BTCUSD: Tell me it won't do a DEATH CROSS50-day Moving Average is getting closer to 200-day Moving Average from above, and if it crosses we will see a huge dump.
I have always been trying to ignore this, but it's right there and scares the shit out of me.
There also seems SELL signal from MACD chart.
I guess we are gonna visit 7300$, maybe move further to 6000$ again.
I hope I'm wrong. Do you agree with this analysis?
Deathcross
BTCUSD Elliot Wave 2 Complete?It appears that BTCUSD has completed the 2nd wave pullback from February lows to highs and has ABC'd its way to the bottom and we are about to begin the wave 3 (the most exciting wave)
Wave 1(up) 6,000 to 11,788
Wave 2 (down)11,788 to 8,342
Wave 3 (up) TBD projected to be around the 28,400 level
Wave 4 (down) near the 20k level
Wave 5 (up) near 42,000 level
Additionally, so far, we have held above the 200 day moving average and successfully defended the headline grabbing (yet highly inaccurate) famed Death Cross, when the 50 day moving average crosses below the 200 day moving average.
The quarterly trading zones are very wide, 3,000 to 30,000 which means we can rally up to 28k and still have no quarterly buy signals, making Q2 trading zones a heck of a lot more narrow which while compressed allow very aggressive trading with high probability outcomes and a very biased (bull or bear depending on which side of the zones we are) and clearly defined trend.
A couple of things coming up that could catapult BTCUSD and the entire crypto complex to new loftier highs:
As we move into the second quarter of 2018 new money will be getting put to work by family offices, institutional investors and the large wave of individual investors who will jump on board when the daily price moves up again begin to draw positive headlines.
March 2018 BTC Futures contract is the last futures contract priced as a monthly expiration, from now on contracts will expire every March, June, September and December. This should open things up a bit and allow bigger traders and hedgers to take larger positions over time.
US Tax Refunds
At this point it's not a certainty, analysis never is, however I'm taking a very small long position and have a plan to continue to add to it as we either confirm or fail.
Bitcoin Death Cross on 4hr chart - march 8th 2018Another MA cross
bearish indicator
if been watching previous charts then this makes sense as we have been shorting bitcoin since it faked out around 11k areas
watching for the retest of previous lows and if so we could be going lower
obvious bounces and maybe one in mid 8000's too, risky buys but can pay off if not too greedy
also se how the price respects the gann fans so use that as a guide and watch for breaking into new areas in near future
peace
UBQ-BTC Looking for Buy OpportunitiesUBIQ is a strong player in the smart contracts space which I feel has a fair chance of gains in 2018 once the alt coin winter is over.
Looking at the chart against BTC it is trading about 300% lower than the epic price it reached back in Mid 2017 - Will it return to this level? Who knows. There is a potential death cross occuring currently. Last time this happened price continued to fall for a a couple of months.
BTC seems to finally be gaining some strength generally so I think it will out perform alts in the next few weeks - we will likely see the price drop down to the buy zone indicated. The bottom of this zone was a previous strong area of support with high volume levels. i will look to pick up some coins in this area, buying in small percentages - saving some should it drop further.
XRP _ USDTChart asked from a VIP member
what happened with ripple?
DEATH CROSS in 20th JAN.
what its this?
"A death cross is a crossover resulting from a security's long-term moving average breaking above its short-term moving average or support level ."
Its a SELL signal, since DEATH CROSS XRP down 65% in value!
But here we can se a reversal and XRP up 87% from last BIG swing low, and now its fighting against the old uptrend line.
what its important now?
Price its fighting against uptrend and if price win and still above uptrend line we will se a GOLDEN CROSS, its the inverse of DEATH CROSS (when the short term moving average cross up the long term moving average)
IF price go under uptrend line our last support its in 0.78 fib level
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GNT-BTC - Looking for Long OpportunitiesLooking to build my holding in GNT and hold for 2018 as I feel it is a strong project with good upside potential. Question is when to buy in. Let's take a look
Fundamental Analysis:
- I feel the market for distributed computing (Airbnb for computing power) could be huge and that we could some releases in 2018.
- Strong developer community (www.coingecko.com)
- More analysis to follow in later linked thread...
Technical Analysis:
- Down 60% from All time high and up 210% from start of recent bull run
- On 8HR chart price has dropped below the 200 EMA which is a confirmation that the bull run is over. Also we are just getting a death cross (50 moving below the 200 EMA)
- Price and RSI are finding lower lows.
- Key support/resistance levels are marked in black dotted with heavier lines being stronger.
Will look to buy at 0.00004057 if it drops that far and find support.
Bitcoin Wave IV: The Wrath of Space BearsWhile the bears have their wrath on Bitcoin lets have a detailed look at the wave 4 to see how exactly they did it. Wave 4 consists mostly of nested complex corrections WXY (basically all possible abc count is substituted with wxy, because abc count is based on 5 waves (which are non existent, making abc invalid) and wxy count is based on 3 waves, making it suitable for any correction. Both the abc count and the alt wxy count are provided in different colors side by side. Of course, counting waves is very subjective and is a matter of preference. Please, see my previous post on differences between abc and wxy. Shift click + drag on chart scales to enlarge.
The Star Destroyer sequence is of much interest on this particular chart. You would think that when the trend is invalidated after first 3 waves (wave 4 goes past the end of wave 1) the price will go down, but that's not necessarily the case. Instead, we've moved up to 10500 in an abc correction of a larger degree wave. That's something to remember.
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There are rumors that some rebel space bears, some Ewoks, were dispatched for this important mission by Star Fleet Command, led by no one other than Chewie the Chewbacca himself. Yes, some fearsome brutal ruthless EWoks, those nasty cunning little creatures. They say, a shark bite is less painful than a bear hug by one of those. EWoks are known to be very territorial and aggressive especially when disturbed during winter. Those pesky little bears will attack their enemies in swarms and rip them apart with their tiny-tiny shiny claws until nothing remains. They're like little forest piranhas. And they love honey, they really do. They use primitive weapons and tools but still are very effective. They appear out of nowhere, take their enemies by surprise and viciously attack in hoards of large numbers leaving a path of destruction behind. And they've got an eye of a tiger dancing through the fire. That kind of pesky beasts they are. They're precise. They're unstoppable. They're deep forest legends! Their wrath is like Gods' wrath. I'm talking Big Flood. The bull stormtroopers of the Empire are no match for them but rather, some bull cannon fodder in walking AT-ST metal cans.
But, enough about the EWoks, you may ask: Why, is Chewie even a bear? Well, he growls like one, he smells like one and he's damn furry like a bear. And as you know, if something quacks like a duck, it probably is one. Maybe a distant bipedal relative. Could be. Sounds good enough for me. Now look at the damage they've done: Destroyed the Shield Generator and Communications Array in the forest of Endor, Blew up the Death Star, and smashed a Star Destroyer to pieces. The Galactic Trade Federation is estimating a 60% damage to the Empire after this crippling blow! They say, while Chewie has led the attack, he has not slept and eaten for three days! Not a single Porg! He did not have sex for three days! He did not even play any high stakes games! You know, being a hero is never easy. The history books will say that Chewbacca in the Millennium Falcon battled the Empire's forces and lead the attack on the battle station. And finally succeeded in restoring balance to the Force.
The rebel bears still suffered severe losses through the Death Star's superlaser, when the Empire launched a surprise wave 5 attack formation. But the bears quickly deflected, regrouped, and blew a massive Star Destroyer out of the sky. Dismantling the Empire one Destroyer at a time. Seems that with its leaders dead, the Empire began its long decline, with multiple bull warlords fighting for power. This courageous attack may mark the beginning of the end for the Empire. Makes you wonder, will the Empire ever recover after this deadly Ewoks' blow, build a new army, gather the forces of evil and go to distant moons to strike back and kill some rebel bear scum once again. Some say that this only may happen once in a Galaxy Far Far Away...
Ripple (XRP) Long-term Trend Analysis. Which Direction Now?I've been long BINANCE:XRPBTC since November of 2017. It's pretty different than other cryptos, at least in a sense. The long-term goals of bringing efficiencies to the bloated traditional financial industry, in my opinion, means that BINANCE:XRPBTC has nowhere to go but up in the long run. We've seen major movements as BINANCE:XRPBTC rapidly moves on the charts, making it very difficult to predict prices movements. So as someone that looks long-term on this trade, I'm not looking to trade every little movement, but the longer trends that we can see using volume spikes and moving averages. The cross that we saw on the 10th did not have the volume behind it that previous crosses have had and the price is right around the initial cross point.
I'm going to keep an eye on BINANCE:XRPBTC here. I'm not convinced that we'll rally again, only time will tell.
I'd like to hear your thoughts on BINANCE:XRPBTC ! Will we see a rally or are we going to see a dip? Please comment below, as the more input we see, the more informed we are!
*** This is not a recommendation to buy or sell, this is for educational purposes only! ***
BTC-USD - Are we at the bottom?The question on everyone lips. Let's take a look at the charts.
1D Chart
Starting with the 1D to get the broad picture. Remember as well that signals on the higher charts are more reliable.
Key levels of Support/Resistance are:
11470 - Has acted as strong support and resistance on the 1HR chart between 21st Jan and 29th Jan when it finally gave way to the downside. Will now act as resistance on the way back up.
10700 - Was the bottom of the wick that ended the fall on the 22nd December. Has provided support multiple times with no daily closing below it until we dropped on the 30th January. Will also now act as resistance.
Upper Box - Indicates area of support which we are now testing. This was a bullish accumulation zone back in 28/29th November on the daily. It has been drawn wider to account for the accumulation candles on the 4HR chart at this time as below:
9232 - Was the bottom of the wick from the 17th Jan (and lowest recent low). This will act as resistance and is within the box discussed above.
Lower Box - If we drop through the upper box and the 9232 level then the price could drop to this lower region which aligns with the last significant level of accumulation (16th-24th December). There was very little volume previously between the upper and lower boxes so it may fall through as quickly as it went up.
RSI has been below 50 for a while reflecting the continued bearish sentiment. It is currently tracking down and is at 35. Will it drop further? August 2016 was the last time that the RSI fell below 30 (classic oversold zone) (Note: same date was also the last death cross on the 8HR - see below). The recovery back in May 2017 happened when RSI was at 35 which is the current level. More recent recoveries happened on the 30 (July & Sept 2017). In Nov 2017 is happened at 42 when the market sentiment was extraordinarily bullish dismiss this as an anomaly. Given that we witnessed a death cross on the 8HR recently we could potentially drop below the 30 - I would not be surprised based on this indicator.
Oscillators
200 EMA - We are currently only 7% above this key average. If we move below it then I would consider that we are officially in a bear market. We have not dropped below this since Nov 15!!
8HR Chart
The last time we had a death cross on the 8HR was way back in August 2016 (see below). At the time the cross coincided with the bottom of that drop. The bottom turned into the left side of a W pattern and the market recovered. The 50 EMA recovered to be above the 200 only 26 days later and it has been above it ever since....until now.
Fundamentals
There is ALLOT of FUD spreading going on currently with daily stories being released from South Korea, China, India, Tether. Most of these stories being published in mainstream news are out of date and seem to be being released at times that coincide with BTC price down trends. It is not a stretch to think that this is market manipulation and that institutional investors are trying to shake out weak hands.
SUMMARY
We are at key junction for $BTC. We need to see how price holds up in the upper box region and how it responds to returning to the 200 EMA. The RSI and historical volume plus all of the FUD and negativity indicate we could drop further into the lower box region - 8500 or below.
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity"
This is not investment advice.
If you found this helpful or disagree with any of it please comment below. Also please follow me if you want to see future analysis on Crypto pairs.
Monero continues its downward trendXMR has been moving up and down quite a lot within its downward trend, with wednesday striking as low $235.
Considering the MACD is indicating an upcoming uptrend, we might see another push, which I expect to be VERY short-lived.
We have a death cross (red arrow) forming as the 50 EMA (blue) is moving down below the 200 EMA (green) which generally indicates a VERY weak trend.
Additionally, ALTs are suffering directly from BTCs downtrend.
Since Bitcoin has not hit its bottom yet and is very likely to go for another run at the $9,2k support pretty soon, we can expect XMR to move similarly, going as low as $235 again.
My buy order will be at around $235, where I expect XMR to bounce back up. (The lower trendline (black) will be a very strong support)
Anything can happen however, which is why we should keep an eye on both BTC and XMR movement and stay adaptive with our trades.
Summary: XMR is very likely to hit its previous low from wednesday again, which is a strong support level and therefor makes for a good buyzone.
Note: The blue arrows neither indicate any timeframes, nor any exact price levels. Their only purpose is to show general movement.
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This is no financial advice and only for educational purposes.
Bitcoin / usd 1 Day Chart Death Cross [BTFD]Our first chart for 2018
been having loads of new year fun with crypto...
Pretty clear Death cross on the 1 day chart for bitcoin
looking at the levels here with the fib
MCap bounced near 500bn and we have the US session to come
is this the real recorrection and then back up to 30k? or we gunna close under 9k after US session and enter a bear market?
bull or bear? i wanna hear what you think? best response hgere, will chuck u some random crypto coins, so plz discuss....
An Ethereum scenarioPOLONIEX:ETHBTC has been consolidating for a while now and if there is not enough strength we could see something similar to what happened in 2016.
Price structure 2016:
Price structure 2017:
Volume and StochRSI:
2016
2017
RSI
2016
2017
Note: POLONIEX:ETHBTC correlation to alts cycles could have been affected by the high number of ICOs and the ETH collected by all these projects.
Is this the correction we've been waiting for?Yesterday's close <2,100 is a confirmation of the negative trend which has been forming
Most technical indicators have now turned negative for the S&P 500
50MA is getting dangerously close to a negative "death cross" formation with MA100
We are approaching oversold levels but not yet dramatically so
Next few weeks provide just enough uncertainty (elections, Fed) to fuel the correction
Next level from here = MA200 support = 2,081.18
This is a time to step back or short the SPY or go long gold or volatility
The downfall of Wells Fargo?FUNDAMENTALLY: BAD SITUATION ALREADY - HOW MUCH WORSE CAN IT GET?
Poor business and regulatory practices are being investigated at WFC. This bodes negatively for the bank, as there is already an admittance of wrongdoing. Such situations have taken a while to sort out in the past (see GS, Citi, DB, BNP, etc.) and have resulted in substantial settlement amounts. The current situation with Deutsche Bank adds fuel to the fire.
WEEKLY CHART REFLECTING POOR FUNDAMENTALS.
The technical situation on the weekly chart looks quite poor: Negative wedge formation since July 2015, death cross in April 2016, downtrend broken this week, volume pickup on the downside, negative MACD cross-over, etc.
FLOW SITUATION ALSO DIFFICULT.
Warren Buffet, who already owns 10% of the bank through Berkshire, cannot buy more stock. He is bound to keep his investment and be unhappy with it or sell his stake... Not very encouraging from the perspective of institutional share-holding at WFC.
WHAT TO DO FROM HERE?
Go short at the current market price.
Price target $40/share.
Stop-loss at $46.
Reward/Risk = c. 2.7x