Deathcross
Technical + Fundamental on USDCHFUsing the Ichimoku clouds TK Death Cross Strategy, I can see an incoming strong sell signal, This is due to the Tenkan-sen crossing the Kijun-sen from above to below. To solidify my signal on the TK Death Cross the current Chikou span is below the price of 26 periods ago and price is below the Kumo cloud, although it is currently thin, I expect it to expand in the future. Price has also made a retracement from resistance back to the support level of 0.97956 and is looking to continue a downtrend after a prolonged consolidation.
Fundamentally, tomorrow awaits the United States' results on CB Consumer Confidence, this measures the consumer confidence in it's economic activities. Analysts forecast a result of 126.8. A higher than expected result may influence price to violate Ichimoku's analysis, although a lower than expected result will compliment my Ichimoku cloud analysis.
AUDUSD (Short)Whats up Guys,
95% of the the meat and potatoes of this chart is explained on the chart -
Fundamentals Behind my Technicals -
No surprise and not the only thinking this - the trade war with the US and China is currently and for the medium term in the FAVOR of the US. This hurts China. Australia is a major exporter to China. This hurts Australia. Australia remains Dovish with their interest rates and nothing spectacular happening in their economy ATM.
The Red Lines above the ST on my chart - show - in the event that I am wrong and the AUDUSD breaks out Upwards, areas of potential resistance to the breakout.
Keep a close eye on this one guys - i think its ready to pop.
Ten Likes and I will update the chart
Intelligent disagreement welcome
Good Luck - See you on the trading floors
#Crypto #BTC #cryptocurrency #ADA #CARDANO #LTC
#LTCUSD #LitecoinNation #XRPCommunity #XRP #Ripple
#EOSUSD #BCH #BITCOINCASH #forex #EURUSD #AUDJPY #GBPUSD
#USDCFH
-Nix
small shouldered H&S pattern seems 2 b validated; 4hr deathcrossNot a good sign as we plunged below the 1day charts buy/sell line after days of constant support from it. it takes us back to take another look at the 4hr charts strange looking head and shoulder pattern we had our eye on the other day. This pattern seems increasingly more legit and if it was indeed validated the drop target is as deep as the 5.9k area. I have also listed price target points just for the breakdown of the recent flag and the support zone at the old pink symmetrical triangles top trendline seen here on the 4hr chart. Be prepared for any of these 3 to be support but keep in mind with the unavoidable 4hr death cross that is iminite within the next 2 days more downside is almost certainly to be anticipated so the lower bounce zones are probably going to be more legit. If you are ready to be prepared for all of them you are likely to be correct on one of them. As of now breaking below the 1 day charts 50ma doesn't appear to have delayed the trajectorys of the 1day golden cross much yet...if the trajectories remain the same from here we would have a goldencross on the 24th of september...I know we will likely see the 50ma point further downward in the coming days but if the 200ma in turn moves downward at the same rate it shuld hopefully not delay the cross by too much
EURUSD (Short Position)Whats up Guys -
Most of my analysis can be found ON the Chart. I will be entering a short position now with stop and take at the areas indicated.
Give me ten likes and I will update the chart when I close out.
Ten Likes and I will update the chart
Intelligent disagreement welcome
Good Luck - See you on the trading floors
#Crypto #BTC #cryptocurrency #ADA #CARDANO #LTC #LTCUSD #LitecoinNation #XRPCommunity #XRP #Ripple #EOSUSD #BCH #BITCOINCASH #forex #EURUSD #AUDJPY #GBPUSD #USDCFH
-Nix
Good luck on the trading floors -
DXY Technical analysisThe 4-hour chart of dollar index is currently trading around its supportive trendline.
But a death cross has happened in ichimoku indicator which suggests weakening of trend.
If trendline is broken we can expect the selling pressure to increase.
On the contrary if the trendline holds,we can see an upward movement till the resistance
BTC DAILY UPDATE (day 153)Previous analysis /position: 3 day death cross, shooting star and income sell signal on the Stoch are strong indications of a reversal. A short sale position was outlined and I also mentioned that I will likely be trading ETH instead do to less built up support and a higher risk:reward ratio. Still waiting on the sidelines for the ETH triangle to break up or down.
Patterns: Trendline that connects 7/15 to 7/23 was violated on the current daily candle.
Horizontal support and resistance: weak S: $8,081 stong S: $7,400 and $6,800
BTCUSDSHORTS: 60% long, 40% short. Just broke down 18,000 support.
Funding Rates: Longs pay shorts 0.1558%.
12 & 26 EMA’s (calculate % difference): 12: +3.71% | 26: +9.46% | Recent bearish crossover on 1h and 2h.
50 & 128 MA’s: 50: +19.23% | 128: +7.12%
FIB’s: 0.382 = $8,496 | 0.5 = $10,677
Candlestick analysis: Daily hanging man + bearish spinning top. Still inside wick of 3d shooting star.
Ichimoku Cloud: Inside daily cloud, reentered 1h cloud.
TD’ Sequential: G-2 < G-1 on daily. G-3 < G-2 on weekly
Visible Range: $8,131 has largest volume profile over last 24 hours. $8,195 has largest volume profile over last 5 days and should act as strong resistance now we are below that price. $8,097 has largest volume profile over the last year. If we break down below that price then it should be very strong resistance for the months to come.
BTC’ Price Spreadsheet: 12h: -0.51% | 24h: +/-0 | 1w: +5.45% | 2w: +11.89% | 1m: +32.09%
Bollinger Bands: Tightest we have seen the BB’s on the 1h in a long time. Should be getting some volatility soon!
Trendline: Trendline that connects 7/15 to 7/23 was violated on the current daily candle.
Daily Trend: Bearish
Fractals: UP: $8,523 DOWN: $7,807
On Balance Volume: Lower high on the daily.
ADX: +DI and -DI are converging
Chaikin Money Flow: Making a new high on daily
RSI: H&S forming on daily. Weekly is threatening to fall back below 50.
Stoch: Just got a sell signal on the 3d.
Summary: Trendline violated, funding rates getting very expensive for bulls, price still outstretched in relation to shorter term EMA’s, resistance from 50 week MA, death cross on 3d, sell signal on 3d stoch. +32% in the past 30 days. All of these are indications of being overbought and in need of a correction. $6,800 and $7,400 have been identified as strong areas of support. Still believe that ETH is the best bet. Click here for that analysis.
Thanks for reading!
BTC:USD DAILY UPDATE (day 152)Previous analysis /position: Ichimoku clouds turning bullish. Green 2 > Green 1 on the weekly. First time we have traded above the parabolic SAR since the bear market started. Incoming death cross on the 50 & 30 week MA’s. Largest volume profile over the past year is $7,576 to $8,287. 0.382 FIB = $8,496 / remaining on the sideline while waiting for further development.
Patterns: Higher low at $7,900 is it in the process of making a lower high below $8,288?
Horizontal support and resistance: weak R: $8,277 strong R: $8,490 | weak S $8,140 strong S: $7,745
BTCUSDSHORTS: Long:Short ratio = 60:40 | Still testing 18,500 for support.
Funding Rates: Longs pay shorts 0.0749%
12 & 26 EMA’s (calculate % difference): 12 = +4.84% | 26 = +11.01%
50 & 128 MA’s: 50 = +20.49% | 128 = +7.85% | Just made bearish cross on 3D + trading in the wick on a shooting star could provide low risk entry (stop loss above shooting star wick)
FIB’s: 0.382 = $8,496 | 0.5 = $10,677
Candlestick analysis: Daily hanging man yesterday and bearish spinning top forming today. 3d shooting star
Ichimoku Cloud: Still inside bearish cloud - traditionally considered a no trade zone. Top of the cloud is $8,700. 3d cloud is starting to thicken. Currently testing weekly Tenkan-Sen for resistance. Tenken-sen support on 12h.
TD’ Sequential: G-1 following 4 candle correction on daily. G-2 > G-1 on weekly.
Visible Range: Largest volume profile over last 24h = $8,175 | Last 5 days = $8,208 | Last month = $7,433 | Last year = $7,560 - $8,287
BTC’ Price Spreadsheet: 12h = -0.5% | 24h = +0.98% | 1w = +10.57% | 2w = +28.84% | +39.74%
Bollinger Bands: Testing top of 3d band for resistance. Back above the weekly MA.
Trendline:
Daily Trend: Connect 7/16 to 7/27 | currently in danger of breaking down.
Fractals: UP = $8,490 | DOWN = $7,203
On Balance Volume: Establishing lower high/bear flag/potential h&s
Chaikin Money Flow: Weekly trying to break through 0.05 | Daily looks like it is struggling to establish a higher high.
Buy/Sell Sentiment on Trading View (countertrade): Oscillators = Buy | MA’s = Strong Buy | Summary = Buy
RSI: Daily looks very similar to OBV. Weekly is > 50.
Stoch: Just made bullish re cross on daily in overbought territory | Weekly shows plenty of room to go. Incoming sell signal on 3d.
Summary
Very interested to see if we establish a lower high on the daily chart. Price pulling up and into death cross on 3d chart could be providing a good short sale entry. The shooting star on the 3d is very bearish. The trendline breaking down would provide confirmation for a bearish entry. The visible range volume profile shows the most resistance at current price levels when looking back 1 year. Cannot recall the last time it was this expensive to hold a long on Bitmex. That indicates that too many people having been taking the same side of the trade and I strongly expect a long squeeze to be on the horizon.
Possible Entry
Could open a short at the current price level (one third of the desire position) due to the 3d death cross combined with the shooting star, horizontal resistance, visible range volume profile and the upcoming sell signal on the Stoch.
$7,600 and $6,800 have been identified as strong levels of support.
If a bounce from $7,600 leads to a lower high then it would be time to add another third. If a bounce from $6,800 leads to another lower high then it would be time to max out the position.
Stop loss at $8,560 provides an attractive risk to reward ratio and can be adjusted with each lower high.
I am still watching the triangle on ETH closely and will likely be trading it instead. It does not have the same support below the current price and is also offering a better risk:reward ratio. Click here for my full analysis.
BTC:USD DAILY UPDATE (day 150)150 straight days of posting the daily update. If you want to improve your TA then that is how to do it! It isn't about which indicators your use or don't use, it is about developing a consistent process. Thank you very much to everyone who takes the time to like and comment, it is greatly appreciated!
Previous analysis /position: Remain a bear sitting on the sidelines. Watching the 50 week MA and 0.382 FIB for resistance. Waiting for death cross from 30 and 50 week MA.
Patterns: Higher highs and higher lows forming a trend.
Horizontal support and resistance: S = $7,814 R = $8,475
BTCUSDSHORTS: Testing 18,500 for support. If that doesn’t hold then shorts could drop all the way to 8,800
Funding Rates: Longs pay 0.0404%
12 & 26 EMA’s (calculate % difference): 12 = +7.07% | 26 = +13.27% | Starting to posture up on the weekly. Will it get a bullish crossover?
50 & 128 MA’s: 50 = +21.70% 128 = +7.83%
FIB’s: 0.382 = $8,496 | 0.5 = $10,677
Candlestick analysis: Monthly bullish engulfing
Ichimoku Cloud: Daily is bullish, support from Tenkan. 12h starting to form c clamp. 1h cloud is bearish and currently acting as resistance.
TD’ Sequential: Green 3 following 9 on the sell setup. Green 2 above a green 1 on the weekly with a 10 on the sell countdown.
Visible Range: $8,200 has the second largest volume profile over the past 24 hours and is currently being tested for resistance. $8,200 has the largest volume profile over the past 5 days and 3rd largest over past 1 month. $7,600 to $8,335 has the largest volume profile over the past year. Breaking that level with conviction would be very significant.
BTC Price Spreadsheet: 12h = +3.97% | 24h = +/- 0 | 1w = +12.13% | 2w = +31.39% | 1m = +36.03%
Bollinger Bands: Pulled back inside top band on daily. MA = $7,151 Back on top of the weekly MA.
Trendline: Connects 7/16 to 7/23
Daily Trend: Choppy. Starting to turn bullish.
Fractals: UP = $8,500 DOWN = $7,237
On Balance Volume: Daily, weekly and monthly look healthy with no divs.
Chaikin Money Flow: Created a higher low and found support at 0.1 on the daily. Broke 0.23 resistance on the weekly. Will it break 0.05?
Buy/Sell Sentiment on Trading View (countertrade): Oscillators = Buy | MA’s = Strong Buy | Summary = Buy
RSI: Daily found support at 65, will it get back above 70 or form a h&s? Weekly just crossed 50.
Stoch: Recent sell signal on daily, still has plenty of room to go on the weekly.
Summary: Continue to sit back and wait to see how far this rally can go. I will remain a bear until the longer term MA’s are in a bullish posture and the price is on top of them. Until that happens we are still in a bear market. If we can get back above $10,000 then it is very likely that my conditions for a bull market will be met. Until then I will remember that even if that was the bottom, the bulls are still inside their own 20 yard line.
“As for me, I have no desire to carry the football from end zone to end zone. Just give me the territory between the 20 yard lines.” @PeterLBrandt
Upcoming Death Cross on the 50 and 30 Week MA'sIt's not time to get too excited just yet. Still holding onto my $4,200 target in October. I am a bear until we get above $12,000 and trade above long term moving averages that are in a bullish posture. Won't be re-opening a short just yet, will be waiting to see how the MA's hold as resistance.
BNB correction+Death CrossHey guys,
First of all,i would like to tell you that i am a very big fan of Binance and what their team is doing for the crypto community.
Even though we have been surprised multiple times by amazing news from the Binance development team,the BNB token used on their platform is about to lose some of it's value on behalf of BTC.
As illustrated by the tehnical analysis that you can see above,we are currently in an early triangle formation,that suggests an upcoming correction to the price of BNB.
Unfortunately,a death cross has formed,meaning that the 200 MA has gone above the 50 and 30 MA's.
How to trade: In my opinion,staying out of BNB is the best decision,at least until we see some price stabilisation.I will provide you with an update as soon as the 18k satoshi mark is reached.
Hopefully,we will see the price stay inside the white triangle and not break below.
None of this is trading advice,as it only represents my opinion on how things will evolve.
If this has been helpful to you in any way,please feel free to drop some change in my piggy bank, or just leave me a review in the comment section.(It would mean the world for me ;) )
BTC: 1FT5eALCLpTKtQDiwQrEvuq51ScXJQqDEZ
ETH: 0x3d2966f2cd842dd4c63cb42991d234b8f07e78b5
For any questions,leave a comment down below and i will answer as soon as i get to see it.
Cheers!
EURUSD- Bearish EURUSD REMAINS WEAK WITH FURTHER LOSSES LIKELY
The single-currency looks set to weaken further in the weeks ahead after the formation of a ‘death-cross’ at the end of last week, a negative technical indicator. The chart signal occurs when the 50-day moving average moves below the 200-day moving average, highlighting slowing momentum. The cross also occurred on high turnover, another negative sign. This ‘cross’ shows short-term momentum in an asset class is falling and normally signals lower prices ahead. On the downside, EURUSD initial support is found at 1.15539 ahead of 1.14872.
NEO/BTC not looking too promisingWelcome to this quick review of NEO/BTC
We see that NEO has seemingly found the base of its H&S pattern from February, nicely coinciding with the 38% fibonacci level or 0.00700000.
Note that the Stoch RSI is showing oversold and similarly on most hourly time scales. There is not enough momentum to push it up. If it does, some key levels are the 50MA (in green) and the descending trending resistance (in blue). Nonetheless, you might notice a Death Cross printed on the Moving Averages.
In summary, i would wait for NEO to come back down to the 23% fibonacci level or 0.00500000 to err on the side of caution. We sure love our 'big evens'. My stance is relatively bearish in the short-mid term and there is little evidence of a good trade set-up here.
Happy trading :)
*Not financial advice*
VXR: Head and Shoulder Pattern + Death Cross + Descending Tri Unless something fundamentally changes the stock isn't looking healthy. Low volume signaling a large movement about to occur within a bearish descending triangle and with the stock trending under 200 EMA. This is after completing a bearish H&S pattern. However, it is to be noted that the SMAs are building towards bullish momentum, so a close eye must be maintained for any anns that will reverse the tide down.
Litecoin... almost thereLitecoin is at a critical pivot I have been highlighting for a long time in several posts. The 'golden ratio' of .618 Fibonacci resistance which LTC is currently teetering around (now a few dollars below). We need to see a solid extension above this level, which equates to about 163, to establish a firmly bullish perspective going forward as far as technical analysis is concerned. The importance of Fibonnaci levels is critical and this is shown with 11 elliptical circles showing where Fibonnaci levels have served as support/ resistance. Recent bullish development include:
1) A reversal in volume patterns with respect to price indicated by the upward sloping green line which is preceded by 4 or 5 downward sloping magenta ones.
2) Positive RSI developments indicated with a white dashed line.
3) Failure of the 'death-cross' to occur which happens when the 50-day movilng average dips below the 200. LTC is also above both of these moving averages.
4) Bullish MACD crossover visible at the bottom.
At the time of writing RSI is indicating LTC is a bit overbought and may pull back a bit but I doubt this would be the start of a large drop. If you find this info useful please give a like, criticisms welcome.
Bitcoin (BTC) MA Death/Golden Cross Analysis (Part 10) --> +40%Welcome to my 10th segment in my golden/death cross live trading analysis series! My strategy is simple: trade the waves and lock in profits. We're making USD on long segments and making BTC on short segments. Forget trading on the absolute highs and lows, we're trading on reliable signals that have been successfully backtested and confirmed in this analysis! Don't believe me? I'm not calling shots after the fact, so go back and see the other trades. We've lost money on a few but have made a lot more than we've lost!
We're still on our 5th segment here, and the metrics are as follows:
Segment 5
04/08/2018 - BUY $6,900
04/25/2018 - SELL $9,000
TBD - BUY TBD
Beginning ($): $10,700
Ending ($): $13,950
Beginning (BTC): 1.55
Ending (BTC): TBD
This was by far our longest bull run here, and we locked in a bunch of profit because of our previous gains against BTC! Let's keep up this magic! Stay tuned for my live trades!