Defense
Applied ROC Strategy on Turkish Defense Company : AselsanAbout ROC Strategy :
Go Long when the ROC crosses above the Value of '0'
Short when the ROC crosses below the Value of '0'.
The strategy is a reversal strategy through the use of the 'Cover and go Long' and 'Close and go Short' Actions. The ROC property of 'Period' can be changed for testing purposes using the available ROC 'Factor'
Important Notice :
Although I publish this article in 30 mins period, the strategy works best with the intraday trading(1 min). If you decide to adapt this strategy to your Algo Trader, remind urselfs that %P&L for intraday is around ~8%. Also bear in mind the Turkish Stock Market Volatility plus any political related decisions on defense companies inside and outside the coutnry. The %P&L ratios has been calculated throug BackTesting&Optimizing on Bloomberg Terminal for July 2020.
The above references an opinion and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.
Buy Lockheed (NYSE:LMT), Entry 361.30 SL 354.80,valid till 17JunLike other stocks (check out idea published on Boeing NYSE:BA by visiting our ideas) in Aerospace and Defense industry, LOCKHEED (NYSE:LMT) also has some path to move further up.
Coordinates are:-
Entry: 361.30
SL: 354.80
Target: trail the price
Valid till 17th June 2020
Holding Long on EmbraerLast month We looked at the potential of putting on out of the money calls for a small premium cost with an expiration date for late in the year.
As the price of ERJ hits the low of just $4 we are starting to see a bit of strength and support be met at that level. As we start to move up from the all time low looking to follow the trend line will be a strong indicator that momentum is on our side.
HoneywellAs a defense contractor and service provider to various industries they providing a wide range of products to their clients. They are having a slow recovery from the lows of 2020. Looking to reach back in previous trading ranges.
Axon Enterprise $AAXN#AxonEnterprise broke out the down trend and daily 50SMA but the volume is low.
Diageo Defensive stock bullish rally IdeaIn the past few months with the rise of Corona virus Diageos stock price has really taken a hit with profit losses for the leading spirit making company. Asia is in lockdown due to the virus and othewr consumers around the world are also suffering causing Diageo to take a real bad hit. However this stock is classed as defensive due the fact of even in hard times people generally seem to opt for alcohol or cigarettes etc it is rare to see huge movements to the downside like we are seeing so that is why i am predicting upside movement soon. With the weekly trend line constantly tested over the past few years the long term bias definitely indicates strong bullish movement.
Confluences for this trade
1.Weekly trend line constantly tested.
2.Multiple time frame confirmation of bullish movement
3. Price is currently at a previous support level and key area of price.
4.Defensive stocks RARELY see huge movements to the downside with exceptions of a global scare like we are seeing right now with the corona virus.
Please Like and share this idea
$KTOS Set To Keep Climbing On Iran Fears$KTOS looks set to keep climbing as investors rush into defense-related stocks. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. provides mission critical products, solutions, and services in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems. The Kratos Government Solutions segment offers microwave electronic products, satellite communications, training systems, modular systems, and defense and rocket support services. The Unmanned Systems segment provides unmanned aerial systems, and unmanned ground and seaborne systems. It serves national security related agencies, the department of defense, intelligence agencies, and classified agencies, as well as international government agencies and domestic and international commercial customers. The company has a strategic collaboration with AeroVironment, Inc. to develop and demonstrate integrated and operationally effective multi-domain unmanned system solutions for near-peer and denied environments. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Defense stocks (BATS:ITA) rally following the U.S. airstrike that killed Iranian general Qassem Soleimani, with the case for more defense spending likely to strengthen as conflict in the Middle East ramps up.
"If Middle East conflict were to ratchet up... we think it could be tougher for Democratic Party electoral candidates to argue against a stronger defense budget in 2020," Citi analyst Jonathan Raviv wrote last week.
U.S. defense stocks could again outperform in 2020 as the group typically does well in an election year, notes Buckingham's Richard Safran.
The S&P Aerospace & Defense Select ETF (NYSEARCA:XAR) has returned nearly 29% over the past year, even better than the 25% gain on the S&P 500 during the period.
"Let this serve as a WARNING that if Iran strikes any Americans, or American assets, we have targeted 52 Iranian sites (representing the 52 American hostages taken by Iran many years ago), some at a very high level & important to Iran & the Iranian culture, and those targets, and Iran itself, WILL BE HIT VERY FAST AND VERY HARD. The USA wants no more threats!" President Trump wrote on Twitter.
"The United States just spent Two Trillion Dollars on Military Equipment. We are the biggest and by far the BEST in the World! If Iran attacks an American Base, or any American, we will be sending some of that brand new beautiful equipment their way...and without hesitation!"
On Saturday evening, a rocket fell inside Baghdad’s heavily-fortified Green Zone near the U.S. Embassy, another hit the nearby Jadriya neighborhood and two more rockets were fired at the Balad air base north of the city, but no one was killed.
Increased military spending could make defense stocks a winning trade once again in 2020. The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (BATS:ITA) has rallied more than 70% since Trump was elected on Nov. 8, 2016, while the S&P 500 is up around 50% in that time.
As always, use protective stops and trade with caution.
Good luck to all!
Boeing and Lockheed just got a big earnings forecast upgradeFor assessing earnings forecasts, I use the Zacks "Price and Consensus" chart. The charts for Boeing, Lockheed-Martin, and Raytheon all show that they got big upgrades of their earnings forecasts last not. I should caution that I have no idea WHY analysts upgraded these aerospace companies' earnings. Maybe it's related to the Trump space force or geopolitical tensions with Iran. But the stocks are moving today in response to the upgrade, and the upgrade was biggest for Boeing. An ETF like DFEN, with a lot of Boeing exposure, looks like a promising bet after the upgrade. Aerospace stocks have been pretty overvalued overall, so until I understand better why the upgrade happened, I am treating this as a short-term swing trade.