Bitcoin Death Cross and the 200 Week Moving AverageHi everyone,
Thank you for considering reading my idea.
Next week may be the death cross of the 20 week and 50 week moving averages. Historically in 2014, it took 22 weeks for Bitcoin to touch the 200 week moving average while in 2018 it took 23 weeks.
This 2022, we can "predict" it may take 22-24 weeks (Aug 15-29, 2022)
22 weeks is the least amount of time while 24 weeks following the pattern 22 > 23 > 24.
Obviously, this is just a pattern and a fun prediction that can be invalidated but is interesting to watch. Let's see how it will play out.
Thank you for reading my idea. Like this idea and follow me for more ideas like this. NFA . TAYOR. DYOR.
Cheers,
Juvs
Deathcross
BTC's 21EMA & 50EMA 🔎Interesting! So there has been 4 times in the history of bitcoin
where the 21 EMA dropped below the 50 EMA
including the one that's proceeding to happen. Each time it happened
it was a significant drop in price. Now combine that with an M top forming on the weekly.
We might see a similar drop like in 2014, or possibly worse?!?
Thought this was an interesting find!
May peace be the journey, and remember to take profits & stay safe!
CRWD - more downsideLager trend is still down despite the strong rally during the 1st half of Febuary that brought it all the way up to retest the neckline & 50 day moving average.
Near Term suppoat @ 152 coming up but likely to fail.
Negate bearish views if it manages to go back above the 50day moving average in the near term.
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Please your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you.
EVR - broke neckline on strong volumeEVR formed a bearish Head & Shoulders and 1st started to break the neckline on 20 Jan, however it began a strong shortly after that brought it back above to retest the declining 50day Moving Average. The death cross (50 day MA crossing below the 200 day MA) is now apparent, so are lower highs and lower lows. Last Friday's break of the neckline (again) was on very high volume.
Tested some shorts with a tight stop loss just above 130. The theoretical target of this H&S will be aroud 83. However, I would protect profits with trailing stops if trades goes my way.
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Please your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you.
DEATH CROSS PRINTED ON FRIDAY- LOOK OUT BELOW!!!Nasdaq along with many individual stocks I am short printed an official death cross on Friday. If you don't know what that is, it's time to close all your positions and find another line of work. A death cross is a textbook SELL signal, no more "buy the dip" and hope stock market of overpriced high flying money losing companies courtesy of the perpetual money printing of the FED. We are in an unofficial bear market with the averages but confirmed on many individual stocks. Nothing but headwinds on the horizon. And, without the federal reserve backstopping this bubble the bubble will continue to burst, as it should! I have traded bear markets before, they are not fun. It doesn't mean to get short anything and everything and wait, bear markets do not work that way and are met with many violent rallies on the way down.
Death Cross AnalysisHi guys,
This is the famous Death Cross most people already knew, but not many keeping attend to. So I want to share my views and give everyone a better look at the Death Cross and how I identify the BUY Signal here.
In case you don't know what Death Cross is, you can setup one on your chart right now with this setting:
1) 1-day bitcoin chart
2) 50-EMA (short-term)
3) 200-EMA (long-term)
Death Cross is when 50-EMA cross below 200-EMA.
I use EMA which gives me a more accurate data than the MA.
And this Death Cross is an indicator for LONG-Term Big Trend guide, so to assist you on planning your own trading strategy. Because for trading, the no.1 most important 1st step to look out for, is the LONG-Term Big Trend, then only you look at what your strategy is going to be. And because if you go against the LONG-Term Big Trend, you're asking for trouble.
Back on the Chart, the orange circle is where Death Cross happened, and the light green circle is where bitcoin price cross above the 50-EMA, this effectively confirms the uptrend is here or coming very soon.
You: So what if it's a bull trap and it went back down again?
Me: There's no 100% perfect indicators in the world, so we must have plan B. My strategy to tackle that problem is to use DCA, meaning you don't use 100% of your money to buy at that point, instead you buy with 30% or lesser, then put up 1 or more limit orders at lower levels to grab price dips.
You: So which lower level for DCA do you think is good?
Me: I've another indicator which is the 2-Year MA Multiplier and 300-WMA level. So I'll put a buy limit order at around 2Y-MA bottom line and another one at 300-WMA line.
My strategy never sell any trade at a loss, yes, I don't have Stop Loss, from my experience and all my strategy backtest and real-test has shown me that in long run, I'll not make more money using stop loss. And stop loss causes emotional FUD, which is no.1 killer in trading, you'll lose your sense and do stupid things like panic sell and panic buy.
Alright, right now, price hasn't cross above 50-EMA yet, so hold your horses, don't rush to buy in, setup your own Death Cross indicators on your chart and monitor for the price to cross 50-EMA line.
Good Luck and hope this helps.
$EGLD: follow the DEATH crossesI did an idea long ago about following the GOLDEN crosses. It is linked below.
While that Idea is not going to fully work, I think it is inherent to what is going on in this cycle. It is lengthening and BTC is as well having a loooong sideways behaviour, between 35-65K. More and more we will see this, in no way we will go to moon in a week :)
So this is just another observation, more than an idea. And the observation is that after a red cross (DEATH cross), we always had like 1 month of further accumulation (sometimes more volatile than others), and afterwards we had reach an ATH in between 100 and 150 days since the DEATH cross appeared.
A DEATH cross seems to come our way around Jan 23rd, in around 3 days. So let's say we have another 160 days period until the new ATH. That would put us at July 1st. I think the target could be still 1100-1200, as depicted there. It is not crazy, just see what Elrond has done looking back in time.... and we are going to see many features in the ecosystem. Remember Mincu's word: 2022 will be MASSIVE.
I have used the dueling pitchforks i used in other ideas, linked below, but with less messy diagonals.
Death Cross Magic again for CME Bitcoin Chart?Commerce on the Internet has come to rely almost exclusively on financial institutions serving as
trusted third parties to process electronic payments.
While the system works well enough for
most transactions, it still suffers from the inherent weaknesses of the trust based model.
Completely non-reversible transactions are not really possible, since financial institutions cannot
avoid mediating disputes.
The cost of mediation increases transaction costs, limiting the
minimum practical transaction size and cutting off the possibility for small casual transactions,
and there is a broader cost in the loss of ability to make non-reversible payments for nonreversible services.
With the possibility of reversal, the need for trust spreads:
Merchants must be wary of their customers, hassling them for more information than they would otherwise need.
A certain percentage of fraud is accepted as unavoidable.
These costs and payment uncertainties
can be avoided in person by using physical currency, but no mechanism exists to make payments
over a communications channel without a trusted party
Three Falling Peaks On The Gold Miners ETFThe Gold Miners don't look like they are setting up to have a very good time as they have made Three Consecutive Lower Highs and have penetrated the line of support it's been holding. Just from looking at this pattern and how we are trading in between the 55 and 200 week Moving Averages and Preparing a Weekly Death Cross it would seem that it is setting up for a +40% Decline in the near future so long as it continues to make Lower Highs.
dogecoin: 58 days after Death CrossDeath cross is a graphical pattern in technical analysis that shows the potential for high sales and lower prices.The death cross appears in an asset or index chart when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average breaks it and goes lower.It has been 58 days now that the 50-day EMA has broken the 200-day EMA downwards, and currently the slope of both moving averages is descending.In the path of price increase, both moving averages will act as strong resistances. To start a bull market, the 50-day moving average must first be bullish, and when the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day EMA, a golden cross will occur and the price will accelerate faster.
Greg Dickersons's Technical Analysis on BitcoinHey Traders,
As you can see on the Daily Chart of Bitcoin (BTC), the death crosses of the 50 & 200 EMA are eerily similar. From the Wick Top on April 14th to the Death Cross area on June 19th was 66 days. And then from there, it was 31 days to the market price bottom. Fast forward to current times, the Wick Top on November 10th to the Death Cross on January was 15 days. This leads me to believe that we possibly have 31 more days until the bottom is found. Lastly, look at 31.5k and February 15th as they will be important buy areas. Credit to Greg Dickerson (TA Youtuber) for finding this.
Safe trading,
-Pulkanator
DAX: DEATH CROSS - BEWAREThis is a death cross on the 4H time frame. It may not show on many higher time frames.
Some traders wait to see the death cross on the 1D time frame. By the time that develops, the market is ready to rebound.
I always stay 'under the hood' of the daily time frame, cuz that's where the action begins.
The 4H is my fav time frame to get an idea of what's happening, based only on my experience.
The DAX and other indices have basically followed Wall Street and the NASDAQ - they're all interconnected by undersea cables. Some $USD 10 trillion in financial transactions pass in those per day.
Anyways the markets have been so heavily pumped that I don't think the FED can save them now. This time around in contrast to 2020, it is so overheated it's now become silly.
Air money cannot support markets forever. Right now people are losing billions (collectively) as the markets head south.
Will they throw in the towel? Not soon enough.
If you're a trend follower the 2H or 4H ATR lines are nice ones to follow.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
BTC Bitcoin: Death Cross ScenariosHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for the Bitcoin (BTC).
The Bitcoin price on the one day timeframe is about to meet with a Death-Cross (50 MA goes below 200 MA). Historically the Death-Cross is a bearish lagging signal which indicates the price may drop. It doesn't always happen but when it does, the price falls quite a bit. The chart shows that the prior Death-Cross got to the multi-month support trend line before it started moving back up. Assuming that happens again, the price may drop but there is a good chance it gets supported by the support trend line. If the price doesn't drop, keep an eye on the upcoming red Ichimoku Cloud which may be an area of resistance. Volume has dropped again and RSI is about the reach the resistance line.
Shown in the chart: Rising Wedge Pattern, Ichimoku Cloud, Support and Resistance Trend Line, Death-Cross, Simple Moving Average, Relative Strength Index, and Volume.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
The last 6 times when S&P500 had a death cross we bottomedThe last 6 times when S&P500 had a nearly death cross on the 4h chart since the Corona crash 2020 the short-term bottom was following and price went higher.
Comparing Bitcoin in that situation... wasn´t that bad IMO.
What will happen right now? 😎
Drop me a nice comment if you'd like me to analyze any other cryptocurrency.
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing