminite within the next 2 days more downside is almost certainly to be anticipated so the lower bounce zones are probably going to be more legit. If you are ready to be prepared for all of them you are likely to be correct on one of them. As of now breaking below the 1 day charts 50ma doesn't appear to have delayed the trajectorys of the 1day golden cross much yet...if the trajectories remain the same from here we would have a goldencross on the 24th of september...I know we will likely see the 50ma point further downward in the coming days but if the 200ma in turn moves downward at the same rate it shuld hopefully not delay the cross by too much
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DrDovetail